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Liverpool v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Anfield, Liverpool

Saturday afternoon sees Arne Slot’s Liverpool and Scott Parker’s Burnley go head to head in a English Premier League battle at the Anfield. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you explore each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our predictions will too.

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Liverpool's next match is v Qarabag at 20:00 on Wednesday 28th January
Burnley's next match is v Sunderland at 20:00 on Monday 2nd February
The last English Premier League meeting between Liverpool and Burnley was on Saturday 17th January 2026
English Premier League
January 17th 2026
Liverpool 1
1 Burnley
 
F. Wirtz 42'65' M. Edwards
 
LIV
BRN
Shots On
11
1
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
9
1
Possession
73%
27%
Fouls
8
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
LiverpoolBurnley
 
A. Becker
V. van Dijk
I. Konaté
Milos Kerkez (A. Robertson 78')
F. Wirtzfootball icon
D. Szoboszlai
C. Jones (F. Chiesa 87')
J. Frimpong
R. Gravenberch (A. Mac Allister 78')
C. Gakpo (R. Ngumoha 78')
H. Ekitike
M. Dúbravka
K. Walker
(H. Ekdal 74') M. Esteve
A. Tuanzebe
(J. Laurent 85') C. Ugochukwu
(H. Mejbri 90') football iconM. Edwards
J. Anthony
B. Humphreys
L. Pires Silva
(L. Tchaouna 90') F. Morris Luís
(L. Foster 74') A. Broja

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Liverpool to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Liverpool. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Burnley too. The odds point towards Arne Slot's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Liverpool are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Liverpool
66%
1.2213.00
Draw
19%
6.501.04
Burnley
15%
12.00101.00
Liverpool 2-0
10%
7.003.30
Liverpool 2-1
10%
10.003.30
Liverpool 1-0
9%
8.503.60
Draw 1-1
9%
13.001.55
Liverpool 3-0
8%
8.505.50
Liverpool 3-1
7%
12.0015.00
Draw 2-2
5%
29.0026.00
Burnley 2-1
4%
34.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
19.007.00
Liverpool 4-0
4%
13.0012.00
Burnley 1-0
4%
29.0015.00
Liverpool 4-1
4%
19.0056.00
Liverpool 3-2
4%
29.0061.00
Burnley 2-0
2%
51.0041.00
Liverpool 4-2
2%
41.00201.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.533.90
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.501.22
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.291.29
Away 1st Goal
40%
3.605.50
No 1st Goal
3%
19.006.50
BTTS - Yes
55%
2.053.50
BTTS - No
45%
1.701.25
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2.882.75
BTTS - Draw
15%
8.501.48
BTTS - Away Win
8%
19.0013.00
Home/draw
85%
1.051.00
Away/draw
34%
4.001.18
Home/away
81%
1.113.90
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.171.25
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.003.50
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.3823.00
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.571.00
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.0081.00
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.251.00
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.001.02
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.081.02
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.021.09
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
19.007.00
Home DNB
79%
1.071.09
Away DNB
29%
9.006.50
Liverpool win to nil
34%
1.91-
Burnley win to nil
7%
17.00-
Liverpool / Liverpool
48%
1.731.07
Liverpool / Burnley
2%
51.0029.00
Liverpool / Draw
4%
21.0010.00
Draw / Liverpool
20%
4.0026.00
Draw / Burnley
4%
26.0061.00
Draw / Draw
9%
9.5041.00
Burnley / Liverpool
4%
21.00151.00
Burnley / Burnley
5%
21.0026.00
Burnley / Draw
4%
26.0029.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Liverpool have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Liverpool have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Liverpool have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 13 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Burnley have conceded 39 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Liverpool
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2215522650 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City2314452646 
Feb 8
l
 
3-0A
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
3
A Villa221345843 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
May 9
l
 
2-1A
4
Liverpool231067336 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
5
Man Utd22985635 
l
 
1-2A
May 2
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-2A
6
Chelsea229761234 
May 9
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
7
Fulham231049034 
Apr 11
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 21
8
Brentford221039533 
May 24
l
 
