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Jagiellonia Bialystok v Rayo Vallecano : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 17:45 BST, Stadion Miejski, Bia?ystok

The Europa Conference is the focus for both Jagiellonia Bialystok and Rayo Vallecano on Thursday evening, as bosses Adrian Siemieniec and Iñigo Pérez Soto go head to head at the Stadion Miejski. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Jagiellonia and R.Vallecano will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of R.Vallecano coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Jagiellonia
29%
12/523/10
Draw
24%
23/1013/5
R.Vallecano
47%
1/111/10
Draw 1-1
11%
11/26/1
R.Vallecano 2-1
9%
8/115/2
R.Vallecano 1-0
9%
8/115/2
R.Vallecano 2-0
7%
10/19/1
Jagiellonia 2-1
7%
11/110/1
Jagiellonia 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/19/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Jagiellonia 2-0
4%
18/114/1
R.Vallecano 3-0
4%
18/114/1
R.Vallecano 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Jagiellonia 3-1
3%
25/120/1
Jagiellonia 3-2
3%
28/122/1
R.Vallecano 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
45%
6/55/4
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/113/4
No 1st Goal
3%
11/19/1
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/137/10
BTTS - No
42%
6/511/10
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/119/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/317/5
BTTS - Away Win
24%
11/411/4
Home/draw
53%
4/68/11
Away/draw
71%
2/71/3
Home/away
76%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/91/4
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/127/10
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/415/8
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/54/11
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/72/15
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/19/1
Home DNB
46%
6/411/8
Away DNB
63%
1/21/2
Jagiellonia win to nil
14%
11/2-
R.Vallecano win to nil
23%
11/4-
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia
15%
9/24/1
Jagiellonia / R.Vallecano
4%
22/118/1
Jagiellonia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Jagiellonia
11%
13/26/1
Draw / R.Vallecano
15%
9/24/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
R.Vallecano / Jagiellonia
3%
28/122/1
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
24%
12/511/5
R.Vallecano / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
Jagiellonia
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Samsunspor4310710 
-
-
-
-
2
Strasbourg4310310 
-
d
 
1-1F
-
-
3
Celje430149 
-
-
-
-
4
Shakhtar430139 
-
-
-
-
5
Mainz430129 
-
-
-
-
6
Rakow422058 
-
-
-
-
7
AEK Larnaca422058 
-
-
-
-
8
Drita422028 
-
-
Dec 18
-
9
Jagiellonia422028 
-
-
-
Dec 11
10
AEK421157 
-
-
-
-
11
Sparta421137 
-
-
-
-
12
R.Vallecano421127 
Dec 11
-
-
-
13
Lausanne421127 
-
-
-
-
14
SK Sigma421107 
-
-
-
-
15
Universitatea Craiova421107 
-
-
-
-
16
Lech Poznan420236 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
-
17
Fiorentina420236 
-
-
-
-
18
C Palace420226 
-
-
-
-
19
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar4202-16 
-
-
-
-
20
AZ Alkmaar4202-36 
-
Dec 18
-
-
21
Omnia Nicosia412115 
-
-
-
-
22
Kuopio PS412115 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
23
Noah412105 
-
-
-
-
24
Rijeka412105 
-
-
-
-
25
Skendija 794112-24 
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
-
26
Lincoln Red Imps4112-64 
-
-
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv4103-13 
-
-
-
-
28
L. Warsaw4103-23 
-
-
-
-
29
S. Bratislava4103-33 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1F
30
Hamrun Spartans4103-33 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
31
Häcken4022-22 
-
-
-
d
 
