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Jagiellonia Bialystok v Rayo Vallecano : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 17:45 BST, Stadion Miejski, Bia?ystok

Iñigo Pérez Soto pays counterpart Adrian Siemieniec a visit on Thursday evening in the Europa Conference, as their Rayo Vallecano and Jagiellonia Bialystok charges face each other at the Stadion Miejski. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Jagiellonia and R.Vallecano will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it at 1.22.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of R.Vallecano coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Jagiellonia 30%	11/5	23/10
Draw 25%	9/4	13/5
R.Vallecano 46%	11/10	11/10
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	6/1
R.Vallecano 1-0 9%	15/2	15/2
R.Vallecano 2-1 9%	8/1	15/2
R.Vallecano 2-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Jagiellonia 1-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Jagiellonia 2-1 7%	11/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1
R.Vallecano 3-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Jagiellonia 2-0 5%	16/1	14/1
R.Vallecano 3-0 4%	18/1	14/1
R.Vallecano 3-2 3%	22/1	18/1
Jagiellonia 3-1 3%	25/1	20/1
Jagiellonia 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
R.Vallecano 4-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	17/20	3/4
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	19/20	19/20
Home 1st Goal 46%	6/5	5/4
Away 1st Goal 51%	8/11	3/4
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 57%	4/6	7/10
BTTS - No 43%	11/10	11/10
BTTS - Home Win 15%	5/1	19/4
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 22%	3/1	11/4
Home/draw 54%	8/13	8/11
Away/draw 70%	1/3	1/3
Home/away 75%	3/10	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	11/4	27/10
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	2/1	15/8
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	4/11	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	5/1	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/8	2/15
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	9/1
Home DNB 47%	11/8	11/8
Away DNB 63%	8/15	1/2
Jagiellonia win to nil 14%	5/1	-
R.Vallecano win to nil 23%	11/4	-
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia 15%	9/2	4/1
Jagiellonia / R.Vallecano 4%	22/1	18/1
Jagiellonia / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Jagiellonia 11%	13/2	6/1
Draw / R.Vallecano 15%	9/2	4/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
R.Vallecano / Jagiellonia 3%	28/1	22/1
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano 24%	12/5	11/5
R.Vallecano / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Europa Conference table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Jagiellonia R.Vallecano
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Samsunspor	4	3	1	0	7	10	-	-	-	-
2	Strasbourg	4	3	1	0	3	10	-	d 1-1F	-	-
3	Celje	4	3	0	1	4	9	-	-	-	-
4	Shakhtar	4	3	0	1	3	9	-	-	-	-
5	Mainz	4	3	0	1	2	9	-	-	-	-
6	Rakow	4	2	2	0	5	8	-	-	-	-
7	AEK Larnaca	4	2	2	0	5	8	-	-	-	-
8	Drita	4	2	2	0	2	8	-	-	Dec 18	-
9	Jagiellonia	4	2	2	0	2	8	-	-	-	Dec 11
10	AEK	4	2	1	1	5	7	-	-	-	-
11	Sparta	4	2	1	1	3	7	-	-	-	-
12	R.Vallecano	4	2	1	1	2	7	Dec 11	-	-	-
13	Lausanne	4	2	1	1	2	7	-	-	-	-
14	SK Sigma	4	2	1	1	0	7	-	-	-	-
15	Universitatea Craiova	4	2	1	1	0	7	-	-	-	-
16	Lech Poznan	4	2	0	2	3	6	-	-	w 3-2A	-
17	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	3	6	-	-	-	-
18	C Palace	4	2	0	2	2	6	-	-	-	-
19	Hsk Zrinjski Mostar	4	2	0	2	-1	6	-	-	-	-
20	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6	-	Dec 18	-	-
21	Omnia Nicosia	4	1	2	1	1	5	-	-	-	-
22	Kuopio PS	4	1	2	1	1	5	w 1-0F	-	-	-
23	Noah	4	1	2	1	0	5	-	-	-	-
24	Rijeka	4	1	2	1	0	5	-	-	-	-
25	Skendija 79	4	1	1	2	-2	4	-	d 1-1A	w 2-0F	-
26	Lincoln Red Imps	4	1	1	2	-6	4	-	-	-	-
27	Dynamo Kyiv	4	1	0	3	-1	3	-	-	-	-
28	L. Warsaw	4	1	0	3	-2	3	-	-	-	-
29	S. Bratislava	4	1	0	3	-3	3	-	-	-	l 2-1F
30	Hamrun Spartans	4	1	0	3	-3	3	w 1-0F	-	-	-
31	Häcken	4	0	2	2	-2	2	-	-	-	d 2-2F
32	Breiðablik	4	0	2	2	-5	2	-	-	-	-
33	Aberdeen	4	0	2	2	-7	2	-	-	-	-
34	Shelbourne	4	0	1	3	-4	1	-	-	-	-
35	Shamrock	4	0	1	3	-6	1	-	-	-	-
36	Rapid Wien	4	0	0	4	-10	0	-	-	-	-
37	Novi Pazar							w 3-1F	w 1-2F	-	-
38	Silkeborg							d 2-2F	w 0-1F	-	-
39	Dinamo Tirana							w 3-0F	d 1-1A	-	-
40	Neman Grodno							-	-	w 4-0F	w 0-1F

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Jagiellonia have won 3 consecutive home european games

