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Aston Villa v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 12:30 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

It's an away match for Mikel Arteta Amatriain's Arsenal side on Saturday lunch time, as they make their way to the Villa Park for a English Premier League meeting with Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa. You'll see stats supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Premier League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are anticipating a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as A Villa and Arsenal go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
33%
4.104.33
Draw
29%
3.403.50
Arsenal
38%
1.851.85
Draw 1-1
13%
7.006.50
Arsenal 1-0
12%
7.506.50
A Villa 1-0
11%
12.0010.00
Draw 0-0
10%
9.008.50
Arsenal 2-1
8%
9.508.00
Arsenal 2-0
7%
9.508.00
A Villa 2-1
7%
15.0013.00
A Villa 2-0
6%
23.0017.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.0015.00
Arsenal 3-1
3%
19.0013.00
Arsenal 3-0
3%
17.0013.00
A Villa 3-1
3%
41.0026.00
A Villa 3-0
2%
51.0034.00
Arsenal 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
A Villa 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
2.102.00
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
1.731.75
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.502.62
Away 1st Goal
48%
1.671.62
No 1st Goal
7%
9.008.00
BTTS - Yes
46%
1.951.91
BTTS - No
54%
1.801.83
BTTS - Home Win
13%
8.507.50
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.60
BTTS - Away Win
15%
4.333.90
Home/draw
62%
1.911.91
Away/draw
67%
1.221.22
Home/away
71%
1.301.30
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1.331.33
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
3.403.10
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3.753.40
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1.291.29
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7.006.50
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.101.09
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
15.0013.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.071.06
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9.008.00
Home DNB
53%
3.003.00
Away DNB
58%
1.361.33
A Villa win to nil
20%
7.00-
Arsenal win to nil
24%
3.00-
A Villa / A Villa
12%
7.006.50
A Villa / Arsenal
4%
26.0019.00
A Villa / Draw
6%
17.0013.00
Draw / A Villa
9%
9.008.50
Draw / Arsenal
17%
5.004.60
Draw / Draw
16%
5.504.80
Arsenal / A Villa
2%
41.0029.00
Arsenal / Arsenal
28%
3.102.88
Arsenal / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. A Villa have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn zero and won 1. A Villa have conceded zero goals, scored 1, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

A Villa have played 7 games at home, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 30 points in the Premier League league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 25 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal139311830 
Dec 6
Dec 30
-
-
2
Man City138141525 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
3
Chelsea137331224 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Feb 28
d
 
1-1A
4
A Villa13733524 
-
-
Dec 30
Dec 6
5
Brighton13643522 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Dec 27
Mar 4
6
Sunderland13643422 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
Feb 7
d
 
2-2A
7
Man Utd13634121 
Dec 21
Mar 14
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
8
Liverpool13706021 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
Jan 8
l
 
1-0A
9
C Palace13553620 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 7
w
 
1-0F
May 24
10
Brentford13616119 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Dec 3
Feb 11
11
Bournemouth13544-219 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 7
Apr 11
Jan 3
12
Spurs13535518 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-1F
Feb 21
13
Newcastle13535118 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
Apr 25
w
 
1-2A
14
Everton13535-318 
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Dec 20
15
Fulham13526-217 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
May 2
w
 
0-1F
16
Nottm Forest13337-912 
Jan 3
Apr 11
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
17
West Ham13328-1211 
Mar 21
Dec 14
w
 