2-2F
32
Breiðablik4022-52 
-
-
-
-
33
Aberdeen4022-72 
-
-
-
-
34
Shelbourne4013-41 
-
-
-
-
35
Shamrock4013-61 
-
-
-
-
36
Rapid Wien4004-100 
-
-
-
-
37
Novi Pazar 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
-
-
38
Silkeborg 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
39
Dinamo Tirana 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
40
Neman Grodno 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Jagiellonia have won 3 consecutive home european games
11
Jagiellonia have not lost in 11 consecutive european games
3
Jagiellonia have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home european games
Jagiellonia 9TH
16 league games
Home
3
Overall
11
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
13 / 16
Conceded
8 / 16
Clean sheets
8 / 16
Failed to score
3 / 16
Won
10
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Jagiellonia1 - 0Kuopio PS
Jagiellonia1 - 0Hamrun Spartans
Jagiellonia3 - 0Dinamo Tirana
Jagiellonia2 - 2Silkeborg
Jagiellonia3 - 1Novi Pazar
Jagiellonia1 - 1Real Betis
Jagiellonia3 - 0Cercle B
Jagiellonia3 - 1Backa Topola
Jagiellonia0 - 0Olimpija
Jagiellonia3 - 0Molde
Jagiellonia2 - 0Petrocub
Jagiellonia1 - 4Ajax
Jagiellonia0 - 1Bodø
Jagiellonia3 - 1Panevezys
Jagiellonia0 - 1Gent
Jagiellonia1 - 0Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HJagiellonia1 - 0Kuopio PS
AJagiellonia1 - 1Skendija 79
AJagiellonia1 - 1Strasbourg
HJagiellonia1 - 0Hamrun Spartans
AJagiellonia1 - 1Dinamo Tirana
HJagiellonia3 - 0Dinamo Tirana
HJagiellonia2 - 2Silkeborg
AJagiellonia1 - 0Silkeborg
HJagiellonia3 - 1Novi Pazar
AJagiellonia2 - 1Novi Pazar
HJagiellonia1 - 1Real Betis
AJagiellonia0 - 2Real Betis
AJagiellonia0 - 2Cercle B
HJagiellonia3 - 0Cercle B
HJagiellonia3 - 1Backa Topola
AJagiellonia3 - 1Backa Topola
HJagiellonia0 - 0Olimpija
AJagiellonia0 - 1M.Boleslav
AJagiellonia3 - 3Celje
HJagiellonia3 - 0Molde
R.Vallecano 12TH
3 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
4
Conceded
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
Conceded
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
Failed to score
0 / 3
Won
1
Draw
1
Lost
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Bratislava2 - 1R.Vallecano
Häcken2 - 2R.Vallecano
Neman Grodno0 - 1R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
6 / 6
Conceded
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
Failed to score
0 / 6
Won
4
D
1
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AR.Vallecano1 - 2S. Bratislava
HR.Vallecano3 - 2Lech Poznan
AR.Vallecano2 - 2Häcken
HR.Vallecano2 - 0Skendija 79
HR.Vallecano4 - 0Neman Grodno
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Neman Grodno
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Jagiellonia Bialystok of late. It has been 5 Europa Conference games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday evening against Rayo Vallecano.

Rayo Vallecano have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Europa Conference matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Jagiellonia Bialystok on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Jagiellonia 9th R.Vallecano 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Jagiellonia will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
16 home / away league games
-4
Jagiellonia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
R.Vallecano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
Jagiellonia
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
28%
better
JAG
VAL
view stats
Games scored18
13
Failed to score2
6
Scored first13
8
Goals scored34
28
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
15%
better
JAG
VAL
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded17
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
7
Conversion rate against9%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+15%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Jagiellonia v R.Vallecano will show here when available.

Jagiellonia Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10545
B VitalA PululuJ ImazT Romanczuk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Pozo DEF1012
1
-
B Vital DEF101
4
-
N Wojtuszek DEF1011
1
-
T Romanczuk MID1011
5
-
O. Pietuszewski FWD10
1
-
B Wdowik DEF91
1
-
D Drachal MID91
1
-
J Imaz MID944
2
1
L Flach MID91
-
A Pululu FWD951
4
-
S Abramowicz GLK8
-
D Stojinovic DEF81
1
-
D. Rallis FWD82
1
-
L Prip FWD71
-
Y Kobayashi DEF6
-
B. Mazurek MID5
-
A Jackson MID41
-
A Cantero FWD4
-
M Villar FWD4
1
-
M Piekutowski GLK2
-
C. Polak DEF1
1
-
R.Vallecano Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE