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Spain v Croatia : Euro 24 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Luis De la Fuente Castillo and Zlatko Dalić pit their wits in the Euro 24 on Saturday evening, as Spain face Croatia at the Olympiastadion Berlin. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

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Spain's next match is v Albania at 20:00 on Monday 24th June
Croatia's next match is v Italy at 20:00 on Monday 24th June
The last International Euro 24 meeting between Spain and Croatia was on Saturday 15th June 2024
International Euro 24
June 15th 2024
Spain 3
0 Croatia
 
Á. Morata Martín 29'
F. Ruiz Peña 32'
D. Carvajal Ramos 45'
 
ESP
CRO
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
3
8
Corners
5
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
14
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
SpainCroatia
 
U. Simón Mendibil
M. Cucurella
D. Carvajal Ramosfootball icon
J. Fernández Iglesias
R. Le Normand
P. López (D. Olmo Carvajal 59')
F. Ruiz Peñafootball icon
Rodri (M. Zubimendi Ibáñez 86')
L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana (F. Torres García 86')
N. Williams Arthuer (M. Oyarzabal Ugarte 68')
Á. Morata Martínfootball icon (M. Merino Zazón 67')
D. Livaković
J. Stanisic
M. Pongracic
J. Gvardiol
J. Šutalo
M. Brozović
(M. Pašalić 65') L. Modrić
(L. Sučić 65') M. Kovačić
L. Majer
(I. Perišić 56') A. Budimir
(B. Petković 72') A. Kramarić
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Spain and Croatia have seldom served up thrillers of late, whether that be in the European Championships individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Spain are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Spain
51%
9/10
12%
17/20
11%
Draw
25%
12/5
3%
12/5
3%
Croatia
23%
16/5
20%
10/3
2%
Spain 1-0
12%
6/1
7%
5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Spain 2-0
10%
8/1
6%
13/2
Spain 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1
10%
13/2
21%
Croatia 1-0
8%
10/1
27%
17/2
14%
Croatia 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Spain 3-0
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
8%
Spain 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
13%
Croatia 2-0
4%
20/1
28%
16/1
11%
Spain 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
20/1
Spain 4-0
2%
40/1
41%
22/1
10%
Spain 4-1
2%
40/1
41%
22/1
Croatia 3-1
2%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/7
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
5/619/20
5%
BTTS - No
51%
5/64/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
10/3
15%
3/1
11%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/418/5
8%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
15%
7/1
6%
Home/draw
77%
2/9
4%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
49%
10/11
9%
10/11
9%
Home/away
75%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
4/11
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/5
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3/1
18%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/4
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
10%
-
Home DNB
69%
4/11
9%
1/3
3%
Away DNB
41%
2/1
20%
2/1
12%
Spain win to nil
30%
2/1
9%
-
Croatia win to nil
13%
6/1
22%
-
Spain / Spain
26%
11/5
16%
2/1
11%
Spain / Croatia
2%
40/128/1
15%
Spain / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
Draw / Spain
18%
4/1
11%
10/3
Draw / Croatia
10%
8/1
18%
7/1
16%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
17%
18/5
12%
Croatia / Spain
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
10%
Croatia / Croatia
12%
6/1
18%
6/1
7%
Croatia / Draw
5%
16/112/1
13%
bet365
Group B table
Spain
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Croatia
Date TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS Date
-
 Spain Home220046 
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
 Italy210103 
Jun 24
Jun 24
 Albania2011-11 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-0F
 Croatia Away2011-31 
-
Win / draw / win form
Spain
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Croatia
Last 20 games
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Spain since 2018
Spain
Croatia
Goals: Scored
6
0
Games: Scored
1 / 1
0 / 1
Clean sheets
1 / 1
0 / 1
ESP
1
All games since 2012
Spain
Croatia
Goals: Scored
15
8
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
ESP
3
CRO
2
Goal Statistics

Spain's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Croatia have conceded in each of their last 8 Euro 24 outings. A PG of 1.6 for L. De la Fuente Castillo's side suggests that run should continue.

Spain Croatia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Spain will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Croatia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
=0
Spain’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Croatia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274257/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Spain
PG (predicted goals)
Croatia
1.6
1
Attack rating past 20 games
30%
better
ESP
CRO
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first15
9
Goals scored53
32
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game13
13
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate21%
13%
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating past 20 games
17%
better
ESP
CRO
view stats
Games conceded10
12
Clean sheets10
8
Conceded first4
9
Goals conceded15
19
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate13%
12%
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the Euro 24 match between Spain v Croatia will show here when available.

Spain Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
U SimónD CarvajalPedriRodri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK2
-
D Carvajal DEF21
1
-
N Fernández DEF1
-
R Normand DEF2
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF2
-
Pedri MID21
-
Rodri MID2
2
-
F Ruiz MID211
-
L Yamal FWD21
-
Álvaro Morata FWD21
-
N Williams FWD2
-
Subs
Álex Remiro GLK
-
D Raya GLK
-
D Vivian DEF
-
A Grimaldo DEF
-
A Laporte DEF1
-
J Navas DEF
-
M Merino MID2
-
Álex Baena MID1
-
M Zubimendi MID1
-
F. Lopez Marin MID
-
Joselu FWD
-
D Olmo FWD1
-
F Torres FWD2
-
M Oyarzabal FWD2
-
A Pérez FWD1
-
Croatia Euro 24 squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
D LivakovicA KramaricA BudimirI Ivusic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Livakovic GLK2
-
J Stanisic DEF1
-
J Sutalo DEF2
-
M Pongracic  DEF1
-
J Gvardiol DEF2
-
L Modric MID2
-
M Brozovic  MID2
-
M Kovacic MID2
-
L Majer FWD2
-
A Budimir FWD21
-
A Kramaric FWD21
-
Subs
N Labrovic GLK
-
I Ivusic GLK
1
-
M Erlic DEF
-
B Sosa DEF1
-
D Vida DEF
-
J Juranovic DEF1
-
N Vlasic MID
-
M Pasalic MID2
-
L Ivanusec MID
-
L Sučić MID2
-
M Baturina MID1
-
I Perisic FWD2
-
B Petkovic FWD2
-
M Pjaca FWD
-
M Pašalić FWD
-