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Newport County v Crewe Alexandra : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Rodney Parade, Newport

Lee Bell is aiming for a crucial away win in the League Two on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Crewe Alexandra side to the Rodney Parade to visit Newport County and Nélson Marques Jardim. Analysing both teams' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Newport County's next match is v Harrogate at 15:00 on Saturday 12th October
Crewe Alexandra's next match is v Doncaster at 15:00 on Saturday 12th October
The last English League Two meeting between Newport and Crewe was on Saturday 28th September 2024
English League Two
September 28th 2024
Newport 2
1 Crewe
 
C. Evans 33'71' A. Thibaut
M. Baker 74'
 
NEW
CRE
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
6
2
Corners
3
4
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
10
12
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
NewportCrewe
 
N. Townsend
A. Driscoll-Glennon
M. Bakerfootball icon
C. Evansfootball icon
K. Jameson
A. Wildig (O. Greaves 72')
K. Evans
C. Antwi (N. Mawene 89')
B. Morris
C. Baker-Richardson (K. Hudlin 88')
B. Kamwa (M. Spellman 82')
F. Marshall
J. Knight-Lebel
Z. Williams
M. Demetriou
(L. Billington 82') M. Conway
R. Cooney
J. Lankester
(K. Breckin 51') J. Tabiner
M. Sanders
(A. Thibaut 62') K. Hemmings
(F. Roberts 82') S. Tracey
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% chance of Newport and Crewe delivering a minimum of 2 goals in this League Two tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newport
27%
12/5
36%
13/5
13%
Draw
25%
27/10
9%
5/2
Crewe
48%
19/20
22%
21/20
7%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Crewe 1-0
11%
13/2
25%
6/1
7%
Crewe 2-1
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
Crewe 2-0
8%
17/2
27%
15/2
15%
Newport 1-0
8%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1
8%
15/2
6%
Newport 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
10/1
16%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
31%
11/1
Crewe 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Crewe 3-0
4%
16/1
35%
14/1
12%
Newport 2-0
4%
16/1
31%
14/1
15%
Crewe 3-2
3%
25/120/1
11%
Newport 3-1
3%
28/1
53%
20/1
11%
Newport 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
25/1
13%
Crewe 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
19/20
8%
10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
17/20
8%
4/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
44%
6/4
28%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/13
17%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
5/6
13%
4/5
3%
BTTS - No
47%
5/6
17%
10/11
5%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1
47%
11/2
13%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
15%
7/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
10/3
9%
3/1
5%
Home/draw
52%
4/5
20%
3/4
6%
Away/draw
73%
3/10
13%
2/7
4%
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10
4%
3/10
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
12/5
9%
9/4
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/2
17%
9/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/7
5%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6/1
17%
5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/10
2%
1/10
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
45%
6/4
37%
6/4
11%
Away DNB
65%
1/2
18%
4/9
8%
Newport win to nil
14%
5/1
20%
-
Crewe win to nil
26%
12/5
32%
-
Newport / Newport
14%
5/1
39%
9/2
10%
Newport / Crewe
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Newport / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Draw / Newport
10%
7/1
33%
13/2
7%
Draw / Crewe
16%
4/1
17%
19/5
9%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
4%
Crewe / Newport
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
13%
Crewe / Crewe
26%
11/5
26%
21/10
9%
Crewe / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
bet365
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Win / draw / win League Two table
Newport
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Crewe
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Apr 21
Dec 29
 Walsall10613719 
May 3
Nov 9
Mar 4
Oct 22
 Gillingham10613719 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
 Barrow10613619 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
Mar 1
 Doncaster10613319 
Mar 15
Oct 12
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Notts C10532818 
Nov 16
Mar 22
l
 
1-4A
Jan 18
 Port Vale10532318 
Mar 29
Nov 25
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Fleetwood9441716 
Mar 4
Oct 22
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
 Crewe Away9513116 
-
-
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
 Bradford10433315 
Dec 7
Apr 5
-
-
 Newport Home10505-415 
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
Nov 16
Mar 22
 Grimsby10505-415 
Apr 1
Dec 14
Oct 18
Mar 8
 Chesterfield10352714 
l
 
0-5A
Mar 1
Jan 2
Dec 3
 AFC Wim7412413 
Jan 28
-
Dec 21
Apr 18
 MK Dons10334112 
Apr 21
Dec 29
w
 
3-1F
Jan 28
 Salford9333-312 
Oct 19
Mar 8
Apr 12
Dec 14
 Colchester10253-211 
Dec 20
Apr 18
May 3
Nov 9
 Tranmere9252-411 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Mar 15
Oct 12
 Harrogate10325-711 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
Apr 1
Dec 26
 Bromley10244-210 
Jan 5
w
 
1-2A
Feb 22
l
 
3-2A
 Cheltenham10316-410 
Apr 12
Dec 26
Jan 24
l
 
4-0A
 Swindon10154-48 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 11
Dec 7
Apr 5
 Carlisle10217-97 
Jan 1
Dec 3
w
 
3-1F
Jan 11
 Accrington9135-86 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
Jan 5
w
 
