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Aston Villa v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Villa Park, Birmingham

Home advantage makes a difference in the English Premier League, and Unai Emery’s Aston Villa will have the blessing of it on Sunday afternoon. Erik ten Hag’s Manchester United are their opponents at the Villa Park. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head-to-heads, and odds. Access it all using the tabs below.

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Aston Villa's next match is v Fulham at 15:00 on Saturday 19th October
Manchester United's next match is v Brentford at 15:00 on Saturday 19th October
The last English Premier League meeting between A Villa and Man Utd was on Sunday 6th October 2024
English Premier League
October 6th 2024
A Villa 0
0 Man Utd
 
AVL
MNU
Shots On
1
4
Shots Off
7
4
Corners
6
3
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
5/0
 
A VillaMan Utd
 
D. Martínez
P. Francisco Torres
M. Cash
L. Digne (I. Maatsen 85')
E. Konsa Ngoyo (D. Santos Silva 12')
Y. Tielemans
R. Barkley
O. Watkins
J. Philogene-Bidace
M. Rogers
L. Bailey Butler (J. Durán Palacio 63')
A. Onana
(V. Nilsson Lindelöf 46') N. Mazraoui
(M. de Ligt 46') H. Maguire
J. Evans
J. Dalot Teixeira
C. Dannemann Eriksen
B. Fernandes
(C. Casimiro 85') K. Mainoo
A. Garnacho
(A. dos Santos 64') M. Rashford
(J. Zirkzee 64') R. Højlund
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of effective, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Unai Emery or Erik ten Hag find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, show that doesn't seem likely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
44%
6/5
5%
6/5
2%
Draw
22%
29/10
3%
11/4
1%
Man Utd
34%
2/1
3%
2/1
3%
Draw 1-1
10%
8/1
6%
6/1
A Villa 2-1
9%
9/115/2
6%
Man Utd 2-1
8%
11/1
8%
17/2
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
8%
17/2
5%
A Villa 1-0
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
10%
A Villa 2-0
6%
16/1
13%
11/1
9%
A Villa 3-1
5%
16/111/1
Man Utd 1-0
5%
16/111/1
A Villa 3-2
4%
20/114/1
Man Utd 2-0
4%
20/114/1
Man Utd 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Man Utd 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
16/1
A Villa 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
11%
12/1
A Villa 4-1
2%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
4/9
6%
10/21
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
7/4
10%
8/5
6%
Home 1st Goal
50%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/10
5%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
67%
2/5
7%
4/9
3%
BTTS - No
34%
7/4
10%
17/10
8%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
12/523/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
10/3
13%
16/5
7%
Home/draw
67%
4/112/5
3%
Away/draw
56%
4/6
2%
13/20
3%
Home/away
78%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/7
3%
1/7
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
11/10
9%
11/10
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
8/11
7%
4/6
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
11/4
6%
12/5
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
1/9
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/401/40
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1
11%
12/1
Home DNB
60%
8/13
3%
8/13
3%
Away DNB
49%
6/5
2%
23/20
4%
A Villa win to nil
17%
4/1
11%
-
Man Utd win to nil
13%
6/1-
A Villa / A Villa
24%
5/2
3%
23/10
2%
A Villa / Man Utd
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
A Villa / Draw
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Draw / A Villa
14%
11/2
8%
9/2
Draw / Man Utd
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
Draw / Draw
13%
6/119/4
4%
Man Utd / A Villa
4%
20/116/1
Man Utd / Man Utd
18%
15/4
5%
7/2
2%
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/110/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
A Villa
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Man Utd
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 15
Nov 9
 Liverpool76011118 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 4
Dec 21
Apr 26
 Man City7520917 
Apr 5
Dec 14
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
 Arsenal7520917 
Mar 8
Dec 3
Feb 22
Dec 1
 Chelsea7421814 
Nov 3
May 18
-
-
 A Villa Home7421314 
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 29
Apr 1
 Brighton7331312 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
Apr 19
Dec 26
 Newcastle7331112 
Dec 29
Apr 12
May 3
Oct 19
 Fulham7322211 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
May 18
Nov 3
 Spurs7313610 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 15
Apr 5
Dec 14
 Nottm Forest7241110 
Dec 7
Apr 1
Dec 3
Mar 8
 Brentford7313010 
Oct 19
May 3
Jan 25
w
 
1-2F
 West Ham7223-18 
May 10
Oct 27
Oct 26
May 10
 Bournemouth7223-28 
Dec 21
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
 Man Utd Away7223-38 
-
-
Jan 4
w
 
