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Sunderland v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 14:00 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Newcastle United pay English Premier League competitors Sunderland a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Eddie Howe guides his team into an away clash with Régis Le Bris & co. at the Stadium of Light. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Premier League clash.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Sunderland or Newcastle are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
45%
3.20
16%
3.20
9%
Draw
26%
3.30
3%
3.40
Newcastle
29%
2.30
20%
2.20
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50
7%
6.50
Sunderland 1-0
11%
12.00
8%
9.50
5%
Sunderland 2-1
9%
13.00
13%
10.00
9%
Newcastle 1-0
8%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Sunderland 2-0
8%
19.00
10%
15.00
Draw 0-0
7%
10.00
9%
9.00
Newcastle 2-1
7%
10.00
5%
8.50
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Newcastle 2-0
5%
12.00
20%
10.00
5%
Sunderland 3-1
5%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
Sunderland 3-0
4%
41.0026.00
10%
Newcastle 3-1
3%
21.00
24%
15.00
Sunderland 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
Newcastle 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Newcastle 3-0
2%
23.00
21%
17.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.911.85
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.911.85
1%
Home 1st Goal
51%
2.20
8%
2.25
5%
Away 1st Goal
45%
1.80
8%
1.80
3%
No 1st Goal
5%
10.00
9%
8.50
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.70
3%
1.73
1%
BTTS - No
47%
2.05
3%
2.00
3%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
6.00
20%
5.50
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33
4%
4.33
BTTS - Away Win
14%
4.50
13%
4.20
5%
Home/draw
71%
1.57
14%
1.65
5%
Away/draw
55%
1.36
9%
1.33
3%
Home/away
74%
1.33
2%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.291.29
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
3.753.40
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.403.10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.331.33
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
6.005.75
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.131.11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
13.0011.00
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.041.03
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.06
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10.00
9%
8.50
Home DNB
63%
2.25
18%
2.25
8%
Away DNB
47%
1.57
12%
1.57
6%
Sunderland win to nil
24%
6.00
14%
-
Newcastle win to nil
15%
4.00
18%
-
Sunderland / Sunderland
16%
5.50
15%
5.00
9%
Sunderland / Newcastle
4%
26.00
13%
19.00
Sunderland / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Sunderland
12%
7.50
12%
6.50
13%
Draw / Newcastle
15%
6.00
20%
5.25
5%
Draw / Draw
16%
5.504.80
Newcastle / Sunderland
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
Newcastle / Newcastle
23%
3.75
17%
3.50
8%
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Sunderland have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Premier League league table. Sunderland are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 21 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Sunderland have played 7 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Newcastle are in 12th position in the Premier League on 22 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Newcastle have conceded 11 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sunderland
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal1510321933 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
2
Man City1510141931 
Jan 1
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 21
3
A Villa15933730 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 18
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
4
C Palace15753826 
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 4
Apr 11
5
Chelsea157441025 
May 24
w
 
1-2A
Dec 20
Mar 14
6
Man Utd15744425 
May 9
l
 
2-0A
Mar 4
Dec 26
7
Everton15735124 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Feb 28
w
 
1-4F
8
Brighton15654423 
Mar 14
Dec 20
May 2
l
 
2-1A
9
Sunderland15654123 
-
-
Mar 21
Dec 14
10
Liverpool15726023 
Feb 11
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3A
Jan 31
11
Spurs15645722 
Apr 11
Jan 4
d
 
2-2F
Feb 11
12
Newcastle15645222 
Dec 14
Mar 21
-
-
13
Bournemouth15555-320 
w
 
3-2A
Feb 28
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
14
Brentford15618-319 
w
 
2-1A
Jan 7
Feb 7
l
 
3-1F
15
Fulham15528-417 
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 24
16
Leeds15438-1015 
Dec 28
Mar 4
Jan 7
d
 
0-00-0
17
Nottm Forest15438-1115 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 9
18
West Ham15348-1213 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
May 17
l
 
3-1F
19
Burnley153111-1410 
Feb 2
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
Dec 30
20
Wolves150213-252 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Win / draw / win form
7
Sunderland have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Sunderland 9TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Newcastle 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Sunderland have beaten Newcastle in 3 consecutive home league meetings
8
Sunderland have not lost to Newcastle in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Sunderland since 1992
Sunderland
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
17
19
Games: Scored
12 / 15
13 / 15
Clean sheets
2 / 15
3 / 15
SUN
4
D
5
NEW
6
League games at Newcastle since 1993
Newcastle
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
20
18
Games: Scored
12 / 14
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
2 / 14
SUN
4
D
5
NEW
5
Goal Statistics

Sunderland's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Newcastle United have conceded in each of their last 8 English Premier League matches. A PG of 1.5 for R. Le Bris's side suggests that run should continue.

Sunderland 9th Newcastle 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Sunderland will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Sunderland have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Newcastle have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
SUN
NEW
19%
better
view stats
Games scored10
12
Failed to score5
3
Scored first5
10
Goals scored18
21
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
SUN
NEW
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
10
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first9
2
Goals conceded17
19
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+7%

Sunderland v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15444
R RoefsW IsidorG XhakaG Xhaka
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Roefs GLK15
2
-
T Hume DEF151
3
-
G Xhaka MID1514
4
-
N Sadiki MID15
4
-
W Isidor FWD154
-
C Talbi FWD1521
-
E Fée MID1423
2
-
N Mukiele DEF1311
2
-
D Ballard DEF1321
1
-
L Geertruida DEF12
-
O Alderete DEF1111
2
-
R Mandava DEF11
3
1
B Brobbey FWD1021
-
B Traoré FWD91
1
-
S Adingra FWD91
1
-
E Mayenda FWD81
-
C Rigg MID6
-
H Diarra MID4
1
-
A Masuaku DEF3
1
-
L O'Nien DEF2
1
D Neil MID2
-
R Mundle FWD2
1
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14525
D BurnB GuimarãesD BurnD Burn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Tonali MID151
-
A Elanga FWD151
-
D Burn DEF142
4
1
B Guimarães MID1452
3
-
H Barnes FWD143
-
Joelinton MID13
3
-
N Pope  GLK12
1
-
M Thiaw DEF122
1
-
N Woltemade FWD1251
-
J Murphy FWD1221
-
L Miley MID1112
-
T Livramento  DEF101
1
-
S Botman DEF10
-
F Schär DEF10
-
A Gordon FWD102
1
W Osula FWD101
-
K Trippier DEF9
1
-
L Hall DEF81
-
J Ramsey MID7
2
-
J Willock MID6
-
A Ramsdale GLK4
-
J Lascelles DEF2
-
E Krafth DEF1
-
Y Wissa FWD1
-