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Aston Villa v Southampton : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 15:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Southampton pay English Premier League counterparts Aston Villa a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Russell Martin leads his men into an away clash with Unai Emery & co. at the Villa Park. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


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Best Tip: A Villa to win

We're predicting A Villa will come out on top after 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Villa Park.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
60%
4/9
6%
4/9
3%
Draw
22%
4/119/5
9%
Southampton
18%
5/1
20%
11/2
13%
A Villa 1-0
11%
10/1
22%
15/2
21%
A Villa 2-0
10%
8/1
13%
7/1
14%
Draw 1-1
10%
10/115/2
6%
A Villa 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
13/2
A Villa 3-0
7%
11/1
9%
17/2
12%
A Villa 3-1
6%
11/117/2
Draw 0-0
6%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Southampton 1-0
5%
20/116/1
13%
Southampton 2-1
5%
20/114/1
12%
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
10%
12/1
13%
A Villa 4-0
3%
18/114/1
15%
A Villa 4-1
3%
20/114/1
A Villa 3-2
3%
22/114/1
12%
Southampton 2-0
3%
40/125/1
10%
Southampton 3-1
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1/2
4%
10/21
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
13/8
10%
6/4
9%
Home 1st Goal
56%
3/10
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
12/5
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/6
7%
13/20
10%
BTTS - No
47%
11/10
8%
23/20
13%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
7/4
5%
13/8
6%
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/2
14%
8/1
18%
Home/draw
82%
1/8
2%
1/9
2%
Away/draw
40%
13/8
13%
17/10
10%
Home/away
78%
1/62/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/7
5%
2/13
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
9/2
22%
4/1
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
6/5
12%
23/20
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/6
9%
8/13
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3/1
8%
13/5
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
6/1
13%
11/2
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/10
2%
1/10
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/501/50
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Home DNB
75%
2/11
4%
2/13
3%
Away DNB
33%
7/2
18%
19/5
13%
A Villa win to nil
33%
13/8
5%
-
Southampton win to nil
9%
12/1-
A Villa / A Villa
39%
6/5
5%
11/10
5%
A Villa / Southampton
2%
40/128/1
15%
A Villa / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / A Villa
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
5%
Draw / Southampton
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Draw / Draw
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
Southampton / A Villa
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Southampton / Southampton
8%
11/1
8%
8/1
10%
Southampton / Draw
5%
18/114/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Premier League league table. A Villa are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have scored in every game. A Villa have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 8 goals at home.

Southampton are in 20th position in the Premier League on 5 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Southampton are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Southampton have conceded 25 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Southampton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool1311111834 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 8
2
Arsenal137421225 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
May 25
l
 
3-1F
3
Chelsea137421225 
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
Dec 4
Feb 26
4
Brighton13652523 
Dec 30
Apr 1
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
5
Man City13724323 
Dec 21
Apr 26
May 10
l
 
1-0A
6
Nottm Forest13643322 
Apr 5
Dec 14
l
 
0-1A
Jan 19
7
Spurs136251420 
May 18
l
 
4-1F
Dec 15
Apr 5
8
Brentford13625320 
Dec 4
Mar 8
Jan 4
l
 
3-1A
9
Man Utd13544419 
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
l
 
0-3A
Jan 16
10
Fulham13544019 
May 3
w
 
1-3A
Apr 26
Dec 22
11
Newcastle13544019 
Apr 19
Dec 26
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
12
A Villa 13544-319 
-
-
Apr 12
Dec 7
13
Bournemouth13535118 
d
 
1-1F
May 10
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
14
West Ham13436-715 
Jan 26
w
 
1-2F
Dec 26
Apr 19
15
Everton13256-1111 
w
 
3-2A
Jan 15
w
 
1-0F
May 18
16
Leicester13247-1110 
Jan 4
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-3F
May 3
17
C Palace13166-79 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 25
Apr 2
Dec 29
18
Wolves13238-109 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 1
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
19
Ipswich13166-119 
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
20
Southampton 131210-155 
Dec 7
Apr 12
-
-
Win / draw / win form
7
Southampton have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
A Villa 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa2 - 2C Palace
A Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa0 - 0Man Utd
A Villa3 - 1Wolves
A Villa3 - 2Everton
A Villa0 - 2Arsenal
A Villa3 - 3Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Chelsea
A Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa3 - 3Brentford
A Villa2 - 0Wolves
A Villa0 - 4Spurs
A Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 3Newcastle
A Villa3 - 2Burnley
A Villa1 - 1Sheff Utd
A Villa1 - 0Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa0 - 3Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2C Palace
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa1 - 4Spurs
HA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa3 - 1Fulham
HA Villa0 - 0Man Utd
AA Villa2 - 2Ipswich
HA Villa3 - 1Wolves
HA Villa3 - 2Everton
AA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa0 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1West Ham
AA Villa0 - 5C Palace
HA Villa3 - 3Liverpool
AA Villa0 - 1Brighton
HA Villa2 - 2Chelsea
HA Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa2 - 0Arsenal
HA Villa3 - 3Brentford
Southampton 20TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
Wolves2 - 0Southampton
Man City1 - 0Southampton
Arsenal3 - 1Southampton
Bournemouth3 - 1Southampton
Brentford3 - 1Southampton
Newcastle1 - 0Southampton
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
West Brom0 - 0Southampton
Leeds1 - 2Southampton
Leicester5 - 0Southampton
Cardiff2 - 1Southampton
Blackburn0 - 0Southampton
Ipswich3 - 2Southampton
Birmingham3 - 4Southampton
West Brom0 - 2Southampton
Bristol C3 - 1Southampton
Rotherham0 - 2Southampton
Swansea1 - 3Southampton
Norwich1 - 1Southampton
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton1 - 1Brighton
HSouthampton2 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 2Wolves
HSouthampton1 - 0Everton
ASouthampton0 - 1Man City
HSouthampton2 - 3Leicester
ASouthampton1 - 3Arsenal
ASouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
HSouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton0 - 3Man Utd
ASouthampton1 - 3Brentford
HSouthampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
ASouthampton0 - 1Newcastle
ASouthampton1 - 0Leeds
HSouthampton3 - 1West Brom
ASouthampton0 - 0West Brom
ASouthampton2 - 1Leeds
HSouthampton0 - 1Stoke
ASouthampton0 - 5Leicester
ASouthampton1 - 2Cardiff
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A Villa have beaten Southampton in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
A Villa have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Southampton
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Southampton
Goals: Scored
27
21
Games: Scored
15 / 21
12 / 21
Clean sheets
9 / 21
6 / 21
AVL
8
D
6
SOU
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa4 - 0
3 - 4Southampton
1 - 3Southampton
2 - 4Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Southampton
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 1Southampton
A Villa2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Southampton
A Villa3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Southampton since 1993
Southampton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
36
27
Games: Scored
17 / 21
16 / 21
Clean sheets
5 / 21
4 / 21
AVL
9
D
3
SOU
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
0 - 1A Villa
Southampton1 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
Southampton2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton6 - 1
2 - 3A Villa
Southampton4 - 1
2 - 3A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3A Villa
Southampton2 - 0
Southampton2 - 0
1 - 4A Villa
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Southampton2 - 1
Southampton4 - 1
Southampton2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's defensive record is to be admired, Unai Emery's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive English Premier League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Southampton makes sense in this context.

A Villa 12th Southampton 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Southampton have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277943/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
1.9
1
Attack rating
23%
better
AVL
SOU
view stats
Games scored9
8
Failed to score4
5
Scored first4
4
Goals scored19
10
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
11
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
3%
better
AVL
SOU
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded22
25
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
2.1
KickOff rating
+3%

A Villa v Southampton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13643
E MartínezO WatkinsY TielemansL Digne
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK13
1
-
L Digne DEF132
3
-
P Torres DEF13
1
-
Y Tielemans MID134
3
-
J Durán FWD134
1
-
O Watkins FWD1362
-
M Rogers FWD1332
3
-
L Bailey FWD122
2
-
E Konsa DEF111
-
J McGinn MID111
2
-
I Maatsen DEF10
1
-
J Ramsey MID102
1
-
A Onana MID102
3
-
R Barkley MID1021
3
-
J Philogene FWD9
2
1
M Cash DEF8
2
-
D Carlos DEF7
1
-
E Buendía FWD6
1
-
B Kamara MID4
1
-
L Bogarde DEF3
1
-
K. Nedeljković DEF3
-
R Olsen GLK1
-
Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12225
T Harwood-BellisC ArcherA LallanaT Harwood-Bellis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Harwood-Bellis DEF131
5
-
C Archer FWD132
-
T Obling FWD131
5
-
Y Sugawara DEF1211
2
-
M Fernandes MID1211
3
-
J Aribo MID121
-
F Downes MID121
5
-
J Bednarek DEF11
3
-
K Walker-Peters DEF111
3
-
A Armstrong FWD1021
3
-
A Ramsdale GLK9
1
-
J Stephens DEF9
2
1
A Lallana MID82
4
-
B Díaz FWD8
1
-
R Manning DEF6
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID6
1
-
R Fraser FWD6
1
C Taylor DEF5
1
-
P Onuachu FWD5
1
-
W Smallbone MID4
-
R Stewart FWD4
1
-
A McCarthy GLK3
-
K Sulemana FWD3
-
S Edozie FWD2
1
-
M Cornet FWD2
1
-
J Lumley GLK1
-
J Bree DEF1
-
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD1
-