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Cheltenham Town v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Mar, 15:00 BST, Jonny-Rocks Stadium, Cheltenham

Scott Parker takes his MK Dons side to the Jonny-Rocks Stadium in the League Two on Saturday afternoon, with Michael John Flynn's Cheltenham Town waiting for them. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this League Two showdown should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cheltenham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cheltenham
53%
2.20
8%
2.40
1%
Draw
22%
3.403.40
3%
MK Dons
25%
3.10
11%
2.90
1%
Draw 1-1
10%
6.506.00
8%
Cheltenham 2-1
10%
9.00
5%
8.50
Cheltenham 1-0
8%
8.00
6%
7.50
Cheltenham 2-0
8%
11.00
8%
10.00
MK Dons 2-1
6%
11.009.50
Cheltenham 3-1
6%
17.00
11%
15.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
MK Dons 1-0
5%
10.00
5%
8.00
Cheltenham 3-0
5%
21.00
9%
17.00
Draw 0-0
4%
10.00
9%
8.50
6%
Cheltenham 3-2
4%
26.0021.00
MK Dons 2-0
3%
17.00
13%
12.00
Cheltenham 4-1
3%
41.0029.00
MK Dons 3-1
3%
26.00
24%
17.00
MK Dons 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.901.91
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
1.901.80
2%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.73
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.30
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10.00
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.731.75
BTTS - No
40%
2.001.95
BTTS - Home Win
28%
4.50
5%
4.50
2%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
4%
4.33
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
Home/draw
75%
1.36
3%
1.40
Away/draw
47%
1.67
9%
1.55
1%
Home/away
78%
1.301.30
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.291.30
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
3.503.25
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
3.253.25
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.331.30
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
6.506.00
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.111.10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
15.00
15%
12.00
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.03
1%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.051.06
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
11.008.50
6%
Home DNB
69%
1.57
9%
1.70
Away DNB
40%
2.25
13%
2.05
Cheltenham win to nil
25%
3.75
13%
-
MK Dons win to nil
11%
5.50
10%
-
Cheltenham / Cheltenham
22%
3.60
10%
3.75
1%
Cheltenham / MK Dons
3%
29.0023.00
Cheltenham / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Cheltenham
14%
5.50
8%
5.50
Draw / MK Dons
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
9%
4.60
8%
MK Dons / Cheltenham
4%
23.00
12%
21.00
MK Dons / MK Dons
17%
5.00
5%
4.60
2%
MK Dons / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Cheltenham have played 37 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 3 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Cheltenham have outscored their opponents by 51 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Cheltenham have played 19 games at home winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

MK Dons are in 18th position in the League Two on 42 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 35 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 23 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 4 and won 6. MK Dons have conceded 43 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cheltenham
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall3720982469 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2F
2
Bradford3719991766 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
3
AFC Wim37189102363 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
4
Doncaster37189101063 
Apr 5
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Notts C371710101761 
l
 
3-5F
Apr 21
l
 
0-2A
Apr 2
6
Port Vale36161371061 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
Colchester37141671258 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
8
Crewe3714158757 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 21
9
Grimsby3717515-356 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2A
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
10
Salford37141112353 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
11
Bromley37131311352 
d
 
1-1F
May 3
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
12
Chesterfield36149131451 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
13
Cheltenham Home37131113-350 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
Mar 22
14
Fleetwood37121312349 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
Mar 29
l
 
2-1A
15
Swindon37111412047 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
3-3F
w
 
3-1A
May 3
16
Newport3713717-1346 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 18
l
 
6-3A
17
Barrow3612816-344 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1F
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
18
MK Dons Away3612618-742 
Mar 22
l
 
3-2F
-
-
19
Gillingham3611916-842 
Apr 18
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
20
Accrington37101017-1040 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
21
Harrogate3711719-1940 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-5F
22
Tranmere3781217-2736 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 28
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
23
Morecambe378623-2330 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 1
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
24
Carlisle366921-2727 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 25
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
MK Dons have lost 3 consecutive away league games
8
MK Dons have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
3
MK Dons have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Cheltenham 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cheltenham0 - 1Colchester
Cheltenham1 - 1Grimsby
Cheltenham2 - 2Walsall
Cheltenham3 - 2Barrow
Cheltenham1 - 0Chesterfield
Cheltenham2 - 1Salford
Cheltenham3 - 5Notts C
Cheltenham2 - 1Crewe
Cheltenham2 - 0Morecambe
Cheltenham1 - 1Port Vale
Cheltenham1 - 0Tranmere
Cheltenham1 - 1Bromley
Cheltenham1 - 1Bradford
Cheltenham2 - 3Swindon
Cheltenham2 - 1Accrington
Cheltenham0 - 2Fleetwood
Cheltenham1 - 0Harrogate
Cheltenham0 - 1AFC Wim
Cheltenham3 - 2Newport
Cheltenham2 - 0Peterborough
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACheltenham3 - 3Swindon
ACheltenham2 - 1AFC Wim
HCheltenham0 - 1Colchester
ACheltenham0 - 3Bradford
HCheltenham1 - 1Grimsby
HCheltenham2 - 2Walsall
ACheltenham3 - 0Newport
HCheltenham3 - 2Barrow
ACheltenham0 - 2Fleetwood
HCheltenham1 - 0Chesterfield
ACheltenham0 - 0Accrington
HCheltenham2 - 1Salford
ACheltenham0 - 2Harrogate
ACheltenham0 - 0Port Vale
HCheltenham3 - 5Notts C
HCheltenham2 - 1Crewe
ACheltenham2 - 2Gillingham
HCheltenham2 - 0Morecambe
ACheltenham2 - 2Doncaster
HCheltenham1 - 1Port Vale
MK Dons 18TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
2
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale3 - 0MK Dons
Accrington2 - 0MK Dons
Bradford2 - 0MK Dons
Tranmere1 - 1MK Dons
Barrow2 - 1MK Dons
Doncaster2 - 1MK Dons
Fleetwood2 - 1MK Dons
Walsall4 - 2MK Dons
Chesterfield1 - 2MK Dons
Newport6 - 3MK Dons
Grimsby1 - 3MK Dons
Morecambe1 - 3MK Dons
Harrogate1 - 5MK Dons
Bromley1 - 1MK Dons
AFC Wim3 - 0MK Dons
Salford1 - 0MK Dons
Colchester2 - 0MK Dons
Crawley3 - 0MK Dons
Harrogate3 - 5MK Dons
Forest Green0 - 2MK Dons
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMK Dons0 - 3Port Vale
HMK Dons2 - 1Morecambe
AMK Dons0 - 2Accrington
HMK Dons0 - 1Colchester
AMK Dons0 - 2Bradford
AMK Dons1 - 1Tranmere
AMK Dons1 - 2Barrow
HMK Dons0 - 1Bromley
AMK Dons1 - 2Doncaster
HMK Dons2 - 1Harrogate
HMK Dons0 - 0AFC Wim
AMK Dons1 - 2Fleetwood
AMK Dons2 - 4Walsall
HMK Dons0 - 1Salford
AMK Dons2 - 1Chesterfield
HMK Dons1 - 1Crewe
HMK Dons0 - 2Notts C
AMK Dons3 - 6Newport
HMK Dons0 - 1Gillingham
HMK Dons3 - 0Chesterfield
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
MK Dons have not lost to Cheltenham in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cheltenham since 2009
Cheltenham
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
CHT
1
D
2
MKD
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cheltenham
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cheltenham3 - 1
3 - 5MK Dons
League games at MK Dons since 2008
MK Dons
Cheltenham
Goals: Scored
14
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
D
1
MKD
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
MK Dons3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
MK Dons3 - 1
MK Dons3 - 0
MK Dons3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Cheltenham Town's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because MK Dons have conceded in each of their last 10 League Two outings. A PG of 1.9 for Michael John Flynn's side suggests that run should continue.

Cheltenham 13th MK Dons 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Cheltenham will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Cheltenham have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+4
MK Dons’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281640/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cheltenham
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
14%
better
CHT
MKD
view stats
Games scored29
23
Failed to score8
13
Scored first19
15
Goals scored51
46
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
12%
better
CHT
MKD
view stats
Games conceded29
32
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first16
20
Goals conceded54
53
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+12%

Cheltenham v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Cheltenham League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33766
E ArcherG MillerE ArcherS Bennett
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Archer MID3766
1
-
L Young  MID3442
2
-
T Bradbury DEF3213
2
1
S Stubbs DEF3212
5
-
J. Thomas FWD3153
3
-
G Miller FWD3171
1
-
L Kinsella MID291
3
-
M Taylor FWD295
3
-
J Day GLK261
3
-
A. Jude-Boyd DEF2531
4
-
I Bakare DEF231
4
-
S Bennett MID23
6
-
L. Dulson FWD2111
1
-
R Bowman FWD1831
2
-
A. Hay FWD1321
-
E. Williams FWD1222
-
V Adedokun DEF111
1
-
D Power DEF10
-
T Dieng MID81
2
-
R Haynes DEF6
2
-
T Backwell MID51
-
MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361088
A GilbeyA GilbeyA NemaneA Gilbey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gilbey MID36101
8
-
L Offord DEF323
8
-
A Nemane MID328
7
-
J Tomlinson MID3042
3
-
L Kelly MID2913
1
-
J White MID2761
8
-
S Hogan FWD2661
2
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID242
5
-
C Hendry FWD2332
5
1
N Lawrence DEF22
2
-
L Maguire  DEF2011
4
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID152
1
-
D Crowley MID133
2
-
S Sherring DEF10
4
-
J Williams MID101
4
-
T O'Reilly MID91
2
-
C Trueman GLK8
1
-
D Orsi FWD82
1
-
C. Waller DEF7
1
-
T Patterson DEF6
3
-
D Lewington DEF4
1
-
C MacGillivray GLK3
-
J Sanders DEF3
1
-
N Thompson DEF2
1
-