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Burnley v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Turf Moor, Burnley

Arsenal pay English Premier League counterparts Burnley a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Mikel Arteta guides his men into an away clash with Vincent Kompany & co. at the Turf Moor. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Premier League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Burnley's next match is v C Palace at 15:00 on Saturday 24th February
Arsenal's next match is v Porto at 20:00 on Wednesday 21st February
The last English Premier League meeting between Burnley and Arsenal was on Saturday 17th February 2024
English Premier League
February 17th 2024
Burnley 0
5 Arsenal
 
4' M. Ødegaard
41' B. Saka
47' B. Saka
66' L. Trossard
78' K. Havertz
 
BRN
ARS
Shots On
7
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
4
6
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
11
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
BurnleyArsenal
 
J. Trafford
L. Assignon (V. da Silva 80')
H. Delcroix
M. Esteve (C. Taylor 62')
D. O'Shea
S. Berge
J. Brownhill
A. Ramsey (J. Rodriguez 63')
D. Fofana
M. Amdouni (J. Berg Guðmunds­son 46')
W. Odobert (J. Bruun Larsen 80')
D. Raya Martin
J. Kiwior
W. Saliba
(C. Alves Soares 69') B. White
G. dos Santos Magalhães
football iconM. Ødegaard
(E. Smith Rowe 84') football iconK. Havertz
(J. Frello Filho 79') D. Rice
G. Martinelli Silva
(R. Nelson 69') football iconfootball iconB. Saka
(E. Nketiah 69') football iconL. Trossard
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 66% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Burnley
15%
9/1
33%
17/2
12%
10/1
38%
10/1
47%
Draw
19%
19/4
15%
9/2
16%
9/2
10%
5/1
15%
Arsenal
66%
2/7
5%
2/7
5%
2/7
5%
27/100
9%
Arsenal 2-0
11%
13/2
6%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Arsenal 1-0
10%
8/17/1
7%
13/27/1
7%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
9/1
5%
15/215/2
6%
15/2
Draw 1-1
9%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
10/1
10%
19/2
11%
Arsenal 3-0
8%
8/1
10%
7/1
16%
7/1
11%
13/2
17%
Arsenal 3-1
7%
11/110/110/121/2
Draw 0-0
5%
14/116/1
13%
16/116/1
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
25/1
24%
20/1
11%
20/1
24%
20/1
17%
Arsenal 4-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
24%
12/1
13%
11/1
25%
Burnley 1-0
4%
25/1
13%
28/1
26%
28/1
26%
22/1
21%
Burnley 2-1
4%
28/1
26%
28/1
26%
25/1
24%
24/1
32%
Arsenal 4-1
4%
18/1
10%
16/1
11%
16/117/1
5%
Arsenal 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
25/1
13%
22/1
10%
24/1
9%
Burnley 2-0
2%
50/1
24%
70/1
27%
50/1
24%
45/1
28%
Arsenal 5-0
2%
25/1
24%
25/1
24%
25/1
10%
20/1
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
8/15
3%
8/15
4%
8/15
3%
4/7
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
7/5
2%
11/8
6%
11/8
6%
7/5
7%
Home 1st Goal
39%
7/2
20%
16/5
14%
3/1
18%
-
Away 1st Goal
58%
1/5
4%
2/7
5%
1/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/116/1
13%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
19/20
8%
19/20
7%
Evs
9%
21/20
7%
BTTS - No
47%
4/5
8%
4/5
4%
8/11
5%
8/11
6%
BTTS - Home Win
8%
14/1
25%
16/1
31%
14/1
25%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
12%
6/1
17%
-
BTTS - Away Win
31%
15/89/5
3%
9/5-
Home/draw
34%
5/2
17%
5/2
17%
5/2
17%
11/4
25%
Away/draw
85%
1/16
4%
1/25
2%
1/16
3%
1/18
4%
Home/away
81%
1/7
3%
2/15
4%
1/8
3%
2/15
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/61/6
1%
1/62/13
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4/119/5
7%
7/24/1
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/8
5%
13/10
8%
11/8
5%
6/4
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/7
3%
4/7
5%
8/15
2%
13/25
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
10/33/1
9%
10/37/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/92/9
3%
1/51/5
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/113/2
17%
7/18/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/121/12
1%
1/161/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40
1%
1/33
1%
-1/100
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
-15/1
Home DNB
28%
7/1
33%
11/2
18%
13/2
25%
15/2
47%
Away DNB
80%
1/12
4%
1/10
2%
1/14
4%
1/14
4%
Burnley win to nil
7%
16/1
31%
20/1
24%
18/1
27%
-
Arsenal win to nil
35%
11/10
12%
11/10
11%
21/20
9%
-
Burnley / Burnley
5%
18/1
27%
22/1
53%
14/1
25%
17/1
44%
Burnley / Arsenal
4%
20/1
11%
22/118/122/1
Burnley / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
22/1
10%
20/1
11%
24/1
25%
Draw / Burnley
4%
20/1
24%
20/1
24%
20/1
24%
20/1
40%
Draw / Arsenal
21%
3/1
8%
29/10
3%
3/1
5%
10/3
1%
Draw / Draw
10%
8/1
13%
7/1
14%
8/1
13%
15/2
13%
Arsenal / Burnley
1%
50/1
24%
90/1
28%
66/1
31%
90/1
36%
Arsenal / Arsenal
46%
5/6
11%
10/11
9%
4/5
8%
4/5
11%
Arsenal / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
22/1
21%
18/1
12%
20/1
11%
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Burnley have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Burnley have conceded 50 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Burnley have played 12 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 3rd place on 52 points in the Premier League league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 48 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 12 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Burnley
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Arsenal
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
 Liverpool2517623557 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
 Man City2517533256 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 31
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
 Arsenal Away2517443655 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
 A Villa2515461949 
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-5F
May 11
 Spurs2514561447 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 27
l
 
