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Chelsea v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 17:30 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea and their boss Liam Rosenior will be aiming to beat Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side on Saturday evening, as the pair meet at the Stamford Bridge in the English Premier League. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our expansive database and dug out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing our match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant stats, there's one market that seems hard to ignore for this tie: both teams to score. In Chelsea and Newcastle we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to prove that on Saturday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
50%
4/54/5
3%
Draw
23%
16/5
8%
16/5
11%
Newcastle
27%
14/529/10
Draw 1-1
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Chelsea 2-1
10%
17/27/1
Chelsea 1-0
8%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Chelsea 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Newcastle 2-1
7%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Chelsea 3-1
6%
14/110/1
8%
Newcastle 1-0
6%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Chelsea 3-0
5%
18/112/1
13%
Draw 0-0
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
15%
Chelsea 3-2
4%
20/114/1
12%
Newcastle 2-0
4%
25/118/1
Newcastle 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Chelsea 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Newcastle 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2
4%
10/21
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
13/8
11%
6/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/134/7
3%
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/4
2%
29/20
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
24%
14/1
25%
BTTS - Yes
61%
1/2
2%
1/2
2%
BTTS - No
39%
6/4
5%
29/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
2/1
6%
19/10
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
7/2
4%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/119/4
Home/draw
73%
1/41/4
Away/draw
50%
19/201/1
5%
Home/away
77%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
1/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
4/1
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
6/5
8%
23/20
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/6
6%
13/20
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
11/4
13%
13/5
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/7
6%
1/4
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/10
2%
1/11
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/401/80
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
15%
Home DNB
66%
4/11
3%
7/20
4%
Away DNB
43%
2/1
9%
19/10
4%
Chelsea win to nil
23%
11/4-
Newcastle win to nil
12%
8/1
13%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
30%
15/88/5
5%
Chelsea / Newcastle
3%
28/122/1
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Chelsea
16%
9/24/1
Draw / Newcastle
9%
17/28/1
6%
Draw / Draw
12%
13/2
7%
11/2
13%
Newcastle / Chelsea
5%
20/114/1
12%
Newcastle / Newcastle
13%
11/219/4
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Chelsea have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 7 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Chelsea have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 14 games at home winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 12th position in the Premier League on 39 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Newcastle have conceded 30 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3020733767 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
2
Man City2918653260 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
3
Man Utd2914961151 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
A Villa291568551 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-4A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
5
Chelsea2913971948 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Mar 14
6
Liverpool291469948 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
7
Brentford2913511444 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
8
Everton2912710143 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
9
Bournemouth299137-240 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
10
Fulham2912413-340 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 24
11
Sunderland2910109-440 
l
 
1-2F
May 24
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
12
Newcastle2911612-139 
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
-
-
13
C Palace2910811-238 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
14
Brighton2991010237 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 26
May 2
l
 
2-1A
15
Leeds2971012-1131 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Spurs297814-729 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
17
Nottm Forest297715-1528 
May 2
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 9
18
West Ham297715-1928 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-5A
May 17
l
 
3-1F
19
Burnley294718-2619 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
20
Wolves303720-3016 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
5
Chelsea have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea1 - 1Burnley
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Chelsea3 - 2West Ham
Chelsea2 - 0Brentford
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Chelsea1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea2 - 0Everton
Chelsea1 - 1Arsenal
Chelsea3 - 0Wolves
Chelsea1 - 2Sunderland
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 3Brighton
Chelsea2 - 0Fulham
Chelsea0 - 0C Palace
Chelsea1 - 0Man Utd
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Chelsea2 - 2Ipswich
Chelsea1 - 0Spurs
Chelsea1 - 0Leicester
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea4 - 1A Villa
AChelsea1 - 2Arsenal
HChelsea1 - 1Burnley
HChelsea2 - 2Leeds
AChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea3 - 2West Ham
AChelsea3 - 1C Palace
HChelsea2 - 0Brentford
AChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea1 - 1Man City
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 2A Villa
AChelsea2 - 2Newcastle
HChelsea2 - 0Everton
AChelsea0 - 0Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 3Leeds
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea2 - 0Burnley
HChelsea3 - 0Wolves
AChelsea1 - 0Spurs
Newcastle 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man City2 - 1Newcastle
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Liverpool4 - 1Newcastle
Wolves0 - 0Newcastle
Burnley1 - 3Newcastle
Man Utd1 - 0Newcastle
Sunderland1 - 0Newcastle
Everton1 - 4Newcastle
Brentford3 - 1Newcastle
West Ham3 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Bournemouth0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle
Brighton1 - 1Newcastle
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
Leicester0 - 3Newcastle
West Ham0 - 1Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle2 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3West Ham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Chelsea have not lost to Newcastle in 12 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
58
17
Games: Scored
28 / 30
14 / 30
Clean sheets
16 / 30
2 / 30
CHE
22
D
7
NEW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea3 - 1
Chelsea5 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
0 - 2Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea4 - 0
Chelsea5 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
43
34
Games: Scored
21 / 31
21 / 31
Clean sheets
10 / 31
10 / 31
CHE
9
D
7
NEW
15
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle4 - 1
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle3 - 2
0 - 3Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle4 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 23 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Newcastle United on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Chelsea 5th Newcastle 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 72% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Chelsea have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-27
Newcastle have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.8
1.3
Attack rating
23%
better
CHE
NEW
view stats
Games scored27
22
Failed to score2
7
Scored first16
16
Goals scored53
42
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for2
1.7
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
9%
better
CHE
NEW
view stats
Games conceded20
22
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first11
9
Goals conceded34
43
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+9%

Chelsea v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281459
T ChalobahJ Pedro J Pedro M Caicedo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pedro  FWD29145
4
-
T Chalobah DEF283
3
1
E Fernández MID2883
8
-
P Neto FWD2854
3
1
R Sánchez GLK271
3
1
M Gusto DEF2623
3
1
R James  DEF2624
4
-
M Cucurella  DEF2513
5
1
M Caicedo MID2431
8
1
A Santos MID22
4
-
L Delap FWD201
2
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD1922
3
-
C Palmer MID1891
4
-
A Garnacho FWD1814
1
-
W Fofana DEF171
2
1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD162
-
J Hato DEF14
4
-
T Adarabioyo DEF14
2
-
J. Acheampong DEF121
1
-
B Badiashile  DEF8
2
-
M Guiu FWD71
1
-
R Lavia MID6
-
F Jörgensen GLK3
-
M Sarr DEF2
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25949
S TonaliB GuimarãesB GuimarãesD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Tonali MID292
3
-
H Barnes FWD285
1
-
M Thiaw DEF264
3
-
N Woltemade FWD2572
-
A Elanga FWD251
-
J Murphy FWD2431
1
-
B Guimarães MID2394
5
-
A Gordon FWD2342
3
1
N Pope  GLK22
1
-
L Hall DEF2211
3
-
Joelinton MID2221
7
-
D Burn DEF212
8
1
J Ramsey MID1921
4
1
L Miley MID1913
-
J Willock MID18
3
-
K Trippier DEF171
3
-
S Botman DEF1611
1
-
F Schär DEF16
1
-
W Osula FWD162
-
T Livramento  DEF131
1
-
Y Wissa FWD1211
1
-
A Ramsdale GLK8
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
E Krafth DEF1
-