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Brentford v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 15:00 BST, Brentford Community Stadium, Brendtford

Fabian Hürzeler will be hoping for a vital away win in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Brighton and Hove Albion side to the Brentford Community Stadium to visit Brentford and Keith Andrews. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Brentford and Brighton will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookmakers have it at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brentford are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brentford
49%
2.102.25
2%
Draw
24%
3.60
6%
3.40
Brighton
27%
3.10
6%
3.10
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50
7%
6.50
Brentford 2-1
10%
10.008.50
Brentford 1-0
9%
10.00
11%
8.00
7%
Brentford 2-0
8%
13.00
8%
10.00
Brighton 2-1
7%
12.0010.00
9%
Brighton 1-0
7%
13.00
18%
9.50
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
6%
13.00
18%
9.50
Brentford 3-1
5%
17.00
19%
15.00
Brentford 3-0
5%
21.00
9%
17.00
Brighton 2-0
4%
19.00
12%
15.00
Brentford 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
Brighton 3-1
3%
26.0019.00
10%
Brentford 4-1
2%
41.0029.00
12%
Brighton 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.73
9%
1.85
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.10
10%
1.85
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.73
4%
1.80
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.102.20
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
18%
9.00
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.62
5%
1.73
BTTS - No
43%
2.20
7%
2.05
3%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
4.00
11%
4.20
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
4%
4.20
BTTS - Away Win
14%
5.50
8%
5.50
4%
Home/draw
73%
1.361.35
2%
Away/draw
51%
1.70
5%
1.62
2%
Home/away
76%
1.29
1%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.22
5%
1.29
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.33
15%
3.40
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.75
19%
3.10
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.44
8%
1.33
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.00
17%
6.00
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.17
4%
1.11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10.00
23%
12.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.06
2%
1.02
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
1.05
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.00
18%
9.00
Home DNB
66%
1.57
3%
1.60
3%
Away DNB
43%
2.25
2%
2.20
4%
Brentford win to nil
25%
4.00-
Brighton win to nil
13%
6.00
9%
-
Brentford / Brentford
24%
3.50
7%
3.40
3%
Brentford / Brighton
3%
29.0023.00
Brentford / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
9%
Draw / Brentford
14%
6.005.50
Draw / Brighton
11%
7.507.00
7%
Draw / Draw
15%
6.00
9%
4.80
Brighton / Brentford
4%
23.00
12%
19.00
Brighton / Brighton
16%
5.50
10%
4.80
4%
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brentford have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 2 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Brentford have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Brentford have played 12 games at home winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Brighton are in 14th position in the Premier League on 31 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Brighton have conceded 27 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brentford
Brighton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2517533256 
Feb 12
l
 
2-0A
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
2
Man City2515552750 
l
 
0-1A
May 9
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
A Villa251456947 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
3-4F
Feb 11
4
Man Utd2512851044 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 25
May 24
l
 
4-2A
5
Chelsea2512761743 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
6
Liverpool251168539 
w
 
3-2F
May 24
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
7
Brentford2512310539 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Feb 21
8
Everton251078037 
Apr 11
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
9
Sunderland25997-236 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
10
Fulham2510411-234 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
11
Bournemouth258107-334 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 3
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
12
Newcastle259610-133 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
May 2
13
C Palace25889-332 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Brighton257108131 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
-
-
15
Spurs257810029 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
16
Leeds257810-929 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
w
 
3-0F
May 17
17
Nottm Forest257513-1326 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
Mar 1
w
 
0-2F
18
West Ham256514-1723 
May 2
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
19
Burnley253616-2415 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 28
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
20
Wolves251519-328 
Mar 16
w
 
0-2F
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Brentford 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Brighton 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brentford since 2007
Brentford
Brighton
Goals: Scored
13
9
Games: Scored
5 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
5 / 10
BRE
4
D
4
BHA
2
League games at Brighton since 2006
Brighton
Brentford
Goals: Scored
18
10
Games: Scored
8 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
3 / 11
BRE
2
D
3
BHA
6
Goal Statistics

Brentford's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Brighton and Hove Albion have conceded in each of their last 5 English Premier League matches. A PG of 1.7 for K. Andrews's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Brighton and Hove Albion of late. It has been 5 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Brentford.

Brentford 7th Brighton 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Brentford will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Brentford’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Brighton have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brentford
PG (predicted goals)
Brighton
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
8%
better
BRE
BHA
view stats
Games scored18
20
Failed to score7
5
Scored first15
9
Goals scored39
34
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
7%
better
BRE
BHA
view stats
Games conceded19
20
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first9
14
Goals conceded34
33
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+7%

Brentford v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251747
C KelleherI ThiagoV JaneltK Schade
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK25
1
-
M Kayode DEF25
6
-
Y Yarmoliuk MID2512
5
-
I Thiago FWD25171
5
-
N Collins DEF2412
4
-
J Henderson MID2313
4
-
M Jensen MID2321
1
-
K Schade FWD2363
6
1
K Lewis-Potter FWD2321
1
-
R Henry DEF21
2
-
M Damsgaard MID2113
-
S Berg DEF20
1
-
V Janelt MID2014
6
-
K Ajer DEF191
2
-
D Ouattara FWD1951
3
-
A Hickey DEF16
1
-
F Carvalho MID61
-
R Nelson FWD6
-
E Pinnock DEF3
1
-
R Donovan MID2
-
A Milambo MID1
-
Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25848
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK25
3
-
F Kadioglu DEF24
4
-
L Dunk DEF24
8
-
D Welbeck FWD248
4
-
J Hecke DEF2332
6
-
G Rutter FWD2323
2
-
Y Minteh FWD2314
-
D Amarilla MID223
6
-
M Cuyper DEF212
2
-
Y Ayari MID2132
-
C Quomah MID20
4
-
M Wieffer MID163
4
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1521
2
-
K Mitoma FWD1521
2
-
J Milner  MID1411
2
-
J Hinshelwood MID1411
-
J Veltman DEF131
3
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
O Boscagli DEF61
1
-
P Groß MID61
2
-
M O'Riley MID31
-