0-1A
Apr 27
 Man Utd251429144 
w
 
3-1A
May 11
Apr 13
d
 
1-1F
 Brighton251087838 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
May 4
l
 
2-0A
 Newcastle25114101237 
Feb 24
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
Mar 10
 West Ham251069-836 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-6F
l
 
1-4F
Mar 30
 Chelsea2510510135 
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
Apr 2
l
 
1-0A
 Wolves2510510-135 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
 Fulham258512-729 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
Mar 3
l
 
2-1F
 Bournemouth247710-1328 
May 4
w
 
0-4F
Mar 16
l
 
3-0A
 Brentford257414-925 
Mar 9
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 24
 C Palace256712-1625 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 19
d
 
1-1F
 Nottm Forest256613-1224 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 6
 Everton258611-620 
May 19
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Luton245514-1320 
Apr 2
w
 
3-4F
-
-
 Burnley Home253418-3013 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
5-0F
Apr 20
 Sheff Utd253418-4313 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 4
Win / draw / win form
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
Arsenal 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Arsenal have not lost to Burnley in 8 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Burnley since 2009
Burnley
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
3
9
Games: Scored
3 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
5 / 8
D
3
ARS
5
All league games since 2009
Burnley
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
9
30
Games: Scored
9 / 17
14 / 17
Clean sheets
3 / 17
8 / 17
BRN
1
D
4
ARS
12
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Burnley 19th Arsenal 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Arsenal will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Burnley’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+25
Arsenal have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258792/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
0.9
2.2
Attack rating
BRN
ARS
43%
better
view stats
Games scored16
22
Failed to score9
3
Scored first10
19
Goals scored25
58
Avg. goals scored1
2.3
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate13%
20%
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
BRN
ARS
48%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
15
Clean sheets2
10
Conceded first15
6
Goals conceded55
22
Avg. goals conceded2.2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate20%
15%
KickOff rating
+48%

Burnley v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25436
J TraffordZ AmdouniD O'SheaS Berge
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK25
2
-
L Assignon  DEF31
1
-
D O'Shea DEF2113
4
-
M Estève DEF3
-
H Delcroix  DEF11
1
-
A Ramsey MID14
1
-
S Berge MID2411
6
-
J Brownhill  MID2431
3
-
W Odobert MID1632
2
-
D Fofana FWD421
1
-
Z Amdouni FWD2441
1
-
Subs
A Muric GLK
-
C Taylor DEF1711
6
-
Vitinho DEF19
-
J Cork MID2
-
J Gudmundsson MID172
2
-
J Cullen MID121
5
-
J Rodríguez FWD1421
-
B Hedilazio FWD4
-
J Larsen  FWD202
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251266
W SalibaB SakaM ØdegaardK Havertz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK20
-
B White DEF2412
5
-
W Saliba DEF2521
3
-
G Magalhães DEF233
2
-
J Kiwior DEF132
1
-
M Ødegaard MID2256
1
-
D Rice MID2544
3
-
K Havertz MID2452
6
-
B Saka FWD24126
3
-
L Trossard FWD2171
-
G Martinelli FWD2353
1
-
Subs
A Ramsdale GLK5
-
C Soares DEF2
-
J. Sweet DEF
-
Jorginho MID151
1
-
M Elneny MID2
-
M Bandeira MID
-
E Rowe MID91
-
R Nelson FWD12
1
-
E Nketiah FWD2352
3
-