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Cheltenham Town v Swindon Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Oct, 15:00 BST, Jonny-Rocks Stadium, Cheltenham

Michael John Flynn's Cheltenham Town side enjoy home advantage in the League Two on Saturday afternoon, as Mark Kennedy's Swindon Town travel to the Jonny-Rocks Stadium. We've analysed both sides' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's fairly unlikely that this game will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Cheltenham and Swindon have rarely served up thrillers of late, whether that be in League Two individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.30.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cheltenham 37%	2.55 6%	2.60 1%
Draw 28%	3.25 4%	3.40
Swindon 34%	2.62 5%	2.62 1%
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00 8%	6.00
Cheltenham 1-0 12%	9.00	8.00
Swindon 1-0 11%	9.00 6%	8.00
Draw 0-0 10%	10.00 9%	9.00
Cheltenham 2-1 8%	10.00	9.00
Swindon 2-1 7%	10.00	9.00
Cheltenham 2-0 7%	13.00	11.00 8%
Swindon 2-0 6%	13.00	12.00 9%
Draw 2-2 4%	13.00	11.00
Cheltenham 3-1 3%	21.00	15.00 12%
Cheltenham 3-0 3%	26.00 10%	19.00
Swindon 3-1 3%	21.00	17.00 13%
Swindon 3-0 2%	26.00 13%	19.00
Cheltenham 3-2 2%	29.00	21.00
Swindon 3-2 2%	29.00	21.00
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	1.85 5%	1.85
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	1.95 5%	1.85
Home 1st Goal 47%	1.83 13%	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	2.10 15%	-
No 1st Goal 7%	10.00 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	1.73	1.70
BTTS - No 54%	2.00	2.05
BTTS - Home Win 15%	5.00 9%	4.60
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33 4%	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 14%	5.50 10%	4.60
Home/draw 66%	1.44 4%	1.48
Away/draw 63%	1.50 4%	1.48
Home/away 72%	1.33 2%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	1.25 3%	1.29
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	3.75 7%	3.40
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	3.25 4%	3.10
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	1.33 2%	1.33
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	6.00 8%	5.75
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.12 1%	1.12
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	13.00 13%	11.00
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.04 1%	1.03
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1.05	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	11.00	9.00
Home DNB 57%	1.83 4%	1.83 1%
Away DNB 54%	1.83 2%	1.85 1%
Cheltenham win to nil 23%	4.50	-
Swindon win to nil 21%	5.00 15%	-
Cheltenham / Cheltenham 19%	4.33 4%	4.00 5%
Cheltenham / Swindon 3%	26.00	21.00
Cheltenham / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	12.00
Draw / Cheltenham 13%	6.00 8%	5.75 4%
Draw / Swindon 13%	6.00	5.75
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00	4.80
Swindon / Cheltenham 3%	26.00 10%	21.00
Swindon / Swindon 19%	4.33 8%	4.20 5%
Swindon / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win League Two table

Cheltenham have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 20th place in the League Two league table. Cheltenham have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Cheltenham have outscored their opponents by 12 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Cheltenham have played 5 games at home winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 6 goals at home.

Swindon are in 21st position in the League Two on 8 points having played 10 matches so far this season. Swindon are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 5 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Swindon have conceded 11 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Cheltenham

