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Leeds United v Nottingham Forest : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Elland Road, Leeds

We’ve English Premier League action to enjoy on Friday night, as Daniel Farke and his Leeds United side host Sean Dyche’s Nottingham Forest at the Elland Road. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Leeds United's next match is v Chelsea at 19:30 on Tuesday 10th February
Nottingham Forest's next match is v Wolves at 19:30 on Wednesday 11th February
The last English Premier League meeting between Leeds and Nottm Forest was on Friday 6th February 2026
English Premier League
February 6th 2026
Leeds 3
1 Nottm Forest
 
J. Bogle 26'86' L. Lucca
N. Okafor 30'
D. Calvert-Lewin 49'
 
LEE
NFO
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
3
6
Corners
5
10
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
LeedsNottm Forest
 
J. Boglefootball icon (S. Bornauw 90')
G. Gudmundsson
P. Struijk
J. Rodon
E. Ampadu
D. Calvert-Lewinfootball icon
B. Aaronson (D. James 78')
K. Darlow
J. Justin
I. Gruev
N. Okaforfootball icon (S. Longstaff 82')
S. Ortega Moreno
F. Rodrigues
I. Sangaré
E. Anderson
(R. Yates 67') M. Gibbs-White
(O. Giraud-Hutchinson 54') N. Domínguez
(D. Ndoye 67') C. Hudson-Odoi
N. Milenković
(L. Lucca 54') I. da Cruz
T. Olaoluwa Aina
(L. Netz 76') Z. Abbott

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Leeds and Nottm Forest's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
43%
11/10
5%
1/300
9%
Draw
25%
12/5
6%
150/1
5%
Nottm Forest
32%
5/2
9%
1/50
6%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Leeds 1-0
9%
15/2
13%
11/2
7%
Leeds 2-1
9%
9/14/1
6%
Nottm Forest 1-0
8%
11/1
20%
13/2
25%
Nottm Forest 2-1
8%
12/112/1
Leeds 2-0
7%
10/111/4
5%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
18%
11/2
19%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
12%
10/1
Nottm Forest 2-0
5%
20/1
24%
12/1
15%
Leeds 3-1
5%
18/1
10%
1/3
12%
Leeds 3-0
4%
20/1
9%
1/2
21%
Nottm Forest 3-1
3%
33/128/1
Leeds 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
13/2
12%
Nottm Forest 3-2
3%
40/128/1
10%
Nottm Forest 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
10/11
13%
1/4
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
10/11
14%
27/10
11%
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
5%
17/20
5%
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/411/8
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
18%
11/2
20%
BTTS - Yes
57%
3/4
8%
10/3
8%
BTTS - No
43%
1/1
5%
1/5
7%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3
13%
1/1000
13%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
33/1
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/2
7%
125/1
8%
Home/draw
68%
2/7
5%
1/50
2%
Away/draw
57%
7/10
2%
80/1
8%
Home/away
75%
3/10
4%
1/1000
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7
5%
1/10
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
17%
5/1
18%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/5
15%
6/4
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
6%
10/21
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
25%
8/1
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
5%
1/20
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
24%
60/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/500
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
1/10
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
18%
11/2
20%
Home DNB
60%
1/2
4%
1/1000
6%
Away DNB
50%
6/4
11%
125/1
9%
Leeds win to nil
21%
11/4-
Nottm Forest win to nil
16%
5/1
9%
-
Leeds / Leeds
24%
5/2
7%
1/14
11%
Leeds / Nottm Forest
3%
33/120/1
12%
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/115/2
Draw / Leeds
15%
9/2100/1
Draw / Nottm Forest
11%
7/1
7%
100/1
7%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
100/1
11%
Nottm Forest / Leeds
4%
25/1
10%
1/50
10%
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
16%
5/1
9%
125/1
9%
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/11/50
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Leeds have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 12 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Nottm Forest are in 17th position in the Premier League on 26 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Nottm Forest have conceded 30 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Leeds
Nottm Forest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2517533256 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
5-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
2
Man City2414552647 
Feb 28
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2A
Mar 4
3
A Villa251456947 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
Apr 11
l
 
3-1A
4
Man Utd2512851044 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
d
 
2-2A
May 17
5
Chelsea2512761743 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 10
l
 
0-3A
May 2
6
Liverpool241167639 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
7
Brentford2512310539 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
8
Everton251078037 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
9
Sunderland25997-236 
Mar 3
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 25
10
Fulham2510411-234 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
11
Bournemouth258107-334 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 25
May 24
l
 
2-0A
12
Newcastle259610-133 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-3F
May 9
l
 
2-0A
13
Brighton247107231 
May 17
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
14
Spurs257810029 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
w
 
3-0F
Mar 22
15
C Palace24789-429 
w
 
4-1F
Mar 14
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
16
Leeds257810-929 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-1A
17
Nottm Forest257513-1326 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1F
-
-
18
West Ham256514-1723 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
19
Burnley253616-2415 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
20
Wolves251519-328 
Apr 18
w
 
1-3A
Feb 11
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Nottm Forest 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Leeds have not lost to Nottm Forest in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leeds since 1992
Leeds
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
25
25
Games: Scored
14 / 18
13 / 18
Clean sheets
5 / 18
4 / 18
LEE
7
D
6
NFO
5
League games at Nottm Forest since 1993
Nottm Forest
Leeds
Goals: Scored
31
22
Games: Scored
16 / 19
15 / 19
Clean sheets
4 / 19
3 / 19
LEE
3
D
7
NFO
9
Goal Statistics
Leeds 16th Nottm Forest 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+38
Leeds have scored 38% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Nottm Forest’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Nottm Forest
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
21%
better
LEE
NFO
view stats
Games scored17
13
Failed to score7
11
Scored first10
7
Goals scored31
24
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
LEE
NFO
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
19
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first12
16
Goals conceded42
35
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against20%
17%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+7%

Leeds v Nottm Forest Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231037
J RodonD Calvert-LewinI GruevE Ampadu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Darlow GLK9
-
J Justin  DEF1611
1
-
J Rodon DEF232
1
-
P Struijk DEF231
3
-
J Bogle  MID2312
4
-
I Gruev MID163
2
-
E Ampadu MID2211
7
-
B Aaronson MID2443
1
-
G Gudmundsson  MID24
3
-
N Okafor FWD223
3
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD23101
1
-
Subs
L Perri GLK16
2
-
J Bijol DEF1211
1
-
S Bornauw DEF8
-
D James MID11
-
S Longstaff MID1512
1
-
A Tanaka MID202
1
-
J Piroe FWD11
-
L Nmecha  FWD195
-
W Gnonto FWD141
2
-
Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25635
N MilenkovićM Gibbs-WhiteO HutchinsonN Milenković
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ortega GLK
-
O Aina  DEF91
2
-
N Milenković DEF25
5
-
Z Abbott DEF2
-
Morato DEF13
4
-
I Sangaré MID1722
3
-
E Anderson MID2512
4
-
C Hudson-Odoi MID2331
-
M Gibbs-White MID2562
-
N Domínguez MID161
2
-
I Jesus FWD2421
-
Subs
A Gunn GLK1
-
L Netz DEF1
-
J Paula DEF1
-
R Yates MID131
1
-
J McAtee MID7
1
-
O Hutchinson FWD1913
-
L Lucca FWD11
-
T Awoniyi FWD81
-
D Ndoye FWD1811
1
-