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Manchester United v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Old Trafford, Manchester

Michael Carrick and Daniel Farke clash in the English Premier League on Monday night, as Manchester United face Leeds United at the Old Trafford. Analysing both sides' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Manchester United's next match is v Brentford at 20:00 on Monday 27th April
Leeds United's next match is v Bournemouth at 20:00 on Wednesday 22nd April
The last English Premier League meeting between Man Utd and Leeds was on Monday 13th April 2026
English Premier League
April 13th 2026
Man Utd 1
2 Leeds
 
C. Casimiro 69'5' N. Okafor
29' N. Okafor
 
MNU
LEE
Shots On
9
6
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
11
4
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
12
15
Yellow/red cards
3/1
2/0
 
Man UtdLeeds
 
N. Mazraoui (J. Dalot Teixeira 70')
L. Martínez
L. Yoro
B. Fernandes
M. Carneiro Da Cunha
C. Casimirofootball icon
A. Traoré (B. Mbeumo 70')
S. Lammens
L. Shaw
M. Ugarte Ribeiro
B. Šeško
J. Bogle
G. Gudmundsson
P. Struijk
E. Ampadu
(S. Longstaff 86') B. Aaronson
D. Calvert-Lewin
J. Bijol
K. Darlow
J. Justin
(I. Gruev 74') A. Tanaka
(D. Gnonto 74') football iconfootball iconN. Okafor

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Man Utd and Leeds will score at least 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man Utd
54%
8/13
6%
200/1
2%
Draw
23%
31/10
5%
20/1
Leeds
23%
17/4
9%
1/50
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
15/219/4
Man Utd 2-1
10%
8/16/1
Man Utd 1-0
10%
8/17/1
Man Utd 2-0
9%
17/2
6%
7/1
Leeds 2-1
6%
18/1
10%
10/21
Man Utd 3-1
6%
12/110/1
9%
Leeds 1-0
6%
18/1
10%
17/2
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
12%
5/1
Man Utd 3-0
5%
12/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/112/1
8%
Man Utd 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
33/1
11%
Leeds 2-0
3%
33/113/8
Man Utd 4-1
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Man Utd 4-0
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
Leeds 3-1
2%
40/19/2
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/64/9
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
6/58/5
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/2
2%
8/15
2%
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8
5%
17/10
6%
No 1st Goal
3%
14/111/1
9%
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/1029/20
2%
BTTS - No
44%
21/201/2
3%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
11/5
3%
28/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
9/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8/1
15%
2/15
Home/draw
77%
1/6
3%
13/2
1%
Away/draw
46%
5/4
8%
1/1000
2%
Home/away
77%
2/9
2%
1/16
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/51/20
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
7/28/1
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
13/829/10
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/22/9
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
7/222/1
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/51/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1
11%
80/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/331/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/111/1
Home DNB
70%
2/9
4%
25/1
Away DNB
39%
3/1
13%
1/300
5%
Man Utd win to nil
28%
2/1
9%
-
Leeds win to nil
11%
9/1
9%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
33%
6/4
5%
70/1
1%
Man Utd / Leeds
2%
40/11/50
10%
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/1150/1
Draw / Man Utd
17%
15/466/1
Draw / Leeds
8%
11/1
15%
100/1
Draw / Draw
13%
6/180/1
Leeds / Man Utd
5%
20/16/1
Leeds / Leeds
11%
8/1
15%
1/3
7%
Leeds / Draw
5%
16/118/5
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 31 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 10 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man Utd have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Man Utd have played 15 games at home winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 30 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Leeds are in 15th position in the Premier League on 33 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 12 and won 4. Leeds have conceded 38 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man Utd
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City3321753770 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
2
Arsenal3321753770 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
5-0A
3
Man Utd33161071358 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
4
A Villa331779658 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
5
Liverpool33167101155 
May 3
w
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Brighton34131110950 
w
 
4-2F
May 24
May 17
l
 
3-0A
7
Bournemouth3411167049 
d
 
4-4F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
8
Chelsea3413912848 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
9
Brentford3313911448 
Apr 27
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
10
Everton3313812147 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
11
Sunderland33121011-446 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
12
Fulham3313614-345 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
13
C Palace32111011-143 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Newcastle3312615-342 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-3F
15
Leeds3491312-740 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
16
Nottm Forest339915-936 
May 17
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1F
17
West Ham338916-1733 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
May 24
18
Spurs3371016-1131 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
May 11
19
Burnley344822-3420 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
May 1
l
 
2-0A
20
Wolves333822-3717 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Man Utd 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd3 - 1A Villa
Man Utd2 - 1C Palace
Man Utd2 - 0Spurs
Man Utd3 - 2Fulham
Man Utd2 - 0Man City
Man Utd1 - 1Wolves
Man Utd1 - 0Newcastle
Man Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
Man Utd1 - 1West Ham
Man Utd0 - 1Everton
Man Utd4 - 2Brighton
Man Utd2 - 0Sunderland
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Man Utd0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Man Utd0 - 2West Ham
Man Utd0 - 1Wolves
Man Utd0 - 0Man City
Man Utd1 - 1Arsenal
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan Utd2 - 2Bournemouth
HMan Utd3 - 1A Villa
AMan Utd1 - 2Newcastle
HMan Utd2 - 1C Palace
AMan Utd1 - 0Everton
AMan Utd1 - 1West Ham
HMan Utd2 - 0Spurs
HMan Utd3 - 2Fulham
AMan Utd3 - 2Arsenal
HMan Utd2 - 0Man City
AMan Utd2 - 2Burnley
AMan Utd1 - 1Leeds
HMan Utd1 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 0Newcastle
AMan Utd1 - 2A Villa
HMan Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
AMan Utd4 - 1Wolves
HMan Utd1 - 1West Ham
AMan Utd2 - 1C Palace
HMan Utd0 - 1Everton
Leeds 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace0 - 0Leeds
A Villa1 - 1Leeds
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Everton1 - 1Leeds
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Liverpool0 - 0Leeds
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Brentford1 - 1Leeds
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Plymouth1 - 2Leeds
Oxford Utd0 - 1Leeds
M'Boro0 - 1Leeds
Luton1 - 1Leeds
QPR2 - 2Leeds
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds0 - 0Brentford
ALeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds0 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds0 - 1Man City
ALeeds1 - 1A Villa
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
ALeeds1 - 1Everton
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds0 - 0Liverpool
ALeeds1 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds4 - 1C Palace
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
HLeeds3 - 1Chelsea
ALeeds2 - 3Man City
HLeeds1 - 2A Villa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
15
Man Utd have not lost to Leeds in 15 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Man Utd since 1992
Man Utd
Leeds
Goals: Scored
32
10
Games: Scored
13 / 15
7 / 15
Clean sheets
8 / 15
2 / 15
MNU
10
D
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd5 - 1
Man Utd6 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd2 - 0
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
15
23
Games: Scored
9 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
7 / 16
MNU
7
D
5
LEE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Man Utd
2 - 4Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
Leeds1 - 0
3 - 4Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds1 - 0
0 - 4Man Utd
Leeds3 - 1
Leeds2 - 1
0 - 2Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Manchester United have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 19 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Leeds United on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Leeds United of late. It has been 5 English Premier League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday night against Manchester United.

Man Utd 3rd Leeds 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Man Utd’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
33%
better
MNU
LEE
view stats
Games scored28
20
Failed to score3
11
Scored first21
12
Goals scored56
37
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
5%
better
MNU
LEE
view stats
Games conceded26
25
Clean sheets5
6
Conceded first10
15
Goals conceded43
48
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+5%

Man Utd v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3391810
L ShawB SeskoB FernandesCasemiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lammens GLK27
-
N Mazraoui  DEF17
3
-
L Yoro DEF29
1
-
L Martínez  DEF15
1
L Shaw DEF331
6
-
Casemiro MID3182
9
1
M Ugarte MID22
1
-
A Diallo MID2722
2
-
B Fernandes MID30818
4
-
M Cunha MID3082
3
-
B Sesko FWD2891
2
-
Subs
A Bayındır GLK6
-
D Dalot DEF3113
5
-
T Malacia DEF2
-
A. Heaven DEF151
2
-
T. Fletcher MID1
-
M Mount  MID193
1
-
J Zirkzee FWD1921
1
-
B Mbeumo FWD2893
4
-
S. Lacey FWD2
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301158
E AmpaduD Calvert-LewinB AaronsonE Ampadu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Darlow GLK17
1
-
J Justin  DEF2421
4
-
J Bijol DEF2011
3
-
P Struijk DEF301
4
-
J Bogle  MID3113
6
-
E Ampadu MID3011
8
-
A Tanaka MID232
1
-
G Gudmundsson  MID31
5
1
B Aaronson FWD3245
2
-
N Okafor FWD2671
3
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD30111
1
-
Subs
L Perri GLK16
2
-
S Bornauw DEF9
1
-
S Byram DEF1
-
S Longstaff MID1912
2
-
F Buonanotte MID2
1
-
I Gruev MID233
3
-
J Piroe FWD13
-
L Nmecha  FWD2661
-
W Gnonto FWD181
3
-