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Southampton v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Dec, 19:30 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Southampton and their manager Russell Martin will be looking to get one over on Enzo Maresca and his Chelsea side on Wednesday evening, as the pair meet at the St. Mary's Stadium in the English Premier League. We've got odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Chelsea to win

The turnout should be good at St. Mary's Stadium on Wednesday evening but, unfortunately, we predict most of those in attendance will be gutted come full time. The statistics below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, all point towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Chelsea getting the better of hosts Southampton. It will be a tough one to take for home gaffer Russell Martin but, in the meantime, we'd advise users make the most of best bookie odds of 1.50 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 66% chance of Chelsea coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
15%
8.00
14%
8.00
52%
Draw
19%
5.25
31%
5.50
25%
Chelsea
66%
1.33
11%
1.35
14%
Chelsea 2-0
10%
9.00
5%
7.50
6%
Chelsea 2-1
10%
9.50
6%
7.50
Chelsea 1-0
9%
11.00
10%
8.00
Draw 1-1
9%
12.00
41%
9.50
19%
Chelsea 3-0
7%
11.00
15%
8.50
23%
Chelsea 3-1
7%
11.00
15%
9.00
10%
Draw 2-2
5%
19.00
27%
15.00
25%
Southampton 2-1
4%
26.00
24%
17.00
31%
Chelsea 4-0
4%
17.00
26%
12.00
29%
Draw 0-0
4%
21.00
40%
15.00
15%
Chelsea 4-1
4%
17.00
26%
13.00
13%
Southampton 1-0
4%
29.00
38%
19.00
27%
Chelsea 3-2
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
13%
Chelsea 4-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Southampton 2-0
2%
51.00
24%
29.00
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.44
8%
1.44
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.75
16%
2.62
14%
Home 1st Goal
40%
3.75
21%
-
Away 1st Goal
57%
1.25
8%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
21.00
40%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.67
3%
1.73
5%
BTTS - No
44%
2.10
5%
2.00
7%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
12.00
26%
11.00
47%
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.00
26%
6.00
20%
BTTS - Away Win
32%
2.50
13%
2.60
10%
Home/draw
34%
3.25
30%
3.20
34%
Away/draw
85%
1.08
2%
1.08
6%
Home/away
81%
1.17
4%
1.14
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.12
4%
1.13
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
6.00
20%
5.25
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.10
12%
2.10
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.73
10%
1.67
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3.40
21%
3.40
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.33
9%
1.29
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6.00
25%
6.00
14%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.12
4%
1.11
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
1.01
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
19.00
27%
15.00
15%
Home DNB
29%
6.50
50%
6.00
54%
Away DNB
79%
1.11
8%
1.11
9%
Southampton win to nil
7%
17.00
55%
-
Chelsea win to nil
34%
2.50
17%
-
Southampton / Southampton
6%
15.00
58%
11.00
47%
Southampton / Chelsea
5%
17.00
19%
15.00
Southampton / Draw
4%
21.00
24%
17.00
31%
Draw / Southampton
5%
19.00
46%
13.00
30%
Draw / Chelsea
20%
4.33
4%
4.00
8%
Draw / Draw
10%
9.00
29%
7.50
15%
Chelsea / Southampton
2%
51.00
24%
34.00
17%
Chelsea / Chelsea
43%
1.95
19%
1.91
17%
Chelsea / Draw
5%
19.00
27%
15.00
15%
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Southampton have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Southampton have conceded 25 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Southampton have played 6 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Chelsea lay in 3rd place on 25 points in the Premier League league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 24 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Chelsea have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Chelsea have played 6 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool1311111834 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 8
May 3
l
 
2-1A
2
Arsenal137421225 
May 25
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
3
Chelsea 137421225 
Dec 4
Feb 26
-
-
4
Brighton13652523 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2A
Feb 15
5
Man City13724323 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Jan 25
6
Nottm Forest13643322 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
May 25
7
Spurs136251420 
Dec 15
Apr 5
Apr 2
Dec 8
8
Brentford13625320 
Jan 4
l
 
3-1A
Dec 15
Apr 5
9
Man Utd13544419 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 16
May 18
d
 
1-1A
10
Fulham13544019 
Apr 26
Dec 22
Dec 26
Apr 19
11
Newcastle13544019 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 10
12
A Villa13544-319 
Apr 12
Dec 7
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
13
Bournemouth13535118 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
Jan 14
w
 
0-1F
14
West Ham13436-715 
Dec 26
Apr 19
Feb 1
w
 
0-3F
15
Everton13256-1111 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
Apr 26
Dec 22
16
Leicester13247-1110 
l
 
2-3F
May 3
Mar 8
w
 
1-2F
17
C Palace13166-79 
Apr 2
Dec 29
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
18
Wolves13238-109 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
Jan 20
w
 
