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Colchester United v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester

The League Two is the focus for both Colchester United and Carlisle United on Saturday afternoon, as bosses Danny Cowley and Paul Simpson go head to head at the JobServe Community Stadium. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

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Colchester United's next match is v Fleetwood at 15:00 on Saturday 12th October
Carlisle United's next match is v AFC Wim at 15:00 on Saturday 12th October
The last English League Two meeting between Colchester and Carlisle was on Saturday 5th October 2024
English League Two
October 5th 2024
Colchester 0
0 Carlisle
 
COU
CUT
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
7
6
Corners
5
7
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
14
18
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
ColchesterCarlisle
 
M. Macey
M. Egbo (F. Kelleher 46')
T. Flanagan
R. Hunt
E. Iandolo
A. Woodyard (J. McDonnell 77')
J. Payne
A. Read
T. Hopper (J. Gordon 46')
S. Tovide
L. Taylor
H. Lewis
C. Harper
T. Thomas
S. Lavelle
(B. Barclay 72') J. Mellish
(J. Robinson 65') A. Davies
H. Neal
J. Vela
H. Biggins
C. Wyke
(D. Sadi 65') L. Armstrong
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Colchester and Carlisle will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Colchester
59%
21/20
7%
21/20
9%
Draw
23%
12/5
6%
12/5
6%
Carlisle
18%
12/5
13%
5/2
17%
Colchester 1-0
13%
13/2
17%
6/1
18%
Colchester 2-0
11%
9/1
17%
8/1
10%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Colchester 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
23%
15/2
15%
Colchester 3-0
7%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Carlisle 1-0
6%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Colchester 3-1
6%
16/112/1
Carlisle 2-1
5%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Colchester 4-0
3%
40/125/1
Carlisle 2-0
3%
16/114/1
15%
Colchester 4-1
3%
33/122/1
Colchester 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Carlisle 3-1
1%
28/1
26%
20/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
19/20
11%
10/11
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
17/20
10%
4/5
12%
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/5
7%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/5
11%
4/5
11%
BTTS - No
52%
10/11
13%
19/20
11%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
10/3
8%
3/1
3%
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
6/1
27%
5/1
20%
Home/draw
82%
3/10
4%
2/7
5%
Away/draw
41%
8/11
4%
8/11
7%
Home/away
77%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/7
6%
3/10
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/2
13%
9/4
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12/5
24%
9/4
18%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/10
7%
3/10
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6/1
27%
5/1
25%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/10
4%
1/10
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
36%
11/1
26%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
2%
1/40
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
2%
1/18
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
23%
15/2
15%
Home DNB
75%
1/2
7%
10/21
9%
Away DNB
34%
6/4
14%
6/4
16%
Colchester win to nil
35%
5/2
13%
-
Carlisle win to nil
10%
5/1-
Colchester / Colchester
25%
12/5
6%
11/5
6%
Colchester / Carlisle
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
13%
Colchester / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Colchester
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
5%
Draw / Carlisle
10%
13/2
7%
13/2
15%
Draw / Draw
15%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
Carlisle / Colchester
4%
22/118/1
Carlisle / Carlisle
14%
9/2
10%
9/2
15%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Colchester have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Colchester have outscored their opponents by 13 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Colchester have played 4 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

Carlisle are in 22nd position in the League Two on 6 points having played 9 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 0 and won 2. Carlisle have conceded 19 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Colchester
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Carlisle
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Feb 8
l
 
4-0A
 Walsall10613719 
Mar 4
Oct 22
Dec 26
Apr 1
 Gillingham10613719 
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
May 3
Nov 9
 Barrow10613619 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Dec 29
Apr 21
 Doncaster10613319 
Nov 23
Mar 29
Apr 5
Dec 7
 Notts C10532818 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 28
Jan 28
d
 
1-1A
 Port Vale10532318 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Mar 15
-
 Fleetwood9441716 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 25
Apr 18
Dec 20
 Crewe9513116 
Dec 3
Jan 1
Nov 16
Mar 22
 Bradford10433315 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
Dec 14
Apr 12
 Newport10505-415 
Apr 5
Dec 7
Mar 28
Nov 23
 Grimsby10505-415 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 8
Mar 4
Oct 22
 Chesterfield10352714 
Dec 14
Apr 1
Feb 22
l
 
4-2F
 AFC Wim7412413 
Mar 15
Oct 12
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
 MK Dons10334112 
Jan 11
l
 
3-0A
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Salford9333-312 
May 3
Nov 9
-
-
 Colchester Home10253-211 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
 Tranmere9252-411 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 4
l
 
0-1A
Jan 11
 Harrogate10325-711 
Oct 19
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
 Bromley10244-210 
Mar 22
Nov 16
Oct 19
Mar 8
 Cheltenham10316-410 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Dec 3
Jan 1
 Swindon10154-48 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
 Carlisle Away10217-97 
-
-
Jan 4
d
 
1-1A
 Accrington9135-86 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Jan 25
d
 
