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Newport County v Morecambe : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 4th Feb, 19:45 BST, Rodney Parade, Newport

Home advantage can be vital in the League Two, and Nélson Marques Jardim’s Newport County will have the blessing of it on Tuesday evening. Derek Adams’s Morecambe are their visitors to the Rodney Parade. Analysing both clubs' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After looking at our match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market which catches the eye for this meeting: both teams to score. In Newport and Morecambe we have two sides going head-to-head that can both score and concede, and we expect them to prove that on Sunday afternoon. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.62.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newport are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newport
43%
13/8
10%
6/4
5%
Draw
24%
11/5
2%
5/2
6%
Morecambe
33%
17/10
10%
17/10
7%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
8%
Newport 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Newport 1-0
8%
9/115/2
Morecambe 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Morecambe 1-0
7%
9/1
9%
15/2
11%
Newport 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Newport 3-1
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/117/2
Morecambe 2-0
5%
14/111/1
8%
Morecambe 3-1
4%
20/114/1
12%
Newport 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Newport 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Morecambe 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Morecambe 3-0
2%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/54/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
50%
5/6
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/20
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/1313/20
2%
BTTS - No
39%
6/511/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
15/4
6%
17/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/116/5
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/118/5
4%
Home/draw
67%
4/9
6%
4/9
3%
Away/draw
57%
4/9
6%
1/2
4%
Home/away
76%
4/11
2%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/4
2%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
11/4
6%
13/5
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2/1
9%
19/10
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
9/217/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/72/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
12/1
18%
9/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/25
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
8%
17/2
Home DNB
60%
5/6
6%
4/5
8%
Away DNB
50%
5/6
9%
10/11
7%
Newport win to nil
20%
4/1
11%
-
Morecambe win to nil
15%
4/1
9%
-
Newport / Newport
19%
10/3
8%
29/10
5%
Newport / Morecambe
3%
25/120/1
Newport / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Newport
14%
5/119/4
5%
Draw / Morecambe
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
4%
Morecambe / Newport
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Morecambe / Morecambe
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
9%
Morecambe / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win League Two table

Newport have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 20th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Newport have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Newport have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Morecambe are in 23rd position in the League Two on 20 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Morecambe have conceded 40 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newport
Morecambe
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall2518432958 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
2
Crewe26121041246 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Port Vale261286544 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
4
AFC Wim2413471843 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 4
l
 
3-0A
5
Notts C2512761543 
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
6
Doncaster261277643 
w
 
3-1A
Mar 1
Feb 18
l
 
1-0A
7
Salford251267842 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 28
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
8
Bradford251186741 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
Jan 28
9
Grimsby2612212-438 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
10
Chesterfield25988935 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 8
l
 
2-5A
Apr 26
11
Bromley258107434 
Apr 1
l
 
5-2A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
12
MK Dons2510411234 
w
 
6-3F
Apr 18
l
 
1-3A
Mar 8
13
Fleetwood24897333 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
14
Colchester267127233 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
Jan 25
15
Cheltenham258710-431 
Feb 22
l
 
3-2A
Apr 1
l
 
2-0A
16
Gillingham249312-330 
Mar 4
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
17
Barrow257711-528 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
18
Swindon2761011-828 
Jan 24
l
 
4-0A
Mar 29
w
 
2-3F
19
Harrogate278415-1528 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
1-2F
20
Newport Home247512-1126 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 4
21
Accrington246711-1125 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 11
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
22
Tranmere256712-2125 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
23
Morecambe Away255515-1820 
Feb 4
w
 
0-1F
-
-
24
Carlisle254615-2018 
Feb 11
Apr 5
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Newport 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Morecambe 23RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Newport have beaten Morecambe in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Newport have not lost to Morecambe in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newport since 2013
Newport
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
8 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
1 / 9
NEW
3
D
3
MOR
3
League games at Morecambe since 2014
Morecambe
Newport
Goals: Scored
15
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
NEW
5
D
2
MOR
4
Goal Statistics
Newport 20th Morecambe 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Newport will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Morecambe will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Newport’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Morecambe’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281490/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newport
PG (predicted goals)
Morecambe
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
18%
better
NEW
MOR
view stats
Games scored15
13
Failed to score9
12
Scored first7
9
Goals scored32
22
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for20
12
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
10%
better
NEW
MOR
view stats
Games conceded18
22
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded43
40
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%

Newport v Morecambe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Newport League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21457
N TownsendB KamwaA Driscoll-GlennonK Jameson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Evans MID2212
2
-
B Kamwa FWD2243
3
-
N Townsend GLK21
2
-
C Antwi MID211
2
-
C Brennan DEF20
2
1
M Baker DEF193
2
-
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF195
6
-
K Hudlin FWD1941
3
-
K Jameson DEF18
4
3
M Spellman FWD172
1
-
C Baker-Richardson FWD1731
3
-
C Evans DEF162
5
-
A Wildig MID154
4
-
S McLoughlin MID1511
2
-
K. Whitmore MID132
1
-
O. Greaves MID1321
-
L Jephcott FWD122
1
-
N Mawene MID9
1
-
J Clarke DEF5
1
-
J. Thomas DEF4
-
K Rai FWD4
-
J Carney GLK3
-
G. Bony FWD3
-
H. Kargbo FWD2
-
T Davies DEF1
-
D Ajiboye FWD1
-
Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25647
J StottB TollittA LewisD Tutonda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Stott DEF253
1
-
B Tollitt FWD2562
3
-
D Tutonda DEF24
7
-
L Hendrie DEF243
5
1
A Lewis DEF2414
3
-
C Jones MID2311
1
-
R Williams DEF221
6
-
J Slew FWD201
2
-
M Dackers FWD203
1
-
H Macadam MID191
2
-
T White MID19
5
-
Y Songo'o MID1821
4
-
H Hope FWD182
1
-
S Moore GLK15
-
P Lewis MID13
2
-
R Millen DEF12
-
G Edwards MID1211
2
-
H Burgoyne GLK11
1
-
L Angol FWD81
3
-
M Taylor DEF4
-
G Ray DEF2
-
C Cooke MID1
-
L. Dobson MID1
-
English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds