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Newport County v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 15:00 BST, Rodney Parade, Newport

the Rodney Parade is the stage on Saturday afternoon, as Nélson Marques Jardim's Newport County welcome Paul Simpson's Carlisle United in the League Two. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are provided too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Newport and Carlisle's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newport are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Newport 44%	9/4	9/4
Draw 25%	12/5	12/5
Carlisle 30%	6/5	6/5
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1
Newport 1-0 10%	9/1	8/1
Newport 2-1 9%	11/1	9/1
Carlisle 1-0 8%	7/1	6/1
Newport 2-0 7%	16/1	12/1
Carlisle 2-1 7%	8/1	7/1
Draw 0-0 6%	9/1	15/2
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	11/1
Carlisle 2-0 5%	10/1	17/2
Newport 3-1 5%	25/1	18/1
Newport 3-0 4%	33/1	25/1
Carlisle 3-1 3%	16/1	12/1
Newport 3-2 3%	33/1	22/1
Carlisle 3-2 2%	25/1	20/1
Carlisle 3-0 2%	20/1	14/1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	19/20	10/11
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	17/20	4/5
Home 1st Goal 51%	11/8	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	8/11	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	8/11	3/4
BTTS - No 45%	1/1	19/20
BTTS - Home Win 21%	11/2	19/4
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 15%	7/2	16/5
Home/draw 70%	4/6	4/6
Away/draw 56%	1/3	1/3
Home/away 75%	3/10	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2	9/4
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	12/5	11/5
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	3/10	3/10
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	6/1	5/1
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/10	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	14/1	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/33	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/16	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	9/1	15/2
Home DNB 62%	5/4	13/10
Away DNB 48%	4/7	11/20
Newport win to nil 23%	9/2	-
Carlisle win to nil 15%	11/4	-
Newport / Newport 15%	9/2	4/1
Newport / Carlisle 4%	25/1	18/1
Newport / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Newport 11%	6/1	6/1
Draw / Carlisle 15%	9/2	4/1
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1	19/5
Carlisle / Newport 3%	28/1	22/1
Carlisle / Carlisle 23%	13/5	12/5
Carlisle / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win League Two table

Newport have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Newport have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Newport have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Carlisle are in 22nd position in the League Two on 14 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Carlisle have conceded 30 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Newport Carlisle
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Port Vale	17	10	4	3	8	34	l 1-4A	Jan 18	Apr 18	Dec 21
2	Walsall	16	9	4	3	13	31	Apr 21	Dec 29	Mar 4	l 3-1A
3	Crewe	17	8	6	3	6	30	w 2-1F	Feb 8	d 1-1F	Jan 1
4	Doncaster	17	8	5	4	4	29	w 3-1A	Mar 1	d 0-00-0	Mar 29
5	Notts C	17	7	7	3	8	28	Mar 29	d 0-00-0	l 0-2A	Jan 28
6	MK Dons	16	8	3	5	8	27	Dec 21	Apr 18	Jan 11	l 3-0A
7	AFC Wim	16	8	2	6	11	26	Jan 2	Dec 3	Mar 15	l 4-0A
8	Chesterfield	17	6	7	4	10	25	l 0-3A	Mar 8	Dec 14	Apr 1
9	Grimsby	17	8	1	8	-7	25	d 0-00-0	Mar 22	l 2-3F	Feb 8
10	Bradford	16	6	5	5	4	23	Feb 15	l 3-1A	Jan 18	l 2-1A
11	Gillingham	16	7	2	7	3	23	Mar 4	w 0-2F	Feb 22	l 4-1A
12	Fleetwood	15	5	7	3	5	22	d 0-00-0	Apr 26	l 2-3A	Jan 25
13	Barrow	17	6	4	7	1	22	Feb 1	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	Mar 1
14	Cheltenham	17	6	3	8	-3	21	Feb 22	l 3-2A	l 0-1A	Apr 26
15	Salford	16	5	6	5	-3	21	w 3-1F	Jan 28	May 3	w 0-1F
16	Newport	17	6	3	8	-7	21	-	-	Apr 5	Dec 7
17	Harrogate	17	6	3	8	-7	21	Mar 15	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	Mar 8
18	Colchester	17	3	9	5	-3	18	Apr 12	Dec 14	Feb 15	d 0-00-0
19	Accrington	16	4	6	6	-4	18	w 3-1F	Jan 11	Dec 29	Apr 21
20	Bromley	16	3	8	5	-2	17	Apr 1	Dec 26	Mar 22	d 1-1A
21	Tranmere	16	4	5	7	-10	17	May 3	l 2-1A	l 1-2F	Jan 4
22	Carlisle	18	3	5	10	-15	14	Dec 7	Apr 5	-	-
23	Swindon	17	2	7	8	-8	13	Jan 24	l 4-0A	Feb 1	w 0-2F
24	Morecambe	17	3	4	10	-12	13	Jan 5	w 0-1F	Dec 26	Apr 12

