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AFC Wimbledon v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Oct, 15:00 BST, The Cherry Red Records Stadium, Wimbledon

The Cherry Red Records Stadium faithful welcome Carlisle United's fans on Saturday afternoon, as Johnnie Jackson's AFC Wimbledon go head to head with Paul Simpson's troops in the League Two. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) history, will update as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither AFC Wim or Carlisle are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AFC Wim
56%
4/6
9%
3/4
5%
Draw
23%
11/414/5
6%
Carlisle
21%
15/4
19%
18/5
10%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
8%
AFC Wim 1-0
10%
13/26/1
8%
AFC Wim 2-1
10%
15/213/2
AFC Wim 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
AFC Wim 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Carlisle 1-0
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
10%
AFC Wim 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
9%
17/2
6%
Carlisle 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
AFC Wim 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Carlisle 2-0
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
AFC Wim 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
17%
AFC Wim 4-0
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
9%
Carlisle 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/20
3%
4/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/20
3%
19/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/9
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
15/8
10%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/53/4
3%
BTTS - No
46%
10/1119/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
5/2
13%
12/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1
20%
13/2
7%
Home/draw
79%
2/11
3%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
44%
23/20
13%
21/20
5%
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
7%
13/5
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/1
8%
19/10
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11
2%
4/11
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
8%
17/4
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
1%
2/15
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
13%
9/1
17%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
9/1
11%
Home DNB
72%
2/7
5%
2/7
4%
Away DNB
37%
5/2
17%
23/10
10%
AFC Wim win to nil
30%
2/1
8%
-
Carlisle win to nil
10%
8/1
29%
-
AFC Wim / AFC Wim
31%
13/8
13%
13/8
6%
AFC Wim / Carlisle
3%
33/128/1
12%
AFC Wim / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / AFC Wim
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
4%
Draw / Carlisle
8%
9/1
18%
8/1
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
Carlisle / AFC Wim
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Carlisle / Carlisle
11%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win League Two table
AFC Wim
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Carlisle
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Nov 23
Mar 29
 Walsall10613719 
Mar 4
Oct 22
Dec 30
Apr 21
 Gillingham10613719 
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
Mar 22
Nov 16
 Barrow10613619 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Dec 14
Apr 12
 Doncaster10613319 
Nov 23
Mar 29
Mar 8
Oct 19
 Notts C10532818 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 28
Apr 26
Oct 26
 Port Vale10532318 
Apr 18
Dec 21
w
 
1-0F
Jan 5
 Fleetwood9441716 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 25
-
Jan 28
 Crewe9513116 
Dec 3
Jan 1
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
 Bradford10433315 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
Dec 3
Jan 2
 Newport10505-415 
Apr 5
Dec 7
Nov 9
May 3
 Grimsby10505-415 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 8
Apr 18
Dec 21
 Chesterfield10352714 
Dec 14
Apr 1
-
-
 AFC Wim Home7412413 
Mar 15
Oct 12
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
 MK Dons10334112 
Jan 11
l
 
3-0A
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
 Salford9333-312 
May 3
Nov 9
w
 
4-2A
Feb 22
 Colchester10253-211 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
-
 Tranmere9252-411 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 4
Apr 5
Dec 7
 Harrogate10325-711 
Oct 19
Mar 8
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
 Bromley10244-210 
Mar 22
Nov 16
Jan 11
w
 
0-1F
 Cheltenham10316-410 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Dec 26
Apr 1
 Swindon10154-48 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
Oct 12
Mar 15
 Carlisle Away10217-97 
-
-
-
Feb 8
 Accrington9135-86 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Oct 22
Mar 4
 Morecambe10046-64 
Dec 26
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
5
AFC Wim have won 5 consecutive home league games
6
AFC Wim have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
AFC Wim 13TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFC Wim3 - 0MK Dons
AFC Wim1 - 0Fleetwood
AFC Wim4 - 2Colchester
AFC Wim5 - 1Walsall
AFC Wim1 - 0Salford
AFC Wim1 - 1Harrogate
AFC Wim0 - 2Newport
AFC Wim2 - 0Gillingham
AFC Wim0 - 0Grimsby
AFC Wim1 - 0MK Dons
AFC Wim0 - 1Crawley
AFC Wim1 - 1Morecambe
AFC Wim2 - 0Barrow
AFC Wim2 - 1Mansfield
AFC Wim5 - 3Colchester
AFC Wim0 - 1Sutton
AFC Wim4 - 0Swindon
AFC Wim4 - 2Notts C
AFC Wim2 - 0Doncaster
AFC Wim2 - 4Accrington
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAFC Wim0 - 1Salford
AAFC Wim0 - 0Bradford
HAFC Wim3 - 0MK Dons
HAFC Wim1 - 0Fleetwood
AAFC Wim1 - 0Cheltenham
AAFC Wim0 - 2Bromley
HAFC Wim4 - 2Colchester
HAFC Wim5 - 1Walsall
AAFC Wim2 - 3Tranmere
AAFC Wim2 - 3Swindon
HAFC Wim1 - 0Salford
AAFC Wim0 - 1Stockport
HAFC Wim1 - 1Harrogate
AAFC Wim1 - 1Crewe
HAFC Wim0 - 2Newport
HAFC Wim2 - 0Gillingham
AAFC Wim2 - 0Notts C
HAFC Wim0 - 0Grimsby
HAFC Wim1 - 0MK Dons
AAFC Wim0 - 1Doncaster
Carlisle 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Colchester0 - 0Carlisle
Swindon0 - 2Carlisle
Bradford2 - 1Carlisle
MK Dons3 - 0Carlisle
Gillingham4 - 1Carlisle
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Cheltenham0 - 1Carlisle
Northampton2 - 0Carlisle
Peterborough1 - 3Carlisle
Shrewsbury1 - 0Carlisle
Charlton3 - 2Carlisle
Burton0 - 1Carlisle
Bristol R2 - 1Carlisle
L Orient3 - 2Carlisle
Barnsley2 - 1Carlisle
Exeter2 - 1Carlisle
Wigan2 - 0Carlisle
Fleetwood1 - 1Carlisle
Blackpool3 - 0Carlisle
Reading5 - 1Carlisle
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACarlisle0 - 0Colchester
HCarlisle0 - 2Notts C
HCarlisle2 - 3Grimsby
ACarlisle2 - 0Swindon
HCarlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
ACarlisle1 - 2Bradford
HCarlisle1 - 2Tranmere
ACarlisle0 - 3MK Dons
HCarlisle1 - 0Barrow
ACarlisle1 - 4Gillingham
ACarlisle0 - 2Derby
HCarlisle1 - 3Wycombe
HCarlisle0 - 1Blackpool
ACarlisle1 - 0Cheltenham
ACarlisle0 - 2Northampton
HCarlisle1 - 3Lincoln
ACarlisle3 - 1Peterborough
HCarlisle2 - 2Stevenage
ACarlisle0 - 1Shrewsbury
HCarlisle2 - 3Barnsley
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at AFC Wim since 2015
AFC Wim
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
AFW
1
D
1
CUT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AFC Wim
Draw0 - 0Draw
AFC Wim1 - 0
1 - 3Carlisle
League games at Carlisle since 2014
Carlisle
AFC Wim
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
CUT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw4 - 4Draw
Goal Statistics

AFC Wimbledon's defensive record is to be admired, Johnnie Jackson's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive League Two games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Carlisle United makes sense in this context.

AFC Wim 13th Carlisle 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that AFC Wim will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
AFC Wim have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
-12
Carlisle have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281313/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
AFC Wim
PG (predicted goals)
Carlisle
1.8
1
Attack rating
AFW
CUT
3%
better
view stats
Games scored4
7
Failed to score3
3
Scored first3
4
Goals scored9
10
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for18
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
45%
better
AFW
CUT
view stats
Games conceded3
7
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first3
5
Goals conceded5
19
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
4
Conversion rate against13%
23%
Avg. XG against0.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+45%

AFC Wim v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

AFC Wim League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7223
O GoodmanC MaycockJ KellyJ Lewis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Goodman GLK7
1
-
J Furlong DEF7
1
-
J Lewis DEF7
3
-
A Smith MID7
1
-
J Pigott FWD71
-
O Bugiel FWD711
1
-
J Neufville FWD71
2
-
M Stevens FWD71
-
I Ogundere DEF6
-
J Reeves MID611
2
-
J Ball MID61
2
-
M Hippolyte FWD61
2
-
R Harbottle DEF5
2
-
C Maycock MID52
-
R Johnson DEF41
1
-
J Tilley FWD4
-
J Kelly FWD42
-
Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10233
H LewisC WykeC HarperA Davies
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Lewis GLK10
-
A Davies DEF1011
3
-
J Mellish DEF1011
1
-
J Vela MID10
3
-
C Wyke FWD102
2
-
L Armstrong FWD91
-
S Lavelle DEF82
1
-
H Neal MID81
1
-
D Sadi FWD811
1
-
B Barclay DEF7
3
-
T Thomas DEF7
-
C Harper DEF63
2
-
H Biggins MID6
1
-
J Jones FWD6
3
-
A Hayden DEF5
2
-
B Williams DEF5
-
J Ellis DEF4
1
-
D Adu-Adjei FWD411
-
D McGeouch MID31
1
-
G Kelly FWD3
-
J Robinson DEF1
-