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Swindon

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Jan 4	l 2-1A	Walsall	10	6	1	3	7	19	l 0-4A	Mar 1
Apr 18	Dec 20	Gillingham	10	6	1	3	7	19	Oct 26	Apr 26
Feb 15	l 2-1F	Barrow	10	6	1	3	6	19	Jan 18	d 1-1A
Apr 5	Dec 7	Doncaster	10	6	1	3	3	19	Oct 19	Mar 8
Dec 29	Apr 21	Notts C	10	5	3	2	8	18	l 1-2F	Jan 4
Dec 3	Jan 1	Port Vale	10	5	3	2	3	18	Feb 8	l 2-1A
l 0-2A	Feb 8	Fleetwood	9	4	4	1	7	16	Dec 7	Apr 5
Dec 26	Apr 12	Crewe	9	5	1	3	1	16	Jan 11	d 0-00-0
Oct 22	Mar 4	Bradford	10	4	3	3	3	15	Apr 12	Dec 14
w 3-2F	Feb 22	Newport	10	5	0	5	-4	15	w 4-0F	Jan 24
Mar 1	l 3-2A	Grimsby	10	5	0	5	-4	15	Dec 21	Apr 18
Feb 1	d 1-1A	Chesterfield	10	3	5	2	7	14	Feb 22	d 1-1A
l 0-1A	Jan 11	AFC Wim	7	4	1	2	4	13	Apr 1	Dec 26
Mar 22	Nov 16	MK Dons	10	3	3	4	1	12	May 3	Nov 9
Jan 25	l 2-1F	Salford	9	3	3	3	-3	12	Mar 4	Oct 22
Mar 8	Oct 19	Colchester	10	2	5	3	-2	11	Jan 1	Dec 3
Nov 22	Mar 28	Tranmere	9	2	5	2	-4	11	Jan 28	d 1-1A
w 1-0F	Jan 17	Harrogate	10	3	2	5	-7	11	d 0-00-0	Feb 15
Nov 9	May 3	Bromley	10	2	4	4	-2	10	Apr 21	Dec 29
-	-	Cheltenham Home	10	3	1	6	-4	10	Mar 15	Oct 12
Oct 12	Mar 15	Swindon Away	10	1	5	4	-4	8	-	-
Apr 26	Oct 26	Carlisle	10	2	1	7	-9	7	l 0-2A	Feb 1
w 2-1A	Jan 28	Accrington	9	1	3	5	-8	6	Mar 22	Nov 16
Dec 14	Apr 1	Morecambe	10	0	4	6	-6	4	Nov 23	Mar 29

Win / draw / win form

Swindon have not won in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cheltenham	2 - 1	Accrington
Cheltenham	0 - 2	Fleetwood
Cheltenham	1 - 0	Harrogate
Cheltenham	0 - 1	AFC Wim
Cheltenham	3 - 2	Newport
Cheltenham	2 - 0	Peterborough
Cheltenham	1 - 2	Lincoln
Cheltenham	1 - 3	Bristol R
Cheltenham	0 - 1	Carlisle
Cheltenham	1 - 2	Exeter
Cheltenham	1 - 3	Charlton
Cheltenham	0 - 0	Burton
Cheltenham	3 - 2	Port Vale
Cheltenham	2 - 0	Blackpool
Cheltenham	1 - 3	Wycombe
Cheltenham	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Cheltenham	2 - 2	Reading
Cheltenham	2 - 0	Shrewsbury
Cheltenham	1 - 2	L Orient
Cheltenham	2 - 0	Oxford Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cheltenham	1 - 2	Barrow
H	Cheltenham	2 - 1	Accrington
H	Cheltenham	0 - 2	Fleetwood
A	Cheltenham	1 - 1	Chesterfield
A	Cheltenham	1 - 2	Salford
H	Cheltenham	1 - 0	Harrogate
A	Cheltenham	1 - 2	Walsall
H	Cheltenham	0 - 1	AFC Wim
A	Cheltenham	2 - 3	Grimsby
H	Cheltenham	3 - 2	Newport
A	Cheltenham	1 - 2	Stevenage
H	Cheltenham	2 - 0	Peterborough
H	Cheltenham	1 - 2	Lincoln
A	Cheltenham	2 - 1	Burton
H	Cheltenham	1 - 3	Bristol R
H	Cheltenham	0 - 1	Carlisle
A	Cheltenham	1 - 3	L Orient
H	Cheltenham	1 - 2	Exeter
A	Cheltenham	2 - 1	Fleetwood
A	Cheltenham	0 - 0	Barnsley

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tranmere	1 - 1	Swindon
Port Vale	2 - 1	Swindon
Barrow	1 - 1	Swindon
Crewe	0 - 0	Swindon
Chesterfield	1 - 1	Swindon
Grimsby	2 - 0	Swindon
Walsall	2 - 1	Swindon
Barrow	0 - 2	Swindon
Sutton	3 - 1	Swindon
Mansfield	3 - 2	Swindon
Stockport	0 - 0	Swindon
Gillingham	2 - 2	Swindon
Newport	2 - 1	Swindon
Crewe	2 - 1	Swindon
Crawley	3 - 1	Swindon
Tranmere	2 - 1	Swindon
AFC Wim	4 - 0	Swindon
Accrington	3 - 4	Swindon
Harrogate	1 - 1	Swindon
Colchester	3 - 1	Swindon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Swindon	0 - 0	Harrogate
A	Swindon	1 - 1	Tranmere
A	Swindon	1 - 2	Port Vale
H	Swindon	0 - 2	Carlisle
H	Swindon	4 - 0	Newport
A	Swindon	1 - 1	Barrow
H	Swindon	1 - 2	Notts C
A	Swindon	0 - 0	Crewe
H	Swindon	0 - 4	Walsall
A	Swindon	1 - 1	Chesterfield
H	Swindon	3 - 3	Morecambe
A	Swindon	0 - 2	Grimsby
A	Swindon	1 - 2	Walsall
H	Swindon	3 - 2	AFC Wim
A	Swindon	2 - 0	Barrow
A	Swindon	1 - 3	Sutton
H	Swindon	2 - 1	Notts C
H	Swindon	1 - 2	Doncaster
H	Swindon	1 - 2	Accrington
A	Swindon	2 - 3	Mansfield

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Cheltenham have not lost to Swindon in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Cheltenham

Swindon

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

0 / 6

CHT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cheltenham
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Cheltenham	3 - 2
Cheltenham	2 - 1
Cheltenham	1 - 0
Cheltenham	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Swindon

Cheltenham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

2 / 5

CHT

SWI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swindon
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Cheltenham
Swindon	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Swindon	3 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Cheltenham 20th	Swindon 21st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Cheltenham will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Swindon will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Cheltenham’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-17 Swindon have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season

29%

better

CHT

SWI

view stats

Games scored	8		6
Failed to score	2		4
Scored first	4		2
Goals scored	12		9
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	18		11
Avg. XG for	0.7		1
KickOff rating		+29%

CHT

SWI

14%

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		7
Clean sheets	1		3
Conceded first	6		6
Goals conceded	16		13
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	17%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1
KickOff rating		+14%

Cheltenham v Swindon League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Cheltenham League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	2	2	3
O Evans	J Colwill	E Archer	S Bennett

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Evans GLK	10			-
E Archer MID	10	1	2	-
J Colwill MID	9	2	2	1 -
L Young MID	9	1	2	-
S Bennett MID	9			3 -
T Pett MID	9			1 -
L. Dulson FWD	9	1	1	-
R Bowman FWD	9	2	1	1 -
S Stubbs DEF	8			2 -
M Taylor FWD	7	1		2 -
L. Shipley DEF	6			1 -
T Bradbury DEF	6	1		1 -
R Haynes DEF	6			2 -
I Bakare DEF	5			1 -
L Payne DEF	5			2 -
A. Jude-Boyd DEF	5	1	1	1 -
G Miller FWD	5	1		-
J. Thomas FWD	5			-
L Laing DEF	4			-
H Sohna MID	4			-
M. Norkett FWD	4	1		-
L Kinsella MID	3		1	-
F Willcox MID	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	2	7
J Colwill	L Young	E Archer	L Young

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Colwill MID	2	3	2	4
R Bowman FWD	2	4	1	1
T Bradbury DEF	1	2
A. Jude-Boyd DEF	1	2	1	2
L Young MID	1	5	2	7
M. Norkett FWD	1	2
L. Dulson FWD	1	1	1	1
M Taylor FWD	1	3		2
E Archer MID	1	2	2	4
G Miller FWD	1	1		1
L Kinsella MID			1	2
H Sohna MID		1
J. Thomas FWD		1
L Payne DEF				1
I Bakare DEF		1		1
L. Shipley DEF		1		1
S Stubbs DEF				1
T Pett MID		3		1
S Bennett MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
309	22	61
O Evans	S Bennett	S Stubbs

