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Burnley v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, Turf Moor, Burnley

We’ve English Premier League action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Scott Parker and his Burnley side host Andoni Iraola Sagarna’s Bournemouth at the Turf Moor. Premier League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and the best odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of impressive, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Scott Parker or Andoni Iraola Sagarna deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, show that doesn't seem likely.

Bournemouth DNB is the most likely outcome in this market, according to KickOff’s predictive algorithm. This means that Bournemouth winning would deliver a winning bet, or your stake would be refunded should the game end level. We’re giving a 62% probability on this one, and the best odds with the bookies are 1.40.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burnley 31%	4.00 14%	3.60
Draw 23%	3.60	3.40 6%
Bournemouth 46%	1.85 5%	1.85 8%
Draw 1-1 10%	7.50	6.50 7%
Bournemouth 2-1 9%	9.50	8.00
Burnley 2-1 7%	15.00 15%	11.00
Bournemouth 1-0 7%	9.50	8.00 6%
Draw 2-2 7%	15.00	11.00
Bournemouth 2-0 6%	11.00	9.50 5%
Burnley 1-0 6%	15.00 15%	11.00
Bournemouth 3-1 5%	15.00 12%	12.00 8%
Burnley 2-0 4%	23.00 10%	17.00
Bournemouth 3-2 4%	23.00 12%	19.00
Draw 0-0 4%	13.00	11.00
Bournemouth 3-0 4%	19.00	15.00
Burnley 3-1 4%	34.00 17%	23.00 10%
Burnley 3-2 3%	41.00 21%	26.00 13%
Bournemouth 4-1 2%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	1.73	1.70
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	2.10	2.05
Home 1st Goal 47%	2.38 6%	2.40 4%
Away 1st Goal 51%	1.62 3%	1.67 2%
No 1st Goal 2%	13.00	11.00
BTTS - Yes 64%	1.62 3%	1.65 2%
BTTS - No 36%	2.20 5%	2.15
BTTS - Home Win 19%	7.00 17%	6.50 13%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50	4.40 2%
BTTS - Away Win 26%	3.50 7%	3.50
Home/draw 54%	1.91 6%	1.85 3%
Away/draw 69%	1.22 5%	1.25 3%
Home/away 77%	1.29	1.29
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1.22	1.22
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	4.33	4.00
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	2.75	2.70
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	1.44	1.40 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	5.00	5.00 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	1.17	1.15
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	10.00 9%	9.50
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1.06 1%	1.05
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.04	1.04 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	13.00	11.00
Home DNB 47%	3.00 14%	2.70 4%
Away DNB 62%	1.36 6%	1.40 3%
Burnley win to nil 13%	8.00 14%	-
Bournemouth win to nil 20%	3.50 7%	-
Burnley / Burnley 14%	6.50 8%	5.75 10%
Burnley / Bournemouth 4%	23.00	19.00 12%
Burnley / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00 8%
Draw / Burnley 10%	9.00 6%	8.50 6%
Draw / Bournemouth 16%	5.50	5.25
Draw / Draw 14%	6.50 8%	5.50 5%
Bournemouth / Burnley 3%	34.00 17%	29.00 26%
Bournemouth / Bournemouth 29%	3.00 6%	2.88 4%
Bournemouth / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00 8%

Draw no bet Premier League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burnley Bournemouth
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	30	20	7	3	37	67	l 0-2A	May 17	l 2-3F	Apr 11
2	Man City	29	18	6	5	32	60	Apr 26	l 5-1A	May 17	l 3-1A
3	Man Utd	29	14	9	6	11	51	d 2-2F	l 3-2A	Mar 20	d 4-4A
4	A Villa	29	15	6	8	5	51	May 9	l 2-1A	d 1-1A	l 4-0A
5	Chelsea	29	13	9	7	19	48	l 0-2A	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F
6	Liverpool	29	14	6	9	9	48	l 0-1A	d 1-1A	w 3-2F	l 4-2A
7	Brentford	29	13	5	11	4	44	l 3-4A	l 3-1A	d 0-00-0	l 4-1A
8	Everton	29	12	7	10	1	43	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	l 0-1A	w 1-2A
9	Bournemouth	29	9	13	7	-2	40	Mar 14	d 1-1A	-	-
10	Fulham	29	12	4	13	-3	40	l 2-3A	Mar 21	w 3-1A	May 9
11	Sunderland	29	10	10	9	-4	40	w 2-0F	l 3-0A	d 1-1A	l 3-2F
12	Newcastle	29	11	6	12	-1	39	l 1-3A	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	Apr 18
13	C Palace	29	10	8	11	-2	38	l 0-1A	w 2-3A	May 2	d 3-3F
14	Brighton	29	9	10	10	2	37	Apr 11	l 2-0A	w 2-1F	d 1-1F
15	Leeds	29	7	10	12	-11	31	w 2-0F	May 2	Apr 25	d 2-2F
16	Spurs	29	7	8	14	-7	29	d 2-2A	l 3-0A	w 3-2A	w 0-1F
17	Nottm Forest	29	7	7	15	-15	28	d 1-1A	Apr 18	w 2-0F	May 24
18	West Ham	29	7	7	15	-19	28	l 0-2A	l 3-2F	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0
19	Burnley	29	4	7	18	-26	19	-	-	d 1-1F	Mar 14
20	Wolves	30	3	7	20	-30	16	May 24	w 2-3F	w 1-0F	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	Relegation

