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Manchester United v Southampton : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Old Trafford, Manchester

Ruben Amorim and Ivan Juric clash in the English Premier League on Thursday night, as Manchester United face Southampton at the Old Trafford. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.

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Manchester United's next match is v Rangers at 20:00 on Thursday 23rd January
Southampton's next match is v Newcastle at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
The last English Premier League meeting between Man Utd and Southampton was on Thursday 16th January 2025
English Premier League
January 16th 2025
Man Utd 3
1 Southampton
 
A. Traoré 82'43' (OG)M. Ugarte Ribeiro
A. Traoré 90'
A. Traoré 90'
 
MNU
SOU
Shots On
9
5
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
4
4
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
7
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
Man UtdSouthampton
 
A. Onana
N. Mazraoui (C. Dannemann Eriksen 83')
L. Yoro (H. Maguire 83')
L. Martínez
M. de Ligt
B. Fernandes
M. Ugarte Ribeirofootball icon (T. Collyer 54')
K. Mainoo (A. dos Santos 46')
R. Højlund (J. Zirkzee 53')
A. Traoréfootball iconfootball iconfootball icon
A. Garnacho
A. Ramsdale
J. Bree
Y. Sugawara
K. Walker-Peters
T. Harwood-Bellis
(N. Wood-Gordon 83') J. Bednarek
(F. Downes 73') J. Aribo
(A. Armstrong 73') M. Espanha Fernandes
(E. Onuachu 83') C. Ugochukwu
(W. Smallbone 63') T. Dibling
K. Sulemana

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Man Utd and Southampton will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Erik ten Hag or Russell Martin has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.17 equating to about a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man Utd are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man Utd
59%
27/100
7%
2/7
3%
Draw
23%
5/1
14%
5/1
9%
Southampton
19%
9/1
43%
9/1
25%
Man Utd 1-0
12%
8/1
20%
6/1
7%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Man Utd 2-0
11%
6/15/1
14%
Man Utd 2-1
10%
9/1
5%
7/1
7%
Man Utd 3-0
6%
15/2
11%
13/2
6%
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
Man Utd 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
17/2
Southampton 1-0
6%
25/1
37%
18/1
12%
Southampton 2-1
5%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Draw 2-2
5%
25/118/1
27%
Man Utd 4-0
3%
12/1
24%
9/1
17%
Man Utd 3-2
3%
28/118/1
12%
Man Utd 4-1
3%
18/1
17%
12/1
Southampton 2-0
3%
50/1
24%
33/1
17%
Southampton 3-1
2%
66/1
31%
45/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/7
9%
8/15
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
11/8
13%
11/8
1%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/5
4%
3/10
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/2
13%
11/4
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
15%
14/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
1/11/1
9%
BTTS - No
49%
3/48/11
9%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
2/1
6%
9/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
16%
13/2
7%
6/1
17%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
14/1
15%
14/1
36%
Home/draw
81%
1/16
4%
1/20
2%
Away/draw
41%
11/4
25%
27/10
16%
Home/away
77%
1/8
4%
1/8
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/6
4%
1/6
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4/1
15%
18/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/8
13%
13/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/7
9%
11/20
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
10/3
13%
29/10
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/9
4%
2/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
7/1
20%
6/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/12
2%
1/12
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/40
2%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
16/1
31%
12/1
13%
Home DNB
74%
1/12
5%
1/16
4%
Away DNB
35%
7/1
45%
13/2
25%
Man Utd win to nil
33%
11/10
5%
-
Southampton win to nil
10%
16/1
31%
-
Man Utd / Man Utd
46%
5/6
11%
3/4
8%
Man Utd / Southampton
2%
40/1
20%
40/1
21%
Man Utd / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Draw / Man Utd
21%
3/13/1
Draw / Southampton
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Draw / Draw
10%
8/1
20%
7/1
7%
Southampton / Man Utd
4%
20/116/1
Southampton / Southampton
5%
20/1
40%
12/1
18%
Southampton / Draw
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Man Utd have outscored their opponents by 23 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Man Utd have played 10 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Southampton are in 20th position in the Premier League on 6 points having played 20 matches so far this season. Southampton are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Southampton have conceded 44 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man Utd
Southampton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2115513050 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-3A
Mar 8
2
Arsenal2212822244 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
May 25
l
 
3-1F
3
Nottm Forest2213541144 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 1
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
4
Chelsea2211741740 
d
 
1-1F
May 18
l
 
1-5A
Feb 25
5
Man City2211561538 
Apr 5
w
 
1-2A
May 10
l
 
1-0A
6
Newcastle2211561238 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
7
Bournemouth2210751037 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 26
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
8
A Villa221066-136 
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
9
Brighton228104534 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
10
Fulham22895433 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 26
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
11
Brentford228410128 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1A
12
C Palace22697-327 
Feb 2
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 2
l
 
2-1F
13
Man Utd Home227510-526 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
14
West Ham227510-1626 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
15
Spurs2273121024 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 16
l
 
0-5A
Apr 5
16
Everton21489-1020 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
May 18
17
Wolves224414-1916 
Apr 19
l
 
2-0A
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
18
Ipswich223712-2316 
Feb 26
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
19
Leicester223514-2514 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
l
 
