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AZ v Sparta Prague : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45 BST, AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ and Sparta Prague go head to head at the AFAS Stadion on Thursday evening, with both Maarten Martens and Brian Priske Pedersen seeking a win in the Europa Conference. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Switch between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither AZ Alkmaar or Sparta are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Sparta is the most probable final scoreline in this match, according to our predictive algorithm. Our calculations suggest there’s a 12% chance of this being the case.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert correct score tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AZ Alkmaar
46%
2.05
14%
2.15
10%
Draw
25%
3.603.40
3%
Sparta
29%
3.20
17%
3.30
13%
Draw 1-1
12%
7.006.50
AZ Alkmaar 1-0
10%
8.00
13%
8.00
14%
AZ Alkmaar 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
8.50
6%
AZ Alkmaar 2-0
8%
10.00
22%
10.00
11%
Sparta 1-0
7%
11.00
9%
10.00
Sparta 2-1
7%
12.00
15%
11.00
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
12.00
9%
10.00
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
13%
12.00
8%
AZ Alkmaar 3-1
5%
17.00
13%
15.00
15%
Sparta 2-0
5%
17.00
19%
15.00
AZ Alkmaar 3-0
4%
19.00
40%
17.00
13%
AZ Alkmaar 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
9%
Sparta 3-1
3%
26.00
24%
21.00
9%
Sparta 3-2
2%
34.00
29%
23.00
12%
AZ Alkmaar 4-1
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.85
5%
1.83
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1.95
5%
1.91
6%
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.73
8%
1.75
5%
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.20
8%
2.25
10%
No 1st Goal
4%
12.00
9%
9.50
6%
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.73
4%
1.70
6%
BTTS - No
44%
2.00
5%
2.10
7%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4.00
8%
4.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.75
5%
4.20
4%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.00
27%
5.75
15%
Home/draw
71%
1.36
9%
1.33
6%
Away/draw
54%
1.73
13%
1.67
6%
Home/away
75%
1.291.30
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.25
3%
1.25
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.75
7%
3.60
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.25
4%
3.00
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.33
2%
1.35
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6.00
8%
5.50
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.13
2%
1.12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.04
1%
1.03
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.04
1%
1.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12.00
9%
9.50
11%
Home DNB
63%
1.53
12%
1.53
6%
Away DNB
47%
2.38
18%
2.30
12%
AZ Alkmaar win to nil
23%
3.75
15%
-
Sparta win to nil
14%
6.00
14%
-
AZ Alkmaar / AZ Alkmaar
24%
3.40
17%
3.25
7%
AZ Alkmaar / Sparta
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
AZ Alkmaar / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
15%
5.50
10%
5.25
10%
Draw / Sparta
11%
7.50
12%
7.00
13%
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.00
5%
Sparta / AZ Alkmaar
4%
23.0021.00
Sparta / Sparta
15%
5.50
15%
5.00
13%
Sparta / Draw
6%
15.0011.00
8%
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Correct score Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Strasbourg6510616 
-
-
-
-
2
Rakow6420714 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
3
AEK6411713 
-
-
-
-
4
Sparta6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
R.Vallecano6411613 
-
-
-
-
6
Shakhtar6411513 
-
-
-
-
7
Mainz6411413 
-
-
-
-
8
AEK Larnaca6330612 
-
l
 
