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Luton Town v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Kenilworth Road, Luton

The English Premier League is the focus for both Luton Town and Manchester United on Sunday afternoon, as bosses Rob Edwards and Erik ten Hag battle it out at the Kenilworth Road. Premier League statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

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Luton Town's next match is v C Palace at 15:00 on Saturday 9th March
Manchester United's next match is v Everton at 12:30 on Saturday 9th March
The last English Premier League meeting between Luton and Man Utd was on Sunday 18th February 2024
English Premier League
February 18th 2024
Luton 1
2 Man Utd
 
C. Morris 14'1' R. Højlund
7' R. Højlund
 
LUT
MNU
Shots On
4
10
Shots Off
10
5
Corners
8
6
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
7
21
Yellow/red cards
3/0
5/0
 
LutonMan Utd
 
T. Kaminski
G. Osho
T. Mengi
A. Bell
T. Chong (J. Clark 68')
A. Sambi Lokonga
R. Barkley
A. Doughty (L. Berry 82')
C. Woodrow (A. Townsend 68')
C. Morrisfootball icon
C. Ogbene
A. Onana
(J. Evans 46') H. Maguire
(V. Nilsson Lindelöf 45') L. Shaw
J. Dalot Teixeira
R. Varane
K. Mainoo
(S. McTominay 46') C. Casimiro
B. Fernandes
A. Garnacho
(S. Amrabat 86') football iconfootball iconR. Højlund
M. Rashford
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Luton and Man Utd combined during 90 minutes. Recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 67% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.53.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Man Utd coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Luton
32%
3/1
5%
3/1
14%
3/1
7%
16/5
11%
Draw
24%
3/1
11%
29/10
8%
3/1
14%
3/1
4%
Man Utd
44%
5/6
4%
4/5
10%
4/5
10%
10/13
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
8/1
20%
7/1
14%
7/1
14%
7/1
14%
Man Utd 2-1
9%
17/215/27/1
6%
15/2
Man Utd 1-0
8%
11/1
33%
9/1
5%
9/1
25%
19/2
17%
Luton 2-1
8%
14/112/1
8%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
Luton 1-0
7%
18/1
46%
16/1
31%
16/1
42%
15/1
23%
Man Utd 2-0
7%
11/1
20%
10/110/1
10%
19/2
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
11/111/1
8%
11/1
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
18/1
58%
18/1
27%
16/1
55%
16/1
21%
Man Utd 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
20%
11/1
20%
12/1
7%
Luton 2-0
5%
25/1
13%
25/1
24%
25/1
37%
22/1
15%
Man Utd 3-0
4%
18/116/1
11%
14/1
12%
14/1
6%
Luton 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
28/1
12%
25/125/1
4%
Man Utd 3-2
3%
20/1
19%
16/1
19%
16/1
26%
18/1
10%
Luton 3-2
3%
28/1
29%
28/125/1
10%
25/1
13%
Luton 3-0
2%
40/160/1
33%
50/1
24%
40/1
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1/2
17%
1/2
7%
1/2
17%
8/15
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
6/4
25%
29/20
14%
6/4
31%
29/20
15%
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/4
4%
6/4
6%
7/5
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1/2
4%
8/13
6%
3/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
58%
18/1
27%
14/1
36%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/15
10%
1/2
2%
1/2
10%
11/20
6%
BTTS - No
40%
11/8
16%
6/4
6%
6/4
19%
27/20
9%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5/1
14%
5/1
9%
5/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
6%
10/3
3%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
21/10
17%
19/10
15%
2/1
20%
-
Home/draw
56%
10/11
4%
20/21
11%
Evs
11%
21/20
7%
Away/draw
68%
2/9
2%
2/9
5%
2/9
5%
6/25
3%
Home/away
76%
2/9
5%
1/4
3%
1/4
4%
1/4
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/6
6%
2/13
4%
1/7
9%
1/7
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4/1
25%
4/1
18%
4/1
33%
17/4
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
13/10
28%
5/4
12%
5/4
25%
27/20
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
8/13
19%
3/5
11%
4/7
15%
3/5
11%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
3/1
27%
11/4
17%
3/1
27%
3/1
23%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/4
10%
1/4
6%
2/9
8%
11/50
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
6/1
36%
6/1
22%
6/1
30%
7/1
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/10
5%
1/11
3%
1/12
4%
1/14
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40
2%
1/40
2%
1/251/100
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/1
42%
16/1
13%
9/116/1
31%
Home DNB
49%
7/47/4
10%
2/1
14%
21/10
11%
Away DNB
61%
2/52/5
7%
4/11
6%
7/20
6%
Luton win to nil
15%
8/1
29%
17/2
27%
8/1
29%
-
Man Utd win to nil
21%
11/4
10%
14/5
5%
13/5
6%
-
Luton / Luton
13%
11/26/1
17%
11/2
8%
23/4
13%
Luton / Man Utd
4%
20/1
9%
20/1
9%
18/1
17%
20/1
Luton / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
7%
Draw / Luton
9%
17/2
12%
8/1
13%
9/1
11%
17/2
6%
Draw / Man Utd
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
4%
4/117/4
Draw / Draw
13%
6/1
17%
11/2
12%
11/2
18%
23/4
11%
Man Utd / Luton
3%
28/1
15%
33/133/135/1
Man Utd / Man Utd
31%
15/8
7%
15/8
13%
7/4
11%
17/10
7%
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/114/112/113/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Luton have played 23 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Luton have conceded 36 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Luton have played 12 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Man Utd lay in 6th place on 41 points in the Premier League league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 6 games. They have scored 25 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man Utd have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Man Utd have played 12 away games, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Luton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Man Utd
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
 Liverpool2719623963 
Apr 7
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
Apr 13
 Man City2719533562 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
3-4A
Apr 3
 Arsenal2618443958 
May 11
l
 
