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Newcastle United v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Newcastle United and Chelsea take on one another at the St. James' Park on Sunday lunch time, with both Eddie Howe and Enzo Maresca hoping for success in the English Premier League. Below you'll find predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

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Newcastle United's next match is v Arsenal at 16:30 on Sunday 18th May
Chelsea's next match is v Man Utd at 20:15 on Friday 16th May
The last English Premier League meeting between Newcastle and Chelsea was on Sunday 11th May 2025
English Premier League
May 11th 2025
Newcastle 2
0 Chelsea
 
S. Tonali 2'
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura 90'
 
NEW
CHE
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
2
8
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
9
13
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/1
 
NewcastleChelsea
 
N. Pope
F. Schär
D. Burn
S. Botman (L. Miley 55')
V. Livramento
S. Tonalifootball icon
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Mourafootball icon (S. Longstaff 90')
J. Murphy
A. Isak (C. Wilson 90')
H. Barnes
A. Gordon (E. Krafth 65')
R. Lynch Sanchez
(J. Sancho 75') T. Chalobah
L. Colwill
M. Cucurella
M. Caicedo Corozo
(M. Gusto 75') R. Lavia
C. Palmer
E. Fernández
N. Jackson
(R. James 46') C. Madueke
P. Lomba Neto

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Premier League clash, with Newcastle and Chelsea going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the highly popular over market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Strikers for both will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having reviewed the relevant statistics and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
60%
6/5
2%
-
Draw
21%
11/4
4%
-
Chelsea
20%
2/1-
Newcastle 2-1
10%
9/1-
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1-
Newcastle 2-0
9%
14/1-
Newcastle 1-0
8%
12/1
13%
-
Newcastle 3-1
7%
16/1-
Newcastle 3-0
6%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Chelsea 2-1
5%
11/1
8%
-
Chelsea 1-0
4%
14/1
12%
-
Newcastle 3-2
4%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
11%
-
Newcastle 4-1
4%
33/1-
Newcastle 4-0
3%
40/1-
Chelsea 2-0
3%
20/1-
Chelsea 3-2
2%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/15
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
6/4
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1/2
4%
-
BTTS - No
40%
6/4
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
13/5
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
15/4-
Home/draw
80%
4/11-
Away/draw
40%
4/6-
Home/away
79%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/6
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/1
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
13/10
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
8/13
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3/1
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/4
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/1
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/10
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
21%
-
Home DNB
74%
8/13-
Away DNB
34%
6/5-
Newcastle win to nil
28%
7/2
10%
-
Chelsea win to nil
8%
11/2
7%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
24%
13/5
3%
-
Newcastle / Chelsea
3%
25/1-
Newcastle / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Newcastle
14%
5/1
8%
-
Draw / Chelsea
12%
13/2
6%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
7%
-
Chelsea / Newcastle
4%
22/1
10%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
18%
15/4-
Chelsea / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 4 and lost 8 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Newcastle have outscored their opponents by 66 goals to 62 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 17 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 38 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 5th position in the Premier League on 63 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Chelsea have conceded 11 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3625834683 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
2
Arsenal36181443368 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Newcastle Home36206102366 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
4
Man City3619892465 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
5
Chelsea Away3618991963 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
-
-
6
A Villa361899763 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
7
Nottm Forest36188101262 
w
 
4-3A
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1A
May 25
8
Brentford36167131055 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
9
Brighton3614139355 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-0A
10
Bournemouth361411111253 
l
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
11
Fulham3614913151 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2A
12
C Palace36121311-249 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
13
Everton3691512-542 
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Wolves3612519-1341 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-6F
15
West Ham36101016-1740 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-3F
16
Man Utd3610917-1139 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
May 16
d
 
1-1A
17
Spurs3611520438 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
18
Ipswich3641022-4222 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-4F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
19
Leicester365724-4722 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
20
Southampton362628-5712 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-5F
Win / draw / win form
5
Newcastle have won 5 consecutive home league games
3
Chelsea have won 3 consecutive league games
5
Newcastle have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
6
Chelsea have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
Newcastle 3RD
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
1
Lost
5
Chelsea 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
39
32
Games: Scored
19 / 29
20 / 29
Clean sheets
9 / 29
10 / 29
NEW
14
D
6
CHE
9
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
58
17
Games: Scored
28 / 30
14 / 30
Clean sheets
16 / 30
2 / 30
NEW
1
D
7
CHE
22
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Newcastle United in their clash with Chelsea, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 28 consecutive English Premier League matches.

Newcastle 3rd Chelsea 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 63% probability that Newcastle will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+30
Newcastle have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278149/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
2.1
1.1
Attack rating
6%
better
NEW
CHE
view stats
Games scored30
29
Failed to score5
6
Scored first17
20
Goals scored66
62
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
NEW
CHE
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
26
Clean sheets12
9
Conceded first17
13
Goals conceded45
41
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%

Newcastle v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36231110
B GuimarãesA IsakJ MurphyD Burn
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK26
2
-
T Livramento  DEF351
1
-
F Schär DEF324
8
1
S Botman DEF6
1
-
D Burn DEF3511
10
-
B Guimarães MID3656
7
-
S Tonali MID3442
5
-
A Gordon MID3266
2
-
J Murphy FWD33811
4
-
A Isak FWD33236
1
-
H Barnes FWD3194
-
Subs
M Dúbravka GLK10
-
J Ruddy GLK
-
J Lascelles DEF
-
E Krafth DEF11
1
-
S Longstaff MID25
1
-
L Miley MID131
-
C Wilson FWD16
1
-
W Osula FWD121
-
S. Neave FWD
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3615810
M CaicedoC PalmerC PalmerM Caicedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK30
5
-
M Caicedo DEF3612
10
-
T Chalobah DEF123
1
-
L Colwill DEF3311
9
-
M Cucurella  DEF3441
9
1
R Lavia MID141
4
-
E Fernández MID3467
8
-
P Neto MID3345
8
-
C Palmer MID35158
6
-
N Madueke MID3073
3
-
N Jackson FWD30105
7
1
Subs
F Jörgensen GLK6
-
T Adarabioyo DEF2011
3
-
B Badiashile  DEF5
-
R James  DEF171
1
-
M Gusto DEF301
4
-
J. Acheampong DEF4
1
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID121
-
J Sancho FWD3034
2
-
T. George FWD711
1
-