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Newport County v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 11th Feb, 19:45 BST, Rodney Parade, Newport

Tuesday evening at the Rodney Parade, and it’s a League Two showdown between Newport County and Carlisle United. Nélson Marques Jardim and Mark Warburton going all-out to guide their side to victory. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on League Two match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our top tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Newport and Carlisle's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newport are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newport
46%
2.60
20%
2.75
15%
Draw
26%
3.403.40
Carlisle
29%
2.55
16%
2.50
14%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.00
Newport 1-0
11%
9.00
10%
8.00
11%
Newport 2-1
9%
10.00
17%
9.00
10%
Carlisle 1-0
8%
9.00
13%
7.50
7%
Newport 2-0
8%
13.00
24%
12.00
8%
Carlisle 2-1
7%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
11.00
10%
8.50
Draw 2-2
5%
13.00
13%
12.00
Newport 3-1
5%
21.00
19%
17.00
11%
Carlisle 2-0
5%
13.00
18%
11.00
16%
Newport 3-0
4%
26.00
24%
21.00
19%
Carlisle 3-1
3%
21.00
24%
15.00
15%
Newport 3-2
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
Carlisle 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
21.00
Newport 4-1
2%
41.00
20%
34.00
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.951.91
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.851.80
Home 1st Goal
51%
2.05
14%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
1.83
6%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.731.75
BTTS - No
47%
2.002.00
3%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
5.00
23%
5.00
13%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5.00
11%
4.60
10%
Home/draw
71%
1.50
10%
1.50
10%
Away/draw
54%
1.50
13%
1.44
8%
Home/away
75%
1.301.30
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.291.30
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.503.25
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.403.25
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.301.30
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6.50
7%
6.00
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.11
1%
1.10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.0012.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.00
10%
9.00
6%
Home DNB
64%
1.83
19%
1.95
15%
Away DNB
47%
1.83
17%
1.80
16%
Newport win to nil
25%
4.50
18%
-
Carlisle win to nil
15%
4.50
20%
-
Newport / Newport
19%
4.33
21%
4.20
16%
Newport / Carlisle
3%
26.0021.00
11%
Newport / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Newport
13%
6.00
14%
6.00
14%
Draw / Carlisle
14%
6.00
9%
5.75
15%
Draw / Draw
16%
5.004.80
Carlisle / Newport
3%
29.0021.00
9%
Carlisle / Carlisle
19%
4.33
20%
3.90
15%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Win / draw / win League Two table

Newport have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 17th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 0 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Newport have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Newport have played 13 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Carlisle are in 24th position in the League Two on 21 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Carlisle have conceded 48 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newport
Carlisle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall2918562359 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
Mar 4
l
 
3-1A
2
Notts C2915861953 
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Doncaster301578752 
w
 
3-1A
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
4
Bradford2914871150 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
5
AFC Wim2814771949 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
6
Port Vale2913106649 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-2F
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
7
Salford301398948 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
w
 
0-1F
8
Crewe3012126848 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
9
Grimsby3014313-445 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
10
Chesterfield2911991442 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 8
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
11
Colchester299137540 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
12
Fleetwood281099439 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
13
Bromley309129039 
Apr 1
l
 
5-2A
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
14
MK Dons2911513138 
w
 
6-3F
Apr 18
Mar 25
l
 
3-0A
15
Swindon3191111-138 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-5A
w
 
0-2F
16
Cheltenham2910811-438 
Feb 22
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
17
Newport Home2910613-736 
-
-
Apr 5
Feb 11
18
Barrow299713-234 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
19
Gillingham289514-732 
Mar 4
w
 
0-2F
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
20
Accrington287912-1130 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 11
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
21
Harrogate318617-1730 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
22
Tranmere296815-2726 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
23
Morecambe306519-2123 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
24
Carlisle Away295618-2521 
Feb 11
Apr 5
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Carlisle have lost 3 consecutive league games
Newport 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Carlisle 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Newport have drawn with Carlisle in 3 consecutive home league meetings
9
Newport have not lost to Carlisle in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Newport since 2015
Newport
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
8 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
1 / 9
NEW
5
D
4
League games at Carlisle since 2014
Carlisle
Newport
Goals: Scored
16
12
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
NEW
3
D
1
CUT
5
Goal Statistics

Newport County have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive League Two outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Carlisle United on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Newport 17th Carlisle 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Newport will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Newport have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-23
Carlisle have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281417/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newport
PG (predicted goals)
Carlisle
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
21%
better
NEW
CUT
view stats
Games scored15
14
Failed to score9
11
Scored first7
8
Goals scored32
19
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal5
11
Conversion rate for20
9
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
1%
better
NEW
CUT
view stats
Games conceded18
19
Clean sheets6
6
Conceded first13
14
Goals conceded43
39
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
19%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+1%

Newport v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Newport League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26567
N TownsendK HudlinA Driscoll-GlennonA Driscoll-Glennon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Kamwa FWD2744
3
-
N Townsend GLK26
2
-
K Evans MID2512
3
-
C Antwi MID2511
5
-
M Baker DEF243
2
-
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF236
7
-
C Baker-Richardson FWD2241
3
-
C Evans DEF2122
6
-
K Hudlin FWD2151
4
-
C Brennan DEF20
2
1
K Jameson DEF20
4
3
S McLoughlin MID2021
2
-
M Spellman FWD192
1
-
K. Whitmore MID162
2
-
A Wildig MID154
4
-
O. Greaves MID1321
-
N Mawene MID11
1
-
J Clarke DEF10
1
-
J. Thomas DEF711
1
-
D Ajiboye FWD62
1
-
J Martin FWD5
-
J Carney GLK3
-
T Davies DEF3
-
G. Bony FWD3
-
K Pattern MID1
-
Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
244310
S LavelleS LavelleC HarperJ Jones
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lavelle DEF2641
8
-
C Harper DEF223
6
-
B Barclay DEF1911
5
-
J Vela MID16
5
-
J Jones FWD16
9
1
G Breeze GLK15
5
-
T Thomas DEF15
2
-
A Hayden DEF151
4
-
H Lewis GLK14
-
K Harris FWD1321
1
-
C Wyke FWD132
2
-
J Ellis DEF121
3
-
A Davies DEF1111
3
-
C Guy MID9
1
-
E Embleton MID61
2
-
C Whelan MID6
-
E Robson MID6
2
-
D McGeouch MID61
1
-
G Kelly FWD6
2
-
C McArthur DEF5
2
-
W Patching MID5
1
-
C Scott FWD51
-
J Hugill FWD51
2
-
J Williams DEF41
-
S Fusire MID4
1
-
S Wearne MID2
-
F. O'Donoghue MID2
-
J. Bevan FWD2
-
P Dummett DEF1
-
A. Dudik FWD1
-