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Croatia v Italy : Euro 24 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Italy, led by manager Luciano Spalletti, visit Zlatko Dalić and his Croatia side at the Red Bull Arena on Monday night in the Euro 24. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could possibly need to make a sound selection is shown below. Go between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.

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The last International Euro 24 meeting between Croatia and Italy was on Monday 24th June 2024
International Euro 24
June 24th 2024
Croatia 1
1 Italy
 
L. Modrić 55'90' M. Zaccagni
 
CRO
ITA
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
1
2
Corners
2
11
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
18
6
Yellow/red cards
6/0
2/0
 
CroatiaItaly
 
D. Livaković
J. Stanisic
M. Pongracic
J. Gvardiol
J. Šutalo
L. Sučić (I. Perišić 70')
M. Pašalić (A. Budimir 46')
M. Brozović
L. Modrićfootball icon (N. Fagioli 81')
M. Kovačić (L. Ivanušec 70')
A. Kramarić (J. Juranović 90')
G. Donnarumma
(M. Zaccagni 81') M. Darmian
A. Bastoni
R. Calafiori
G. Di Lorenzo
(F. Chiesa 57') F. Dimarco
(D. Frattesi 46') L. Pellegrini
(L. Majer 80') J. Frello Filho
N. Barella
(G. Scamacca 75') G. Raspadori
M. Retegui
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Croatia and Italy combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 75% chance of it coming in. The top price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Italy coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Croatia
34%
19/10
15%
2/1
19%
Draw
28%
21/10
9%
2/1
19%
Italy
39%
13/8
22%
6/4
28%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
19/4
12%
Italy 1-0
11%
13/2
6%
11/2
Croatia 1-0
10%
15/2
23%
13/2
17%
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2
25%
11/2
28%
Italy 2-1
8%
10/1
16%
8/1
13%
Croatia 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Italy 2-0
7%
12/1
18%
9/1
25%
Croatia 2-0
6%
12/1
24%
11/1
20%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Italy 3-1
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
31%
Italy 3-0
3%
28/1
38%
18/1
46%
Croatia 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Croatia 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
21%
Italy 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
25/1
24%
Croatia 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
13/10
15%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/13
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/8-
Away 1st Goal
48%
8/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
10/11
10%
10/11
3%
BTTS - No
51%
4/5
10%
4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
11/25/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
9%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/1
33%
17/4
31%
Home/draw
61%
4/9
14%
1/2
18%
Away/draw
66%
2/5
8%
4/11
9%
Home/away
72%
4/11
5%
4/11
5%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2/1
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3
24%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/1
38%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/14
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
20%
-
Home DNB
53%
10/11
20%
21/20
22%
Away DNB
58%
4/5
18%
7/10
21%
Croatia win to nil
19%
7/2
25%
-
Italy win to nil
23%
3/1
7%
-
Croatia / Croatia
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
17%
Croatia / Italy
3%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Croatia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Croatia
13%
11/2
13%
5/1
20%
Draw / Italy
15%
5/1
9%
17/4
9%
Draw / Draw
19%
15/4
14%
3/1
20%
Italy / Croatia
3%
33/125/1
Italy / Italy
20%
7/2
25%
3/1
33%
Italy / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
Group B table
Croatia
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Italy
Date TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS Date
l
 
3-0A
 Spain330059 
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
 Italy Away311104 
-
-
 Croatia Home3021-32 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Albania3012-21 
w
 
2-1A
Win / draw / win form
Croatia
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Italy
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Croatia since 2015
Croatia
Italy
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 1
1 / 1
Clean sheets
0 / 1
0 / 1
D
1
All games since 2012
Croatia
Italy
Goals: Scored
3
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
3
Goal Statistics

Italy's defensive record is to be admired, Luciano Spalletti's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Euro 24 games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Croatia makes sense in this context.

Croatia Italy
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Croatia will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Italy will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+20
Croatia have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Italy’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274282/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Croatia
PG (predicted goals)
Italy
1.1
1.3
Attack rating past 20 games
CRO
ITA
13%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score6
4
Scored first9
13
Goals scored31
31
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
14
Avg. XG for2.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating past 20 games
CRO
ITA
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
11
Clean sheets9
9
Conceded first9
4
Goals conceded18
19
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
9
Conversion rate against11%
11%
Avg. XG against2.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+6%

The line-ups for the Euro 24 match between Croatia v Italy will show here when available.

Croatia Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3121
D LivakovicL ModricA BudimirJ Stanisic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Livakovic GLK3
-
J Stanisic DEF2
1
-
J Sutalo DEF3
-
M Pongracic  DEF2
1
-
J Gvardiol DEF3
-
L Modric MID31
1
-
M Brozovic  MID3
1
-
M Kovacic MID3
-
M Pasalic MID3
-
L Sučić MID3
1
-
A Kramaric FWD31
-
Subs
I Ivusic GLK
1
-
N Labrovic GLK
-
M Erlic DEF
-
B Sosa DEF1
-
D Vida DEF
-
J Juranovic DEF2
-
M Pašalić MID
-
M Baturina MID1
-
L Majer MID3
-
I Perisic MID3
-
L Ivanusec MID1
1
-
M Pjaca MID
-
A Budimir FWD32
-
B Petkovic FWD2
-
Italy Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
G DonnarummaA BastoniR CalafioriR Calafiori
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK4
1
-
M Darmian DEF3
-
A Bastoni DEF41
-
R Calafiori DEF31
2
-
G Lorenzo MID4
-
N Barella  MID41
1
-
Jorginho MID3
-
F Dimarco MID3
-
L Pellegrini MID41
1
-
G Raspadori MID2
-
M Retegui FWD4
-
Subs
G Vicario GLK
-
A Meret GLK
-
A Buongiorno DEF
-
F Gatti DEF
-
R Bellanova DEF
-
G Mancini DEF1
1
-
A Cambiaso DEF3
-
D Frattesi MID4
-
B Cristante MID3
1
-
N Fagioli MID1
1
-
M Folorunsho MID1
-
G Scamacca FWD4
-
F Chiesa FWD4
-
M Zaccagni FWD31
-
S Shaarawy FWD1
1
-
International Euro 24 match betting previews, predictions and odds