Jagiellonia have not lost in 11 consecutive european games

Jagiellonia have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 16

Conceded

8 / 16

Clean sheets

8 / 16

Failed to score

3 / 16

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Kuopio PS
Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Hamrun Spartans
Jagiellonia	3 - 0	Dinamo Tirana
Jagiellonia	2 - 2	Silkeborg
Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Novi Pazar
Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Real Betis
Jagiellonia	3 - 0	Cercle B
Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Backa Topola
Jagiellonia	0 - 0	Olimpija
Jagiellonia	3 - 0	Molde
Jagiellonia	2 - 0	Petrocub
Jagiellonia	1 - 4	Ajax
Jagiellonia	0 - 1	Bodø
Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Panevezys
Jagiellonia	0 - 1	Gent
Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Rio Ave

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Kuopio PS
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Skendija 79
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Strasbourg
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Hamrun Spartans
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Dinamo Tirana
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 0	Dinamo Tirana
H	Jagiellonia	2 - 2	Silkeborg
A	Jagiellonia	1 - 0	Silkeborg
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Novi Pazar
A	Jagiellonia	2 - 1	Novi Pazar
H	Jagiellonia	1 - 1	Real Betis
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 2	Real Betis
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 2	Cercle B
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 0	Cercle B
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Backa Topola
A	Jagiellonia	3 - 1	Backa Topola
H	Jagiellonia	0 - 0	Olimpija
A	Jagiellonia	0 - 1	M.Boleslav
A	Jagiellonia	3 - 3	Celje
H	Jagiellonia	3 - 0	Molde

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 3

Conceded

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

Failed to score

0 / 3

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Bratislava	2 - 1	R.Vallecano
Häcken	2 - 2	R.Vallecano
Neman Grodno	0 - 1	R.Vallecano

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Conceded

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

Failed to score

0 / 6

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	R.Vallecano	1 - 2	S. Bratislava
H	R.Vallecano	3 - 2	Lech Poznan
A	R.Vallecano	2 - 2	Häcken
H	R.Vallecano	2 - 0	Skendija 79
H	R.Vallecano	4 - 0	Neman Grodno
A	R.Vallecano	1 - 0	Neman Grodno

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Jagiellonia Bialystok of late. It has been 5 Europa Conference games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday evening against Rayo Vallecano.

Rayo Vallecano have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Europa Conference matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Jagiellonia Bialystok on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Jagiellonia 9th	R.Vallecano 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Jagiellonia will score no more than 1 goal	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that R.Vallecano will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
16 home / away league games	-4 Jagiellonia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 R.Vallecano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season

25%

better

JAG

VAL

view stats

Games scored	18		14
Failed to score	2		6
Scored first	13		9
Goals scored	34		29
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.5
Avg. shots per game	11		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		12
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+25%

17%

better

JAG

VAL

view stats

Games conceded	12		12
Clean sheets	8		8
Conceded first	5		9
Goals conceded	17		21
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		7
Conversion rate against	9%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+17%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Jagiellonia v R.Vallecano will show here when available.

Jagiellonia Europa Conference squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	5	4	5
N Wojtuszek	A Pululu	J Imaz	T Romanczuk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Wojtuszek DEF	10	1	1	1 -
A Pozo DEF	10	1	2	1 -
B Vital DEF	10	1		4 -
T Romanczuk MID	10	1	1	5 -
O. Pietuszewski FWD	10			1 -
B Wdowik DEF	9		1	1 -
D Drachal MID	9		1	1 -
J Imaz MID	9	4	4	2 1
L Flach MID	9		1	-
A Pululu FWD	9	5	1	4 -
S Abramowicz GLK	8			-
D Stojinovic DEF	8	1		1 -
D. Rallis FWD	8	2		1 -
L Prip FWD	7		1	-
Y Kobayashi DEF	6			-
B. Mazurek MID	5			-
A Jackson MID	4		1	-
A Cantero FWD	4			-
M Villar FWD	4			1 -
M Piekutowski GLK	2			-
C. Polak DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	6	4	2
A Pululu	A Pululu	J Imaz	T Romanczuk

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Pululu FWD	5	6	1
J Imaz MID	4	5	4	1
D. Rallis FWD	2	4
N Wojtuszek DEF	1	2	1
A Pozo DEF	1		2	1
B Vital DEF	1	2
T Romanczuk MID	1	1	1	2
D Stojinovic DEF	1	3
O. Pietuszewski FWD		2
B Wdowik DEF		2	1	1
D Drachal MID		1	1	1
L Flach MID			1
L Prip FWD		1	1	1
B. Mazurek MID		2
A Jackson MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
457	22	37
B Vital	N Wojtuszek	N Wojtuszek

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Vital DEF	457	4	17
B Wdowik DEF	334	8	13
D Stojinovic DEF	331	6	16
N Wojtuszek DEF	323	22	37
T Romanczuk MID	320	16	33
J Imaz MID	180	2	5
A Pozo DEF	165	6	14
A Pululu FWD	109	1	32
O. Pietuszewski FWD	100	4	21
L Flach MID	91	8	16
D Drachal MID	79	5	15
S Abramowicz GLK	79		1
Y Kobayashi DEF	74		2
D. Rallis FWD	61		10
M Piekutowski GLK	61
B. Mazurek MID	56	4	12
L Prip FWD	40	2	8
M Villar FWD	30	2	4
A Cantero FWD	3	1	2
A Jackson MID	1		2