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Carlisle have drawn 3 consecutive league games

Newport have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newport	0 - 0	Grimsby
Newport	0 - 0	Fleetwood
Newport	0 - 3	Chesterfield
Newport	3 - 1	Salford
Newport	2 - 1	Crewe
Newport	1 - 4	Port Vale
Newport	3 - 1	Accrington
Newport	3 - 1	Doncaster
Newport	0 - 1	Salford
Newport	1 - 2	Tranmere
Newport	1 - 3	Accrington
Newport	0 - 4	Crawley
Newport	5 - 3	Morecambe
Newport	0 - 1	Mansfield
Newport	1 - 0	Gillingham
Newport	1 - 3	Notts C
Newport	2 - 1	Swindon
Newport	1 - 0	Wrexham
Newport	1 - 1	Crewe
Newport	4 - 2	Forest Green

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Newport	0 - 0	Notts C
H	Newport	0 - 0	Grimsby
A	Newport	1 - 2	Tranmere
H	Newport	0 - 0	Fleetwood
A	Newport	2 - 0	Gillingham
H	Newport	0 - 3	Chesterfield
A	Newport	0 - 1	Harrogate
A	Newport	1 - 3	Bradford
H	Newport	3 - 1	Salford
H	Newport	2 - 1	Crewe
A	Newport	0 - 2	Barrow
A	Newport	0 - 4	Swindon
H	Newport	1 - 4	Port Vale
A	Newport	1 - 0	Morecambe
H	Newport	3 - 1	Accrington
H	Newport	3 - 1	Doncaster
A	Newport	2 - 3	Cheltenham
A	Newport	1 - 4	Bradford
H	Newport	0 - 1	Salford
H	Newport	1 - 2	Tranmere

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bromley	1 - 1	Carlisle
Salford	0 - 1	Carlisle
Walsall	3 - 1	Carlisle
AFC Wim	4 - 0	Carlisle
Colchester	0 - 0	Carlisle
Swindon	0 - 2	Carlisle
Bradford	2 - 1	Carlisle
MK Dons	3 - 0	Carlisle
Gillingham	4 - 1	Carlisle
Derby	2 - 0	Carlisle
Cheltenham	0 - 1	Carlisle
Northampton	2 - 0	Carlisle
Peterborough	1 - 3	Carlisle
Shrewsbury	1 - 0	Carlisle
Charlton	3 - 2	Carlisle
Burton	0 - 1	Carlisle
Bristol R	2 - 1	Carlisle
L Orient	3 - 2	Carlisle
Barnsley	2 - 1	Carlisle
Exeter	2 - 1	Carlisle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Carlisle	1 - 1	Crewe
H	Carlisle	0 - 0	Doncaster
A	Carlisle	1 - 1	Bromley
A	Carlisle	1 - 0	Salford
H	Carlisle	0 - 1	Cheltenham
A	Carlisle	1 - 3	Walsall
H	Carlisle	1 - 1	Harrogate
A	Carlisle	0 - 4	AFC Wim
A	Carlisle	0 - 0	Colchester
H	Carlisle	0 - 2	Notts C
H	Carlisle	2 - 3	Grimsby
A	Carlisle	2 - 0	Swindon
H	Carlisle	2 - 3	Fleetwood
A	Carlisle	1 - 2	Bradford
H	Carlisle	1 - 2	Tranmere
A	Carlisle	0 - 3	MK Dons
H	Carlisle	1 - 0	Barrow
A	Carlisle	1 - 4	Gillingham
A	Carlisle	0 - 2	Derby
H	Carlisle	1 - 3	Wycombe

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Newport have drawn with Carlisle in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Newport have not lost to Carlisle in 9 consecutive home league meetings

Newport

Carlisle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

4 / 9

Clean sheets

5 / 9

1 / 9

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newport
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newport	1 - 0
Newport	2 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Newport	2 - 0
Newport	1 - 0
Newport	2 - 1

Carlisle

Newport

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

1 / 9

NEW

CUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Newport
Carlisle	3 - 2
Carlisle	2 - 0
Carlisle	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Carlisle	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Newport
	2 - 3	Newport

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Carlisle United of late. It has been 10 League Two matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Newport County.

	Newport 16th	Carlisle 22nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Newport will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-2 Newport’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-8 Carlisle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season

better

NEW

CUT

view stats

Games scored	10		12
Failed to score	7		6
Scored first	5		6
Goals scored	19		15
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.8
Avg. shots per game	6		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	18		10
Avg. XG for	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+6%

10%

better

NEW

CUT

view stats

Games conceded	12		13
Clean sheets	5		5
Conceded first	9		10
Goals conceded	26		30
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	13%		21%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.1
KickOff rating		+10%

Newport v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Newport League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	4	4	5
N Townsend	A Wildig	A Driscoll-Glennon	C Evans

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Baker-Richardson FWD	17	3	1	3 -
N Townsend GLK	16			2 -
B Kamwa FWD	16		2	1 -
C Evans DEF	15	1		5 -
K Evans MID	15		2	2 -
A Wildig MID	15	4		4 -
B Morris MID	15		1	-
C Antwi MID	14		1	2 -
C Brennan DEF	13			2 1
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF	13		4	5 -
M Baker DEF	12	3		2 -
K Jameson DEF	12			3 2
K Hudlin FWD	12	4	1	3 -
M Spellman FWD	10	1		1 -
K. Whitmore MID	8	1		1 -
O. Greaves MID	8	1		-
S McLoughlin FWD	8			1 -
N Mawene MID	7			1 -
L Jephcott FWD	6			1 -
J Clarke DEF	5			1 -
K Rai FWD	4			-
J. Miley MID	3			1 -
J Carney GLK	1			-
J. Thomas DEF	1			-
N. Sanca DEF	1			-
H. Kargbo FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	4	14
A Wildig	K Hudlin	A Driscoll-Glennon	A Driscoll-Glennon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Hudlin FWD	4	11	1	5
A Wildig MID	4	7		8
C Baker-Richardson FWD	3	3	1	4
M Baker DEF	3	3		1
O. Greaves MID	1	2		1
K. Whitmore MID	1	2		1
M Spellman FWD	1	2		2
C Evans DEF	1	1		3
C Antwi MID		1	1	3
J. Miley MID				1
J Clarke DEF				1
S McLoughlin FWD				4
N Mawene MID		1		1
C Brennan DEF		1		2
B Kamwa FWD		6	2	9
K Evans MID		4	2	11
K Jameson DEF				3
B Morris MID		3	1	6
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF		1	4	14

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
668	30	90
B Morris	C Evans	K Hudlin

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Morris MID	668	18	59
N Townsend GLK	604	1	17
C Brennan DEF	450	25	54
A Wildig MID	427	24	43
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF	421	30	57
C Evans DEF	392	30	72
K Jameson DEF	373	10	46
M Baker DEF	365	17	55
K Evans MID	242	9	32
K Hudlin FWD	233	10	90
S McLoughlin FWD	229	12	44
C Antwi MID	225	16	35
B Kamwa FWD	199	11	45
C Baker-Richardson FWD	195	6	87
J Clarke DEF	189	2	30
N Mawene MID	128	13	30
K. Whitmore MID	100	10	31
J. Miley MID	74	4	15
O. Greaves MID	64	2	14
M Spellman FWD	51	8	25
J Carney GLK	41		2
L Jephcott FWD	37	2	8
N. Sanca DEF	30	2	5
K Rai FWD	20		2
J. Thomas DEF	7
H. Kargbo FWD	1	1	3

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	2	3	5
J Mellish	J Mellish	C Harper	J Mellish

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Mellish DEF	17	2	1	5 -
S Lavelle DEF	16	2	1	3 -
D Sadi FWD	16	2	1	3 -
J Vela MID	15			4 -
H Neal MID	15	1		5 -
L Armstrong FWD	15	2		-
H Lewis GLK	14			-
C Harper DEF	14		3	2 -
B Barclay DEF	13	1	1	5 -
C Wyke FWD	13	2		2 -
A Davies DEF	11	1	1	3 -
T Thomas DEF	11			1 -
H Biggins MID	11		1	1 -
A Hayden DEF	9		1	2 -
B Williams DEF	8			-
C Guy MID	8			1 -
D Adu-Adjei FWD	8	2	1	1 -
J Ellis DEF	7			1 -
J Jones FWD	7			4 -
T Charters MID	5			1 -
D McGeouch MID	5		1	1 -
G Kelly FWD	5			1 -
G Breeze GLK	4			-
J Robinson DEF	3			1 -
E Robson MID	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	12	3	16
J Mellish	D Sadi	C Harper	C Harper

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Mellish DEF	2	6	1	6
D Adu-Adjei FWD	2	6	1	2
D Sadi FWD	2	12	1	14
L Armstrong FWD	2	6		3
C Wyke FWD	2	3		6
S Lavelle DEF	2	3	1	2
H Neal MID	1	3		2
B Barclay DEF	1	5	1	3
A Davies DEF	1	2	1	8
D McGeouch MID			1	1
T Charters MID				1
J Jones FWD		3		3
H Biggins MID		1	1	7
C Guy MID				4
B Williams DEF		1		2
A Hayden DEF		2	1	2
T Thomas DEF				3
C Harper DEF		3	3	16
J Vela MID		3		2
E Robson MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
831	35	99
S Lavelle	H Neal	J Mellish

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Lavelle DEF	831	21	85
J Mellish DEF	820	31	99
C Harper DEF	596	14	33
H Neal MID	572	35	77
T Thomas DEF	510	19	75
H Lewis GLK	485		5
B Barclay DEF	436	15	49
H Biggins MID	411	11	54
A Hayden DEF	366	12	44
A Davies DEF	339	16	51
D Sadi FWD	335	29	60
C Guy MID	272	8	22
J Vela MID	257	19	47
J Jones FWD	215	5	29
C Wyke FWD	198	9	74
B Williams DEF	170	8	38
D McGeouch MID	126	4	7
G Breeze GLK	126		5
L Armstrong FWD	114	12	54
D Adu-Adjei FWD	100	4	28
T Charters MID	90	2	7
E Robson MID	51	3	7
J Ellis DEF	48	5	12
J Robinson DEF	30	1	4
G Kelly FWD	16		11

English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds

MK Dons v Chesterfield

Cheltenham v Port Vale

Fleetwood v Doncaster

Doncaster v Cheltenham

Chesterfield v Tranmere

Cheltenham v Morecambe

Sat 14th Dec, 15:00

Carlisle v Chesterfield

Fleetwood v Accrington

Mon 16th Dec, 20:00

Newport County v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Newport have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Carlisle are in 22nd position in the League Two on 14 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Newport v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

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