3-3A
 Morecambe10046-64 
Dec 26
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Colchester 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Colchester3 - 0Tranmere
Colchester1 - 1Bromley
Colchester0 - 1Harrogate
Colchester2 - 0MK Dons
Colchester1 - 1Crewe
Colchester1 - 4Doncaster
Colchester2 - 0Grimsby
Colchester1 - 2Stockport
Colchester1 - 2Wrexham
Colchester2 - 1Newport
Colchester1 - 1Walsall
Colchester1 - 1Accrington
Colchester3 - 3Forest Green
Colchester1 - 1Bradford
Colchester0 - 1Gillingham
Colchester2 - 1Salford
Colchester1 - 2Crawley
Colchester1 - 4Barrow
Colchester1 - 1Sutton
Colchester3 - 1Swindon
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AColchester1 - 1Port Vale
AColchester0 - 4Walsall
HColchester3 - 0Tranmere
AColchester3 - 3Morecambe
HColchester1 - 1Bromley
AColchester1 - 1Accrington
HColchester0 - 1Harrogate
HColchester2 - 0MK Dons
AColchester2 - 4AFC Wim
HColchester1 - 1Crewe
HColchester1 - 4Doncaster
AColchester0 - 1Notts C
HColchester2 - 0Grimsby
AColchester3 - 2Crawley
HColchester1 - 2Stockport
HColchester1 - 2Wrexham
AColchester1 - 1Tranmere
HColchester2 - 1Newport
AColchester1 - 1Mansfield
HColchester1 - 1Walsall
Carlisle 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
1
Lost
15
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swindon0 - 2Carlisle
Bradford2 - 1Carlisle
MK Dons3 - 0Carlisle
Gillingham4 - 1Carlisle
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Cheltenham0 - 1Carlisle
Northampton2 - 0Carlisle
Peterborough1 - 3Carlisle
Shrewsbury1 - 0Carlisle
Charlton3 - 2Carlisle
Burton0 - 1Carlisle
Bristol R2 - 1Carlisle
L Orient3 - 2Carlisle
Barnsley2 - 1Carlisle
Exeter2 - 1Carlisle
Wigan2 - 0Carlisle
Fleetwood1 - 1Carlisle
Blackpool3 - 0Carlisle
Reading5 - 1Carlisle
Cambridge1 - 0Carlisle
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
D
1
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCarlisle0 - 2Notts C
HCarlisle2 - 3Grimsby
ACarlisle2 - 0Swindon
HCarlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
ACarlisle1 - 2Bradford
HCarlisle1 - 2Tranmere
ACarlisle0 - 3MK Dons
HCarlisle1 - 0Barrow
ACarlisle1 - 4Gillingham
ACarlisle0 - 2Derby
HCarlisle1 - 3Wycombe
HCarlisle0 - 1Blackpool
ACarlisle1 - 0Cheltenham
ACarlisle0 - 2Northampton
HCarlisle1 - 3Lincoln
ACarlisle3 - 1Peterborough
HCarlisle2 - 2Stevenage
ACarlisle0 - 1Shrewsbury
HCarlisle2 - 3Barnsley
ACarlisle2 - 3Charlton
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Colchester have not lost to Carlisle in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Colchester since 2008
Colchester
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
25
11
Games: Scored
12 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
1 / 13
COU
6
D
6
CUT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Colchester
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Colchester2 - 1
Colchester3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Carlisle
Colchester4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Colchester2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Colchester2 - 1
Colchester5 - 0
League games at Carlisle since 2009
Carlisle
Colchester
Goals: Scored
20
16
Games: Scored
9 / 13
8 / 13
Clean sheets
5 / 13
4 / 13
COU
4
D
2
CUT
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Carlisle3 - 2
0 - 3Colchester
Carlisle4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Carlisle2 - 0
2 - 4Colchester
0 - 2Colchester
Carlisle1 - 0
Carlisle4 - 1
Carlisle2 - 1
0 - 2Colchester
Goal Statistics
Colchester 16th Carlisle 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Colchester will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Carlisle scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Colchester’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Carlisle have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281305/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Colchester
PG (predicted goals)
Carlisle
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
6%
better
COU
CUT
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score2
2
Scored first3
4
Goals scored13
10
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
6%
better
COU
CUT
view stats
Games conceded7
7
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded15
19
Avg. goals conceded1.7
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
4
Conversion rate against19%
27%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+6%

Colchester v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Colchester League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10344
M MaceyL TaylorJ PayneT Flanagan
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Macey GLK10
-
M Egbo DEF10
3
-
R Hunt DEF9
2
-
T Flanagan DEF10
4
-
E Iandolo DEF10
1
-
J Payne MID1014
-
A Woodyard MID9
3
-
A Read MID1011
1
-
T Hopper FWD8
-
L Taylor FWD73
1
-
S Tovide FWD1033
1
-
Subs
T Smith GLK
-
F Kelleher DEF3
-
A Donnelly DEF3
-
H Anderson MID5
-
J. McDonnell MID2
1
-
J Gordon FWD10
-
A Scully FWD5
-
Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10233
H LewisS LavelleC HarperA Davies
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Lewis GLK10
-
A Davies DEF1011
3
-
S Lavelle DEF82
1
-
T Thomas DEF7
-
J Mellish DEF1011
1
-
H Biggins MID6
1
-
H Neal MID81
1
-
J Vela MID10
3
-
C Wyke MID102
2
-
C Harper MID63
2
-
L Armstrong FWD91
-
Subs
G Breeze GLK
-
J Ellis DEF4
1
-
J Robinson DEF1
-
B Barclay DEF7
3
-
D Sadi FWD811
1
-
A. Dudik FWD
-
F. O'Donoghue FWD2
-