Draw no bet form

Bournemouth have drawn 3 consecutive league games

Burnley have not won in 10 consecutive home league games

Bournemouth have not lost in 9 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Draw No Bet
Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
Burnley	0 - 1	C Palace
Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
Burnley	0 - 2	Arsenal
Burnley	2 - 0	Leeds
Burnley	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Burnley	0 - 1	Liverpool
Burnley	2 - 0	Sunderland
Burnley	3 - 1	Millwall
Burnley	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
Burnley	1 - 1	West Brom
Burnley	4 - 0	Luton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Draw No Bet
A	Burnley	0 - 2	Everton
H	Burnley	3 - 4	Brentford
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Chelsea
A	Burnley	3 - 2	C Palace
H	Burnley	0 - 2	West Ham
A	Burnley	0 - 3	Sunderland
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Liverpool
H	Burnley	2 - 2	Man Utd
A	Burnley	0 - 2	Brighton
H	Burnley	1 - 3	Newcastle
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Everton
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Bournemouth
H	Burnley	2 - 3	Fulham
A	Burnley	1 - 2	Newcastle
H	Burnley	0 - 1	C Palace
A	Burnley	1 - 3	Brentford
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Chelsea
A	Burnley	2 - 3	West Ham
H	Burnley	0 - 2	Arsenal

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Draw No Bet
West Ham	0 - 0	Bournemouth
Everton	1 - 2	Bournemouth
Wolves	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Brighton	1 - 1	Bournemouth
Chelsea	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Brentford	4 - 1	Bournemouth
Man Utd	4 - 4	Bournemouth
Sunderland	3 - 2	Bournemouth
A Villa	4 - 0	Bournemouth
Man City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
C Palace	3 - 3	Bournemouth
Leeds	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Spurs	0 - 1	Bournemouth
Liverpool	4 - 2	Bournemouth
Man City	3 - 1	Bournemouth
Arsenal	1 - 2	Bournemouth
C Palace	0 - 0	Bournemouth
West Ham	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Spurs	2 - 2	Bournemouth
Brighton	2 - 1	Bournemouth

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Draw No Bet
H	Bournemouth	0 - 0	Brentford
H	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Sunderland
A	Bournemouth	0 - 0	West Ham
A	Bournemouth	2 - 1	Everton
H	Bournemouth	1 - 1	A Villa
A	Bournemouth	2 - 0	Wolves
H	Bournemouth	3 - 2	Liverpool
A	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Bournemouth	3 - 2	Spurs
H	Bournemouth	2 - 3	Arsenal
A	Bournemouth	2 - 2	Chelsea
A	Bournemouth	1 - 4	Brentford
H	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Burnley
A	Bournemouth	4 - 4	Man Utd
H	Bournemouth	0 - 0	Chelsea
H	Bournemouth	0 - 1	Everton
A	Bournemouth	2 - 3	Sunderland
H	Bournemouth	2 - 2	West Ham
A	Bournemouth	0 - 4	A Villa
A	Bournemouth	1 - 3	Man City

Draw no bet head to head (H2H)

Burnley

Bournemouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

BRN

BOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	3 - 0
Burnley	4 - 0
	1 - 2	Bournemouth
Burnley	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Bournemouth

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

1 / 7

BRN

BOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bournemouth	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Burnley
	1 - 3	Burnley
	1 - 2	Burnley
Bournemouth	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Bournemouth's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Burnley have conceded in each of their last 11 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.8 for A. Iraola's side suggests that run should continue.

	Burnley 19th	Bournemouth 9th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Burnley will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+17 Burnley have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted	+6 Bournemouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season

BRN

BOU

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	19		23
Failed to score	10		6
Scored first	5		13
Goals scored	32		44
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	6		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	18		15
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+22%

BRN

BOU

22%

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		21
Clean sheets	3		8
Conceded first	23		12
Goals conceded	58		46
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	17%		18%
Avg. XG against	2.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+22%

Burnley v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	7	4	8
M Dúbravka	J Anthony	Q Hartman	K Walker