3-2A
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
9
Newcastle22967533 
Jan 31
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
10
Sunderland23896-233 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 11
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
11
Everton22958-132 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 3
12
Brighton23797230 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 21
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
13
Bournemouth23797-530 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-2A
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
14
Spurs23779228 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
15
C Palace22778-228 
Apr 25
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 11
16
Leeds22679-725 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 2
17
Nottm Forest226412-1322 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
18
West Ham235513-1820 
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
Feb 7
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley233614-1915 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
20
Wolves231517-288 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 3
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
Liverpool 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool0 - 0Leeds
Liverpool2 - 1Wolves
Liverpool2 - 0Brighton
Liverpool1 - 1Sunderland
Liverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Liverpool1 - 2Man Utd
Liverpool2 - 1Everton
Liverpool1 - 0Arsenal
Liverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
Liverpool1 - 1C Palace
Liverpool2 - 2Arsenal
Liverpool5 - 1Spurs
Liverpool2 - 1West Ham
Liverpool1 - 0Everton
Liverpool3 - 1Southampton
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 1Wolves
Liverpool4 - 1Ipswich
Liverpool2 - 2Man Utd
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALiverpool0 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool2 - 2Fulham
HLiverpool0 - 0Leeds
HLiverpool2 - 1Wolves
ALiverpool2 - 1Spurs
HLiverpool2 - 0Brighton
ALiverpool3 - 3Leeds
HLiverpool1 - 1Sunderland
ALiverpool2 - 0West Ham
HLiverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
ALiverpool0 - 3Man City
HLiverpool2 - 0A Villa
ALiverpool2 - 3Brentford
HLiverpool1 - 2Man Utd
ALiverpool1 - 2Chelsea
ALiverpool1 - 2C Palace
HLiverpool2 - 1Everton
ALiverpool1 - 0Burnley
HLiverpool1 - 0Arsenal
ALiverpool3 - 2Newcastle
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Portsmouth0 - 0Burnley
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley2 - 2Man Utd
ABurnley0 - 2Brighton
HBurnley1 - 3Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 0Everton
ABurnley1 - 1Bournemouth
HBurnley2 - 3Fulham
ABurnley1 - 2Newcastle
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Liverpool have beaten Burnley in 6 consecutive league meetings
6
Liverpool have not lost to Burnley in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Liverpool since 2009
Liverpool
Burnley
Goals: Scored
19
7
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
LIV
6
D
2
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool3 - 1
Liverpool2 - 0
0 - 1Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Liverpool2 - 1
Liverpool2 - 0
Liverpool4 - 0
League games at Burnley since 2010
Burnley
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
4
20
Games: Scored
3 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
7 / 10
LIV
9
BRN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 2Liverpool
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
0 - 3Liverpool
1 - 3Liverpool
1 - 2Liverpool
Burnley2 - 0
0 - 1Liverpool
0 - 4Liverpool
Goal Statistics

Burnley have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive English Premier League outings. This run could continue, with Liverpool's PG an impressive 2.2.

Liverpool 4th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Liverpool will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Liverpool’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Burnley have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Liverpool
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.2
1
Attack rating
22%
better
LIV
BRN
view stats
Games scored17
14
Failed to score4
7
Scored first11
5
Goals scored32
22
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
26%
better
LIV
BRN
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first8
15
Goals conceded28
41
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
2.2
KickOff rating
+26%

Liverpool v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22835
I KonatéH EkitikéC GakpoI Konaté
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Alisson GLK17
-
J Frimpong DEF102
-
I Konaté DEF22
5
-
V Dijk  DEF22
3
-
M Kerkez DEF211
4
-
R Gravenberch MID2042
3
-
C Jones MID191
1
-
D Szoboszlai MID2121
5
-
F Wirtz MID2131
1
-
C Gakpo MID2053
1
-
H Ekitiké FWD1982
-
Subs
G Mamardashvili GLK5
-
J Gomez DEF102
2
-
A Robertson DEF13
-
C Ramsey DEF
-
W Endo MID51
1
-
A Mac Allister MID212
3
-
T. Nyoni MID2
-
F Chiesa FWD1621
2
-
R. Ngumoha FWD71
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22547
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyQ HartmanK Walker
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK22
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF9
1
-
M Estève DEF19
-
B Humphreys DEF6
2
-
K Walker MID211
7
-
L Ugochukwu MID213
1
1
Florentino MID182
3
-
L Pires MID8
1
M Edwards FWD1212
-
J Anthony FWD2151
3
-
A Broja  FWD1611
-
Subs
M Weiß GLK
-
Q Hartman DEF154
1
-
H Ekdal DEF15
-
H Mejbri MID151
4
-
J Laurent MID191
3
-
L Tchaouna FWD171
1
-
A Barnes FWD2
1
-
J Larsen  FWD181
-
L Foster FWD1521
3
-