Lech Poznan's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

Lech Poznan v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 20:00 BST, INEA stadion, Pozna?

Thursday night at the INEA stadion, and it’s a Europa Conference clash between Lech Poznan and 1. FSV Mainz 05. Niels Frederiksen and Bo Henriksen going all-out to claim the win. Analysing both sides' last 20 Europa Conference matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our tip on this one, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Lech Poznan and Mainz's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Mainz coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lech Poznan
33%
2.902.88
Draw
25%
3.403.50
Mainz
43%
2.202.38
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
Mainz 2-1
9%
9.009.00
Mainz 1-0
9%
9.008.50
Lech Poznan 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Lech Poznan 1-0
7%
11.009.00
Mainz 2-0
7%
12.0011.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
12.0010.00
Lech Poznan 2-0
5%
15.0013.00
Mainz 3-1
5%
17.0015.00
Mainz 3-0
4%
21.0017.00
Lech Poznan 3-1
3%
23.0019.00
Mainz 3-2
3%
23.0021.00
Lech Poznan 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
Lech Poznan 3-0
2%
29.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.801.80
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.001.91
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.102.10
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.801.91
No 1st Goal
3%
12.009.50
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.671.70
BTTS - No
42%
2.102.05
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5.505.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.334.20
Home/draw
57%
1.671.57
Away/draw
67%
1.401.40
Home/away
75%
1.301.29
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.251.25
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3.753.50
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.003.00
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.361.35
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
6.005.50
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.131.12
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.0011.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.041.03
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12.0010.00
Home DNB
50%
2.102.05
Away DNB
60%
1.671.70
Lech Poznan win to nil
15%
5.50-
Mainz win to nil
21%
4.00-
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan
17%
4.754.40
Lech Poznan / Mainz
4%
23.0021.00
Lech Poznan / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Lech Poznan
12%
7.006.50
Draw / Mainz
14%
5.505.50
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.00
Mainz / Lech Poznan
3%
26.0021.00
Mainz / Mainz
22%
3.603.60
Mainz / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lech Poznan
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Samsunspor4310710 
-
-
Dec 18
-
2
Strasbourg4310310 
-
-
-
-
3
Celje430149 
-
-
-
-
4
Shakhtar430139 
-
-
-
-
5
Mainz430129 
Dec 11
-
-
-
6
Rakow422058 
-
-
-
-
7
AEK Larnaca422058 
-
-
-
-
8
Drita422028 
-
-
-
-
9
Jagiellonia422028 
-
-
-
-
10
AEK421157 
-
-
-
-
11
Sparta421137 
-
-
-
-
12
R.Vallecano421127 
-
l
 
3-2F
-
-
13
Lausanne421127 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
14
SK Sigma421107 
-
Dec 18
-
-
15
Universitatea Craiova421107 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
16
Lech Poznan420236 
-
-
-
Dec 11
17
Fiorentina420236 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
-
18
C Palace420226 
-
-
-
-
19
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar4202-16 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
20
AZ Alkmaar4202-36 
-
-
-
-
21
Omnia Nicosia412115 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
22
Kuopio PS412115 
-
-
-
-
23
Noah412105 
-
-
-
-
24
Rijeka412105 
-
-
-
-
25
Skendija 794112-24 
-
-
-
-
26
Lincoln Red Imps4112-64 
-
l
 
2-1A
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv4103-13 
-
-
-
-
28
L. Warsaw4103-23 
-
-
-
-
29
S. Bratislava4103-33 
-
-
-
-
30
Hamrun Spartans4103-33 
-
-
-
-
31
Häcken4022-22 
-
-
-
-
32
Breiðablik4022-52 
-
-
-
-
33
Aberdeen4022-72 
-
-
-
-
34
Shelbourne4013-41 
-
-
-
-
35
Shamrock4013-61 
-
-
-
-
36
Rapid Wien4004-100 
w
 