2-0F
May 9
18
Leeds13328-1211 
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
19
Burnley13319-1210 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
May 17
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves130211-212 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 28
Dec 13
Mar 21
Win / draw / win form
5
A Villa have won 5 consecutive home league games
5
A Villa have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
5
Arsenal have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
3
A Villa have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
A Villa1 - 1West Ham
A Villa2 - 1Leicester
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0Southampton
A Villa3 - 1Brentford
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
AA Villa0 - 2Man Utd
HA Villa2 - 0Spurs
AA Villa1 - 0Bournemouth
HA Villa1 - 0Fulham
AA Villa1 - 2Man City
HA Villa4 - 1Newcastle
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
8
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Sunderland2 - 2Arsenal
Burnley0 - 2Arsenal
Fulham0 - 1Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool1 - 0Arsenal
Man Utd0 - 1Arsenal
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool2 - 2Arsenal
Ipswich0 - 4Arsenal
Everton1 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd1 - 1Arsenal
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Leicester0 - 2Arsenal
Wolves0 - 1Arsenal
Brighton1 - 1Arsenal
Brentford1 - 3Arsenal
C Palace1 - 5Arsenal
Fulham1 - 1Arsenal
West Ham2 - 5Arsenal
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal1 - 1Chelsea
HArsenal4 - 1Spurs
AArsenal2 - 2Sunderland
AArsenal2 - 0Burnley
HArsenal1 - 0C Palace
AArsenal1 - 0Fulham
HArsenal2 - 0West Ham
AArsenal2 - 1Newcastle
HArsenal1 - 1Man City
HArsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
AArsenal0 - 1Liverpool
HArsenal5 - 0Leeds
AArsenal1 - 0Man Utd
AArsenal2 - 1Southampton
HArsenal1 - 0Newcastle
AArsenal2 - 2Liverpool
HArsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal2 - 2C Palace
AArsenal4 - 0Ipswich
HArsenal1 - 1Brentford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
25
43
Games: Scored
19 / 29
20 / 29
Clean sheets
9 / 29
10 / 29
AVL
6
D
9
ARS
14
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
0 - 2Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0
2 - 4Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 3Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Arsenal
2 - 4Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Arsenal
0 - 2Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0
League games at Arsenal since 1993
Arsenal
A Villa
Goals: Scored
57
31
Games: Scored
24 / 30
19 / 30
Clean sheets
11 / 30
6 / 30
AVL
7
D
6
ARS
17
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 1
0 - 3A Villa
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal4 - 0
Arsenal5 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
1 - 2A Villa
Arsenal3 - 0
0 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal5 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal1 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, M. Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive English Premier League outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Aston Villa makes sense in this context.

A Villa 4th Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Arsenal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Arsenal have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
AVL
ARS
34%
better
view stats
Games scored8
12
Failed to score5
1
Scored first5
8
Goals scored16
25
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for1
2
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
AVL
ARS
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded11
7
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.7
KickOff rating
+21%

A Villa v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13333
M CashM RogersL DigneM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Cash DEF132
3
-
L Digne DEF133
2
-
M Rogers MID1332
2
-
J McGinn MID1311
2
-
O Watkins FWD131
-
D Malen FWD1331
-
E Konsa DEF12
1
E Martínez GLK11
1
-
B Kamara MID1112
3
-
E Buendía MID1132
2
-
P Torres DEF10
-
E Guessand FWD10
-
L Bogarde MID9
1
-
I Maatsen DEF8
1
-
A Onana MID81
2
-
T Mings DEF7
-
R Barkley MID71
-
Y Tielemans MID71
-
J Sancho FWD6
-
V Lindelöf DEF3
-
H Elliot MID3
-
M Bizot GLK2
1
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13434
D RayaE EzeD RiceR Calafiori
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK13
1
-
R Calafiori DEF1312
4
-
J Timber DEF1322
2
-
D Rice MID1323
1
-
M Zubimendi MID1321
3
-
M Merino MID1222
-
W Saliba DEF11
-
G Magalhães DEF1112
1
-
E Eze MID1142
-
V Gyökeres FWD114
2
-
B Saka FWD1131
-
L Trossard FWD1033
-
C Mosquera DEF9
1
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF9
2
-
G Martinelli FWD91
-
M Ødegaard MID71
-
N Madueke FWD7
-
E Nwaneri MID6
-
P Hincapié DEF4
1
-
C Nörgaard MID2
-
M. Dowman FWD2
-
B White DEF1
-
K Havertz FWD1
-