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Dúbravka GLK	29			1 -
L Ugochukwu MID	28	3	1	2 1
J Anthony FWD	28	7	1	4 -
K Walker DEF	27		2	8 -
M Estève DEF	26			-
J Laurent MID	26	1		6 -
Florentino MID	24		2	4 -
J Larsen FWD	23		1	-
L Tchaouna FWD	22	1		1 -
H Mejbri MID	21	1	3	6 -
L Foster FWD	21	3	1	4 -
Z Flemming FWD	20	7	1	3 -
A Broja FWD	19	1	1	-
J Cullen MID	18	2	2	2 -
M Edwards FWD	17	1	3	-
Q Hartman DEF	15		4	1 -
H Ekdal DEF	15			-
L Pires DEF	14			1
B Humphreys DEF	13			4 -
A Tuanzebe DEF	11	1		1 -
J Worrall DEF	10		1	-
A Barnes FWD	5			1 -
M Trésor MID	4			-
J Ward-Prowse MID	4		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	16	4	5
J Anthony	J Anthony	Q Hartman	M Edwards

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Anthony FWD	7	16	1	3
Z Flemming FWD	7	13	1
L Ugochukwu MID	3	7	1
L Foster FWD	3	5	1	1
J Cullen MID	2	6	2	4
J Laurent MID	1	4
L Tchaouna FWD	1	6		1
H Mejbri MID	1	4	3	4
A Broja FWD	1	6	1	1
M Edwards FWD	1	5	3	5
A Tuanzebe DEF	1	1
K Walker DEF			2	3
M Estève DEF		1		1
Florentino MID		1	2
J Larsen FWD		4	1	2
Q Hartman DEF		2	4	4
H Ekdal DEF		1
L Pires DEF		1
B Humphreys DEF		1		1
J Worrall DEF			1	1
A Barnes FWD		1
J Ward-Prowse MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1084	75	109
K Walker	Florentino	Florentino

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Walker DEF	1084	40	104
M Estève DEF	1026	31	107
M Dúbravka GLK	950	1	28
J Cullen MID	866	31	66
Florentino MID	831	75	109
L Ugochukwu MID	648	47	100
J Anthony FWD	604	33	103
B Humphreys DEF	564	23	51
J Laurent MID	533	35	70
Q Hartman DEF	514	31	45
H Ekdal DEF	477	19	63
A Tuanzebe DEF	445	12	33
L Pires DEF	434	24	41
H Mejbri MID	354	22	76
M Edwards FWD	268	8	33
J Larsen FWD	265	12	31
L Foster FWD	237	12	59
L Tchaouna FWD	237	15	43
Z Flemming FWD	172	8	72
J Worrall DEF	148	4	22
A Broja FWD	130	6	59
J Ward-Prowse MID	94	2	8
M Trésor MID	15
A Barnes FWD	9		6

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	8	4	8
Đorđe Petrović	E Kroupi	M Senesi	M Senesi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Đorđe Petrović GLK	29			2 -
A Truffert DEF	29		2	3 -
A Scott MID	29	2	1	2 -
M Senesi DEF	28		4	8 -
Evanilson FWD	27	6		1 -
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF	25	1	1	8 -
M Tavernier MID	25	5	4	4 -
A Adli FWD	25	3	1	2 -
E Kroupi FWD	24	8		3 -
D Brooks FWD	23	1	2	7 -
J Hill DEF	20		3	2 -
R Christie MID	19	1		2 -
B Diakité DEF	18			1 -
J Kluivert MID	18	2		4 -
T Adams MID	18	2	1	7 -
A Smith DEF	16		1	2 -
L Cook MID	16		1	1 2
E Ünal FWD	16	1		1 -
V. Milosavljević DEF	7			-
R Rocha FWD	6	2	1	1 -
A Toth MID	4			1 -
B Doak FWD	4		1	-
J Soler DEF	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	21	4	6
E Kroupi	Evanilson	M Senesi	M Senesi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Kroupi FWD	8	16		1
Evanilson FWD	6	21		3
M Tavernier MID	5	17	4	6
A Adli FWD	3	9	1	2
A Scott MID	2	10	1	3
J Kluivert MID	2	4		4
T Adams MID	2	6	1
R Rocha FWD	2	3	1	1
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF	1	5	1	3
D Brooks FWD	1	12	2	6
R Christie MID	1	5		1
E Ünal FWD	1	2
A Truffert DEF		1	2	3
M Senesi DEF		5	4	6
J Hill DEF		1	3	3
A Smith DEF			1	1
L Cook MID			1
B Doak FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1690	80	162
M Senesi	A Truffert	A Truffert

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Senesi DEF	1690	49	141
A Truffert DEF	1176	80	162
A Scott MID	975	43	139
T Adams MID	811	41	73
M Tavernier MID	782	30	95
B Diakité DEF	749	20	60
Đorđe Petrović GLK	702		19
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF	649	54	110
J Hill DEF	570	24	102
L Cook MID	490	26	43
D Brooks FWD	375	15	48
A Adli FWD	349	31	85
R Christie MID	345	17	47
Evanilson FWD	340	7	81
J Kluivert MID	332	10	36
E Kroupi FWD	287	8	28
A Smith DEF	229	7	23
V. Milosavljević DEF	190	5	17
R Rocha FWD	131	5	26
E Ünal FWD	37	1	10
A Toth MID	24	1	4
B Doak FWD	23	2	4
J Soler DEF	23	1	3