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Newcastle United v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 15:00 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

We’ve English Premier League action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Eddie Howe and his Newcastle United side host Scott Parker’s Burnley at the St. James' Park. For each and every Premier League match, KickOff dives into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Newcastle to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this fixture, and it's Newcastle. Their recent form statistics show their ability in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Burnley too. The odds point towards Eddie Howe's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
65%
1.291.29
Draw
19%
5.005.75
Burnley
17%
11.0010.00
Newcastle 2-1
10%
10.008.50
Newcastle 2-0
9%
7.006.50
Draw 1-1
8%
11.0010.00
Newcastle 3-1
8%
12.0010.00
Newcastle 1-0
7%
8.507.00
Newcastle 3-0
7%
8.508.00
Draw 2-2
5%
23.0019.00
Burnley 2-1
5%
34.0023.00
Newcastle 4-1
4%
19.0015.00
Newcastle 3-2
4%
29.0021.00
Newcastle 4-0
4%
15.0011.00
Burnley 1-0
3%
29.0019.00
Draw 0-0
3%
15.0015.00
Newcastle 4-2
2%
41.0029.00
Newcastle 5-1
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1.571.55
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
2.382.30
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.301.29
Away 1st Goal
42%
3.604.00
No 1st Goal
2%
15.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
61%
2.002.05
BTTS - No
39%
1.751.73
BTTS - Home Win
35%
3.002.88
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.507.00
BTTS - Away Win
10%
19.0015.00
Home/draw
83%
1.051.06
Away/draw
35%
3.503.60
Home/away
81%
1.171.13
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.171.18
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
5.004.50
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
2.502.38
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
1.531.53
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
4.334.00
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
1.221.22
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
8.007.50
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1.081.07
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
15.0013.00
Home DNB
78%
1.071.07
Away DNB
29%
9.007.50
Newcastle win to nil
30%
2.00-
Burnley win to nil
6%
19.00-
Newcastle / Newcastle
45%
1.831.80
Newcastle / Burnley
2%
51.0041.00
Newcastle / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
Draw / Newcastle
21%
4.003.90
Draw / Burnley
4%
23.0017.00
Draw / Draw
10%
8.507.50
Burnley / Newcastle
4%
21.0017.00
Burnley / Burnley
5%
21.0013.00
Burnley / Draw
4%
23.0019.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Newcastle have outscored their opponents by 17 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 10 points having played 13 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Burnley have conceded 25 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal139311830 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City138141525 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 21
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
3
Chelsea137331224 
Dec 20
Mar 14
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
4
A Villa13733524 
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
May 9
l
 
2-1A
5
Brighton13643522 
May 2
l
 
2-1A
Apr 11
Jan 3
6
Sunderland13643422 
Mar 21
Dec 14
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
7
Man Utd13634121 
Mar 4
Dec 26
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
8
Liverpool13706021 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
9
C Palace13553620 
Jan 4
Apr 11
Dec 3
Feb 11
10
Brentford13616119 
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
11
Bournemouth13544-219 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Dec 20
12
Spurs13535518 
Dec 2
Feb 11
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
13
Newcastle13535118 
-
-
Dec 30
Dec 6
14
Everton13535-318 
Feb 28
w
 
1-4F
Dec 27
Mar 4
15
Fulham13526-217 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
Dec 13
Mar 21
16
Nottm Forest13337-912 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
17
West Ham13328-1211 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
Feb 7
l
 
3-2F
18
Leeds13328-1211 
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
May 2
19
Burnley13319-1210 
Dec 6
Dec 30
-
-
20
Wolves130211-212 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle2 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Fulham
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Newcastle5 - 0C Palace
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 1Brentford
Newcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Fulham
Newcastle1 - 4Bournemouth
Newcastle3 - 0Wolves
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Newcastle4 - 0Leicester
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 2West Ham
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3West Ham
HNewcastle2 - 1Fulham
ANewcastle1 - 2Brighton
HNewcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
HNewcastle1 - 2Arsenal
ANewcastle0 - 0Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle0 - 0Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 3Liverpool
ANewcastle0 - 0A Villa
HNewcastle0 - 1Everton
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle2 - 0Chelsea
ANewcastle1 - 1Brighton
HNewcastle3 - 0Ipswich
ANewcastle1 - 4A Villa
HNewcastle5 - 0C Palace
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Portsmouth0 - 0Burnley
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
M'Boro0 - 0Burnley
Sheff Utd0 - 2Burnley
Norwich1 - 2Burnley
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
ABurnley2 - 1Coventry
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Newcastle have beaten Burnley in 6 consecutive league meetings
7
Newcastle have not lost to Burnley in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 2015
Newcastle
Burnley
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
NEW
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
League games at Burnley since 2014
Burnley
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
NEW
4
D
1
BRN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
1 - 4Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
Burnley1 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Burnley have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 4 consecutive English Premier League games. This run could continue, with Newcastle United's PG an impressive 2.3.

Newcastle 13th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 68% probability that Newcastle will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Newcastle have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+39
Burnley have scored 39% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.3
1.1
Attack rating
12%
better
NEW
BRN
view stats
Games scored10
9
Failed to score3
4
Scored first8
4
Goals scored17
15
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
6
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
21
Avg. XG for1.3
0.8
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
35%
better
NEW
BRN
view stats
Games conceded8
11
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first2
9
Goals conceded16
27
Avg. goals conceded1.2
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
2.3
KickOff rating
+35%

Newcastle v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12525
N Pope N WoltemadeD BurnD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Tonali MID131
-
A Elanga FWD131
-
H Barnes FWD133
-
N Pope  GLK12
1
-
D Burn DEF122
4
1
B Guimarães MID1232
3
-
Joelinton MID11
3
-
J Murphy FWD1121
-
M Thiaw DEF102
1
-
S Botman DEF10
-
N Woltemade FWD105
-
W Osula FWD101
-
K Trippier DEF9
1
-
L Miley MID912
-
T Livramento  DEF81
-
F Schär DEF8
-
A Gordon FWD8
1
L Hall DEF61
-
J Ramsey MID6
1
-
J Willock MID5
-
A Ramsdale GLK2
-
J Lascelles DEF2
-
E Krafth DEF1
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13444
M DúbravkaJ AnthonyQ HartmanK Walker
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK13
-
K Walker DEF131
4
-
Q Hartman DEF134
1
-
M Estève DEF13
-
J Cullen MID1321
1
-
J Anthony FWD1341
3
-
L Ugochukwu MID122
1
1
H Mejbri MID121
3
-
J Laurent MID12
1
-
L Tchaouna FWD121
1
-
J Larsen  FWD111
-
Florentino MID101
1
-
L Foster FWD1021
1
-
Z Flemming FWD104
2
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF7
1
-
H Ekdal DEF7
-
A Broja  FWD7
-
J Worrall DEF4
-
O Sonne DEF3
-
M Edwards FWD3
-
B Humphreys DEF1
-
L Pires DEF1
-
A Barnes FWD1
-