2-6F
19
Ipswich13166-119 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
Apr 12
Dec 30
20
Southampton 131210-155 
-
-
Feb 26
Dec 4
Win / draw / win form
5
Chelsea have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Southampton 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Southampton1 - 0Everton
Southampton2 - 3Leicester
Southampton1 - 1Ipswich
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Southampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
Southampton3 - 1West Brom
Southampton0 - 1Stoke
Southampton3 - 0Preston
Southampton3 - 2Watford
Southampton2 - 1Coventry
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Southampton4 - 2Sunderland
Southampton1 - 2Millwall
Southampton1 - 2Hull
Southampton5 - 3Huddersfield
Southampton4 - 0Sheff Wed
Southampton2 - 1Plymouth
Southampton5 - 0Swansea
Southampton4 - 0Blackburn
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton1 - 1Brighton
HSouthampton2 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 2Wolves
HSouthampton1 - 0Everton
ASouthampton0 - 1Man City
HSouthampton2 - 3Leicester
ASouthampton1 - 3Arsenal
ASouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
HSouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton0 - 3Man Utd
ASouthampton1 - 3Brentford
HSouthampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
ASouthampton0 - 1Newcastle
ASouthampton1 - 0Leeds
HSouthampton3 - 1West Brom
ASouthampton0 - 0West Brom
ASouthampton2 - 1Leeds
HSouthampton0 - 1Stoke
ASouthampton0 - 5Leicester
ASouthampton1 - 2Cardiff
Chelsea 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leicester1 - 2Chelsea
Man Utd1 - 1Chelsea
Liverpool2 - 1Chelsea
West Ham0 - 3Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 1Chelsea
Wolves2 - 6Chelsea
Brighton1 - 2Chelsea
Nottm Forest2 - 3Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Chelsea
Arsenal5 - 0Chelsea
Sheff Utd2 - 2Chelsea
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
Man City1 - 1Chelsea
C Palace1 - 3Chelsea
Liverpool4 - 1Chelsea
Luton2 - 3Chelsea
Wolves2 - 1Chelsea
Everton2 - 0Chelsea
Man Utd2 - 1Chelsea
Newcastle4 - 1Chelsea
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea3 - 0A Villa
AChelsea2 - 1Leicester
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea1 - 1Man Utd
HChelsea2 - 1Newcastle
AChelsea1 - 2Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
HChelsea4 - 2Brighton
AChelsea3 - 0West Ham
AChelsea1 - 0Bournemouth
HChelsea1 - 1C Palace
AChelsea6 - 2Wolves
HChelsea0 - 2Man City
HChelsea2 - 1Bournemouth
AChelsea2 - 1Brighton
AChelsea3 - 2Nottm Forest
HChelsea5 - 0West Ham
HChelsea2 - 0Spurs
AChelsea2 - 2A Villa
AChelsea0 - 5Arsenal
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Southampton since 1993
Southampton
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
23
45
Games: Scored
15 / 24
21 / 24
Clean sheets
3 / 24
9 / 24
SOU
6
D
4
CHE
14
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Southampton2 - 1
0 - 6Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Chelsea
0 - 3Chelsea
2 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Chelsea
Southampton2 - 1
1 - 3Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
Southampton3 - 2
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
Southampton1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
Southampton3 - 1
Southampton1 - 0
League games at Chelsea since 1992
Chelsea
Southampton
Goals: Scored
39
24
Games: Scored
18 / 23
14 / 23
Clean sheets
9 / 23
5 / 23
SOU
4
D
7
CHE
12
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
0 - 1Southampton
Chelsea3 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 2Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 4Southampton
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea4 - 2
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
0 - 2Southampton
Chelsea2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Chelsea's defensive record is to be admired, E. Maresca's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive English Premier League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Southampton makes sense in this context.

Chelsea's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive English Premier League games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday evening.

Southampton 20th Chelsea 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Southampton have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+11
Chelsea have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277932/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1
2.2
Attack rating
SOU
CHE
49%
better
view stats
Games scored8
12
Failed to score5
1
Scored first4
7
Goals scored10
26
Avg. goals scored0.8
2
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal9
5
Conversion rate for11
19
Avg. XG for1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
SOU
CHE
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first9
6
Goals conceded25
14
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded13
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against2.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%

Southampton v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12225
T Harwood-BellisC ArcherA LallanaT Harwood-Bellis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Harwood-Bellis DEF131
5
-
T Obling FWD131
5
-
C Archer FWD132
-
Y Sugawara DEF1211
2
-
F Downes MID121
5
-
J Aribo MID121
-
M Fernandes MID1211
3
-
K Walker-Peters DEF111
3
-
J Bednarek DEF11
3
-
A Armstrong FWD1021
3
-
A Ramsdale GLK9
1
-
J Stephens DEF9
2
1
A Lallana MID82
4
-
B Díaz FWD8
1
-
R Manning DEF6
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID6
1
-
R Fraser FWD6
1
C Taylor DEF5
1
-
P Onuachu FWD5
1
-
W Smallbone MID4
-
R Stewart FWD4
1
-
A McCarthy GLK3
-
K Sulemana FWD3
-
S Edozie FWD2
1
-
M Cornet FWD2
1
-
J Lumley GLK1
-
J Bree DEF1
-
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD1
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13866
R SánchezC PalmerC PalmerW Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK13
2
-
L Colwill DEF13
3
-
M Caicedo MID1312
3
-
C Palmer MID1386
3
-
N Jackson FWD1383
4
-
W Fofana DEF12
6
-
M Cucurella  DEF12
6
-
E Fernández MID1222
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD121
1
-
N Madueke FWD1241
3
-
P Neto FWD1212
4
-
M Gusto DEF10
2
-
R Lavia MID81
2
-
M Mudryk FWD7
-
J Sancho FWD73
1
-
J Félix FWD71
2
-
R Veiga DEF5
2
-
R James  DEF4
-
T Adarabioyo DEF4
1
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID4
-
B Badiashile  DEF3
-
A Disasi DEF2
-
M Guiu FWD1
-