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Bournemouth v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Saturday evening sees Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth and Unai Emery’s Aston Villa go head to head in a English Premier League clash at the Vitality Stadium. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Bournemouth's next match is v Man City at 20:00 on Tuesday 20th May
Aston Villa's next match is v Spurs at 19:30 on Friday 16th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Bournemouth and A Villa was on Saturday 10th May 2025
English Premier League
May 10th 2025
Bournemouth 0
1 A Villa
 
45' O. Watkins
 
BOU
AVL
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
10
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
19
12
Yellow/red cards
4/0
4/1
 
BournemouthA Villa
 
K. Arrizabalaga Revuelta
D. Huijsen
K. Milos (D. Jebbison 88')
I. Zabarnyi (J. Araujo 88')
A. Smith (D. Brooks 70')
M. Tavernier
T. Adams (M. Senesi 76')
A. Scott (J. Kluivert 46')
L. Cook
F. de Lima Barbosa
A. Semenyo
D. Martínez
M. Cash
E. Konsa Ngoyo
(P. Francisco Torres 70') T. Mings
L. Digne
J. Ramsey
(I. Maatsen 89') M. Rogers
A. Mvom Onana
B. Kamara
(J. McGinn 70') M. Asensio Willemsen
football iconO. Watkins

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this fixture will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Bournemouth and A Villa have seldom treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in the Premier League individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bournemouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bournemouth
40%
31/20-
Draw
26%
5/2-
A Villa
33%
13/8-
Draw 1-1
13%
13/2-
Bournemouth 1-0
10%
11/1-
A Villa 1-0
9%
11/1-
Bournemouth 2-1
9%
10/1-
A Villa 2-1
8%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
12/1-
Bournemouth 2-0
7%
16/1
13%
-
A Villa 2-0
6%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Bournemouth 3-1
4%
20/1-
Bournemouth 3-0
3%
28/1-
A Villa 3-1
3%
20/1-
Bournemouth 3-2
2%
25/1-
A Villa 3-0
2%
28/1-
A Villa 3-2
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
46%
1/1
2%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/7-
BTTS - No
47%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
7/2-
Home/draw
67%
4/9-
Away/draw
60%
8/15-
Home/away
74%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/5
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
7/2
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
13/8
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/2
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
8/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/1-
Home DNB
59%
5/6-
Away DNB
52%
5/6-
Bournemouth win to nil
22%
4/1-
A Villa win to nil
18%
9/2-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
20%
10/3-
Bournemouth / A Villa
3%
25/1-
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bournemouth
13%
11/2-
Draw / A Villa
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1-
A Villa / Bournemouth
3%
25/1-
A Villa / A Villa
20%
10/3-
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Bournemouth have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Bournemouth have conceded 14 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bournemouth have played 17 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

A Villa lay in 7th place on 60 points in the Premier League league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 39 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 17 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bournemouth
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3625834683 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal36181443368 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
Newcastle36206102366 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-0A
4
Man City3619892465 
w
 
2-1F
May 20
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Chelsea3618991963 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
6
A Villa Away361899763 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
7
Nottm Forest36188101262 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
8
Brentford36167131055 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
9
Brighton3614139355 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
10
Bournemouth H361411111253 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
11
Fulham3614913151 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
12
C Palace36121311-249 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
13
Everton3691512-542 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
14
Wolves3612519-1341 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
15
West Ham36101016-1740 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
16
Man Utd3610917-1139 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
17
Spurs3611520438 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
May 16
l
 
4-1F
18
Ipswich3641022-4222 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Leicester365724-4722 
May 25
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
20
Southampton362628-5712 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Bournemouth 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
A Villa 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bournemouth since 2015
Bournemouth
A Villa
Goals: Scored
6
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
BOU
2
D
1
AVL
1
League games at A Villa since 2016
A Villa
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
BOU
2
D
1
AVL
2
Goal Statistics
Bournemouth 10th A Villa 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Bournemouth will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Bournemouth have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278145/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bournemouth
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
BOU
AVL
4%
better
view stats
Games scored28
29
Failed to score7
6
Scored first17
17
Goals scored55
55
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
9%
better
BOU
AVL
view stats
Games conceded27
28
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first16
17
Goals conceded42
49
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%

Bournemouth v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
361269
M KerkezJ KluivertJ KluivertD. Huijsen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Arrizabalaga GLK29
3
-
A Smith DEF23
7
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF34
4
1
D. Huijsen DEF3031
9
-
M Kerkez DEF3625
4
-
T Adams MID263
7
-
L Cook MID3513
9
-
A Semenyo MID3595
9
-
A Scott MID19
3
-
M Tavernier MID2735
5
-
Evanilson  FWD29101
1
1
Subs
W Dennis GLK
-
M Senesi DEF16
5
-
J Soler DEF1
-
J Araujo DEF11
1
-
J Hill DEF101
1
-
D Brooks  MID272
4
-
B. Winterburn MID3
-
J Kluivert FWD32126
8
-
D Jebbison FWD14
1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351699
E MartínezO WatkinsM RogersM Rogers
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK35
5
-
M Cash DEF2511
6
-
E Konsa DEF321
1
-
T Mings DEF14
1
-
L Digne DEF324
3
-
B Kamara MID24
2
-
A Onana MID243
4
-
M Rogers MID3589
9
-
M Asensio MID1131
2
-
J Ramsey MID2813
3
1
O Watkins FWD36167
2
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK3
-
A Disasi DEF7
2
-
P Torres DEF221
1
-
A García DEF7
-
I Maatsen DEF2712
2
-
R Barkley MID1831
3
-
J McGinn MID3214
7
-
L Bailey MID2312
3
-
D Malen FWD123
-