4-0A
-
-
9
Lausanne6321311 
-
-
-
-
10
C Palace6312510 
-
l
 
3-1A
-
-
11
Lech Poznan6312410 
-
-
-
-
12
Samsunspor6312410 
-
-
-
-
13
Celje6312110 
-
-
-
-
14
AZ Alkmaar6312010 
-
-
-
-
15
Fiorentina630339 
-
-
-
-
16
Rijeka623139 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
17
Jagiellonia623119 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
18
Omnia Nicosia622218 
-
-
-
-
19
Noah6222-18 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
20
Drita6222-48 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
21
Kuopio PS614117 
-
-
-
-
22
Skendija 796213-17 
-
-
-
-
23
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar6213-27 
-
-
-
-
24
SK Sigma6213-27 
-
-
-
-
25
Universitatea Craiova6213-27 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2F
26
Lincoln Red Imps6213-87 
-
-
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv620406 
-
-
-
-
28
L. Warsaw620406 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
29
S. Bratislava6204-46 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
30
Breiðablik6123-55 
-
-
-
-
31
Shamrock6114-64 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
-
32
Häcken6033-33 
-
-
-
-
33
Hamrun Spartans6105-73 
-
-
-
-
34
Shelbourne6024-72 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
35
Aberdeen6024-112 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
36
Rapid Wien6015-111 
-
-
-
-
37
ILVES 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
4-3A
-
-
38
FC Vaduz 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
39
Levski 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
40
Aktobe 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
41
Ararat-Armenia 
-
-
w
 
4-1A
w
 
1-2F
42
Riga 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Next round
Play Off
Correct score form
12
AZ Alkmaar have not conceded more than 1 goal for 12 consecutive home european games
11
Sparta have not conceded more than 1 goal for 11 consecutive european games
AZ Alkmaar 14TH
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
4-1
-2
or more
1-0
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
1-1
x
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
3-2
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-1
4-0
4-1
4-1
5-0
+2
or more
3-1
3-1
4-0
-2
or more
1-0
4-3
4-3
-1
goal
0-0
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-0
4-0
4-1
4-1
5-0
+2
or more
Sparta 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
11
2-0
3-1
4-2
5-0
6-1
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
2-1
3-2
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
x
1-0
2-1
2-1
3-2
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
3-1
+2
or more
2-0
4-2
5-0
6-0
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
x
1-0
2-1
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
3-0
3-0
4-0
4-1
4-1
+2
or more
Goal Statistics

AZ's defensive record is to be admired, M. Martens's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa Conference outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Sparta Prague makes sense in this context.

AZ Alkmaar 14th Sparta 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that AZ Alkmaar will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Sparta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
AZ Alkmaar’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Sparta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
AZ Alkmaar
PG (predicted goals)
Sparta
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
AZ
SPP
9%
better
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score4
4
Scored first9
11
Goals scored28
33
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
AZ
SPP
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
10
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded30
19
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.7
KickOff rating
+31%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between AZ Alkmaar v Sparta will show here when available.

AZ Alkmaar Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13756
P KoopmeinersT ParrottM WitW Goes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Koopmeiners MID142
1
-
I Jensen FWD1433
3
-
M Wit DEF1325
1
-
W Goes DEF13
6
-
A Penetra DEF13
1
S Mijnans MID1363
2
-
K. Smit MID134
1
-
T Parrott FWD1271
3
-
R. Daal FWD1111
2
1
I Sadiq FWD104
3
-
R Owusu-Oduro GLK9
-
E. Dijkstra DEF9
1
-
M Meerdink FWD932
1
-
M. Chávez García DEF8
3
-
D Kasius DEF812
-
D. Kwakman MID6
1
-
J Zoet GLK5
-
Z Buurmeester MID5
1
-
J Clasie MID4
1
-
L Zeefuik FWD41
-
M Dekker DEF3
-
B Duijl DEF2
-
Sparta Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12443
P Jensen A RrahmaniA PreciadoA Rrahmani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Jensen  GLK12
-
A Rrahmani FWD124
3
-
S Eneme MID11
1
-
J Kuchta FWD1133
1
-
V Birmancevic FWD1132
1
-
L Haraslin FWD1122
2
-
M Ryneš MID1022
3
-
P Vydra MID101
-
A Sörensen DEF91
2
-
A Preciado DEF914
2
-
A. Ševínský DEF91
3
-
K Kairinen MID91
-
P Kaderabek DEF82
-
J Zeleny DEF8
1
-
E. Aririerisim DEF8
2
-
J Mercado FWD71
-
M Suchomel MID51
1
-
K Milla FWD5
-
M Andersen MID4
-
L Sadilek MID412
-
E Cobbaut  DEF3
-
E Krasniqi MID11
-