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MK Dons v Shrewsbury Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 15:00 BST, Stadium mk, Milton Keynes

Michael Appleton guides his Shrewsbury Town charges to the Stadium mk in the League Two on Saturday afternoon, with Paul Warne's MK Dons the opponent. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that MK Dons and Shrewsbury will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Paul Warne or Michael Appleton has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think MK Dons are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
MK Dons
55%
11/20
7%
4/6
Draw
23%
13/5
4%
29/10
3%
Shrewsbury
22%
9/2
20%
4/1
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
MK Dons 1-0
10%
11/2
8%
5/1
8%
MK Dons 2-1
10%
15/213/2
MK Dons 2-0
9%
6/1
7%
6/1
MK Dons 3-1
6%
12/111/1
Shrewsbury 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
10/1
Shrewsbury 2-1
6%
18/1
19%
12/1
MK Dons 3-0
6%
10/1
20%
9/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/18/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
15%
MK Dons 3-2
3%
28/1
10%
22/1
10%
Shrewsbury 2-0
3%
28/1
24%
18/1
MK Dons 4-1
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
MK Dons 4-0
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Shrewsbury 3-1
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
19/20
5%
10/11
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
17/20
5%
4/5
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
6%
1/2
2%
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8
8%
2/1
4%
No 1st Goal
3%
9/18/1
5%
BTTS - Yes
55%
10/11
4%
19/20
2%
BTTS - No
45%
4/5
2%
3/4
4%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/4
3%
27/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
9%
4/1
BTTS - Away Win
12%
10/1
23%
8/1
13%
Home/draw
78%
1/7
1%
1/6
1%
Away/draw
45%
6/5
12%
6/5
2%
Home/away
77%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/7
4%
3/10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5/2
9%
9/4
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
12/5
5%
9/4
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
3/10
2%
3/10
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
11/2
17%
5/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/9
3%
1/10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/33
1%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/18/1
10%
Home DNB
71%
1/5
7%
1/4
Away DNB
38%
10/3
25%
27/10
6%
MK Dons win to nil
28%
6/4
11%
-
Shrewsbury win to nil
11%
9/1
18%
-
MK Dons / MK Dons
33%
7/5
9%
29/20
MK Dons / Shrewsbury
2%
40/128/1
MK Dons / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / MK Dons
18%
10/3
4%
17/5
2%
Draw / Shrewsbury
8%
10/1
15%
17/2
Draw / Draw
14%
9/217/4
5%
Shrewsbury / MK Dons
4%
22/118/1
12%
Shrewsbury / Shrewsbury
10%
17/2
18%
13/2
7%
Shrewsbury / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win League Two table

MK Dons have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 8 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. MK Dons have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

MK Dons have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Shrewsbury are in 20th position in the League Two on 22 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Shrewsbury have conceded 36 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
MK Dons
Shrewsbury
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bromley2615741752 
Apr 11
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
2
Swindon2514471246 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
Feb 14
l
 
2-1A
3
Walsall2514471146 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
Feb 28
d
 
1-1A
4
Salford251447546 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 28
l
 
1-3A
-
5
MK Dons2612862044 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Jan 24
6
Cambridge2512851044 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 28
w
 
2-0F
Jan 27
7
Notts C2512671142 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
Feb 17
l
 
4-1A
8
Chesterfield2610115741 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 7
9
Colchester2510961139 
Mar 17
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 7
10
Crewe261169839 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
Mar 21
l
 
3-1A
11
Grimsby251078637 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
12
Oldham258116635 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
Apr 11
d
 
2-2F
13
Barnet25988535 
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
Jan 31
w
 
1-3A
14
Gillingham258116435 
w
 
3-2F
-
d
 
3-3F
May 2
15
Fleetwood25979134 
w
 
2-1F
May 2
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
16
Accrington259610-133 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 21
17
Tranmere268810-232 
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
Apr 3
l
 
4-0A
18
Cheltenham269314-1730 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 7
Mar 14
l
 
3-1A
19
Barrow256613-1124 
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
-
d
 
0-00-0
20
Shrewsbury255713-1922 
Jan 24
w
 
1-2F
-
-
21
Bristol R256316-2421 
Jan 27
w
 
0-4F
l
 
0-3A
Mar 17
22
Crawley264715-1819 
Feb 17
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
23
Harrogate264616-2218 
Mar 7
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
24
Newport254516-2017 
Feb 14
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 28
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
MK Dons have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
8
Shrewsbury have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
MK Dons 4TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Shrewsbury 21ST
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at MK Dons since 2006
MK Dons
Shrewsbury
Goals: Scored
18
10
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
MKD
6
D
2
SHR
2
League games at Shrewsbury since 2007
Shrewsbury
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
16
14
Games: Scored
8 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
3 / 11
MKD
3
D
4
SHR
4
Goal Statistics

MK Dons's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Shrewsbury Town have conceded in each of their last 8 League Two outings. A PG of 1.8 for P. Warne's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been a problem for Shrewsbury Town of late. It has been 6 League Two games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against MK Dons.

MK Dons 4th Shrewsbury 21st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that MK Dons will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Shrewsbury will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
MK Dons have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Shrewsbury’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
MK Dons
PG (predicted goals)
Shrewsbury
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
45%
better
MKD
SHR
view stats
Games scored23
16
Failed to score3
9
Scored first16
6
Goals scored48
22
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for20
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
22%
better
MKD
SHR
view stats
Games conceded18
18
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first9
16
Goals conceded28
41
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%

MK Dons v Shrewsbury League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25887
L KellyC PatersonC PatersonL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Kelly MID264
4
-
C MacGillivray GLK25
-
L Offord DEF2511
6
1
C Paterson FWD2588
3
-
A Nemane MID2432
3
-
A Gilbey MID2483
5
-
M Ekpiteta DEF221
2
-
W Collar MID2221
3
-
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD2051
1
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID191
3
-
J Mellish DEF1813
2
1
J Sanders DEF182
4
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1872
4
-
D Crowley MID171
1
-
G Jones DEF151
1
-
J Leko FWD151
4
1
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID121
1
-
A Collins FWD123
-
J Tomlinson MID10
-
S Hogan FWD91
1
-
L Maguire  DEF71
2
-
N Thompson DEF5
2
-
C Trueman GLK2
-
K Wilson DEF1
-
Shrewsbury League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25359
S ClucasJ MarquisS ClucasW Boyle
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Clucas MID2525
2
-
W Boyle DEF2423
8
1
J Marquis FWD243
4
-
L Hoole DEF231
3
-
T Perry MID231
7
-
G Lloyd FWD2231
2
-
I. Kabia FWD2012
4
-
T Sang DEF19
5
-
S Stubbs DEF191
4
-
T Anderson DEF191
4
-
T McDermott MID1911
6
1
A Scully FWD1822
1
-
W. Brook GLK17
1
-
I. England MID131
1
-
C Aneke FWD131
4
-
J Ruffels DEF1111
1
-
E. Harrison GLK6
1
-
H Biggins MID6
-
B Ihionvien FWD41
3
-
M Benning DEF3
1
-