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Carlisle United v Crewe Alexandra : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Brunton Park, Carlisle

Carlisle United are in League Two action on Saturday lunch time, as Paul Simpson aims to beat Lee Bell and his Crewe Alexandra side at the Brunton Park. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Carlisle United's next match is v Newport at 15:00 on Saturday 7th December
Crewe Alexandra's next match is v Bradford at 12:30 on Saturday 7th December
The last English League Two meeting between Carlisle and Crewe was on Saturday 30th November 2024
English League Two
November 30th 2024
Carlisle 1
1 Crewe
 
D. Sadi 2'82' J. Lankester
 
CUT
CRE
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
3
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
13
14
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
CarlisleCrewe
 
G. Breeze
C. Harper (G. Kelly 74')
S. Lavelle
A. Hayden (J. Ellis 90')
B. Barclay
B. Williams
C. Guy (H. Neal 69')
K. Harris (J. Jones 68')
D. Adu-Adjei
D. Sadifootball icon
T. Burey (D. McGeouch 68')
F. Marshall
Z. Williams
M. Demetriou
(C. Finney 63') L. Billington
M. Conway
(J. Knight-Lebel 63') J. Connolly
(K. Breckin 90') M. Holíček
(O. Lunt 84') football iconJ. Lankester
J. Tabiner
(A. Thibaut 64') M. Sanders
S. Tracey

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Carlisle and Crewe during the regulation 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Crewe coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Carlisle
29%
19/10
7%
2/1
11%
Draw
28%
23/1023/10
Crewe
43%
27/20
6%
11/8
8%
Crewe 1-0
13%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Draw 0-0
11%
15/213/2
Carlisle 1-0
10%
7/113/2
7%
Crewe 2-0
9%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Crewe 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Carlisle 2-1
6%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Carlisle 2-0
5%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
Crewe 3-0
4%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Crewe 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Carlisle 3-1
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
Crewe 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Carlisle 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Carlisle 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/5
2%
11/10
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
13/20
1%
13/20
1%
Home 1st Goal
43%
13/10
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/5
6%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
15/2-
BTTS - Yes
45%
10/11
4%
10/11
BTTS - No
55%
4/5
2%
5/6
BTTS - Home Win
11%
11/2
8%
5/1
9%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/219/5
9%
Home/draw
57%
4/7
5%
4/7
5%
Away/draw
71%
2/5
3%
4/11
6%
Home/away
72%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/114/11
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
2/115/8
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/114/5
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/92/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/141/14
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/141/14
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
15/213/2
Home DNB
49%
11/10
10%
11/10
10%
Away DNB
63%
4/6
7%
13/20
8%
Carlisle win to nil
18%
7/2
4%
-
Crewe win to nil
27%
11/4
6%
-
Carlisle / Carlisle
17%
4/1
11%
18/5
6%
Carlisle / Crewe
3%
28/120/1
9%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Carlisle
12%
11/2
8%
11/2
13%
Draw / Crewe
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
Crewe / Carlisle
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Crewe / Crewe
21%
3/1
8%
27/10
8%
Crewe / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Carlisle have conceded 29 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 8 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Crewe lay in 3rd place on 29 points in the League Two league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Crewe have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Crewe have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Carlisle
Crewe
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Port Vale171043834 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
2
Walsall169431331 
Mar 4
l
 
3-1A
May 3
d
 
1-1F
3
Crewe 17863630 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 1
-
-
4
Doncaster17854429 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
5
Notts C17773828 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 28
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
6
MK Dons16835827 
Jan 11
l
 
3-0A
Apr 21
Dec 29
7
AFC Wim168261126 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
Jan 28
Feb 11
8
Chesterfield176741025 
Dec 14
Apr 1
l
 
0-5A
Mar 1
9
Grimsby17818-725 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 8
Apr 1
Dec 14
10
Bradford16655423 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
Dec 7
Apr 5
11
Gillingham16727323 
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
12
Fleetwood15573522 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 25
Mar 4
w
 
0-1F
13
Barrow17647122 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
14
Cheltenham17638-321 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
Apr 12
Dec 26
15
Salford16565-321 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
16
Newport17638-721 
Apr 5
Dec 7
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
17
Harrogate17638-721 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
18
Colchester17395-318 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 20
Apr 18
19
Accrington16466-418 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
20
Bromley16385-217 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
Jan 5
w
 
1-2A
21
Tranmere16457-1017 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 4
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
22
Carlisle 183510-1514 
-
-
Jan 1
d
 
1-1A
23
Swindon17278-813 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 11
24
Morecambe173410-1213 
Dec 26
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Carlisle 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Crewe 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Carlisle since 2007
Carlisle
Crewe
Goals: Scored
11
11
Games: Scored
6 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
4 / 10
CUT
5
D
2
CRE
3
League games at Crewe since 2006
Crewe
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
16
16
Games: Scored
7 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
3 / 10
CUT
4
D
1
CRE
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Carlisle United of late. It has been 9 League Two games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday lunch time against Crewe Alexandra.

Carlisle 22nd Crewe 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Carlisle scoring 1 goal or less
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Crewe will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Carlisle have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Crewe’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
2.1
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281400/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Carlisle
PG (predicted goals)
Crewe
1
1.3
Attack rating
CUT
CRE
29%
better
view stats
Games scored11
13
Failed to score6
3
Scored first5
8
Goals scored14
20
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for10
18
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
CUT
CRE
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
9
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first10
7
Goals conceded29
14
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against21%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+33%

Carlisle v Crewe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14235
S LavelleS LavelleC HarperB Barclay
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Breeze GLK4
-
B Barclay DEF1311
5
-
S Lavelle DEF1621
3
-
A Hayden DEF91
2
-
T Burey MID7
1
-
C Guy MID8
1
-
C Harper MID143
2
-
B Williams MID8
-
D Sadi MID1621
3
-
K Harris MID4
1
-
D Adu-Adjei FWD821
1
-
Subs
H Lewis GLK14
-
J Ellis DEF7
1
-
J Vela MID15
4
-
H Neal MID151
5
-
D McGeouch MID51
1
-
G Kelly FWD5
1
-
J Jones FWD7
4
-
Crewe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17534
F MarschallS TraceyJ LankesterJ Tabiner
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Marschall GLK17
2
-
J Connolly DEF13
1
-
M Demetriou DEF161
2
-
Z Williams DEF1712
2
-
L Billington MID7
1
-
M Holicek MID151
2
-
M Sanders MID16
3
-
J Tabiner MID1612
4
-
M Conway MID1711
1
-
J Lankester FWD1233
4
-
S Tracey FWD175
4
-
Subs
T Booth GLK
-
J. Knight-Lebel DEF13
3
-
O Lunt MID8
-
J Powell MID1
-
C Finney MID2
-
K Breckin MID12
2
-
A. Thibaut FWD911
2
-