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Chelsea v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stamford Bridge, London

The English Premier League is the focus for both Chelsea and Aston Villa on Sunday afternoon, as bosses Enzo Maresca and Unai Emery face one another at the Stamford Bridge. All of the important statistics for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

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Chelsea's next match is v Southampton at 19:30 on Wednesday 4th December
Aston Villa's next match is v Brentford at 20:15 on Wednesday 4th December
The last English Premier League meeting between Chelsea and A Villa was on Sunday 1st December 2024
English Premier League
December 1st 2024
Chelsea 3
0 A Villa
 
N. Jackson 7'
E. Fernández 36'
C. Palmer 83'
 
CHE
AVL
Shots On
8
4
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
3
4
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
21
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
ChelseaA Villa
 
R. Lynch Sanchez
L. Colwill
W. Fofana (B. Badiashile Mukinayi 60')
M. Cucurella
C. Palmerfootball icon (J. Sequeira 86')
M. Caicedo Corozo
R. Lavia (M. Gusto 86')
E. Fernándezfootball icon
J. Sancho (C. Madueke 71')
N. Jacksonfootball icon (C. Nkunku 71')
P. Lomba Neto
 (R. Olsen 46') D. Martínez
M. Cash
P. Francisco Torres
L. Digne
E. Konsa Ngoyo
Y. Tielemans
J. McGinn
(R. Barkley 62') B. Kamara
(E. Buendía 84') O. Watkins
(L. Bailey Butler 66') J. Philogene-Bidace
(J. Durán Palacio 66') M. Rogers

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both A Villa and Chelsea fans should have some reason to cheer as their teams go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a far more convincing pick than any bet on the outright winner. The two clubs are more than capable of finding the net, as is borne out by the stats and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding real separation between the sides, with equal threat among their respective squads. Both teams to score is the way to go here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
47%
4/6
10%
8/11
6%
Draw
23%
31/10
3%
3/1
A Villa
30%
7/2
25%
17/5
22%
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Chelsea 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
13/2
6%
Chelsea 1-0
7%
10/1
15%
15/2
11%
A Villa 2-1
7%
16/1
13%
11/1
9%
Chelsea 2-0
7%
10/1
15%
8/1
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
10%
A Villa 1-0
6%
20/1
11%
12/1
Chelsea 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
A Villa 2-0
4%
28/1
12%
18/1
12%
Chelsea 3-0
4%
14/1
21%
11/1
8%
Chelsea 3-2
4%
20/114/1
A Villa 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
21%
A Villa 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
21%
Chelsea 4-1
2%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7
5%
8/15
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
11/8
9%
11/8
5%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/9
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/8
9%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
4/7
5%
11/20
5%
BTTS - No
37%
5/4
10%
13/10
8%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
2/1
3%
19/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
6%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
13/2
36%
11/2
24%
Home/draw
70%
2/11
9%
1/5
7%
Away/draw
53%
23/20
13%
11/10
10%
Home/away
77%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
1/6
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/8
8%
13/10
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
4/7
6%
4/7
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
8%
14/5
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
1/12
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Home DNB
63%
2/7
10%
3/10
7%
Away DNB
46%
5/2
34%
9/4
24%
Chelsea win to nil
21%
12/5
15%
-
A Villa win to nil
13%
9/1
25%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
32%
13/8
13%
8/5
7%
Chelsea / A Villa
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Chelsea
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
Draw / A Villa
8%
10/1
22%
8/1
13%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/15/1
8%
A Villa / Chelsea
5%
20/114/1
A Villa / A Villa
11%
7/1
33%
11/2
18%
A Villa / Draw
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table. Chelsea are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 8 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

A Villa are in 9th position in the Premier League on 19 points having played 12 matches so far this season. A Villa have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 3 matches and failed to score in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost all of those games, drawn 0 and won zero. A Villa have conceded 8 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool1311111834 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal137421225 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
3
Chelsea 137421225 
-
-
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
4
Brighton13652523 
w
 
4-2A
Feb 15
Dec 30
Apr 1
5
Man City13724323 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 25
Dec 21
Apr 26
6
Nottm Forest13643322 
d
 
1-1A
May 25
Apr 5
Dec 14
7
Spurs136251420 
Apr 2
Dec 8
May 18
l
 
4-1F
8
Brentford13625320 
Dec 15
Apr 5
Dec 4
Mar 8
9
Man Utd13544419 
May 18
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
10
Fulham13544019 
Dec 26
Apr 19
May 3
w
 
1-3A
11
Newcastle13544019 
w
 
2-1F
May 10
Apr 19
Dec 26
12
A Villa 13544-319 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
-
-
13
Bournemouth13535118 
Jan 14
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 10
14
West Ham13436-715 
Feb 1
w
 
0-3F
Jan 26
w
 
1-2F
15
Everton13256-1111 
Apr 26
Dec 22
w
 
3-2A
Jan 15
16
Leicester13247-1110 
Mar 8
w
 
1-2F
Jan 4
w
 
1-2F
17
C Palace13166-79 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
d
 
2-2A
Feb 25
18
Wolves13238-109 
Jan 20
w
 
2-6F
w
 
3-1A
Feb 1
19
Ipswich13166-119 
Apr 12
Dec 30
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
20
Southampton131210-155 
Feb 26
Dec 4
Dec 7
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Chelsea 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea2 - 1Newcastle
Chelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
Chelsea4 - 2Brighton
Chelsea1 - 1C Palace
Chelsea0 - 2Man City
Chelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea5 - 0West Ham
Chelsea2 - 0Spurs
Chelsea6 - 0Everton
Chelsea4 - 3Man Utd
Chelsea2 - 2Burnley
Chelsea3 - 2Newcastle
Chelsea2 - 4Wolves
Chelsea1 - 0Fulham
Chelsea2 - 1C Palace
Chelsea2 - 0Sheff Utd
Chelsea3 - 2Brighton
Chelsea4 - 4Man City
Chelsea0 - 2Brentford
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea2 - 1Leicester
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea1 - 1Man Utd
HChelsea2 - 1Newcastle
AChelsea1 - 2Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
HChelsea4 - 2Brighton
AChelsea3 - 0West Ham
AChelsea1 - 0Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 1C Palace
AChelsea6 - 2Wolves
HChelsea0 - 2Man City
HChelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
AChelsea2 - 1Brighton
AChelsea3 - 2Nottm Forest
HChelsea5 - 0West Ham
HChelsea2 - 0Spurs
AChelsea2 - 2A Villa
AChelsea0 - 5Arsenal
HChelsea6 - 0Everton
A Villa 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Fulham1 - 3A Villa
Ipswich2 - 2A Villa
Leicester1 - 2A Villa
West Ham1 - 2A Villa
C Palace5 - 0A Villa
Brighton1 - 0A Villa
Arsenal0 - 2A Villa
Man City4 - 1A Villa
West Ham1 - 1A Villa
Luton2 - 3A Villa
Fulham1 - 2A Villa
Sheff Utd0 - 5A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Man Utd3 - 2A Villa
Brentford1 - 2A Villa
Bournemouth2 - 2A Villa
Spurs1 - 2A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 0A Villa
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa2 - 2C Palace
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa1 - 4Spurs
HA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa3 - 1Fulham
HA Villa0 - 0Man Utd
AA Villa2 - 2Ipswich
HA Villa3 - 1Wolves
HA Villa3 - 2Everton
AA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa0 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1West Ham
AA Villa0 - 5C Palace
HA Villa3 - 3Liverpool
AA Villa0 - 1Brighton
HA Villa2 - 2Chelsea
HA Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa2 - 0Arsenal
HA Villa3 - 3Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4Man City
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
A Villa
Goals: Scored
54
29
Games: Scored
25 / 29
18 / 29
Clean sheets
11 / 29
4 / 29
CHE
16
D
6
AVL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea8 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Draw3 - 3Draw
Chelsea7 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A Villa
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
28
41
Games: Scored
18 / 29
21 / 29
Clean sheets
8 / 29
11 / 29
CHE
13
D
8
AVL
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 3Chelsea
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Aston Villa on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea 3rd A Villa 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Chelsea have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+7
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277918/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
25%
better
CHE
AVL
view stats
Games scored11
9
Failed to score1
3
Scored first6
4
Goals scored23
19
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
21%
better
CHE
AVL
view stats
Games conceded10
11
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded14
19
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%

Chelsea v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13866
R SánchezC PalmerC PalmerW Fofana
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK13
2
-
M Caicedo DEF1312
3
-
W Fofana DEF12
6
-
L Colwill DEF13
3
-
M Cucurella  DEF12
6
-
R Lavia MID81
2
-
E Fernández MID1222
1
-
P Neto MID1212
4
-
C Palmer MID1386
3
-
J Sancho MID73
1
-
N Jackson FWD1383
4
-
Subs
F Jörgensen GLK
-
M Gusto DEF10
2
-
T Adarabioyo DEF4
1
-
B Badiashile  DEF3
-
R Veiga MID5
2
-
N Madueke MID1241
3
-
M Mudryk MID7
-
J Félix FWD71
2
-
C Nkunku  FWD121
1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13643
E MartínezO WatkinsY TielemansL Digne
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK13
1
-
M Cash DEF8
2
-
E Konsa DEF111
-
P Torres DEF13
1
-
L Digne DEF132
3
-
B Kamara MID4
1
-
Y Tielemans MID134
3
-
J McGinn MID111
2
-
M Rogers MID1332
3
-
J Philogene MID9
2
1
O Watkins FWD1362
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK1
-
D Carlos DEF7
1
-
T Mings DEF
-
I Maatsen DEF10
1
-
L Bogarde DEF3
1
-
R Barkley MID1021
3
-
L Bailey MID122
2
-
E Buendía MID6
1
-
J Durán FWD134
1
-