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Newcastle United v Burnley : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Saturday afternoon sees Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United and Scott Parker’s Burnley go head to head in a English Premier League battle at the St. James' Park. Premier League stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. It's all on this page, with graphics and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.

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Newcastle United's next match is v Sunderland at 14:00 on Sunday 14th December
Burnley's next match is v Fulham at 17:30 on Saturday 13th December
The last English Premier League meeting between Newcastle and Burnley was on Saturday 6th December 2025
English Premier League
December 6th 2025
Newcastle 2
1 Burnley
 
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura 31'90' Z. Flemming
A. Gordon 45'
 
NEW
BRN
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
7
3
Corners
9
9
Possession
70%
30%
Fouls
9
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/1
 
NewcastleBurnley
 
F. Schär
M. Thiaw
A. Gordonfootball icon (J. Apolinário de Lira 74')
A. Elanga
V. Livramento
A. Ramsdale
D. Burn (L. Hall 63')
J. Willock (L. Miley 63')
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Mourafootball icon
N. Woltemade (Y. Wissa 74')
J. Ramsey (S. Tonali 90')
M. Dúbravka
K. Walker
M. Esteve
C. Ugochukwu
(J. Anthony 86') J. Bruun Larsen
(J. Worrall 46') L. Foster
(M. Edwards 90') H. Ekdal
L. Pires Silva
(J. Laurent 65') F. Morris Luís
J. Cullen
(Z. Flemming 86') A. Broja

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Newcastle to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this fixture, and it's Newcastle. Their recent form statistics show their ability in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Burnley too. The odds point towards Eddie Howe's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
64%
3/101/1000
Draw
19%
9/290/1
Burnley
18%
17/2750/1
Newcastle 2-1
10%
9/160/1
Newcastle 2-0
8%
13/22/15
Draw 1-1
8%
10/114/1
Newcastle 3-1
7%
11/1125/1
Newcastle 1-0
7%
17/211/2
Newcastle 3-0
6%
17/25/1
Draw 2-2
6%
20/1100/1
Burnley 2-1
5%
25/145/1
Newcastle 4-1
4%
18/170/1
Newcastle 3-2
4%
28/1125/1
Newcastle 4-0
4%
14/140/1
Burnley 1-0
4%
25/111/1
Draw 0-0
3%
16/115/2
Newcastle 4-2
3%
40/1150/1
Burnley 3-2
2%
50/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
4/79/2
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
11/81/8
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/32/5
Away 1st Goal
42%
9/413/5
No 1st Goal
2%
16/17/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
10/1150/1
BTTS - No
38%
10/111/1000
BTTS - Home Win
35%
15/845/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/280/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
14/1100/1
Home/draw
82%
1/141/1000
Away/draw
36%
12/580/1
Home/away
81%
1/71/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/61/10
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
4/15/1
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
11/833/1
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
4/71/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
10/3100/1
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
2/91/300
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
7/180/1
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/121/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/331/16
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
14/17/1
Home DNB
77%
1/101/1000
Away DNB
31%
6/1100/1
Newcastle win to nil
28%
6/5-
Burnley win to nil
7%
14/1-
Newcastle / Newcastle
44%
10/111/16
Newcastle / Burnley
2%
40/133/1
Newcastle / Draw
5%
18/111/1
Draw / Newcastle
20%
10/320/1
Draw / Burnley
5%
18/160/1
Draw / Draw
11%
15/240/1
Burnley / Newcastle
4%
20/1125/1
Burnley / Burnley
5%
16/1150/1
Burnley / Draw
4%
20/1150/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Newcastle have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 7 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Burnley are in 19th position in the Premier League on 10 points having played 14 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Burnley have conceded 26 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1510321933 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
l
 
0-2A
May 17
2
Man City1510141931 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 21
Apr 25
l
 
5-1A
3
A Villa15933730 
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
May 9
l
 
2-1A
4
C Palace15753826 
Jan 4
Apr 11
l
 
0-1A
Feb 11
5
Chelsea157441025 
Dec 20
Mar 14
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
6
Man Utd15744425 
Mar 4
Dec 26
Jan 7
l
 
3-2A
7
Everton15735124 
Feb 28
w
 
1-4F
Dec 27
Mar 4
8
Brighton15654423 
May 2
l
 
2-1A
Apr 11
Jan 3
9
Sunderland15654123 
Mar 21
Dec 14
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
10
Liverpool15726023 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
11
Spurs15645722 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 11
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
12
Newcastle15645222 
-
-
Dec 30
l
 
2-1A
13
Bournemouth15555-320 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Dec 20
14
Brentford15618-319 
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
Feb 28
l
 
