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Manchester City v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Eddie Howe is aiming for a vital away win in the English Premier League on Saturday night, as he takes his Newcastle United side to the Etihad Stadium to visit Manchester City and Josep Guardiola i Sala. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.

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Manchester City's next match is v Newcastle at 20:00 on Saturday 7th March
Newcastle United's next match is v Man City at 20:00 on Saturday 7th March
The last English Premier League meeting between Man City and Newcastle was on Saturday 21st February 2026
English Premier League
February 21st 2026
Man City 2
1 Newcastle
 
N. O'Reilly 14'22' L. Hall
N. O'Reilly 27'
 
MCI
NEW
Shots On
7
7
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
5
5
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
12
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
Man CityNewcastle
 
G. Donnarumma
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias (A. Khusanov 46')
M. Guehi
R. Aït Nouri
N. O'Reillyfootball iconfootball icon
O. Marmoush (M. Cherki 58')
E. Haaland
M. Nunes
Rodri
A. Semenyo (P. Foden 87')
B. Silva
N. Pope
K. Trippier
football iconL. Hall
M. Thiaw
S. Tonali
(W. Osula 78') A. Gordon
(J. Murphy 78') A. Elanga
D. Burn
(H. Barnes 60') J. Willock
J. Ramsey
(J. Apolinário de Lira 60') N. Woltemade

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Man City to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding the two sides ahead of this Premier League fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Man City to win and delight their home supporters is our recommendation. We predict they will overpower Newcastle, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It may not all be plain sailing, but Man City winning is the bet come Saturday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
64%
4/7
5%
1/1000
5%
Draw
20%
15/4
4%
40/1
19%
Newcastle
16%
4/1
14%
750/1
4%
Man City 2-0
10%
10/1
5%
6/1
Man City 2-1
10%
17/22/7
Man City 1-0
10%
11/1
20%
10/1
12%
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
11%
9/1
13%
Man City 3-0
7%
14/17/1
Man City 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
5/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/18/1
Draw 0-0
5%
20/1
24%
14/1
31%
Newcastle 2-1
5%
16/1
11%
10/1
Newcastle 1-0
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
13%
Man City 4-0
4%
22/1
9%
10/1
12%
Man City 4-1
4%
20/1
10%
33/1
12%
Man City 3-2
3%
20/133/1
Newcastle 2-0
2%
33/1
21%
20/1
Man City 4-2
2%
33/1
17%
100/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/9
8%
1/25
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
7/4
16%
9/1
10%
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/2
4%
10/21
3%
Away 1st Goal
40%
6/4
5%
15/8
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
24%
12/1
31%
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/15
3%
8/15
3%
BTTS - No
45%
11/8
2%
11/8
2%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
7/4
9%
1/18
6%
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/115/2
9%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
13/250/1
Home/draw
84%
1/6
1%
1/300
Away/draw
36%
13/10
11%
15/2
8%
Home/away
80%
2/11
3%
1/20
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/7
3%
1/33
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
9/2
10%
10/1
20%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/10
9%
13/5
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
8/11
7%
1/4
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5/2
13%
18/1
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
3/10
4%
1/500
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
5/1
25%
66/1
14%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/8
5%
1/1000
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/50
1%
1/66
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1
12%
12/1
31%
Home DNB
78%
1/4
3%
1/500
2%
Away DNB
30%
11/4
15%
50/1
Man City win to nil
33%
12/5-
Newcastle win to nil
7%
10/1
18%
-
Man City / Man City
37%
11/8
8%
2/7
7%
Man City / Newcastle
2%
33/112/1
Man City / Draw
6%
14/111/2
8%
Draw / Man City
17%
4/114/1
2%
Draw / Newcastle
7%
11/1
15%
22/1
9%
Draw / Draw
11%
7/1
13%
18/1
15%
Newcastle / Man City
5%
18/1
10%
80/1
12%
Newcastle / Newcastle
9%
15/2
5%
55/1
6%
Newcastle / Draw
5%
16/170/1
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man City have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Man City have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Man City have played 13 games at home winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 32 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 10th position in the Premier League on 36 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Newcastle have conceded 22 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man City
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3020733767 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
2
Man City2918653260 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
3
Man Utd2914961151 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
A Villa291568551 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
5
Chelsea2913971948 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
Mar 14
6
Liverpool291469948 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
7
Brentford2913511444 
May 9
w
 
0-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
8
Everton2912710143 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
9
Bournemouth299137-240 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
10
Fulham2912413-340 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
4-5F
w
 
2-1F
May 24
11
Sunderland2910109-440 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
12
Newcastle2911612-139 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
13
C Palace2910811-238 
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
14
Brighton2991010237 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
May 2
l
 
2-1A
15
Leeds2971012-1131 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Spurs297814-729 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
17
Nottm Forest297715-1528 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 9
18
West Ham297715-1928 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
May 17
l
 
3-1F
19
Burnley294718-2619 
w
 
5-1F
Apr 26
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
20
Wolves303720-3016 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Newcastle 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
16
Man City have beaten Newcastle in 16 consecutive home league meetings
21
Man City have not lost to Newcastle in 21 consecutive home league meetings
6
Man City have kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive home league meetings with Newcastle
League games at Man City since 1994
Man City
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
64
13
Games: Scored
22 / 25
11 / 25
Clean sheets
14 / 25
3 / 25
MCI
20
D
4
NEW
1
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Man City
Goals: Scored
35
43
Games: Scored
17 / 26
21 / 26
Clean sheets
5 / 26
9 / 26
MCI
12
D
6
NEW
8
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Man City 2nd Newcastle 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Newcastle scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Man City’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-32
Newcastle have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
2.1
1
Attack rating
23%
better
MCI
NEW
view stats
Games scored22
19
Failed to score4
7
Scored first20
16
Goals scored54
37
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
25%
better
MCI
NEW
view stats
Games conceded15
19
Clean sheets11
7
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded24
37
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+25%

Man City v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
272288
E HaalandE HaalandR CherkiB Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK26
6
-
M Nunes DEF2614
4
-
R Dias DEF252
3
-
M Guéhi DEF7
1
-
R Nouri DEF122
2
-
Rodri MID171
2
-
A Semenyo MID851
-
B Silva MID2914
8
-
N. O'Reilly MID2743
4
-
E Haaland FWD28227
1
-
O Marmoush FWD1612
1
-
Subs
J Trafford GLK3
-
J Stones DEF7
-
A. Khusanov DEF14
2
-
R Lewis DEF101
1
-
T Reijnders MID2552
2
-
R Cherki MID2438
1
-
N González  MID211
6
-
P Foden MID2573
4
-
S Sávio FWD171
2
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25729
M ThiawN WoltemadeD BurnD Burn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK22
1
-
K Trippier DEF171
3
-
M Thiaw DEF264
3
-
D Burn DEF212
8
1
L Hall DEF2211
3
-
J Ramsey MID1921
4
1
S Tonali MID292
3
-
J Willock MID18
3
-
A Elanga FWD251
-
N Woltemade FWD2572
-
A Gordon FWD2342
3
1
Subs
J Ruddy GLK
-
A Ramsdale GLK8
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
L. Shahar DEF
-
Joelinton MID2221
7
-
H Barnes MID285
1
-
J Murphy MID2431
1
-
W Osula FWD162
-
S. Neave FWD
-