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Leeds United v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Elland Road, Leeds

Daniel Farke welcomes Arne Slot to the Elland Road on Saturday evening, as their Leeds United and Liverpool troops do battle in the English Premier League. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.

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Leeds United's next match is v Brentford at 16:30 on Sunday 14th December
Liverpool's next match is v Inter at 20:00 on Tuesday 9th December
The last English Premier League meeting between Leeds and Liverpool was on Saturday 6th December 2025
English Premier League
December 6th 2025
Leeds 3
3 Liverpool
 
D. Calvert-Lewin 73'48' H. Ekitike
A. Stach 75'50' H. Ekitike
A. Tanaka 90'80' D. Szoboszlai
 
LEE
LIV
Shots On
5
7
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
5
4
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
14
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
LeedsLiverpool
 
L. Estella Perri
J. Bogle (S. Bornauw 90')
G. Gudmundsson
P. Struijk
J. Rodon
J. Bijol (B. Aaronson 65')
E. Ampadu (J. Piroe 87')
D. Calvert-Lewinfootball icon
A. Stachfootball icon
I. Gruev (A. Tanaka 65')
N. Okafor (D. Gnonto 65')
A. Becker
V. van Dijk
I. Konaté
Milos Kerkez
(A. Mac Allister 68') F. Wirtz
football iconD. Szoboszlai
(J. Gomez 68') C. Bradley
C. Jones
R. Gravenberch
(W. Endo 83') C. Gakpo
(A. Isak 84') football iconfootball iconH. Ekitike

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Leeds and Liverpool will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Daniel Farke or Arne Slot has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.20 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 0.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
36%
16/520/1
Draw
25%
3/11/14
Liverpool
39%
3/412/1
Draw 1-1
12%
7/111/2
Liverpool 2-1
9%
8/111/10
Liverpool 1-0
8%
8/17/2
Leeds 2-1
8%
14/116/1
Leeds 1-0
8%
14/113/2
Liverpool 2-0
6%
9/113/10
Draw 2-2
6%
16/119/4
Draw 0-0
6%
12/117/5
Leeds 2-0
6%
25/116/1
Liverpool 3-1
4%
14/129/10
Leeds 3-1
4%
40/140/1
Liverpool 3-0
3%
16/111/4
Liverpool 3-2
3%
25/14/11
Leeds 3-2
3%
40/125/1
Leeds 3-0
3%
50/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
8/114/7
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/1013/10
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/421/10
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/74/5
No 1st Goal
3%
12/116/5
BTTS - Yes
58%
7/1011/5
BTTS - No
42%
21/201/3
BTTS - Home Win
19%
13/245/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/413/2
BTTS - Away Win
20%
5/21/12
Home/draw
61%
1/17/1
Away/draw
64%
2/91/1000
Home/away
75%
2/91/18
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/917/20
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/317/20
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
7/44/6
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/911/10
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/117/5
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/62/11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/113/5
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/4
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/5
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/110/3
Home DNB
53%
9/440/1
Away DNB
57%
1/31/1000
Leeds win to nil
17%
7/1-
Liverpool win to nil
19%
9/4-
Leeds / Leeds
11%
13/220/1
Leeds / Liverpool
4%
22/133/1
Leeds / Draw
6%
16/128/1
Draw / Leeds
9%
9/118/5
Draw / Liverpool
17%
4/15/4
Draw / Draw
14%
11/219/10
Liverpool / Leeds
3%
33/150/1
Liverpool / Liverpool
30%
7/410/1
Liverpool / Draw
6%
14/128/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Leeds have conceded 22 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Leeds have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Liverpool lay in 9th place on 22 points in the Premier League league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Liverpool have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Liverpool have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Liverpool
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1510321933 
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 8
2
Man City1510141931 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
Feb 7
l
 
3-0A
3
A Villa15933730 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
w
 
2-0F
May 17
4
Chelsea157441025 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 11
May 9
l
 
2-1A
5
Everton15735124 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
6
C Palace14653723 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
7
Sunderland15654123 
Mar 4
Dec 28
d
 
1-1A
Feb 11
8
Liverpool15726023 
d
 
3-3A
Jan 1
-
-
9
Spurs15645722 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
Mar 14
Dec 20
10
Brighton14644422 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
Dec 13
Mar 21
11
Newcastle15645222 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 7
Jan 31
w
 
2-3F
12
Man Utd14644122 
Jan 4
Apr 11
l
 
1-2A
May 2
13
Bournemouth15555-320 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
w
 
4-2F
Jan 24
14
Brentford15618-319 
Mar 21
Dec 14
May 24
l
 
3-2A
15
Fulham14527-317 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
Apr 11
Jan 4
16
Leeds15438-1015 
-
-
Jan 1
d
 
3-3F
17
Nottm Forest15438-1115 
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
18
West Ham14338-1212 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
19
Burnley153111-1410 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
20
Wolves140212-222 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Dec 27
Mar 4
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds3 - 1Chelsea
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Leeds2 - 1West Ham
Leeds1 - 2Spurs
Leeds2 - 2Bournemouth
Leeds0 - 0Newcastle
Leeds1 - 0Everton
Leeds4 - 0Bristol C
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Leeds2 - 1Preston
Leeds2 - 2Swansea
Leeds2 - 0Millwall
Leeds1 - 1West Brom
Leeds2 - 1Sunderland
Leeds7 - 0Cardiff
Leeds2 - 0Norwich
Leeds3 - 0Sheff Wed
Leeds1 - 1Blackburn
Leeds4 - 0Oxford Utd
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
ALeeds1 - 3Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3Brighton
HLeeds2 - 1West Ham
ALeeds0 - 2Burnley
HLeeds1 - 2Spurs
HLeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
ALeeds3 - 1Wolves
ALeeds0 - 1Fulham
HLeeds0 - 0Newcastle
ALeeds0 - 5Arsenal
HLeeds1 - 0Everton
ALeeds2 - 1Plymouth
HLeeds4 - 0Bristol C
HLeeds6 - 0Stoke
ALeeds1 - 0Oxford Utd
HLeeds2 - 1Preston
ALeeds1 - 0M'Boro
Liverpool 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Ham0 - 2Liverpool
Man City3 - 0Liverpool
Brentford3 - 2Liverpool
Chelsea2 - 1Liverpool
C Palace2 - 1Liverpool
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Brighton3 - 2Liverpool
Chelsea3 - 1Liverpool
Leicester0 - 1Liverpool
Fulham3 - 2Liverpool
Man City0 - 2Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
Everton2 - 2Liverpool
Bournemouth0 - 2Liverpool
Brentford0 - 2Liverpool
Nottm Forest1 - 1Liverpool
West Ham0 - 5Liverpool
Spurs3 - 6Liverpool
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLiverpool1 - 1Sunderland
ALiverpool2 - 0West Ham
HLiverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
ALiverpool0 - 3Man City
HLiverpool2 - 0A Villa
ALiverpool2 - 3Brentford
HLiverpool1 - 2Man Utd
ALiverpool1 - 2Chelsea
ALiverpool1 - 2C Palace
HLiverpool2 - 1Everton
ALiverpool1 - 0Burnley
HLiverpool1 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool3 - 2Newcastle
HLiverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
HLiverpool1 - 1C Palace
ALiverpool2 - 3Brighton
HLiverpool2 - 2Arsenal
ALiverpool1 - 3Chelsea
HLiverpool5 - 1Spurs
ALiverpool1 - 0Leicester
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Liverpool have not lost to Leeds in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
14
30
Games: Scored
8 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
7 / 15
LEE
3
D
4
LIV
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
1 - 6Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 4Liverpool
Leeds4 - 3
1 - 2Liverpool
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Liverpool
0 - 2Liverpool
Leeds1 - 0
0 - 2Liverpool
Leeds2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Liverpool since 1993
Liverpool
Leeds
Goals: Scored
39
16
Games: Scored
14 / 15
10 / 15
Clean sheets
5 / 15
1 / 15
LEE
4
D
1
LIV
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
1 - 2Leeds
Liverpool6 - 0
Liverpool4 - 3
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Leeds
Liverpool3 - 1
1 - 3Leeds
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool4 - 0
Liverpool5 - 0
0 - 1Leeds
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Liverpool's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Leeds United have conceded in each of their last 11 English Premier League matches. A PG of 1.5 for A. Slot's side suggests that run should continue.

Leeds 16th Liverpool 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+38
Leeds have scored 38% more goals at home than predicted
+7
Liverpool’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
LEE
LIV
24%
better
view stats
Games scored9
12
Failed to score5
2
Scored first5
7
Goals scored16
21
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
LEE
LIV
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded26
21
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against22%
19%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%

Leeds v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15424
J RodonD Calvert-LewinJ Bogle J Bogle 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Perri GLK10
1
-
J Rodon DEF152
1
-
J Bijol DEF61
-
P Struijk DEF13
3
-
J Bogle  MID152
4
-
A Stach MID1322
2
-
E Ampadu MID13
4
-
I Gruev MID8
1
-
G Gudmundsson  MID15
2
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD134
-
N Okafor FWD122
2
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK5
-
S Bornauw DEF2
-
J Justin  DEF7
1
-
S Byram DEF1
-
B Aaronson MID1412
1
-
A Tanaka MID122
1
-
J Piroe FWD8
-
J Harrison FWD10
-
W Gnonto FWD7
2
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15535
V Dijk H EkitikéC GakpoC Bradley
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Alisson GLK10
-
C Bradley DEF101
5
-
V Dijk  DEF15
3
-
I Konaté DEF15
2
-
M Kerkez DEF141
3
-
R Gravenberch MID1332
3
-
C Jones MID13
1
-
D Szoboszlai MID1521
4
-
F Wirtz MID14
1
-
C Gakpo MID1543
-
H Ekitiké FWD1451
-
Subs
G Mamardashvili GLK5
-
J Gomez DEF71
2
-
A Robertson DEF9
-
W Endo MID51
1
-
A Mac Allister MID142
1
-
A Isak FWD811
-
M Salah FWD1342
1
-
F Chiesa FWD1021
2
-
R. Ngumoha FWD51
-