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Aston Villa v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Villa Park, Birmingham

Saturday afternoon at the Villa Park, and it’s a English Premier League showdown between Aston Villa and Leeds United. Unai Emery Etxegoien and Daniel Farke will be doing all they can to ensure the win. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our expansive database and dug out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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Aston Villa's next match is v Lille at 17:45 on Thursday 12th March
Leeds United's next match is v Norwich at 16:30 on Sunday 8th March
The last English Premier League meeting between A Villa and Leeds was on Saturday 21st February 2026
English Premier League
February 21st 2026
A Villa 1
1 Leeds
 
K. Bakumo-Abraham 88'31' A. Stach
 
AVL
LEE
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
7
6
Corners
7
2
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
11
16
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
A VillaLeeds
 
M. Cash (A. García Robledo 87')
D. Martínez
E. Konsa Ngoyo
T. Mings
I. Maatsen
E. Buendía (K. Bakumo-Abraham 75')
D. Soares de Paulo (L. Bogarde 87')
A. Mvom Onana (R. Barkley 61')
O. Watkins
M. Rogers
L. Bailey Butler (J. Sancho 61')
J. Bogle
(J. Bijol 46') G. Gudmundsson
P. Struijk
J. Rodon
E. Ampadu
D. Calvert-Lewin
(L. Nmecha 73') B. Aaronson
K. Darlow
J. Justin
(S. Longstaff 83') football iconA. Stach
I. Gruev

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that A Villa and Leeds will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 77%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
58%
5/65/6
Draw
23%
13/527/10
3%
Leeds
20%
10/316/5
A Villa 1-0
11%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
A Villa 2-0
10%
9/18/1
A Villa 2-1
10%
17/27/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
A Villa 3-0
6%
16/1
12%
12/1
8%
Leeds 1-0
6%
14/1
13%
11/1
A Villa 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Leeds 2-1
5%
16/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
8%
Leeds 2-0
3%
25/116/1
A Villa 4-0
3%
33/122/1
A Villa 3-2
3%
25/1
12%
18/1
A Villa 4-1
3%
28/120/1
10%
Leeds 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/53/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/11/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/138/13
2%
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/58/5
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
8%
9/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/6
3%
8/11
3%
BTTS - No
49%
11/10
3%
21/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
13/5
4%
12/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
5%
7/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
13/211/2
7%
Home/draw
80%
1/52/9
Away/draw
42%
10/1119/20
3%
Home/away
77%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3/114/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/1
7%
9/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/217/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/71/7
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
18%
17/2
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
9/1
5%
Home DNB
74%
1/37/20
Away DNB
36%
9/42/1
A Villa win to nil
32%
12/5
8%
-
Leeds win to nil
10%
7/1-
A Villa / A Villa
29%
15/87/4
A Villa / Leeds
3%
33/125/1
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / A Villa
17%
4/119/5
4%
Draw / Leeds
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Leeds / A Villa
4%
22/116/1
Leeds / Leeds
13%
6/15/1
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 5 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. A Villa have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 13 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Leeds are in 15th position in the Premier League on 30 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Leeds have conceded 35 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3020733767 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
5-0A
2
Man City2918653260 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
3
Man Utd2914961151 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
Apr 13
4
A Villa291568551 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
5
Chelsea2913971948 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
6
Liverpool291469948 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Brentford2913511444 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
8
Everton2912710143 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
9
Bournemouth299137-240 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
10
Fulham2912413-340 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
11
Sunderland2910109-440 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
12
Newcastle2911612-139 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-3F
13
C Palace2910811-238 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-1F
Mar 15
14
Brighton2991010237 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
May 17
l
 
3-0A
15
Leeds2971012-1131 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
-
-
16
Spurs297814-729 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
May 9
17
Nottm Forest297715-1528 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1F
18
West Ham297715-1928 
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
May 24
19
Burnley294718-2619 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
May 2
l
 
2-0A
20
Wolves303720-3016 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
A Villa0 - 1Brentford
A Villa0 - 1Everton
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa1 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
HA Villa0 - 1Brentford
AA Villa2 - 0Newcastle
HA Villa0 - 1Everton
AA Villa0 - 0C Palace
HA Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa1 - 4Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 1Man Utd
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
Leeds 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Everton1 - 1Leeds
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Liverpool0 - 0Leeds
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Brentford1 - 1Leeds
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Plymouth1 - 2Leeds
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
Luton1 - 1Leeds
QPR2 - 2Leeds
Portsmouth1 - 0Leeds
Sheff Utd1 - 3Leeds
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
ALeeds1 - 1Everton
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds0 - 0Liverpool
ALeeds1 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds4 - 1C Palace
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
A Villa have not lost to Leeds in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Leeds
Goals: Scored
22
17
Games: Scored
14 / 18
9 / 18
Clean sheets
9 / 18
4 / 18
AVL
8
D
5
LEE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 3Leeds
2 - 3Leeds
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Leeds
1 - 2Leeds
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 2Leeds
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
A Villa
Goals: Scored
18
16
Games: Scored
13 / 19
11 / 19
Clean sheets
8 / 19
6 / 19
AVL
5
D
9
LEE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
1 - 2A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
1 - 2A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leeds2 - 0
Leeds1 - 0
Leeds2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 12 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Leeds United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Aston Villa's defensive record is very strong, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive English Premier League outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Leeds United makes sense in this context.

A Villa 4th Leeds 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Leeds scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.8
1
Attack rating
AVL
LEE
3%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score8
7
Scored first10
11
Goals scored37
36
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
26%
better
AVL
LEE
view stats
Games conceded18
22
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first13
13
Goals conceded27
45
Avg. goals conceded1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+26%

A Villa v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29857
M RogersM RogersM RogersM Cash
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK25
2
-
M Cash DEF2732
7
-
E Konsa DEF28
1
T Mings DEF12
-
I Maatsen DEF23
2
-
A Onana MID202
2
-
D Luiz MID61
-
L Bailey MID71
1
-
M Rogers MID2985
6
-
E Buendía MID2752
5
-
O Watkins FWD2881
2
-
Subs
J Wright GLK
-
V Lindelöf DEF121
-
L Digne DEF244
3
-
P Torres DEF16
-
A García DEF3
-
L Bogarde MID23
5
-
R Barkley MID121
-
T Abraham FWD61
-
J Sancho FWD181
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271037
J RodonD Calvert-LewinI GruevE Ampadu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Darlow GLK13
1
-
J Justin  DEF2011
2
-
E Ampadu DEF2611
7
-
P Struijk DEF261
3
-
J Rodon DEF272
1
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF28
4
-
J Bogle  MID2712
5
-
I Gruev MID203
3
-
A Stach MID2443
3
-
B Aaronson MID2843
1
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD26101
1
-
Subs
L Perri GLK16
2
-
J Bijol DEF1611
2
-
S Bornauw DEF9
1
-
D James MID14
-
S Longstaff MID1712
2
-
A Tanaka MID202
1
-
J Piroe FWD13
-
L Nmecha  FWD2361
-
W Gnonto FWD161
3
-