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O Evans GLK	309	1	5
S Stubbs DEF	308	14	61
L Young MID	297	12	36
S Bennett MID	276	22	57
J Colwill MID	255	18	54
T Bradbury DEF	214	9	26
T Pett MID	181	12	26
E Archer MID	172	18	39
L. Shipley DEF	134	16	29
R Haynes DEF	125	4	15
I Bakare DEF	121	10	31
L Payne DEF	110	4	17
A. Jude-Boyd DEF	99	8	31
R Bowman FWD	91		38
H Sohna MID	89	6	8
M Taylor FWD	82	3	25
L Laing DEF	78	3	18
L Kinsella MID	55	6	17
L. Dulson FWD	45	2	10
J. Thomas FWD	27	2	6
M. Norkett FWD	16	2	9
G Miller FWD	13	1	3
F Willcox MID	11	2	5

Swindon League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	2	1	3
M Freckleton	W Wright	M Freckleton	J Cotterill

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Freckleton DEF	10		1	-
T Sobowale DEF	10			-
W Wright DEF	10	2	1	2 -
A Drinan FWD	10			-
P Glatzel FWD	10	1		-
J Cotterill MID	9	1		3 -
J Bycroft GLK	8			-
J King DEF	8			2 -
J Cain MID	7			1 -
N Ofoborh MID	7			-
G Kilkenny MID	7	1		2 -
K Tshimanga FWD	7	1		-
D Butterworth FWD	7	1		-
G Cox DEF	6		1	-
G Hall DEF	5			-
O Clarke MID	5			2 -
H Smith FWD	5			2 1
R Longelo DEF	4			1 -
S. McGurk FWD	4			-
H Minturn DEF	3			-
J. McGregor MID	3			-
D Barden GLK	2			-
D. Mitchell MID	2			-
R Delaney DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	1	8
W Wright	W Wright	M Freckleton	G Cox

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W Wright DEF	2	4	1	1
D Butterworth FWD	1	3		2
P Glatzel FWD	1	4		2
J Cotterill MID	1	4		3
G Kilkenny MID	1	1		5
K Tshimanga FWD	1	2		3
O Clarke MID		2
J. McGregor MID				1
H Minturn DEF		1
S. McGurk FWD				1
R Longelo DEF				1
H Smith FWD		2
M Freckleton DEF			1	3
G Cox DEF		2	1	8
T Sobowale DEF				2
N Ofoborh MID				1
J Cain MID		1
J King DEF		2		1
A Drinan FWD		3		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
552	15	49
M Freckleton	G Kilkenny	W Wright

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Freckleton DEF	552	9	44
W Wright DEF	543	8	49
G Kilkenny MID	310	15	31
T Sobowale DEF	298	12	39
J Bycroft GLK	225		1
J Cotterill MID	216	7	19
J King DEF	196	11	27
D Butterworth FWD	128	3	8
G Cox DEF	120	13	30
G Hall DEF	94	1	5
D Barden GLK	81	1	1
A Drinan FWD	75	6	25
H Minturn DEF	75	2	11
H Smith FWD	75	1	35
N Ofoborh MID	72	10	19
R Delaney DEF	65
P Glatzel FWD	61	2	23
K Tshimanga FWD	50	2	13
O Clarke MID	49	6	14
J. McGregor MID	48	6	15
J Cain MID	45	3	6
R Longelo DEF	44	4	12
S. McGurk FWD	26	2	2
D. Mitchell MID	3

English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds

Chesterfield v Notts C

Gillingham v Accrington

Newport v Chesterfield

Colchester v Cheltenham

Bradford v Gillingham

Sat 19th Oct, 15:00

Crewe v Salford

Sat 19th Oct, 15:00

Port Vale v Fleetwood

Cheltenham v Bradford

Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45

Walsall v Carlisle

Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45

Chesterfield v Colchester

Harrogate v Port Vale

Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45

Cheltenham Town v Swindon Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Cheltenham have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 20th place in the League Two league table. Cheltenham have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Swindon are in 21st position in the League Two on 8 points having played 10 matches so far this season. Swindon are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 1 of those game.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Cheltenham v Swindon League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

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