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Fiorentina v Crystal Palace : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Apr, 20:00 BST, Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Paolo Vanoli welcomes Oliver Glasner to the Artemio Franchi on Thursday night, as their Fiorentina and Crystal Palace charges go head to head in the Europa Conference. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fiorentina are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fiorentina
38%
8/5
13%
6/4
11%
Draw
26%
21/10
5%
23/10
C Palace
35%
9/5
18%
9/5
14%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
Fiorentina 1-0
10%
15/2
23%
13/2
17%
C Palace 1-0
9%
8/18/1
5%
Fiorentina 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
C Palace 2-1
8%
10/1
16%
17/2
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
8/1
18%
8/1
10%
Fiorentina 2-0
7%
12/1
24%
10/1
15%
C Palace 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
Fiorentina 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
C Palace 3-1
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
27%
Fiorentina 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
C Palace 3-0
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
28/125/1
13%
C Palace 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
8%
19/20
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
8%
4/5
6%
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/21
7%
10/11
5%
Away 1st Goal
47%
21/20
12%
23/20
8%
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
18%
15/2
11%
BTTS - Yes
53%
8/11
4%
3/4
5%
BTTS - No
47%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/219/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/2
22%
4/1
15%
Home/draw
65%
2/5
9%
2/5
9%
Away/draw
62%
1/2
10%
1/2
7%
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
3/10
4%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/5
9%
9/4
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/2
17%
23/10
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7
5%
2/7
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10
3%
1/10
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
2%
1/18
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
18%
15/2
11%
Home DNB
57%
4/5
14%
3/4
13%
Away DNB
54%
10/11
14%
19/20
11%
Fiorentina win to nil
21%
10/3
21%
-
C Palace win to nil
19%
7/2
4%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
20%
10/3
9%
27/10
12%
Fiorentina / C Palace
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/110/1
Draw / Fiorentina
14%
5/1
14%
5/1
8%
Draw / C Palace
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
9%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
4%
C Palace / Fiorentina
3%
28/122/1
C Palace / C Palace
18%
7/2
20%
7/2
13%
C Palace / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
Fiorentina
C Palace
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Strasbourg6510616 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1F
2
Rakow6420714 
-
-
-
-
3
AEK6411713 
l
 
0-1A
-
-
-
4
Sparta6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
R.Vallecano6411613 
-
-
-
-
6
Shakhtar6411513 
-
-
-
-
7
Mainz6411413 
-
l
 
2-1F
-
-
8
AEK Larnaca6330612 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
-
9
Lausanne6321311 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
10
C Palace6312510 
-
-
-
-
11
Lech Poznan6312410 
-
-
-
-
12
Samsunspor6312410 
-
-
-
-
13
Celje6312110 
-
-
-
-
14
AZ Alkmaar6312010 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
-
15
Fiorentina630339 
-
-
-
-
16
Rijeka623139 
-
-
-
-
17
Jagiellonia623119 
l
 
2-4A
w
 
0-3F
-
-
18
Omnia Nicosia622218 
-
-
-
-
19
Noah6222-18 
-
-
-
-
20
Drita6222-48 
-
-
-
-
21
Kuopio PS614117 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
-
22
Skendija 796213-17 
-
-
-
-
23
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar6213-27 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
24
SK Sigma6213-27 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
25
Universitatea Craiova6213-27 
-
-
-
-
26
Lincoln Red Imps6213-87 
-
-
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv620406 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
w
 
0-2F
28
L. Warsaw620406 
-
-
-
-
29
S. Bratislava6204-46 
-
-
-
-
30
Breiðablik6123-55 
-
-
-
-
31
Shamrock6114-64 
-
-
-
-
32
Häcken6033-33 
-
-
-
-
33
Hamrun Spartans6105-73 
-
-
-
-
34
Shelbourne6024-72 
-
-
-
w
 
0-3F
35
Aberdeen6024-112 
-
-
-
-
36
Rapid Wien6015-111 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
37
Polessya 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-3F
-
-
38
Fredrikstad 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
7
C Palace have not lost in 7 consecutive european games
Fiorentina 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
C Palace 10TH
6 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
8
Conceded
4
Games: Scored
5 / 6
Conceded
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
Failed to score
1 / 6
Won
2
Draw
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
10 / 13
Conceded
6 / 13
Clean sheets
7 / 13
Failed to score
3 / 13
Won
6
Draw
5
L
2
Goal Statistics

Crystal Palace's defensive record is to be admired, O. Glasner's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa Conference games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Fiorentina makes sense in this context.

Fiorentina 15th C Palace 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that C Palace will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Fiorentina’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
C Palace’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
Fiorentina
PG (predicted goals)
C Palace
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
15%
better
FIO
CRY
view stats
Games scored16
14
Failed to score4
5
Scored first9
10
Goals scored27
20
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
FIO
CRY
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
12
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded27
20
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Fiorentina v C Palace will show here when available.

Fiorentina Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
C Palace Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12634
M LacroixI SarrD KamadaB Sosa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Lacroix DEF1221
1
-
A Wharton MID121
2
-
D Kamada MID113
-
I Sarr FWD116
1
-
D Henderson GLK10
-
C Richards DEF10
1
-
D Muñoz DEF101
-
T Mitchell DEF1021
-
J Lerma MID10
-
W Hughes MID101
1
-
J Mateta FWD1022
2
-
Y Pino FWD912
-
J. Canvot DEF8
2
-
M Guéhi DEF81
2
-
B Sosa DEF6
3
1
J Devenny MID611
-
E Nketiah FWD521
1
-
C. Uche FWD421
-
W Benítez GLK3
-
R Esse FWD3
1
-
N Clyne DEF2
-
R. Cardines DEF1
-
C Riad DEF1
-