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Carlisle United v Port Vale : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Brunton Park, Carlisle

Carlisle United are in League Two action on Friday afternoon, as Mark Warburton looks to get one over on Darren Moore and his Port Vale side at the Brunton Park. We've analysed both teams' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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Carlisle United's next match is v Accrington at 15:00 on Monday 21st April
Port Vale's next match is v Grimsby at 15:00 on Monday 21st April
The last English League Two meeting between Carlisle and Port Vale was on Friday 18th April 2025
English League Two
April 18th 2025
Carlisle 3
2 Port Vale
 
G. Kelly 36'61' J. Stockley
M. Dennis 43'70' S. Hart
A. Hayden 49'
 
CUT
PTV
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
4
5
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
14
10
Yellow/red cards
5/1
1/0
 
CarlislePort Vale
 
G. Breeze
C. Harper
J. Ellis
T. Thomas
A. Haydenfootball icon
S. Wearne (J. Vela 90')
C. Whelan
S. Fusire (C. Guy 84')
G. Kellyfootball icon
M. Dennisfootball icon (J. Hugill 85')
K. Harris
B. Amos
M. Clark
J. Debrah
(R. Richards 87') C. Hall
N. Smith
(R. Curtis 77') B. Garrity
(S. Hart 46') J. Shorrock
(G. Byers 46') R. Walters
R. Croasdale
football iconJ. Stockley
L. Tolaj

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Carlisle and Port Vale will score at least two between them during 90 mins. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 77%. The bookies have it available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Port Vale coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Carlisle
33%
3/1
21%
-
Draw
25%
12/5-
Port Vale
42%
9/10
10%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Port Vale 1-0
9%
6/1
7%
-
Port Vale 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Carlisle 1-0
8%
10/1
10%
-
Carlisle 2-1
8%
12/1
8%
-
Port Vale 2-0
7%
8/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
17/2
5%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Carlisle 2-0
5%
20/1
24%
-
Port Vale 3-1
4%
14/1
12%
-
Port Vale 3-0
3%
16/1
11%
-
Carlisle 3-1
3%
33/1
31%
-
Port Vale 3-2
3%
25/1-
Carlisle 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Carlisle 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1/1
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
4/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
13/8
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/7
6%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
5/6
2%
-
BTTS - No
44%
5/6
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/1
23%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
3/1
8%
-
Home/draw
58%
10/11
12%
-
Away/draw
67%
2/9
8%
-
Home/away
75%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
3/10
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
12/5
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
5/2
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/7
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
16/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1-
Home DNB
50%
7/4
16%
-
Away DNB
60%
2/5
9%
-
Carlisle win to nil
16%
6/1
17%
-
Port Vale win to nil
21%
9/4
13%
-
Carlisle / Carlisle
13%
11/2
18%
-
Carlisle / Port Vale
4%
22/1-
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Carlisle
10%
15/2
13%
-
Draw / Port Vale
17%
15/4
5%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Port Vale / Carlisle
2%
33/1
17%
-
Port Vale / Port Vale
26%
21/10
11%
-
Port Vale / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 42 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

40 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 10 and won 8. Carlisle have conceded 62 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 21 games at home, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 31 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Port Vale lay in 1st place on 76 points in the League Two league table having played 42 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 42 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 13 and losing 8 games. They have scored 59 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Port Vale have conceded 40 goals and have failed to score in 10 matches.

Away league performance

Port Vale have played 21 away games, winning 9, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Carlisle
Port Vale
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Port Vale Away43211391876 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
2
Doncaster432112101875 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
3
Bradford432111111974 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
4
Walsall432013102173 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
5
AFC Wim431913112370 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-2F
Apr 26
6
Notts C431912121969 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
7
Colchester43161891166 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
8
Grimsby4320617-566 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 21
l
 
3-0A
9
Chesterfield431712141563 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
10
Salford43161413562 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
11
Crewe43151711562 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
12
Swindon43151513960 
l
 
1-5A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
13
Bromley43151414159 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Fleetwood43141514157 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
15
Barrow43151117256 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
16
Cheltenham43141217-954 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
17
Gillingham43121516-751 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1A
May 3
l
 
1-0A
18
Newport4313921-1948 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-4F
19
MK Dons4313822-1547 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Harrogate43121120-1947 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
21
Accrington43111319-1646 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
22
Tranmere43101419-2544 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
23
Carlisle Home43101023-2640 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-2A
24
Morecambe4310627-2636 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Carlisle 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle3 - 2Newport
Carlisle2 - 2MK Dons
Carlisle2 - 1Bromley
Carlisle1 - 2AFC Wim
Carlisle1 - 1Walsall
Carlisle0 - 0Gillingham
Carlisle0 - 0Colchester
Carlisle1 - 5Swindon
Carlisle0 - 1Bradford
Carlisle2 - 1Accrington
Carlisle0 - 1Morecambe
Carlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Carlisle0 - 0Doncaster
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Carlisle1 - 1Harrogate
Carlisle0 - 2Notts C
Carlisle2 - 3Grimsby
Carlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
Carlisle1 - 2Tranmere
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACarlisle2 - 0Morecambe
HCarlisle3 - 2Newport
ACarlisle1 - 2Chesterfield
ACarlisle0 - 3Doncaster
HCarlisle2 - 2MK Dons
HCarlisle2 - 1Bromley
HCarlisle1 - 2AFC Wim
ACarlisle0 - 1Harrogate
HCarlisle1 - 1Walsall
ACarlisle1 - 0Barrow
HCarlisle0 - 0Gillingham
HCarlisle0 - 0Colchester
ACarlisle0 - 1Newport
ACarlisle1 - 2Grimsby
HCarlisle1 - 5Swindon
ACarlisle0 - 1Notts C
ACarlisle2 - 1Fleetwood
HCarlisle0 - 1Bradford
ACarlisle0 - 1Tranmere
ACarlisle2 - 3Crewe
Port Vale 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Walsall2 - 3Port Vale
Crewe0 - 1Port Vale
Colchester2 - 1Port Vale
Fleetwood1 - 1Port Vale
Tranmere1 - 1Port Vale
Swindon3 - 3Port Vale
Chesterfield1 - 1Port Vale
Doncaster1 - 2Port Vale
Grimsby3 - 0Port Vale
Bradford2 - 1Port Vale
Bromley0 - 0Port Vale
Cheltenham1 - 1Port Vale
Morecambe0 - 1Port Vale
Gillingham1 - 0Port Vale
Harrogate0 - 1Port Vale
MK Dons0 - 1Port Vale
Notts C0 - 1Port Vale
Accrington2 - 2Port Vale
Newport1 - 4Port Vale
Barrow4 - 0Port Vale
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPort Vale5 - 0Bromley
APort Vale3 - 2Walsall
HPort Vale2 - 0Bradford
APort Vale1 - 0Crewe
HPort Vale0 - 1Barrow
HPort Vale1 - 0Morecambe
HPort Vale3 - 0MK Dons
APort Vale1 - 2Colchester
APort Vale1 - 1Fleetwood
HPort Vale0 - 0Harrogate
APort Vale1 - 1Tranmere
HPort Vale2 - 1Salford
HPort Vale1 - 0Notts C
APort Vale3 - 3Swindon
HPort Vale2 - 1Accrington
APort Vale1 - 1Chesterfield
HPort Vale3 - 2Newport
APort Vale2 - 1Doncaster
HPort Vale0 - 0Cheltenham
APort Vale0 - 3Grimsby
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Carlisle since 2006
Carlisle
Port Vale
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
CUT
4
D
1
PTV
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle2 - 1
1 - 3Port Vale
Draw0 - 0Draw
Carlisle2 - 1
1 - 2Port Vale
0 - 1Port Vale
Carlisle3 - 2
Carlisle3 - 2
League games at Port Vale since 2007
Port Vale
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
5 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
5 / 10
CUT
4
D
3
PTV
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
Draw0 - 0Draw
Port Vale1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Carlisle
Port Vale2 - 1
0 - 1Carlisle
1 - 2Carlisle
Port Vale2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Carlisle
Goal Statistics
Carlisle 23rd Port Vale 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Port Vale will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Carlisle have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-2
Port Vale’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281700/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Carlisle
PG (predicted goals)
Port Vale
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
CUT
PTV
32%
better
view stats
Games scored25
32
Failed to score17
10
Scored first13
23
Goals scored36
59
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal10
6
Conversion rate for10
17
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
CUT
PTV
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded32
25
Clean sheets10
17
Conceded first24
14
Goals conceded63
40
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+30%

Carlisle v Port Vale League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27338
G BreezeK HarrisC HarperJ Vela
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Breeze GLK27
5
-
J Ellis DEF161
4
-
A Hayden DEF1921
7
-
T Thomas DEF27
3
-
C Harper DEF313
7
-
S Fusire MID9
1
-
C Whelan MID181
2
-
K Harris MID2532
2
-
S Wearne MID1312
-
G Kelly FWD132
2
-
M Dennis FWD1031
2
-
Subs
H Lewis GLK14
-
C McArthur DEF10
4
-
B Barclay DEF2011
5
-
C Guy MID17
1
-
J Vela MID25
8
-
J Hugill FWD122
3
-
J. Bevan FWD12
2
-
Port Vale League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
391179
C HallL TolajL TolajR Croasdale
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Amos GLK18
1
-
J Debrah DEF301
5
-
N Smith DEF191
2
-
C Hall DEF39
5
-
R. Walters MID8
-
M Clark MID151
2
1
B Garrity MID2752
3
-
R Croasdale MID4034
9
-
J Shorrock MID1312
3
-
L Tolaj FWD32117
6
-
J Stockley FWD3297
5
-
Subs
N Broome GLK
-
S Hart DEF19
3
-
G Byers MID181
2
-
R Curtis MID3755
4
1
J Lowe MID11
1
-
R Richards MID2333
1
-
J. Umolu FWD8
-