4-1F
-
-
-
37
Rosenborg 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1F
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Lech Poznan 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
1
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lech Poznan2 - 0Lausanne
Lech Poznan4 - 1Rapid Wien
Lech Poznan1 - 5Genk
Lech Poznan1 - 3Red Star Bel.
Lech Poznan7 - 1Breiðablik
Lech Poznan2 - 1Spartak Trnava
Lech Poznan3 - 1Kauno Zalgiris
Lech Poznan1 - 4Fiorentina
Lech Poznan2 - 0Djurgårdens
Lech Poznan1 - 0Bodø
Lech Poznan3 - 0Villarreal
Lech Poznan0 - 0Beer Sheva
Lech Poznan4 - 1Austria Wien
Lech Poznan2 - 0F91 Dudelange
Lech Poznan2 - 1Víkingur
Lech Poznan5 - 0D Batumi
Lech Poznan1 - 0Qarabag
Lech Poznan0 - 2Rangers
Lech Poznan3 - 1S. Liege
Lech Poznan2 - 4Benfica
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLech Poznan2 - 0Lausanne
ALech Poznan2 - 3R.Vallecano
ALech Poznan1 - 2Lincoln Red Imps
HLech Poznan4 - 1Rapid Wien
ALech Poznan2 - 1Genk
HLech Poznan1 - 5Genk
ALech Poznan1 - 1Red Star Bel.
HLech Poznan1 - 3Red Star Bel.
ALech Poznan1 - 0Breiðablik
HLech Poznan7 - 1Breiðablik
ALech Poznan1 - 3Spartak Trnava
HLech Poznan2 - 1Spartak Trnava
ALech Poznan1 - 0Kauno Zalgiris
HLech Poznan3 - 1Kauno Zalgiris
ALech Poznan3 - 2Fiorentina
HLech Poznan1 - 4Fiorentina
ALech Poznan3 - 0Djurgårdens
HLech Poznan2 - 0Djurgårdens
HLech Poznan1 - 0Bodø
ALech Poznan0 - 0Bodø
Mainz 5TH
6 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
6
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
4 / 6
Conceded
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
Failed to score
2 / 6
Won
2
D
1
Lost
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Universitatea Craiova1 - 0Mainz
Omnia Nicosia0 - 1Mainz
Rosenborg2 - 1Mainz
St Etienne0 - 0Mainz
Anderlecht6 - 1Mainz
Qabala2 - 3Mainz
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
10 / 12
Conceded
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
Failed to score
2 / 12
Won
6
Draw
3
Lost
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMainz0 - 1Universitatea Craiova
HMainz2 - 1Fiorentina
HMainz1 - 0Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
AMainz1 - 0Omnia Nicosia
HMainz4 - 1Rosenborg
AMainz1 - 2Rosenborg
HMainz2 - 0Qabala
AMainz0 - 0St Etienne
AMainz1 - 6Anderlecht
HMainz1 - 1Anderlecht
AMainz3 - 2Qabala
HMainz1 - 1St Etienne
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is to be admired, B. Henriksen's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa Conference matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Lech Poznan makes sense in this context.

Lech Poznan 16th Mainz 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Lech Poznan will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+39
Lech Poznan have scored 39% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
Lech Poznan
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
29%
better
LPO
M05
view stats
Games scored18
12
Failed to score2
8
Scored first9
8
Goals scored33
21
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
12%
better
LPO
M05
view stats
Games conceded15
17
Clean sheets5
3
Conceded first9
12
Goals conceded29
30
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Lech Poznan v Mainz will show here when available.

Lech Poznan Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Mainz Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
European Europa Conference match betting previews, predictions and odds
Skendija 79 v S. Bratislava
Thu 11th Dec, 17:45
Samsunspor v AEK
Thu 11th Dec, 17:45
Fiorentina v Dynamo Kyiv
Thu 11th Dec, 17:45
Drita v AZ Alkmaar
Thu 11th Dec, 17:45
Breiðablik v Shamrock
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Häcken v AEK Larnaca
Thu 11th Dec, 17:45
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Thu 11th Dec, 20:00
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Thu 11th Dec, 20:00
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Hamrun Spartans v Shakhtar
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Rapid Wien v Omnia Nicosia
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Aberdeen v Strasbourg
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Rakow v Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
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Shamrock v Hamrun Spartans
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Shakhtar v Rijeka
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
Omnia Nicosia v Rakow
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
SK Sigma v Lech Poznan
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
R.Vallecano v Drita
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
Celje v Shelbourne
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
L. Warsaw v Lincoln Red Imps
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
AZ Alkmaar v Jagiellonia
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
Mainz v Samsunspor
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
Sparta v Aberdeen
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
AEK Larnaca v Skendija 79
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
Lausanne v Fiorentina
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
C Palace v Kuopio PS
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
Dynamo Kyiv v Noah
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar v Rapid Wien
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
AEK v Universitatea Craiova
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00
S. Bratislava v Häcken
Thu 18th Dec, 20:00