3-1A
15
Fulham15528-417 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
Dec 13
Mar 21
16
Leeds15438-1015 
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
May 2
17
Nottm Forest15438-1115 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
18
West Ham15348-1213 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
Feb 7
l
 
3-2F
19
Burnley153111-1410 
w
 
2-1F
Dec 30
-
-
20
Wolves150213-252 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
May 24
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
Burnley have lost 5 consecutive league games
5
Burnley have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Newcastle 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle2 - 2Spurs
Newcastle2 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Fulham
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Newcastle5 - 0C Palace
Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 1Brentford
Newcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Fulham
Newcastle1 - 4Bournemouth
Newcastle3 - 0Wolves
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Newcastle4 - 0Leicester
Newcastle3 - 3Liverpool
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
ANewcastle1 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 3West Ham
HNewcastle2 - 1Fulham
ANewcastle1 - 2Brighton
HNewcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
HNewcastle1 - 2Arsenal
ANewcastle0 - 0Bournemouth
HNewcastle1 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle0 - 0Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 3Liverpool
ANewcastle0 - 0A Villa
HNewcastle0 - 1Everton
ANewcastle0 - 1Arsenal
HNewcastle2 - 0Chelsea
ANewcastle1 - 1Brighton
HNewcastle3 - 0Ipswich
ANewcastle1 - 4A Villa
Burnley 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford3 - 1Burnley
West Ham3 - 2Burnley
Wolves2 - 3Burnley
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
Man City5 - 1Burnley
Man Utd3 - 2Burnley
Spurs3 - 0Burnley
QPR0 - 5Burnley
Watford1 - 2Burnley
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Coventry1 - 2Burnley
Swansea0 - 2Burnley
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Preston0 - 0Burnley
Portsmouth0 - 0Burnley
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Blackburn0 - 1Burnley
M'Boro0 - 0Burnley
Sheff Utd0 - 2Burnley
Norwich1 - 2Burnley
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley0 - 1C Palace
ABurnley1 - 3Brentford
HBurnley0 - 2Chelsea
ABurnley2 - 3West Ham
HBurnley0 - 2Arsenal
ABurnley3 - 2Wolves
HBurnley2 - 0Leeds
ABurnley1 - 2A Villa
ABurnley1 - 5Man City
HBurnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
HBurnley0 - 1Liverpool
ABurnley2 - 3Man Utd
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Newcastle have beaten Burnley in 6 consecutive league meetings
7
Newcastle have not lost to Burnley in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 2015
Newcastle
Burnley
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
NEW
4
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle2 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
League games at Burnley since 2014
Burnley
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
NEW
4
D
1
BRN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
1 - 4Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
Burnley1 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
Burnley1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Newcastle 12th Burnley 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Newcastle will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+32
Newcastle have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted
+39
Burnley have scored 39% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
19%
better
NEW
BRN
view stats
Games scored11
9
Failed to score3
5
Scored first9
4
Goals scored19
15
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
33%
better
NEW
BRN
view stats
Games conceded9
12
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first2
10
Goals conceded18
28
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
2.2
KickOff rating
+33%

Newcastle v Burnley Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14525
D BurnB GuimarãesD BurnD Burn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ramsdale GLK4
-
T Livramento  DEF101
1
-
M Thiaw DEF122
1
-
F Schär DEF10
-
D Burn DEF142
4
1
J Ramsey MID7
2
-
B Guimarães MID1452
3
-
J Willock MID6
-
A Elanga FWD151
-
N Woltemade FWD1251
-
A Gordon FWD102
1
Subs
J Ruddy GLK
-
L Hall DEF81
-
A. Murphy DEF
-
Joelinton MID13
3
-
S Tonali MID151
-
H Barnes MID143
-
J Murphy MID1221
-
L Miley MID1112
-
Y Wissa FWD1
-
Burnley Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15545
M DúbravkaZ FlemmingQ HartmanK Walker
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK15
-
K Walker DEF151
5
-
H Ekdal DEF9
-
M Estève DEF15
-
L Pires DEF2
1
L Ugochukwu MID142
1
1
J Cullen MID1521
1
-
Florentino MID121
1
-
A Broja  FWD9
-
L Foster FWD1221
1
-
J Larsen  FWD131
-
Subs
M Weiß GLK
-
Q Hartman DEF144
1
-
J Worrall DEF5
-
Z Flemming MID125
2
-
J Laurent MID13
2
-
M Edwards FWD5
-
J Anthony FWD1541
3
-
L Tchaouna FWD131
1
-
M Trésor FWD
-