2-3F
May 3
20
Southampton A221318-356 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-3F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Man Utd 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd0 - 2Newcastle
Man Utd0 - 3Bournemouth
Man Utd2 - 3Nottm Forest
Man Utd4 - 0Everton
Man Utd3 - 0Leicester
Man Utd1 - 1Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 1Brentford
Man Utd0 - 3Spurs
Man Utd0 - 3Liverpool
Man Utd1 - 0Fulham
Man Utd3 - 2Newcastle
Man Utd0 - 1Arsenal
Man Utd1 - 1Burnley
Man Utd4 - 2Sheff Utd
Man Utd2 - 2Liverpool
Man Utd2 - 0Everton
Man Utd1 - 2Fulham
Man Utd3 - 0West Ham
Man Utd2 - 2Spurs
Man Utd3 - 2A Villa
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan Utd2 - 2Liverpool
HMan Utd0 - 2Newcastle
AMan Utd0 - 2Wolves
HMan Utd0 - 3Bournemouth
AMan Utd2 - 1Man City
HMan Utd2 - 3Nottm Forest
AMan Utd0 - 2Arsenal
HMan Utd4 - 0Everton
AMan Utd1 - 1Ipswich
HMan Utd3 - 0Leicester
HMan Utd1 - 1Chelsea
AMan Utd1 - 2West Ham
HMan Utd2 - 1Brentford
AMan Utd0 - 0A Villa
HMan Utd0 - 3Spurs
AMan Utd0 - 0C Palace
AMan Utd3 - 0Southampton
HMan Utd0 - 3Liverpool
AMan Utd1 - 2Brighton
HMan Utd1 - 0Fulham
Southampton 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace2 - 1Southampton
Fulham0 - 0Southampton
A Villa1 - 0Southampton
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
Wolves2 - 0Southampton
Man City1 - 0Southampton
Arsenal3 - 1Southampton
Bournemouth3 - 1Southampton
Brentford3 - 1Southampton
Newcastle1 - 0Southampton
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
West Brom0 - 0Southampton
Leeds1 - 2Southampton
Leicester5 - 0Southampton
Cardiff2 - 1Southampton
Blackburn0 - 0Southampton
Ipswich3 - 2Southampton
Birmingham3 - 4Southampton
West Brom0 - 2Southampton
Bristol C3 - 1Southampton
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
1
D
3
Lost
16
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton0 - 5Brentford
ASouthampton1 - 2C Palace
HSouthampton0 - 1West Ham
ASouthampton0 - 0Fulham
HSouthampton0 - 5Spurs
ASouthampton0 - 1A Villa
HSouthampton1 - 5Chelsea
ASouthampton1 - 1Brighton
HSouthampton2 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 2Wolves
HSouthampton1 - 0Everton
ASouthampton0 - 1Man City
HSouthampton2 - 3Leicester
ASouthampton1 - 3Arsenal
ASouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
HSouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton0 - 3Man Utd
ASouthampton1 - 3Brentford
HSouthampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
ASouthampton0 - 1Newcastle
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
15
Man Utd have not lost to Southampton in 15 consecutive league meetings
3
Man Utd have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Southampton
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
Southampton
Goals: Scored
57
21
Games: Scored
20 / 24
16 / 24
Clean sheets
8 / 24
4 / 24
MNU
16
D
6
SOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd9 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd2 - 0
0 - 1Southampton
0 - 1Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd6 - 1
Man Utd5 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd4 - 1
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
League games at Southampton since 1992
Southampton
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
31
45
Games: Scored
18 / 25
22 / 25
Clean sheets
3 / 25
7 / 25
MNU
14
D
6
SOU
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
0 - 3Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Man Utd
1 - 2Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Man Utd
1 - 2Man Utd
Southampton1 - 0
0 - 2Man Utd
1 - 3Man Utd
Southampton2 - 1
1 - 3Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton6 - 3
Southampton3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Goal Statistics

Manchester United have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Southampton on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Southampton fans, as should a 8 English Premier League matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Man Utd 13th Southampton 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Man Utd’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Southampton have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278004/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
28%
better
MNU
SOU
view stats
Games scored12
10
Failed to score8
10
Scored first7
5
Goals scored23
12
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.6
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for12
9
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
26%
better
MNU
SOU
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first11
14
Goals conceded28
44
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
2.4
KickOff rating
+26%

Man Utd v Southampton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22667
A OnanaA DialloA DialloL Martínez 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Onana GLK22
-
L Yoro DEF9
1
-
M Ligt DEF201
3
-
L Martínez  DEF1811
7
-
A Diallo MID2066
3
-
M Ugarte MID16
6
-
K Mainoo MID16
5
-
N Mazraoui  MID221
1
-
A Garnacho FWD2131
1
-
B Fernandes FWD2156
2
2
R Höjlund FWD172
1
-
Subs
A Bayındır GLK
-
G. Kukonki DEF
-
H Maguire DEF15
6
-
T Malacia DEF2
1
-
T. Collyer MID3
-
C Eriksen MID121
2
-
Casemiro MID141
1
-
J Zirkzee FWD2231
1
-
Antony FWD8
-
Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20229
T Harwood-BellisJ AriboK Walker-PetersF Downes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ramsdale GLK15
1
-
J Bree DEF9
-
J Bednarek DEF181
4
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF211
8
-
Y Sugawara MID1911
3
-
L Ugochukwu MID121
3
-
J Aribo MID212
1
-
K Walker-Peters MID202
5
-
T Obling FWD202
6
-
M Fernandes FWD2012
6
-
K Sulemana FWD11
-
Subs
A McCarthy GLK4
-
R Manning DEF12
1
-
N Wood DEF8
2
-
F Downes MID181
9
-
W Smallbone MID6
-
A Lallana MID112
4
-
A Armstrong FWD1922
4
-
C Archer FWD202
-
P Onuachu FWD111
1
-