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Port Vale v Morecambe : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Mar, 15:00 BST, Vale Park, Stoke

Derek Adams will be hoping for a precious away win in the League Two on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Morecambe side to the Vale Park to visit Port Vale and Darren Moore. League Two statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a close-fought game here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Port Vale and Morecambe go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver exactly that. The stats and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Port Vale are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Port Vale
57%
11/20
1%
8/13
2%
Draw
27%
10/33/1
5%
Morecambe
16%
4/19/2
5%
Port Vale 1-0
18%
5/1
9%
19/4
Port Vale 2-0
13%
11/211/2
7%
Draw 0-0
12%
9/1
11%
15/2
Draw 1-1
11%
15/26/1
Port Vale 2-1
8%
15/2
6%
13/2
Morecambe 1-0
8%
10/1
10%
10/1
Port Vale 3-0
6%
10/19/1
Port Vale 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Morecambe 2-1
4%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
3%
22/114/1
Morecambe 2-0
3%
25/118/1
Port Vale 4-0
2%
22/116/1
Port Vale 4-1
1%
28/118/1
10%
Port Vale 3-2
1%
33/120/1
Morecambe 3-1
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
21/20
7%
19/20
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
3/4
6%
4/5
3%
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
35%
12/5-
No 1st Goal
9%
9/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
36%
6/5
2%
1/1
BTTS - No
64%
8/13
3%
8/11
1%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
3/1
8%
27/10
BTTS - Draw
14%
11/217/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
5%
10/1
8%
17/2
6%
Home/draw
84%
1/62/13
Away/draw
43%
11/8
3%
5/4
2%
Home/away
73%
1/51/4
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
1/3
5%
1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
9/4
18%
11/5
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
11/4
6%
12/5
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/4
2%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
7/1
11%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/12
1%
1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/1
19%
12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/40
1%
1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Home DNB
76%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Away DNB
35%
3/1
7%
29/10
5%
Port Vale win to nil
41%
11/8
6%
-
Morecambe win to nil
11%
7/1-
Port Vale / Port Vale
32%
6/429/20
2%
Port Vale / Morecambe
2%
40/133/1
Port Vale / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
15%
Draw / Port Vale
20%
3/116/5
Draw / Morecambe
8%
10/19/1
5%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
Morecambe / Port Vale
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Morecambe / Morecambe
9%
9/17/1
Morecambe / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Win / draw / win League Two table

Port Vale have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 13 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. Port Vale have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Port Vale have played 17 games at home winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Morecambe are in 23rd position in the League Two on 30 points having played 37 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 10 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

36 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 6 and won 7. Morecambe have conceded 56 goals, scored 32, failed to score in 18 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Port Vale
Morecambe
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall3720982469 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
2
Bradford3719991766 
Apr 1
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
3
AFC Wim37189102363 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
4
Doncaster37189101063 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Notts C371710101761 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
6
Port Vale Home36161371061 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
7
Colchester37141671258 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
8
Crewe3714158757 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
9
Grimsby3717515-356 
Apr 21
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
10
Salford37141112353 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
11
Bromley37131311352 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
12
Chesterfield36149131451 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-5A
Apr 26
13
Cheltenham37131113-350 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Apr 1
l
 
2-0A
14
Fleetwood37121312349 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2F
d
 
2-2A
15
Swindon37111412047 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
Mar 29
w
 
2-3F
16
Newport3713717-1346 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
17
Barrow3612816-344 
Mar 25
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
18
MK Dons3612618-742 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1F
19
Gillingham3611916-842 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
20
Accrington37101017-1040 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
21
Harrogate3711719-1940 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
May 3
w
 
1-2F
22
Tranmere3781217-2736 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
23
Morecambe Away378623-2330 
Mar 22
w
 
0-1F
-
-
24
Carlisle366921-2727 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
7
Morecambe have lost 7 consecutive away league games
8
Port Vale have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
7
Morecambe have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Port Vale 6TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
10
L
4
Morecambe 23RD
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Port Vale have beaten Morecambe in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Port Vale since 2008
Port Vale
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
14
12
Games: Scored
5 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
5 / 10
PTV
5
D
1
MOR
4
League games at Morecambe since 2009
Morecambe
Port Vale
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
8 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
3 / 11
PTV
3
D
3
MOR
5
Goal Statistics
Port Vale 6th Morecambe 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Port Vale will score 1 or more goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Morecambe will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Port Vale’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Morecambe have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281646/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Port Vale
PG (predicted goals)
Morecambe
1.4
0.7
Attack rating
28%
better
PTV
MOR
view stats
Games scored27
19
Failed to score9
18
Scored first18
14
Goals scored47
33
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
29%
better
PTV
MOR
view stats
Games conceded23
32
Clean sheets13
5
Conceded first13
23
Goals conceded37
56
Avg. goals conceded1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+29%

Port Vale v Morecambe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Port Vale League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34879
C HallL TolajJ StockleyR Croasdale
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Croasdale MID3533
9
-
C Hall DEF34
4
-
R Curtis FWD3245
3
1
L Tolaj FWD2786
3
-
J Stockley FWD2787
5
-
B Heneghan DEF25
4
-
T Sang DEF252
1
3
J Debrah DEF251
5
-
K John DEF242
4
-
E Chislett MID2441
4
-
B Garrity MID2242
3
-
R Richards MID2032
1
-
A Hackford FWD2041
1
-
S Hart DEF17
2
-
G Byers MID171
2
-
N Smith DEF141
2
-
R Harper MID141
3
1
B Amos GLK13
1
-
J Shorrock MID1111
2
-
J Lowe MID11
1
-
M Clark DEF10
1
1
J. Umolu FWD8
-
J. Headley DEF511
-
R. Walters MID3
-
D Edwards MID1
-
Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
346511
J StottB TollittA LewisD Tutonda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Stott DEF363
1
-
A Lewis DEF3515
5
-
D Tutonda DEF34
11
-
L Hendrie DEF344
7
1
M Dackers FWD3213
3
-
B Tollitt FWD3162
3
-
H Macadam MID291
2
-
R Williams DEF281
6
1
Y Songo'o MID2724
4
-
C Jones MID2511
1
-
T White MID251
5
-
J Slew FWD251
2
-
G Edwards MID2431
3
-
H Burgoyne GLK21
1
-
P Lewis MID21
3
-
H Hope FWD2121
3
-
L Angol FWD175
3
1
R Millen DEF16
-
S Moore GLK15
-
M Taylor DEF14
3
1
C Cooke MID131
1
-
A Dallas FWD102
1
-
G Garner FWD61
-
R Schofield GLK3
-
G Ray DEF2
-
A. Fairclough MID1
-
L. Dobson MID1
-