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Oldham Athletic v Grimsby Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, Boundary Park, Oldham

Home advantage is often beneficial in the League Two, and Micky Mellon’s Oldham Athletic will have the joy of it on Saturday afternoon. David Artell’s Grimsby Town are their opponents at the Boundary Park. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during the standard 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Oldham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Oldham
40%
31/20
7%
8/5
Draw
28%
11/59/4
Grimsby
32%
13/8
6%
7/4
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
Oldham 1-0
12%
8/1
6%
13/2
Grimsby 1-0
11%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
10%
9/115/2
Oldham 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
15/2
Oldham 2-0
8%
12/1
8%
10/1
Grimsby 2-1
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
Grimsby 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw 2-2
4%
12/110/1
Oldham 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Oldham 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Grimsby 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Grimsby 3-0
2%
25/1
10%
20/1
Oldham 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Grimsby 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
19/20
3%
19/20
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
17/20
3%
4/5
Home 1st Goal
49%
20/21
2%
19/20
Away 1st Goal
45%
1/1
2%
21/20
No 1st Goal
6%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
47%
8/118/11
BTTS - No
53%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/119/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
9/24/1
Home/draw
68%
4/9
3%
4/9
Away/draw
60%
1/2
2%
10/21
Home/away
72%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
2/7
1%
3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
5/2
3%
9/4
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
12/5
3%
9/4
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
3/10
1%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11/2
7%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/9
1%
1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/115/2
Home DNB
60%
5/6
6%
4/5
Away DNB
52%
5/6
9%
10/11
Oldham win to nil
24%
7/2
4%
-
Grimsby win to nil
19%
7/2
10%
-
Oldham / Oldham
19%
10/3
8%
29/10
Oldham / Grimsby
3%
25/1
10%
22/1
Oldham / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Oldham
13%
5/15/1
Draw / Grimsby
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Grimsby / Oldham
3%
25/120/1
Grimsby / Grimsby
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
Grimsby / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Win / draw / win League Two table

Oldham have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Oldham have conceded 20 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Oldham have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Grimsby lay in 7th place on 56 points in the League Two league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 7 and losing 7 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Grimsby have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Grimsby have played 17 away games, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Oldham
Grimsby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bromley36191342370 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
MK Dons35181163265 
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-3F
3
Cambridge35181162265 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
-
4
Notts C3519792064 
-
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Swindon36196111663 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
6
Salford3518413358 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
7
Grimsby35151191156 
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
8
Chesterfield36141481056 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 17
l
 
0-1A
Mar 28
9
Crewe36168121056 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 28
Apr 11
l
 
3-2F
10
Barnet36141111553 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
11
Walsall3515812453 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
12
Colchester351410111152 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
13
Oldham3412139849 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
14
Fleetwood35131012249 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 17
w
 
0-1F
15
Accrington3513814147 
May 2
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Gillingham34111211045 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
17
Shrewsbury3611817-1941 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
18
Cheltenham3410717-2137 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
7-1A
w
 
0-2F
19
Tranmere369819-1735 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-2A
May 2
20
Bristol R3510421-2334 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
21
Crawley3661119-2329 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 6
22
Barrow347720-1828 
d
 
0-00-0
-
Mar 21
d
 
2-2F
23
Newport367722-2728 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
24
Harrogate366921-3027 
Mar 21
w
 
0-1F
Apr 3
d
 
3-3A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Oldham 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Grimsby 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Oldham since 2019
Oldham
Grimsby
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
OLD
1
D
1
GRI
1
League games at Grimsby since 2018
Grimsby
Oldham
Goals: Scored
0
3
Games: Scored
0 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
3 / 3
OLD
1
D
2
Goal Statistics

Oldham Athletic's defensive record is very strong, M. Mellon's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive League Two matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Grimsby Town makes sense in this context.

Oldham 13th Grimsby 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Oldham will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Grimsby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Oldham’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Grimsby’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Oldham
PG (predicted goals)
Grimsby
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
OLD
GRI
21%
better
view stats
Games scored22
28
Failed to score12
7
Scored first12
19
Goals scored39
50
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
11%
better
OLD
GRI
view stats
Games conceded20
22
Clean sheets14
13
Conceded first16
14
Goals conceded31
39
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%

Oldham v Grimsby League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Oldham League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34749
M HudsonM MellonR WoodsJ Robson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Hudson GLK341
2
-
M Monthe DEF3421
3
-
J Robson DEF322
9
-
D Daniels DEF31
2
-
R Woods MID314
5
1
K. Drummond FWD3121
3
-
M Fondop FWD3043
4
1
T Pett MID282
2
-
J Caprice DEF263
8
-
L Hannant MID251
3
-
K. Payne MID241
2
-
J Quigley FWD1931
3
-
J Garner FWD1931
7
-
M Mellon FWD1671
-
J Hawkes MID143
1
-
J Stevens FWD1463
2
-
R Ogle DEF121
2
-
W Sutton DEF121
1
O Hammond MID12
-
T Conlon MID112
4
-
K Harratt FWD81
-
K Morris MID7
-
J Leake DEF3
1
-
Grimsby League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35997
H RodgersJ KabiaC VernamH Rodgers
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Rodgers DEF3521
7
-
C McJannett DEF3511
5
-
J Kabia FWD3591
4
-
C Vernam FWD3599
1
-
G McEachran MID321
6
-
E Khouri MID3242
4
-
K Green MID3173
4
1
D Burns MID3013
3
-
J Walker  MID2944
3
-
R Staunton DEF272
-
J Amaluzor FWD2422
2
-
J Sweeney DEF2032
3
-
C Pym GLK19
1
T Warren DEF19
2
-
G Turi MID19
3
-
J Soonsup-Bell FWD1711
1
-
D Rose FWD132
1
-
C Oduor MID12
-
D Tharme DEF11
1
-
S Lavelle DEF6
-
C. Gardner MID61
1
-
J Svanthórsson FWD5
-
N. Eccleston DEF2
-
Z. Gilsenan MID2
-
H. Brown MID2
-
C Casper GLK1
-
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