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Leeds United v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 17:30 BST, Elland Road, Leeds

Home advantage can be vital in the English Premier League, and Daniel Farke’s Leeds United will have the blessing of it on Saturday evening. Arne Slot’s Liverpool are their visitors to the Elland Road. Premier League stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Leeds and Liverpool will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Daniel Farke or Arne Slot has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.20 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 0.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
34%
31/1016/5
Draw
25%
3/129/10
Liverpool
41%
3/43/4
Draw 1-1
12%
15/213/2
Liverpool 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Liverpool 1-0
9%
9/115/2
Leeds 1-0
8%
14/112/1
Leeds 2-1
8%
14/111/1
Liverpool 2-0
7%
9/18/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/111/1
Leeds 2-0
5%
25/118/1
Liverpool 3-1
4%
14/111/1
Leeds 3-1
4%
33/122/1
Liverpool 3-0
3%
16/112/1
Liverpool 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Leeds 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Leeds 3-0
2%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/68/13
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
6/523/20
Home 1st Goal
47%
7/58/5
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/74/7
No 1st Goal
3%
14/110/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
8/138/13
BTTS - No
43%
6/523/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
6/111/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/411/5
Home/draw
59%
1/121/20
Away/draw
66%
2/92/9
Home/away
75%
2/91/4
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/51/5
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/216/5
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
13/86/4
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/210/21
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
7/217/5
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/52/11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/17/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/141/16
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/110/1
Home DNB
52%
9/421/10
Away DNB
58%
1/31/3
Leeds win to nil
17%
7/1-
Liverpool win to nil
20%
12/5-
Leeds / Leeds
12%
6/111/2
Leeds / Liverpool
4%
20/116/1
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Leeds
9%
9/115/2
Draw / Liverpool
17%
4/118/5
Draw / Draw
13%
11/219/4
Liverpool / Leeds
3%
33/125/1
Liverpool / Liverpool
30%
7/413/8
Liverpool / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Leeds have conceded 22 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leeds have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Liverpool lay in 8th place on 21 points in the Premier League league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 15 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Liverpool have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Liverpool have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Liverpool
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal139311830 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 8
2
Man City138141525 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
Feb 7
l
 
3-0A
3
Chelsea137331224 
Dec 3
Feb 11
May 9
l
 
2-1A
4
A Villa13733524 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
w
 
2-0F
May 17
5
Brighton13643522 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
Dec 13
Mar 21
6
Sunderland13643422 
Mar 4
Dec 28
Dec 3
Feb 11
7
Man Utd13634121 
Jan 4
Apr 11
l
 
1-2A
May 2
8
Liverpool13706021 
Dec 6
Jan 1
-
-
9
C Palace13553620 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
10
Brentford13616119 
Mar 21
Dec 14
May 24
l
 
3-2A
11
Bournemouth13544-219 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
w
 
4-2F
Jan 24
12
Spurs13535518 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
Mar 14
Dec 20
13
Newcastle13535118 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
Jan 31
w
 
2-3F
14
Everton13535-318 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
15
Fulham13526-217 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
Apr 11
Jan 4
16
Nottm Forest13337-912 
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
17
West Ham13328-1211 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
18
Leeds13328-1211 
-
-
Jan 1
Dec 6
19
Burnley13319-1210 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
20
Wolves130211-212 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Dec 27
Mar 4
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Leeds2 - 1West Ham
Leeds1 - 2Spurs
Leeds2 - 2Bournemouth
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds1 - 0Everton
Leeds4 - 0Bristol C
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Leeds2 - 1Preston
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
Leeds7 - 0Cardiff
Leeds2 - 0Norwich
Leeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
Leeds1 - 1Blackburn
Leeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds6 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds1 - 0M'Boro
ALeeds1 - 1Luton
Liverpool 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Ham0 - 2Liverpool
Man City3 - 0Liverpool
Brentford3 - 2Liverpool
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
C Palace2 - 1Liverpool
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Leicester0 - 1Liverpool
Fulham3 - 2Liverpool
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
Everton2 - 2Liverpool
Bournemouth0 - 2Liverpool
Brentford0 - 2Liverpool
Nottm Forest1 - 1Liverpool
West Ham0 - 5Liverpool
Spurs3 - 6Liverpool
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALiverpool2 - 0West Ham
HLiverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
ALiverpool0 - 3Man City
HLiverpool2 - 0A Villa
ALiverpool2 - 3Brentford
HLiverpool1 - 2Man Utd
ALiverpool1 - 2Chelsea
ALiverpool1 - 2C Palace
HLiverpool2 - 1Everton
ALiverpool1 - 0Burnley
HLiverpool1 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool3 - 2Newcastle
HLiverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
HLiverpool1 - 1C Palace
ALiverpool2 - 3Brighton
HLiverpool2 - 2Arsenal
ALiverpool1 - 3Chelsea
HLiverpool5 - 1Spurs
ALiverpool1 - 0Leicester
HLiverpool2 - 1West Ham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Liverpool have not lost to Leeds in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
14
30
Games: Scored
8 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
7 / 15
LEE
3
D
4
LIV
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
1 - 6Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 4Liverpool
Leeds4 - 3
1 - 2Liverpool
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Liverpool
0 - 2Liverpool
Leeds1 - 0
0 - 2Liverpool
Leeds2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Liverpool since 1993
Liverpool
Leeds
Goals: Scored
39
16
Games: Scored
14 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
1 / 15
LEE
4
D
1
LIV
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
1 - 2Leeds
Liverpool6 - 0
Liverpool4 - 3
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Leeds
Liverpool3 - 1
1 - 3Leeds
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool4 - 0
Liverpool5 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Liverpool's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Leeds United have conceded in each of their last 10 English Premier League outings. A PG of 1.5 for A. Slot's side suggests that run should continue.

Leeds 18th Liverpool 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+32
Leeds have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted
+7
Liverpool’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
LEE
LIV
31%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score5
2
Scored first4
7
Goals scored13
20
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
LEE
LIV
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded25
20
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
5
Conversion rate against23%
19%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%

Leeds v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13424
J RodonL Nmecha S LongstaffE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Gudmundsson  DEF13
1
-
J Rodon DEF132
1
-
J Bogle  DEF131
3
-
B Aaronson MID1311
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD134
-
S Longstaff MID1212
1
-
P Struijk DEF11
2
-
A Stach MID1111
1
-
E Ampadu MID11
4
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD112
-
A Tanaka MID10
1
-
D James FWD10
-
N Okafor FWD102
2
-
J Harrison FWD10
-
L Perri GLK8
1
-
J Justin  DEF6
1
-
I Gruev MID6
1
-
J Piroe FWD6
-
W Gnonto FWD6
2
-
K Darlow GLK5
-
J Bijol DEF4
-
S Byram DEF1
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13434
V Dijk C GakpoC GakpoD Szoboszlai
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF13
2
-
I Konaté DEF13
2
-
D Szoboszlai MID1311
4
-
C Gakpo FWD1343
-
M Kerkez DEF121
3
-
F Wirtz MID12
1
-
A Mac Allister MID122
1
-
M Salah FWD1242
1
-
H Ekitiké FWD1231
-
R Gravenberch MID1131
3
-
C Jones MID11
1
-
C Bradley DEF9
4
-
F Chiesa FWD921
2
-
Alisson GLK8
-
A Robertson DEF8
-
A Isak FWD611
-
G Mamardashvili GLK5
-
J Gomez DEF51
-
R. Ngumoha FWD51
-
J Frimpong DEF4
-
W Endo MID41
1
-