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France v Poland : Euro 24 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Didier Deschamps welcomes Michal Probierz to the Signal Iduna Park on Tuesday evening, as their France and Poland sides go head to head in the Euro 24. Analysing both teams' last 20 Euro 24 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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The last International Euro 24 meeting between France and Poland was on Tuesday 25th June 2024
International Euro 24
June 25th 2024
France 1
1 Poland
 
K. Mbappé 56'79' R. Lewandowski
 
FRA
POL
Shots On
8
4
Shots Off
3
5
Corners
11
3
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
12
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
FrancePoland
 
M. Maignan
D. Upamecano
J. Koundé
T. Hernández
W. Saliba
N. Kanté (A. Griezmann 61')
A. Rabiot (E. Camavinga 61')
A. Tchouaméni (Y. Fofana 82')
O. Dembélé (R. Kolo Muani 86')
K. Mbappéfootball icon
B. Barcola (O. Giroud 61')
Ł. Skorupski
J. Kiwior
P. Dawidowicz
J. Bednarek
J. Moder
(M. Skóraś 68') N. Zalewski
(K. Świderski 68') S. Szymański
P. Frankowski
P. Zieliński
K. Urbanski
football iconR. Lewandowski
Best Tip: France to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's France. Their recent form stats show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Poland too. The odds point towards Didier Deschamps's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Tuesday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think France are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
France
76%
1/4
6%
3/10
4%
Draw
15%
5/1
20%
9/2
10%
Poland
8%
11/1
26%
17/2
19%
France 2-0
13%
6/15/1
8%
France 3-0
11%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
France 1-0
11%
13/211/2
France 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
7%
France 3-1
7%
11/117/2
5%
Draw 1-1
7%
11/1
20%
17/2
12%
France 4-0
7%
14/110/1
15%
France 4-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
France 5-0
3%
28/118/1
10%
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
13%
16/1
Poland 1-0
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
France 3-2
2%
28/118/1
Poland 2-1
2%
25/120/1
11%
France 5-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
8/13
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
13/10
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
63%
2/9
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
10/3-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
1/121/20
5%
BTTS - No
55%
8/118/11
1%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2/1
3%
2/1
BTTS - Draw
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
17%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
14/112/1
8%
Home/draw
92%
1/20
2%
1/18
2%
Away/draw
24%
11/4
15%
12/5
13%
Home/away
85%
1/8
4%
1/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/2
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/2
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
7/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
-
Home DNB
87%
1/10
1%
1/12
3%
Away DNB
19%
6/1
8%
6/1
17%
France win to nil
47%
11/10-
Poland win to nil
4%
14/1-
France / France
47%
10/11
5%
17/20
8%
France / Poland
2%
50/1
24%
40/1
France / Draw
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Draw / France
21%
3/129/10
Draw / Poland
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
15%
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
15%
Poland / France
4%
20/116/1
Poland / Poland
4%
16/112/1
18%
Poland / Draw
4%
20/116/1
bet365
Group D table
France
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Poland
Date TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS Date
w
 
0-1F
 Austria320126 
l
 
1-3A
-
 France Home312015 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Netherlands311104 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
 Poland Away3012-31 
-
Win / draw / win form
France
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Poland
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at France since 2022
France
Poland
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
1 / 1
1 / 1
Clean sheets
0 / 1
0 / 1
FRA
1
All games since 2022
France
Poland
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
1 / 1
1 / 1
Clean sheets
0 / 1
0 / 1
FRA
1
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.7, Poland look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that France haven't conceded a goal in 4 consecutive Euro 24 games, and it could be a long evening for M. Probierz's men.

France Poland
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that France will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Poland will fail to score
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
=0
France’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Poland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274284/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
France
PG (predicted goals)
Poland
2.5
0.7
Attack rating past 20 games
23%
better
FRA
POL
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first13
12
Goals scored50
28
Avg. goals scored2.5
1.4
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating past 20 games
22%
better
FRA
POL
view stats
Games conceded9
12
Clean sheets11
8
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded14
23
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against1
2.1
KickOff rating
+22%

The line-ups for the Euro 24 match between France v Poland will show here when available.

France Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6112
M Maignan K MbappéK MbappéA Tchouameni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK6
-
J Koundé DEF6
-
D Upamecano DEF6
-
W Saliba DEF6
1
-
T Hernández DEF6
-
A Tchouameni MID5
2
-
N Kanté  MID6
-
A Rabiot MID5
2
-
O Dembélé FWD5
1
-
K Mbappé FWD511
1
-
B Barcola FWD3
-
Subs
B Samba GLK
-
A Areola GLK
-
B Pavard DEF
-
F Mendy DEF
-
J Clauss  DEF
-
I Konaté DEF
-
E Camavinga MID4
1
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID
-
Y Fofana MID2
-
O Giroud FWD4
-
R Muani FWD51
-
A Griezmann FWD6
1
-
M Thuram FWD4
-
K Coman FWD1
-
Poland Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
J BednarekR Lewandowski P ZielinskiP Dawidowicz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Skorupski GLK1
-
J Bednarek DEF3
-
P Dawidowicz DEF2
1
-
J Kiwior DEF3
-
P Frankowski MID3
-
J Moder MID3
1
-
P Zielinski MID31
-
N Zalewski MID3
1
-
S Szymanski MID2
-
R Lewandowski  FWD21
1
-
K Urbański FWD3
-
Subs
M Bulka  GLK
-
W Szczęsny GLK2
1
-
T Puchacz DEF
-
B Bereszynski DEF1
-
B Salamon  DEF1
-
S Walukiewicz DEF
-
K Grosicki MID1
-
D Szymanski MID
-
T Romanczuk MID1
-
B Slisz MID2
1
-
J Piotrowski  MID2
-
A Buksa  FWD21
-
K Piatek FWD11
-
M Skóraś FWD1
-
K Swiderski FWD3
1
-
International Euro 24 match betting previews, predictions and odds