1-2F
 Leicester7133-36 
Nov 10
Mar 15
w
 
3-2A
Jan 14
 Everton7124-85 
Dec 1
Feb 22
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
 Ipswich7043-84 
Feb 26
Nov 24
Nov 23
Feb 25
 C Palace7034-53 
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 7
Apr 12
 Southampton7016-111 
Jan 15
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1A
Feb 1
 Wolves7016-121 
Apr 19
Dec 26
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa3 - 1Wolves
A Villa3 - 2Everton
A Villa0 - 2Arsenal
A Villa3 - 3Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Chelsea
A Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa3 - 3Brentford
A Villa2 - 0Wolves
A Villa0 - 4Spurs
A Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 3Newcastle
A Villa3 - 2Burnley
A Villa1 - 1Sheff Utd
A Villa1 - 0Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa3 - 1Luton
A Villa4 - 1West Ham
A Villa6 - 1Brighton
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa2 - 2Ipswich
HA Villa3 - 1Wolves
HA Villa3 - 2Everton
AA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa0 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1West Ham
AA Villa0 - 5C Palace
HA Villa3 - 3Liverpool
AA Villa0 - 1Brighton
HA Villa2 - 2Chelsea
HA Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa2 - 0Arsenal
HA Villa3 - 3Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4Man City
HA Villa2 - 0Wolves
AA Villa1 - 1West Ham
HA Villa0 - 4Spurs
AA Villa3 - 2Luton
HA Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
AA Villa2 - 1Fulham
Man Utd 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace0 - 0Man Utd
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Brighton2 - 1Man Utd
Brighton0 - 2Man Utd
C Palace4 - 0Man Utd
Bournemouth2 - 2Man Utd
Chelsea4 - 3Man Utd
Brentford1 - 1Man Utd
Man City3 - 1Man Utd
Luton1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 2Man Utd
Wolves3 - 4Man Utd
Nottm Forest2 - 1Man Utd
West Ham2 - 0Man Utd
Liverpool0 - 0Man Utd
Newcastle1 - 0Man Utd
Everton0 - 3Man Utd
Fulham0 - 1Man Utd
Sheff Utd1 - 2Man Utd
Burnley0 - 1Man Utd
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan Utd0 - 3Spurs
AMan Utd0 - 0C Palace
AMan Utd3 - 0Southampton
HMan Utd0 - 3Liverpool
AMan Utd1 - 2Brighton
HMan Utd1 - 0Fulham
AMan Utd2 - 0Brighton
HMan Utd3 - 2Newcastle
HMan Utd0 - 1Arsenal
AMan Utd0 - 4C Palace
HMan Utd1 - 1Burnley
HMan Utd4 - 2Sheff Utd
AMan Utd2 - 2Bournemouth
HMan Utd2 - 2Liverpool
AMan Utd3 - 4Chelsea
AMan Utd1 - 1Brentford
HMan Utd2 - 0Everton
AMan Utd1 - 3Man City
HMan Utd1 - 2Fulham
AMan Utd2 - 1Luton
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Man Utd have beaten A Villa in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
22
47
Games: Scored
15 / 29
26 / 29
Clean sheets
3 / 29
14 / 29
AVL
3
D
8
MNU
18
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Man Utd
2 - 3Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
0 - 2Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
0 - 2Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 1
1 - 2Man Utd
1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 0
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
A Villa
Goals: Scored
59
18
Games: Scored
25 / 29
15 / 29
Clean sheets
14 / 29
4 / 29
AVL
2
D
5
MNU
22
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd1 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd4 - 1
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd4 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd4 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Manchester United have conceded in each of their last 5 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.8 for Unai Emery's side suggests that run should continue.

A Villa 5th Man Utd 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
A Villa have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Man Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277861/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.8
1.6
Attack rating
40%
better
AVL
MNU
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score1
3
Scored first2
2
Goals scored12
5
Avg. goals scored2
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal4
12
Conversion rate for24
8
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
AVL
MNU
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
3
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded9
8
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+33%

A Villa v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7422
E MartínezO WatkinsL DigneR Barkley
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK7
1
-
M Cash DEF3
-
E Konsa DEF71
-
P Torres DEF7
1
-
L Digne DEF72
1
-
R Barkley MID61
2
-
Y Tielemans MID72
1
-
L Bailey MID61
1
-
M Rogers MID712
1
-
J Philogene MID4
1
-
O Watkins FWD742
-
Subs
J Gauci GLK
-
D Carlos DEF3
-
K. Nedeljković DEF3
-
I Maatsen DEF7
-
L Bogarde DEF2
1
-
S Swinkels DEF
-
E Buendía MID3
-
K Young MID
-
J Durán FWD74
1
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7114
A OnanaA GarnachoN Mazraoui K Mainoo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Onana GLK7
-
N Mazraoui  DEF71
1
-
H Maguire DEF5
3
-
J Evans  DEF3
-
D Dalot DEF71
1
-
K Mainoo MID7
4
-
C Eriksen MID5
2
-
A Garnacho MID711
1
-
B Fernandes MID71
1
1
M Rashford MID71
1
-
R Höjlund FWD3
-
Subs
A Bayındır GLK
-
V Lindelöf DEF1
1
-
M Ligt DEF71
1
-
L Martínez  DEF6
3
-
A Diallo MID611
1
-
Casemiro MID6
-
Antony MID2
-
M Ugarte MID3
1
-
J Zirkzee FWD71
1
-