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Manchester City v Liverpool : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

It's a long trek for Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool side on Saturday lunch time, as they make their way to the Etihad Stadium for a English Premier League meeting with Pep Guardiola's Manchester City. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Premier League match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

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Manchester City's next match is v Red Star Bel. at 17:45 on Wednesday 13th December
Liverpool's next match is v Sheff Utd at 19:30 on Wednesday 6th December
The last English Premier League meeting between Man City and Liverpool was on Saturday 25th November 2023
English Premier League
November 25th 2023
Man City 1
1 Liverpool
 
E. Haaland 27'80' T. Alexander-Arnold
 
MCI
LIV
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
9
6
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
9
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
Man CityLiverpool
 
E. Santana de Moraes
K. Walker
M. Akanji
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
N. Aké
R. Hernández Cascante
B. Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva
J. Doku
E. Haalandfootball icon
P. Foden
J. Álvarez
A. Becker
football iconT. Alexander-Arnold
J. Job Matip
K. Tsimikas
V. van Dijk
(W. Endo 85') A. Mac Allister
(C. Gakpo 73') D. Szoboszlai
(R. Gravenberch 54') C. Jones
(H. Elliot 85') D. Núñez Ribeiro
M. Salah Ghaly
(L. Díaz Marulanda 54') D. Jota
Best Tip: Both teams to score

After looking at our match predictions, bookies' odds and relevant stats, there's one market which catches the eye for this meeting: both teams to score. In Man City and Liverpool we have two sides going head-to-head that can both score and concede, and we expect them to maintain that reputation on Saturday lunch time. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.52.

As Liverpool ready themselves to go head to head with Manchester City, the odds for BTTS – no have been drifting, due to tipsters' and bookmakers' belief that both teams have enough quality to have found the net come full-time.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Man City
58%
7/10
2%
4/67/10
2%
4/6
Draw
21%
16/5
5%
3/116/5
5%
13/4
2%
Liverpool
22%
10/3
3%
18/5
3%
10/3
3%
15/4
3%
Man City 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
7/17/17/1
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/18/1
13%
7/1
6%
Man City 2-0
8%
10/1
10%
9/19/1
5%
17/2
10%
Man City 1-0
7%
11/1
33%
9/19/1
18%
17/2
14%
Man City 3-1
7%
12/1
13%
11/111/1
8%
11/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
12%
11/111/1
8%
12/1
4%
Liverpool 2-1
6%
14/114/112/113/1
Man City 3-0
6%
16/1
13%
14/114/113/1
7%
Liverpool 1-0
4%
18/1
27%
18/118/1
27%
16/1
6%
Man City 3-2
4%
20/1
19%
16/116/1
11%
17/1
6%
Man City 4-1
4%
22/1
21%
20/120/1
19%
19/1
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
46%
18/118/1
27%
16/1
15%
Man City 4-0
3%
28/125/125/1
10%
22/1
Liverpool 2-0
3%
28/1
12%
33/125/125/1
4%
Liverpool 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
28/125/1
10%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
19/40
13%
1/24/9
11%
11/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
8/5
24%
6/413/8
20%
29/20
8%
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/9
4%
4/7
3%
8/15
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8
5%
33/20
2%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
46%
18/116/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/15
10%
1/21/2
7%
4/7
4%
BTTS - No
38%
11/8
16%
29/20
2%
6/4
14%
13/10
6%
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2/1
12%
9/59/5
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
7/2
2%
18/5-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/2
13%
11/25/1
8%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/5
2%
2/111/5
2%
1/5
1%
Away/draw
42%
11/10
2%
23/2023/20
5%
6/5
1%
Home/away
79%
2/92/92/9
2%
6/25
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/7
7%
1/71/7
5%
2/13
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
9/2
27%
21/54/1
15%
21/5
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6/5
20%
6/56/5
16%
7/5
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
4/6
16%
8/138/13
13%
4/7
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
11/4
25%
27/1011/4
17%
33/10
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
2/7
10%
1/41/4
7%
1/5
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
11/2
35%
6/16/1
22%
15/2
21%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/9
5%
1/111/12
3%
1/16
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40
2%
1/40-1/100
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1
31%
18/1-15/1
16%
Home DNB
58%
3/10
2%
3/101/32/7
1%
Away DNB
22%
12/5
5%
12/59/45/2
3%
Man City win to nil
26%
5/2
8%
5/212/5
6%
-
Liverpool win to nil
8%
9/1
25%
10/19/1
18%
-
Man City / Man City
33%
7/433/206/4
5%
6/4
Man City / Liverpool
2%
33/140/133/140/1
14%
Man City / Draw
6%
14/114/112/1
13%
14/1
7%
Draw / Man City
17%
4/118/54/14/1
2%
Draw / Liverpool
8%
9/19/110/1
10%
19/2
5%
Draw / Draw
12%
13/2
15%
11/213/2
15%
23/4
4%
Liverpool / Man City
5%
18/1
10%
18/116/1
11%
19/1
5%
Liverpool / Liverpool
11%
13/27/1
6%
6/1
8%
13/2
7%
Liverpool / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
14/114/114/1
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premier League league table. Man City have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man City have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 5 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

