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Celje v AEK Athens : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 20:00 BST, Stadion Z'dežele, Celje

Thursday night at the Stadion Z'dežele, and it’s a Europa Conference clash between Celje and AEK Athens. Albert Riera Ortega and Marko Nikolić going all-out to ensure the win. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of effective, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Albert Riera Ortega or Marko Nikolić mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, suggest that's unlikely.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Celje 28%	3.40 18%	3.50 6%
Draw 23%	3.60 6%	3.70 3%
AEK 49%	1.95 13%	2.00 7%
Draw 1-1 11%	7.00	6.50 8%
AEK 2-1 9%	8.50 5%	8.00
AEK 1-0 8%	9.50	8.50 6%
AEK 2-0 7%	11.00 8%	10.00 9%
Celje 2-1 7%	12.00 9%	11.00 10%
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	12.00
Celje 1-0 6%	13.00 18%	11.00 10%
AEK 3-1 6%	15.00 12%	13.00 13%
Draw 0-0 5%	15.00 15%	12.00 9%
AEK 3-0 4%	17.00 17%	15.00 12%
Celje 2-0 4%	21.00 27%	17.00
AEK 3-2 4%	21.00 9%	19.00
Celje 3-1 3%	26.00 10%	21.00
Celje 3-2 3%	29.00 12%	23.00
AEK 4-1 3%	29.00 29%	23.00 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	1.70 5%	1.70 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	2.10 5%	2.05 3%
Home 1st Goal 45%	2.25 7%	2.30 2%
Away 1st Goal 52%	1.67 5%	1.70 4%
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00 15%	11.00 10%
BTTS - Yes 60%	1.62 3%	1.62 2%
BTTS - No 40%	2.20 2%	2.15 2%
BTTS - Home Win 16%	6.00 10%	5.75 5%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50 4%	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 26%	3.60 13%	3.60 8%
Home/draw 51%	1.80 15%	1.80 5%
Away/draw 72%	1.30 5%	1.29 1%
Home/away 77%	1.29 1%	1.29 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1.22 2%	1.22
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	4.00 8%	4.00 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	2.63 4%	2.75 4%
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	1.44 3%	1.40 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	5.00 9%	5.00 9%
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1.17 3%	1.15 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	11.00 9%	9.50 5%
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1.05 1%	1.04 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.04 1%	1.03 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	13.00 15%	12.00 10%
Home DNB 44%	2.63 25%	2.50 9%
Away DNB 65%	1.44 13%	1.44 6%
Celje win to nil 12%	7.00 18%	-
AEK win to nil 23%	3.75 8%	-
Celje / Celje 15%	5.50 22%	5.25 4%
Celje / AEK 4%	21.00 9%	19.00
Celje / Draw 6%	15.00 15%	12.00 9%
Draw / Celje 10%	8.00 7%	8.00 7%
Draw / AEK 15%	5.50 8%	5.25
Draw / Draw 14%	6.00 9%	5.50 5%
AEK / Celje 3%	29.00 12%	23.00
AEK / AEK 26%	3.10 13%	2.90 6%
AEK / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00 9%

Europa Conference table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Celje AEK
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	6	16	-	-	-	-
2	Rakow	6	4	2	0	7	14	-	-	-	-
3	AEK	6	4	1	1	7	13	w 3-1A	-	-	-
4	Sparta	6	4	1	1	7	13	-	-	-	-
5	R.Vallecano	6	4	1	1	6	13	-	-	-	-
6	Shakhtar	6	4	1	1	5	13	-	-	-	-
7	Mainz	6	4	1	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	6	12	-	-	-	-
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	3	11	-	-	-	-
10	C Palace	6	3	1	2	5	10	-	-	-	-
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	4	10	-	-	-	-
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	4	10	-	-	-	w 1-2A
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	1	10	-	-	-	l 3-1F
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	0	10	-	-	-	-
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	3	9	-	-	-	w 0-1F
16	Rijeka	6	2	3	1	3	9	-	l 3-0A	-	-
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	1	9	-	-	-	-
18	Omnia Nicosia	6	2	2	2	1	8	-	-	-	-
19	Noah	6	2	2	2	-1	8	-	-	-	-
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	-4	8	w 3-2F	w 2-3F	-	-
21	Kuopio PS	6	1	4	1	1	7	-	-	-	-
22	Skendija 79	6	2	1	3	-1	7	-	-	-	-
23	Hsk Zrinjski Mostar	6	2	1	3	-2	7	-	-	-	-
24	SK Sigma	6	2	1	3	-2	7	-	l 2-1A	-	-
25	Universitatea Craiova	6	2	1	3	-2	7	-	-	w 3-2A	-
26	Lincoln Red Imps	6	2	1	3	-8	7	-	-	-	-
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	2	0	4	0	6	-	-	-	-
28	L. Warsaw	6	2	0	4	0	6	w 2-1A	-	-	-
29	S. Bratislava	6	2	0	4	-4	6	-	-	-	-
30	Breiðablik	6	1	2	3	-5	5	-	-	-	-
31	Shamrock	6	1	1	4	-6	4	-	w 0-2F	d 1-1A	-
32	Häcken	6	0	3	3	-3	3	-	-	-	-
33	Hamrun Spartans	6	1	0	5	-7	3	-	-	-	-
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	-7	2	d 0-00-0	-	-	-
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	-11	2	-	-	w 6-0F	-
36	Rapid Wien	6	0	1	5	-11	1	-	-	-	-
37	FC Lugano							l 2-4A	w 0-5F	-	-
38	Banik							w 1-0F	w 0-2F	-	-
39	Beer Sheva							-	-	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
40	Aris							-	-	w 3-1F	d 2-2F
41	Anderlecht							-	-	w 2-0F	d 1-1A

	Next round
	Play Off

form

Goal Statistics

AEK Athens have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Europa Conference outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Celje on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Celje 13th	AEK 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 73% probability that Celje will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that AEK will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 Celje have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	+9 AEK’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season

AEK

19%

better

view stats

Games scored	18		19
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	8		14
Goals scored	38		42
Avg. goals scored	1.9		2.1
Avg. shots per game	11		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		18
Avg. XG for	1.8		2.5
KickOff rating		+19%

AEK

45%

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		9
Clean sheets	6		11
Conceded first	11		5
Goals conceded	31		12
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		11
Conversion rate against	14%		9%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+45%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Celje v AEK will show here when available.