0-1F
 Morecambe10046-64 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Win / draw / win form
Newport 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newport1 - 4Port Vale
Newport3 - 1Accrington
Newport3 - 1Doncaster
Newport0 - 1Salford
Newport1 - 2Tranmere
Newport1 - 3Accrington
Newport0 - 4Crawley
Newport5 - 3Morecambe
Newport0 - 1Mansfield
Newport1 - 0Gillingham
Newport1 - 3Notts C
Newport2 - 1Swindon
Newport1 - 0Wrexham
Newport1 - 1Crewe
Newport4 - 2Forest Green
Newport1 - 1Grimsby
Newport2 - 1Stockport
Newport0 - 0MK Dons
Newport3 - 3Walsall
Newport1 - 2Harrogate
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewport0 - 2Barrow
ANewport0 - 4Swindon
HNewport1 - 4Port Vale
ANewport1 - 0Morecambe
HNewport3 - 1Accrington
HNewport3 - 1Doncaster
ANewport2 - 3Cheltenham
ANewport1 - 4Bradford
HNewport0 - 1Salford
HNewport1 - 2Tranmere
HNewport1 - 3Accrington
ANewport0 - 1Grimsby
HNewport0 - 4Crawley
ANewport1 - 2Colchester
ANewport0 - 1Barrow
ANewport2 - 0AFC Wim
HNewport5 - 3Morecambe
ANewport0 - 1Stockport
HNewport0 - 1Mansfield
ANewport4 - 1Harrogate
Crewe 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Accrington0 - 1Crewe
Bromley1 - 2Crewe
Barrow1 - 0Crewe
Crawley2 - 0Crewe
Doncaster0 - 2Crewe
Colchester1 - 1Crewe
Morecambe0 - 1Crewe
Accrington0 - 0Crewe
Gillingham0 - 0Crewe
MK Dons3 - 1Crewe
Doncaster2 - 0Crewe
Notts C1 - 3Crewe
Stockport1 - 3Crewe
Tranmere0 - 0Crewe
Barrow1 - 3Crewe
Mansfield0 - 1Crewe
Newport1 - 1Crewe
Walsall2 - 0Crewe
Grimsby2 - 1Crewe
Sutton1 - 1Crewe
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCrewe3 - 0Harrogate
ACrewe1 - 0Accrington
HCrewe1 - 0Morecambe
ACrewe2 - 1Bromley
HCrewe0 - 0Swindon
HCrewe0 - 5Chesterfield
ACrewe0 - 1Barrow
ACrewe0 - 2Crawley
ACrewe2 - 0Doncaster
HCrewe0 - 2Doncaster
ACrewe1 - 1Colchester
HCrewe0 - 3Wrexham
HCrewe0 - 3Grimsby
ACrewe1 - 0Morecambe
ACrewe0 - 0Accrington
HCrewe0 - 3Forest Green
ACrewe0 - 0Gillingham
HCrewe1 - 1AFC Wim
ACrewe1 - 3MK Dons
HCrewe1 - 0Sutton
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Newport since 2016
Newport
Crewe
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
NEW
2
D
3
CRE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newport
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Newport1 - 0
Newport1 - 0
1 - 2Crewe
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Crewe since 2017
Crewe
Newport
Goals: Scored
10
9
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
NEW
2
D
1
CRE
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Crewe
Crewe4 - 2
1 - 2Newport
Crewe3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Newport
Goal Statistics

Crewe Alexandra's defensive record is very strong, L. Bell's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive League Two games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Newport County makes sense in this context.

Newport 10th Crewe 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 70% probability that Newport will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Crewe will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Newport’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
Crewe have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281285/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newport
PG (predicted goals)
Crewe
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
16%
better
NEW
CRE
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score2
3
Scored first2
3
Goals scored10
7
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game5
7
Avg. shots per goal4
7
Conversion rate for26
14
Avg. XG for1
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
NEW
CRE
38%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
3
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded15
7
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded14
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.9
0.8
KickOff rating
+38%

Newport v Crewe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Newport League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10435
N TownsendA WildigA Driscoll-GlennonA Driscoll-Glennon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Townsend GLK10
2
-
C Evans DEF91
3
-
M Baker DEF72
1
-
K Jameson DEF7
1
-
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF103
5
-
K Evans MID82
1
-
A Wildig MID94
2
-
B Morris MID8
-
B Kamwa MID101
1
-
C Baker-Richardson FWD1031
2
-
C Antwi FWD101
1
-
Subs
J Carney GLK
-
N. Sanca DEF1
-
O. Greaves MID61
-
N Mawene MID5
1
-
M Spellman FWD31
1
-
K Hudlin FWD521
1
-
L Jephcott FWD5
-
Crewe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9334
F MarschallK HemmingsJ LankesterJ Lankester
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Marschall GLK9
-
J. Knight-Lebel DEF8
3
-
M Demetriou DEF91
1
-
Z Williams DEF91
1
-
R Cooney MID82
-
M Sanders MID8
1
-
J Tabiner MID91
2
-
M Conway MID9
-
S Tracey MID92
2
-
J Lankester MID913
4
-
K Hemmings FWD83
1
-
Subs
T Booth GLK
-
J Connolly DEF5
-
L Billington DEF5
-
K Breckin MID5
2
-
C. Agius FWD1
-
F. Roberts FWD1
-
A. Thibaut FWD211
-