 
Man City
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Liverpool
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 30
l
 
1-0A
 Arsenal1410311833 
Dec 23
Feb 3
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
 Liverpool Away149411831 
-
-
-
-
 Man City Home149322030 
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
Dec 6
 A Villa149231329 
w
 
3-0F
May 11
d
 
3-3A
Apr 20
 Spurs14833827 
May 4
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 13
 Newcastle148241826 
Jan 1
w
 
1-2A
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
 Man Utd14806-124 
Dec 17
Apr 6
w
 
2-1F
Mar 16
 Brighton14644422 
Mar 30
d
 
2-2A
May 19
w
 
1-3A
 West Ham14635021 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 27
Feb 17
d
 
4-4F
 Chelsea14545319 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
-
Feb 3
 Brentford14545319 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 17
Dec 16
Apr 6
 C Palace14446-516 
Apr 13
Dec 9
May 4
l
 
2-1A
 Wolves14437-615 
May 19
w
 
1-3A
w
 
5-1F
May 11
 Fulham14437-1015 
w
 
4-3F
Apr 20
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
 Nottm Forest14347-613 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 2
w
 
6-1F
Feb 24
 Bournemouth14347-1413 
w
 
3-1A
Jan 21
Apr 13
Dec 10
 Luton14239-139 
Feb 24
d
 
1-1A
Feb 10
Dec 27
 Everton14527-57 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
Jan 31
w
 
0-3F
 Burnley142111-177 
Feb 10
Dec 26
Dec 30
w
 
1-2F
 Sheff Utd141211-285 
Apr 3
Dec 6
Win / draw / win form
Man City 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Liverpool 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Man City have not lost to Liverpool in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
45
29
Games: Scored
21 / 26
18 / 26
Clean sheets
8 / 26
5 / 26
MCI
10
D
12
LIV
4
All league games since 1992
Man City
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
72
80
Games: Scored
37 / 52
43 / 52
Clean sheets
9 / 52
15 / 52
MCI
12
D
19
LIV
21
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive English Premier League outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday lunch time.

Manchester City's defensive record is very strong, Pep Guardiola's men having conceded 1 or less in 17 consecutive English Premier League outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Liverpool makes sense in this context.

Man City 3rd Liverpool 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 71% probability that Liverpool will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Man City have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+12
Liverpool have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Premier League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/258676/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
MCI
LIV
5%
better
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score1
0
Scored first10
7
Goals scored36
32
Avg. goals scored2.6
2.3
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate22%
17%
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
MCI
LIV
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded16
14
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate21%
11%
KickOff rating
+3%

Man City v Liverpool Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141456
K WalkerE HaalandJ DokuRodri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ederson GLK13
2
-
K Walker DEF141
1
-
R Dias DEF12
-
N Aké  DEF1021
-
Rodri MID1232
5
1
M Akanji MID112
2
-
P Foden MID1443
1
-
J Álvarez MID1444
2
-
B Silva MID1133
3
-
J Doku MID1125
2
-
E Haaland FWD14144
1
-
Subs
S Ortega GLK1
-
S Carson GLK
-
J Gvardiol DEF10
2
-
R Lewis DEF6
-
J Stones DEF4
-
S Gómez MID21
-
O Bobb MID41
-
K Phillips MID4
-
Liverpool Premier League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
141066
D SzoboszlaiM SalahM SalahA Allister
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Alisson GLK13
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF1221
3
-
J Matip DEF10
2
-
V Dijk  DEF122
1
1
K Tsimikas DEF73
-
D Szoboszlai MID1412
1
-
A Allister MID1311
5
1
C Jones MID6
1
1
M Salah FWD14106
1
-
D Núñez FWD1344
2
-
D Jota  FWD1241
2
-
Subs
C Kelleher GLK1
-
J Gomez DEF11
1
-
I Konaté DEF9
1
-
J Quansah DEF4
-
W Endo MID91
1
-
H Elliot MID111
1
-
R Gravenberch MID9
-
L Díaz  FWD133
-
C Gakpo FWD122
-