Celje Europa Conference squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	8	3	3
Žan Luk Leban	F Kovacevic	M. Avdyli	Žan Luk Leban

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Žan Luk Leban GLK	12			3 -
J Nieto DEF	12		1	3 -
M Kvesic MID	12	2	2	3 -
M. Avdyli MID	12	1	3	-
N Iosifov FWD	12	2	2	1 -
A Tutyškinas DEF	10			1 1
D. Hrka MID	10	1	1	3 -
D Sturm FWD	10	1	2	-
L Bejger DEF	9		1	1 -
F Kovacevic FWD	9	8		2 -
Žan Karničnik DEF	8	2		1 -
D Vuklisevic DEF	7			1 -
I. Vidovic MID	7	1		-
P. Daniel MID	6			1 -
F. Jevšenak MID	6			-
A Kotnik MID	6			1 -
M Boben DEF	4			1 -
M. Zabukovnik MID	3	1		-
A Kucys FWD	2	1	1	-
A Chidi FWD	2			-
D Castro DEF	1			-
G. Vodeb DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	19	3	6
F Kovacevic	F Kovacevic	M. Avdyli	M Kvesic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Kovacevic FWD	8	19
M Kvesic MID	2	7	2	6
N Iosifov FWD	2	7	2	3
Žan Karničnik DEF	2	1		1
M. Avdyli MID	1	3	3	1
D. Hrka MID	1	1	1	1
D Sturm FWD	1	4	2	2
I. Vidovic MID	1	4		2
M. Zabukovnik MID	1	1
A Kucys FWD	1	3	1	1
J Nieto DEF		2	1	1
A Tutyškinas DEF				2
L Bejger DEF			1	1
D Vuklisevic DEF		2
F. Jevšenak MID		1
A Kotnik MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
586	19	58
J Nieto	J Nieto	J Nieto

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Nieto DEF	586	19	58
L Bejger DEF	513	10	21
A Tutyškinas DEF	472	7	43
M Kvesic MID	385	8	34
Žan Karničnik DEF	380	11	19
Žan Luk Leban GLK	290	1	9
D. Hrka MID	238	9	23
D Vuklisevic DEF	212	2	18
M. Avdyli MID	194	9	26
N Iosifov FWD	169	16	36
D Sturm FWD	129	10	31
P. Daniel MID	124	5	8
I. Vidovic MID	113	3	17
F. Jevšenak MID	97		2
M. Zabukovnik MID	68	2	6
F Kovacevic FWD	41	2	19
A Kotnik MID	41		4
A Kucys FWD	29	1	14
M Boben DEF	18		1
G. Vodeb DEF	13
D Castro DEF	7		1
A Chidi FWD	5	1	1

AEK Europa Conference squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	5	3	5
T Strakosha	D Kutesa	O Pineda	P Mantalos

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Strakosha GLK	12			1 -
F Relvas DEF	12	2		3 -
L Rota DEF	12		2	3 -
O Pineda MID	12		3	2 -
A Koita FWD	12	4		1 -
S Pilios DEF	11		2	2 -
P Mantalos MID	11		2	4 1
R Marin MID	11	3	1	2 -
H Moukoudi DEF	10			-
M Gacinovic MID	9	1	1	-
D Kutesa FWD	9	5	1	1 -
F Pierrot FWD	9		1	1 -
J Penrice DEF	8			-
R Pereyra MID	8	1		2 -
L Jović FWD	8	4	1	2 -
A Ademi MID	7		1	1 -
N Eliasson MID	6	2	3	-
Zini FWD	6			-
D Vida DEF	5	1		2 -
M Grujić MID	5			-
J Jönsson MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	7	3	7
D Kutesa	A Koita	O Pineda	P Mantalos

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Kutesa FWD	5	6	1
A Koita FWD	4	7		1
L Jović FWD	4	7	1	1
R Marin MID	3	2	1	2
F Relvas DEF	2	3
N Eliasson MID	2	4	3	1
M Gacinovic MID	1	5	1	3
R Pereyra MID	1			1
D Vida DEF	1	2
L Rota DEF			2	1
O Pineda MID		2	3	1
S Pilios DEF		1	2	3
P Mantalos MID			2	7
H Moukoudi DEF		2
F Pierrot FWD		2	1	1
J Penrice DEF		2		1
A Ademi MID			1	1
Zini FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
504	23	45
F Relvas	L Rota	O Pineda

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Relvas DEF	504	6	21
O Pineda MID	426	16	45
L Rota DEF	406	23	40
R Marin MID	362	17	29
H Moukoudi DEF	311	3	15
P Mantalos MID	279	10	27
S Pilios DEF	267	10	25
T Strakosha GLK	208	2	2
D Vida DEF	132	4	17
A Koita FWD	128	12	41
J Penrice DEF	98	3	6
L Jović FWD	93	2	31
M Gacinovic MID	86	4	16
N Eliasson MID	79	6	17
D Kutesa FWD	72	4	16
R Pereyra MID	68	3	10
M Grujić MID	58	3	12
A Ademi MID	39	5	9
F Pierrot FWD	33	2	18
Zini FWD	15	2	8