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Port Vale v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vale Park, Stoke

Darren Moore welcomes Scott Parker to the Vale Park on Saturday afternoon, as their Port Vale and MK Dons teams do battle in the League Two. Analysing both sides' last 20 League Two matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Port Vale's next match is v Morecambe at 15:00 on Saturday 22nd March
MK Dons's next match is v Cheltenham at 15:00 on Saturday 22nd March
The last English League Two meeting between Port Vale and MK Dons was on Saturday 15th March 2025
English League Two
March 15th 2025
Port Vale 3
0 MK Dons
 
L. Tolaj 27'
J. Stockley 52'
B. Garrity 90'
 
PTV
MKD
Shots On
8
1
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
4
6
Possession
31%
69%
Fouls
9
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
Port ValeMK Dons
 
B. Amos
B. Heneghan
C. Hall
M. Clark
J. Debrah
K. John
G. Byers
R. Walters (R. Croasdale 70')
J. Stockleyfootball icon (J. Umolu 71')
R. Curtis
L. Tolajfootball icon (B. Garrity 83')
C. Trueman
L. Maguire
(T. O'Reilly 53') C. Tripp
(S. Hogan 66') N. Lawrence
L. Offord
A. Gilbey
C. Lemonheigh-Evans
J. Tomlinson
J. White
D. Crowley
(K. Thompson-Sommers 65') D. Orsi-Dadamo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Port Vale are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Port Vale
50%
21/20
8%
11/10
10%
Draw
24%
23/10
8%
23/10
6%
MK Dons
25%
5/2
10%
5/2
13%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Port Vale 1-0
11%
11/2
7%
11/2
Port Vale 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
Port Vale 2-0
9%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
MK Dons 1-0
7%
17/2
14%
15/2
11%
Draw 0-0
6%
15/2
15%
13/2
12%
MK Dons 2-1
6%
12/110/1
8%
Port Vale 3-1
5%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Port Vale 3-0
5%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
MK Dons 2-0
4%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
Port Vale 3-2
3%
28/122/1
10%
MK Dons 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Port Vale 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
26%
Port Vale 4-0
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
11/10
5%
11/10
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
7/10
6%
4/6
5%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
15/2
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
10/11
4%
10/11
3%
BTTS - No
46%
4/5
2%
4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
15/4
19%
17/5
13%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2
6%
11/2
7%
Home/draw
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
6%
Away/draw
50%
8/11
9%
7/10
8%
Home/away
76%
1/3
3%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/3
2%
4/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
9/4
4%
19/10
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/4
7%
27/10
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/1
14%
13/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/12
2%
1/14
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/40
1%
1/80
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/113/2
12%
Home DNB
68%
1/2
7%
10/21
9%
Away DNB
42%
6/4
9%
29/20
15%
Port Vale win to nil
27%
12/5
5%
-
MK Dons win to nil
13%
5/1
8%
-
Port Vale / Port Vale
24%
12/5
10%
23/10
10%
Port Vale / MK Dons
3%
33/125/1
10%
Port Vale / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Port Vale
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
4%
Draw / MK Dons
11%
13/2
12%
6/1
13%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/4
5%
7/2
6%
MK Dons / Port Vale
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
MK Dons / MK Dons
14%
5/1
8%
9/2
15%
MK Dons / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Port Vale have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 13 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 46 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Port Vale have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

MK Dons are in 18th position in the League Two on 42 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 23 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 4 and won 6. MK Dons have conceded 40 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Port Vale
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall3720982469 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2F
2
Bradford3719991766 
Apr 1
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
3
AFC Wim37189102363 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
4
Doncaster37189101063 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Notts C371710101761 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 2
6
Port Vale Home36161371061 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
Colchester37141671258 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
8
Crewe3714158757 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
Apr 21
9
Grimsby3717515-356 
Apr 21
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
10
Salford37141112353 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
11
Bromley37131311352 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
12
Chesterfield36149131451 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
13
Cheltenham37131113-350 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-2A
Mar 22
14
Fleetwood37121312349 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
l
 
2-1A
15
Swindon37111412047 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
3-1A
May 3
16
Newport3713717-1346 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-4F
Apr 18
l
 
6-3A
17
Barrow3612816-344 
Mar 25
l
 
4-0A
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
18
MK Dons Away3612618-742 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
19
Gillingham3611916-842 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
20
Accrington37101017-1040 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
21
Harrogate3711719-1940 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-5F
22
Tranmere3781217-2736 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
23
Morecambe378623-2330 
Mar 22
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
24
Carlisle366921-2727 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
w
 
3-0F
Mar 25
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Port Vale 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale0 - 0Harrogate
Port Vale2 - 1Salford
Port Vale1 - 0Notts C
Port Vale2 - 1Accrington
Port Vale3 - 2Newport
Port Vale0 - 0Cheltenham
Port Vale0 - 0Carlisle
Port Vale0 - 1Walsall
Port Vale1 - 1Crewe
Port Vale3 - 2AFC Wim
Port Vale3 - 1Fleetwood
Port Vale1 - 1Colchester
Port Vale2 - 1Swindon
Port Vale1 - 0Chesterfield
Port Vale2 - 3Doncaster
Port Vale0 - 0Tranmere
Port Vale0 - 0Cambridge
Port Vale1 - 2Wycombe
Port Vale2 - 4Exeter
Port Vale2 - 0Bristol R
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APort Vale1 - 2Colchester
APort Vale1 - 1Fleetwood
HPort Vale0 - 0Harrogate
APort Vale1 - 1Tranmere
HPort Vale2 - 1Salford
HPort Vale1 - 0Notts C
APort Vale3 - 3Swindon
HPort Vale2 - 1Accrington
APort Vale1 - 1Chesterfield
HPort Vale3 - 2Newport
APort Vale2 - 1Doncaster
HPort Vale0 - 0Cheltenham
APort Vale0 - 3Grimsby
APort Vale1 - 2Bradford
HPort Vale0 - 0Carlisle
APort Vale0 - 0Bromley
HPort Vale0 - 1Walsall
APort Vale1 - 1Cheltenham
HPort Vale1 - 1Crewe
APort Vale1 - 0Morecambe
MK Dons 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Accrington2 - 0MK Dons
Bradford2 - 0MK Dons
Tranmere1 - 1MK Dons
Barrow2 - 1MK Dons
Doncaster2 - 1MK Dons
Fleetwood2 - 1MK Dons
Walsall4 - 2MK Dons
Chesterfield1 - 2MK Dons
Newport6 - 3MK Dons
Grimsby1 - 3MK Dons
Morecambe1 - 3MK Dons
Harrogate1 - 5MK Dons
Bromley1 - 1MK Dons
AFC Wim3 - 0MK Dons
Salford1 - 0MK Dons
Colchester2 - 0MK Dons
Crawley3 - 0MK Dons
Harrogate3 - 5MK Dons
Forest Green0 - 2MK Dons
Notts C3 - 3MK Dons
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMK Dons2 - 1Morecambe
AMK Dons0 - 2Accrington
HMK Dons0 - 1Colchester
AMK Dons0 - 2Bradford
AMK Dons1 - 1Tranmere
AMK Dons1 - 2Barrow
HMK Dons0 - 1Bromley
AMK Dons1 - 2Doncaster
HMK Dons2 - 1Harrogate
HMK Dons0 - 0AFC Wim
AMK Dons1 - 2Fleetwood
AMK Dons2 - 4Walsall
HMK Dons0 - 1Salford
AMK Dons2 - 1Chesterfield
HMK Dons1 - 1Crewe
HMK Dons0 - 2Notts C
AMK Dons3 - 6Newport
HMK Dons0 - 1Gillingham
HMK Dons3 - 0Chesterfield
HMK Dons3 - 2Cheltenham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Port Vale since 2004
Port Vale
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
4 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
3 / 7
PTV
4
D
2
MKD
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
Port Vale1 - 0
0 - 2MK Dons
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Port Vale1 - 0
Port Vale3 - 1
Port Vale3 - 2
League games at MK Dons since 2005
MK Dons
Port Vale
Goals: Scored
8
5
Games: Scored
5 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
3 / 8
PTV
2
D
3
MKD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
0 - 1Port Vale
MK Dons2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Port Vale
MK Dons1 - 0
MK Dons3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Port Vale's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because MK Dons have conceded in each of their last 9 League Two matches. A PG of 1.7 for Darren Moore's side suggests that run should continue.

Port Vale 6th MK Dons 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Port Vale will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Port Vale have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
MK Dons have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281635/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Port Vale
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
6%
better
PTV
MKD
view stats
Games scored26
23
Failed to score9
12
Scored first17
15
Goals scored44
46
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
16
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
24%
better
PTV
MKD
view stats
Games conceded23
31
Clean sheets12
4
Conceded first13
19
Goals conceded37
50
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+24%

Port Vale v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Port Vale League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34879
C HallJ StockleyJ StockleyR Croasdale
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Amos GLK13
1
-
J Debrah DEF251
5
-
B Heneghan DEF25
4
-
C Hall DEF34
4
-
K John MID242
4
-
G Byers MID171
2
-
R. Walters MID3
-
M Clark MID10
1
1
J Stockley FWD2787
5
-
R Curtis FWD3245
3
1
L Tolaj FWD2786
3
-
Subs
N Broome GLK
-
B Garrity MID2242
3
-
R Croasdale MID3533
9
-
R Richards MID2032
1
-
J Shorrock MID1111
2
-
A Hackford FWD2041
1
-
J. Umolu FWD8
-
MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361068
A GilbeyA GilbeyD CrowleyL Offord
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Trueman GLK8
1
-
L Offord DEF323
8
-
N Lawrence DEF22
2
-
L Maguire  DEF2011
4
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID242
5
-
D Crowley MID133
2
-
C Tripp MID7
1
-
J Tomlinson MID3042
3
-
J White FWD2761
8
-
A Gilbey FWD36101
8
-
D Orsi FWD82
1
-
Subs
C MacGillivray GLK3
-
J Sanders DEF3
1
-
C. Waller DEF7
1
-
L Kelly MID2913
1
-
T O'Reilly MID91
2
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID152
1
-
S Hogan FWD2661
2
-