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Gillingham v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Mar, 19:45 BST, Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham

MK Dons pay League Two competitors Gillingham a visit on Tuesday evening, as Paul Warne guides his team into an away clash with Gareth Ainsworth & co. at the Priestfield Stadium. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to League Two match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Gillingham and MK Dons will score at least a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 81%. Bookies have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of MK Dons coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gillingham
28%
23/10
3%
23/10
Draw
24%
9/4
2%
12/5
MK Dons
48%
23/2023/20
Draw 1-1
11%
5/15/1
MK Dons 2-1
9%
8/17/1
6%
MK Dons 1-0
9%
6/1
7%
11/2
MK Dons 2-0
7%
9/115/2
Gillingham 2-1
7%
11/110/1
Gillingham 1-0
6%
17/27/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/112/1
MK Dons 3-1
6%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
5%
15/2
6%
15/2
MK Dons 3-0
4%
20/114/1
Gillingham 2-0
4%
16/112/1
MK Dons 3-2
4%
28/122/1
Gillingham 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Gillingham 3-2
3%
40/1
21%
28/1
MK Dons 4-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
11/10
2%
11/10
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
7/10
3%
7/10
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/10
5%
13/10
Away 1st Goal
52%
4/54/5
No 1st Goal
3%
15/2
6%
7/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
5/6
2%
10/11
3%
BTTS - No
41%
5/6
4%
5/6
1%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
25%
15/47/2
Home/draw
52%
4/64/6
2%
Away/draw
72%
1/3
2%
1/3
Home/away
76%
1/3
2%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/37/20
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/42/1
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
11/427/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
44%
11/8
6%
11/8
2%
Away DNB
65%
8/15
3%
8/15
2%
Gillingham win to nil
13%
9/2-
MK Dons win to nil
23%
5/2
7%
-
Gillingham / Gillingham
15%
9/24/1
Gillingham / MK Dons
3%
25/120/1
Gillingham / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Gillingham
11%
6/16/1
Draw / MK Dons
15%
9/24/1
5%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/119/5
4%
MK Dons / Gillingham
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
12%
MK Dons / MK Dons
23%
5/2
3%
23/10
MK Dons / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win League Two table

Gillingham have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Gillingham have conceded 28 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Gillingham have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

MK Dons lay in 2nd place on 65 points in the League Two league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 11 and losing 5 games. They have scored 66 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. MK Dons have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

MK Dons have played 17 away games, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Gillingham
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bromley36191342370 
l
 
1-4A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
l
 
2-1F
2
MK Dons35181163265 
Mar 10
l
 
3-2A
-
-
3
Cambridge35181162265 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
4
Notts C3519792064 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
5
Swindon36196111663 
Mar 17
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
6
Salford3518413358 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 11
w
 
2-0F
Mar 28
7
Grimsby35151191156 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
2-2F
8
Chesterfield36141481056 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
9
Crewe36168121056 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
10
Barnet36141111553 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
11
Walsall3515812453 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
12
Colchester351410111152 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 18
l
 
1-0A
13
Oldham3412139849 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
14
Fleetwood35131012249 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 2
15
Accrington3513814147 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
16
Gillingham34111211045 
-
-
w
 
3-2F
Mar 10
17
Shrewsbury3611817-1941 
May 2
d
 
3-3A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2F
18
Cheltenham3410717-2137 
d
 
1-1A
-
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
19
Tranmere369819-1735 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
20
Bristol R3510421-2334 
Mar 21
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
21
Crawley3661119-2329 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 28
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
22
Barrow347720-1828 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
23
Newport367722-2728 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-3A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
24
Harrogate366921-3027 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-4F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
11
MK Dons have not lost in 11 consecutive league games
Gillingham 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
MK Dons 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Gillingham since 2001
Gillingham
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
28
21
Games: Scored
13 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
2 / 15
GIL
8
D
4
MKD
3
League games at MK Dons since 2000
MK Dons
Gillingham
Goals: Scored
26
19
Games: Scored
11 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
4 / 15
GIL
5
D
2
MKD
8
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Gillingham of late. It has been 5 League Two matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against MK Dons.

Gillingham 16th MK Dons 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Gillingham will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that MK Dons will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Gillingham’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+19
MK Dons have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Gillingham
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
GIL
MKD
29%
better
view stats
Games scored26
31
Failed to score8
4
Scored first14
22
Goals scored42
67
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
21
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
GIL
MKD
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
23
Clean sheets8
12
Conceded first19
11
Goals conceded42
35
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+18%

Gillingham v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Gillingham League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
317610
R McKenzieB DackM ClarkJ Andrews
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R McKenzie MID344
2
-
R Hutton DEF333
4
1
S Gale MID3211
7
-
E Coleman MID311
5
-
B Dack MID3071
7
-
M Clark DEF2936
5
1
J Andrews FWD2931
10
-
A Smith DEF261
5
-
S Vokes FWD2521
1
-
A Rowe MID2411
3
-
A Little MID2442
5
-
S. Palmer-Houlden FWD232
-
G Morris GLK221
1
-
E Nevitt FWD222
6
-
J Williams MID191
2
1
G McCleary FWD1612
1
-
J Turner GLK13
-
T. Akomeah DEF9
1
-
N Khumbeni MID91
1
-
J Smith FWD91
-
L Cirino DEF81
3
-
S Ogie DEF8
3
-
M. Wyllie FWD71
-
C Masterson DEF62
-
E Williams MID31
-
MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3414811
C MacGillivrayC PatersonC PatersonL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C MacGillivray GLK34
-
L Offord DEF3431
10
1
L Kelly MID346
6
-
A Gilbey MID3384
6
-
M Ekpiteta DEF3022
3
-
A Nemane MID3033
4
-
C Paterson FWD30148
4
-
J Mellish DEF2723
5
1
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD2771
2
-
G Jones DEF241
1
-
J Sanders DEF242
6
-
D Crowley MID2312
2
-
W Collar MID2221
3
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID191
3
-
A Collins FWD1961
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID181
1
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1872
4
-
J Leko FWD161
4
1
S Hogan FWD151
1
-
J Tomlinson MID14
-
L Maguire  DEF71
2
-
N Thompson DEF5
2
-
C Trueman GLK2
-
K Wilson DEF1
-
English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds