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Bournemouth v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 15:00 BST, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Saturday afternoon at the Vitality Stadium, and it’s a English Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Chelsea. Andoni Iraola Sagarna and Enzo Maresca going all-out to guide their side to victory. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% probability of Bournemouth and Chelsea delivering a minimum of 2 goals in this Premier League tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Chelsea coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bournemouth
31%
3.103.00
Draw
25%
3.603.60
Chelsea
44%
2.102.25
Draw 1-1
12%
7.507.00
Chelsea 2-1
9%
10.008.50
Chelsea 1-0
9%
11.009.50
Bournemouth 2-1
7%
13.0010.00
Bournemouth 1-0
7%
15.0011.00
Chelsea 2-0
7%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
6%
15.0012.00
Chelsea 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
Bournemouth 2-0
5%
21.0015.00
Chelsea 3-0
4%
23.0017.00
Bournemouth 3-1
3%
26.0017.00
Chelsea 3-2
3%
23.0017.00
Bournemouth 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
Bournemouth 3-0
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.671.65
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.202.15
Home 1st Goal
46%
2.102.15
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.731.80
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0011.00
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.571.57
BTTS - No
42%
2.252.30
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5.504.80
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3.753.70
Home/draw
56%
1.701.65
Away/draw
69%
1.361.36
Home/away
75%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.201.20
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.504.00
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2.632.50
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.501.48
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4.504.50
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.201.18
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9.008.50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.071.06
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.0011.00
Home DNB
48%
2.252.15
Away DNB
61%
1.571.62
Bournemouth win to nil
15%
6.50-
Chelsea win to nil
22%
4.33-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
17%
5.004.60
Bournemouth / Chelsea
4%
23.0019.00
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Bournemouth
12%
7.506.50
Draw / Chelsea
14%
6.005.50
Draw / Draw
14%
6.505.25
Chelsea / Bournemouth
3%
29.0021.00
Chelsea / Chelsea
24%
3.503.40
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Bournemouth have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league. Bournemouth are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Bournemouth have conceded 18 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bournemouth have played 6 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Chelsea lay in 3rd place on 24 points in the Premier League league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Chelsea have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Chelsea have played 6 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal139311830 
Jan 3
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Feb 28
2
Man City138141525 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
Apr 11
Jan 4
3
Chelsea137331224 
Dec 6
Dec 30
-
-
4
A Villa13733524 
Feb 7
l
 
4-0A
Dec 27
Mar 4
5
Brighton13643522 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 19
l
 
1-3F
Apr 25
6
Sunderland13643422 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2F
l
 
1-2F
May 24
7
Man Utd13634121 
Mar 21
Dec 15
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
8
Liverpool13706021 
Jan 24
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-1F
May 9
9
C Palace13553620 
May 2
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
10
Brentford13616119 
Mar 4
Dec 27
Jan 17
d
 
2-2A
11
Bournemouth13544-219 
-
-
Dec 30
Dec 6
12
Spurs13535518 
Jan 7
w
 
0-1F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
13
Newcastle13535118 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Mar 14
Dec 20
14
Everton13535-318 
Dec 2
Feb 11
Dec 13
Mar 21
15
Fulham13526-217 
w
 
3-1A
May 9
w
 
2-0F
Jan 7
16
Nottm Forest13337-912 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
May 2
w
 
0-3F
17
West Ham13328-1211 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 21
Jan 31
w
 
1-5A
18
Leeds13328-1211 
Apr 25
d
 
2-2F
Feb 11
Dec 3
19
Burnley13319-1210 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves130211-212 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
w
 
3-0F
Feb 7
Win / draw / win form
Bournemouth 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth2 - 2West Ham
Bournemouth2 - 0Nottm Forest
Bournemouth3 - 1Fulham
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Bournemouth2 - 1Brighton
Bournemouth1 - 0Wolves
Bournemouth2 - 0Leicester
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Bournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
Bournemouth1 - 0Fulham
Bournemouth1 - 2Ipswich
Bournemouth1 - 2Brentford
Bournemouth0 - 1Wolves
Bournemouth0 - 2Liverpool
Bournemouth5 - 0Nottm Forest
Bournemouth1 - 0Everton
Bournemouth0 - 0C Palace
Bournemouth1 - 1West Ham
Bournemouth1 - 0Spurs
Bournemouth1 - 2Brighton
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABournemouth2 - 3Sunderland
HBournemouth2 - 2West Ham
ABournemouth0 - 4A Villa
ABournemouth1 - 3Man City
HBournemouth2 - 0Nottm Forest
ABournemouth3 - 3C Palace
HBournemouth3 - 1Fulham
ABournemouth2 - 2Leeds
HBournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
HBournemouth2 - 1Brighton
ABournemouth1 - 0Spurs
HBournemouth1 - 0Wolves
ABournemouth2 - 4Liverpool
HBournemouth2 - 0Leicester
ABournemouth1 - 3Man City
HBournemouth0 - 1A Villa
ABournemouth2 - 1Arsenal
HBournemouth1 - 1Man Utd
ABournemouth0 - 0C Palace
HBournemouth1 - 0Fulham
Chelsea 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burnley0 - 2Chelsea
Spurs0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
West Ham1 - 5Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Fulham1 - 2Chelsea
Brentford0 - 0Chelsea
Arsenal1 - 0Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Man City3 - 1Chelsea
C Palace1 - 1Chelsea
Ipswich2 - 0Chelsea
Everton0 - 0Chelsea
Spurs3 - 4Chelsea
Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
Leicester1 - 2Chelsea
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
HChelsea1 - 2Sunderland
AChelsea3 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea2 - 1Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 3Brighton
AChelsea1 - 2Man Utd
AChelsea2 - 2Brentford
HChelsea2 - 0Fulham
AChelsea5 - 1West Ham
HChelsea0 - 0C Palace
AChelsea1 - 0Nottm Forest
HChelsea1 - 0Man Utd
AChelsea0 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea3 - 1Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 0Everton
AChelsea2 - 1Fulham
HChelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Chelsea have not lost to Bournemouth in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bournemouth since 2016
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
9
14
Games: Scored
5 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
3 / 8
BOU
1
D
2
CHE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
0 - 1Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Chelsea
Draw2 - 2Draw
Bournemouth4 - 0
0 - 1Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
1 - 4Chelsea
League games at Chelsea since 2015
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
11
8
Games: Scored
5 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
3 / 8
BOU
3
D
1
CHE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Draw2 - 2Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
0 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea2 - 0
0 - 3Bournemouth
Chelsea3 - 0
0 - 1Bournemouth
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 20 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Bournemouth on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Bournemouth 11th Chelsea 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Bournemouth will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Bournemouth have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Bournemouth
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
BOU
CHE
18%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score2
1
Scored first7
9
Goals scored21
24
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
BOU
CHE
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
7
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded23
12
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against21%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%

Bournemouth v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13635
Đorđe PetrovićA SemenyoM SenesiM Senesi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK13
1
-
A Truffert DEF131
3
-
M Senesi DEF133
5
-
A Scott MID131
1
-
M Tavernier MID1331
-
T Adams MID1321
4
-
D Brooks  FWD121
5
-
A Semenyo FWD1263
3
-
J Kluivert MID111
2
-
Evanilson  FWD111
1
-
B Diakité DEF10
1
-
R Christie MID101
1
-
E Kroupi FWD104
1
-
A Adli FWD101
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF9
4
-
J Hill DEF7
1
-
L Cook MID7
1
A Smith DEF6
-
V. Milosavljević DEF4
-
B Doak FWD41
-
E Ünal  FWD31
-
J Soler DEF1
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13433
R SánchezJ Pedro R James M Cucurella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK13
1
1
M Cucurella  DEF132
3
-
R James  DEF1313
2
-
J Pedro  FWD1343
1
-
P Neto FWD1342
1
-
T Chalobah DEF123
2
1
M Caicedo MID1231
2
1
E Fernández MID1241
2
-
M Gusto DEF1111
1
1
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1111
2
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD101
-
A Santos MID9
2
-
T Adarabioyo DEF8
1
-
A Garnacho FWD712
-
W Fofana DEF6
-
L Delap FWD6
-
J. Acheampong DEF51
-
M Guiu FWD51
-
J Hato DEF4
2
-
R Lavia MID4
-
T. George FWD4
2
-
B Badiashile  DEF3
2
-
C Palmer MID31
-
F Jörgensen GLK1
-
F Buonanotte MID1
-