3-1F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1A
 A Villa2717462255 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 30
 Spurs2615561650 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Man Utd Away2714211-244 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
May 11
 West Ham271269-442 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
4-4A
 Newcastle27124111240 
Apr 20
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Brighton271098539 
l
 
1-3A
May 19
d
 
1-1A
Apr 27
 Wolves2711511-338 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4F
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
 Chelsea2610610136 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
May 19
l
 
1-0A
 Fulham2710512-335 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 6
Mar 13
 Bournemouth268711-1231 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 14
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
 C Palace277713-1528 
l
 
0-1A
May 4
Apr 20
l
 
3-1A
 Brentford277515-1126 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 30
May 4
w
 
1-2F
 Everton278712-825 
Mar 9
w
 
0-3F
Mar 16
d
 
2-2A
 Nottm Forest276615-1524 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
 Luton Home265516-1720 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
 Burnley273420-3513 
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
w
 
2-3F
 Sheff Utd263419-4413 
-
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Luton 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Man Utd 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Manchester United have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive English Premier League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Luton Town on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Luton 18th Man Utd 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Luton have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-14
Man Utd have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258795/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Luton
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
4%
better
LUT
MNU
view stats
Games scored22
20
Failed to score4
7
Scored first8
14
Goals scored37
37
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate18%
14%
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
LUT
MNU
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
20
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first18
12
Goals conceded54
39
Avg. goals conceded2.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded13
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate17%
13%
KickOff rating
+29%

Luton v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Luton Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26865
T KaminskiC MorrisA DoughtyI Kaboré
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kaminski GLK26
3
-
T Mengi DEF191
2
-
G Osho DEF152
3
-
A Bell DEF21
-
C Ogbene MID2531
-
A Lokonga MID122
2
-
R Barkley MID2133
4
-
A Doughty MID2516
3
-
C Morris MID2684
2
-
T Chong MID212
3
-
C Woodrow FWD13
2
-
Subs
T Krul GLK
-
I Kaboré DEF171
5
-
R Burke DEF122
2
-
D Potts DEF
-
P Mpanzu MID20
-
J Clark MID12
2
-
A Townsend  MID1712
1
-
Z Nelson MID
-
L Berry MID6
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27768
A OnanaR HöjlundB FernandesB Fernandes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Onana GLK27
4
-
D Dalot DEF2512
5
-
R Varane DEF181
2
-
H Maguire DEF1612
3
-
L Shaw DEF121
6
-
K Mainoo MID131
3
-
Casemiro MID1411
4
-
A Garnacho MID2553
4
-
B Fernandes MID2636
8
-
M Rashford MID2662
2
-
R Höjlund FWD2072
2
-
Subs
A Bayındır GLK
-
V Lindelöf DEF1711
2
-
J Evans  DEF171
2
-
S Amrabat MID13
3
-
C Eriksen MID1611
1
-
S McTominay MID2471
-
O. Forson MID31
-
A Diallo FWD2
-
Antony FWD21
3
-