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Lech Poznan v Shakhtar Donetsk : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

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We've got bespoke statistics for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

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Lech Poznan's next match is v Zaglebie at 13:45 on Sunday 15th March
Shakhtar Donetsk's next match is v Lech Poznan at 20:00 on Thursday 19th March
The last European Europa Conference meeting between Lech Poznan and Shakhtar was on Thursday 12th March 2026
European Europa Conference
March 12th 2026
Lech Poznan 1
3 Shakhtar
 
M. Ishak 70'36' M. Gomes Claudino
48' N. Martins da Silva
85' I. Severino Silva
 
LPO
SDK
Shots On
3
7
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
1
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
11
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
Lech PoznanShakhtar
 
J. Vieira Pereira
M. Gurgul (J. Bragança Moutinho 61')
L. Bengtsson (T. Ouma 46')
A. Gholizadeh (P. Wålemark 61')
M. Ishakfootball icon
A. Milić
B. Mrozek
W. Mońka
A. Kozubal
P. Delgado (M. Agnero 83')
L. Palma Oseguera (T. Ismaheel 61')
V. Bondar
(M. Gomes Claudino 27') D. Kryskiv
V. Tobias da Silva
M. Santos da Silva Barbosa
P. Azevedo Pereira
D. Riznyk
(P. Obah 89') P. Delmino da Silva
O. Ocheretko
(L. dos Santos Ferreira 75') A. Santana Lopes da Fonseca
(I. Severino Silva 75') football iconN. Martins da Silva
K. Elias Nogueira

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Lech Poznan and Shakhtar will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Niels Frederiksen or Arda Turan has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to about a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lech Poznan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lech Poznan
37%
31/20
5%
750/1
1%
Draw
25%
12/5
2%
90/1
Shakhtar
37%
8/5
9%
1/1000
Draw 1-1
12%
11/219/5
Lech Poznan 1-0
9%
17/25/1
6%
Shakhtar 1-0
9%
17/2
11%
27/10
Lech Poznan 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
11/1
Shakhtar 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
10/21
5%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/14/1
10%
Lech Poznan 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
Shakhtar 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
5/4
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
9/2
Lech Poznan 3-1
4%
20/133/1
Shakhtar 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
1/4
Lech Poznan 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
28/1
Shakhtar 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
7/2
Shakhtar 3-2
3%
28/113/2
Lech Poznan 3-2
3%
28/1
10%
28/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
9/103/5
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
9/106/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/21
5%
13/10
3%
Away 1st Goal
48%
20/21
2%
11/10
No 1st Goal
4%
10/119/5
5%
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6
3%
17/10
1%
BTTS - No
43%
11/10
5%
2/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
9%
125/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
33/1
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/1
5%
1/1000
2%
Home/draw
63%
1/2
2%
55/1
Away/draw
63%
1/2
7%
1/1000
Home/away
75%
3/10
2%
1/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/71/4
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
5/213/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9/4
8%
6/4
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
2%
10/21
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/219/4
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/91/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/133/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/202/13
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/119/5
5%
Home DNB
55%
5/6
9%
125/1
Away DNB
55%
5/6
6%
1/500
1%
Lech Poznan win to nil
19%
7/2
9%
-
Shakhtar win to nil
19%
4/1
15%
-
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan
20%
10/3
4%
70/1
3%
Lech Poznan / Shakhtar
3%
25/1100/1
Lech Poznan / Draw
7%
12/190/1
Draw / Lech Poznan
13%
5/122/1
Draw / Shakhtar
13%
11/2
8%
22/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/220/1
Shakhtar / Lech Poznan
3%
25/117/2
Shakhtar / Shakhtar
19%
10/3
8%
2/5
Shakhtar / Draw
6%
12/116/5
8%
Win / draw / win Europa Conference table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Strasbourg6510616 
-
-
-
-
2
Rakow6420714 
-
-
-
-
3
AEK6411713 
-
-
-
-
4
Sparta6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
R.Vallecano6411613 
-
l
 
3-2F
-
-
6
Shakhtar6411513 
-
-
-
-
7
Mainz6411413 
d
 
1-1A
-
-
-
8
AEK Larnaca6330612 
-
-
-
-
9
Lausanne6321311 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
10
C Palace6312510 
-
-
-
-
11
Lech Poznan6312410 
-
-
-
-
12
Samsunspor6312410 
-
-
-
-
13
Celje6312110 
-
-
-
-
14
AZ Alkmaar6312010 
-
-
-
-
15
Fiorentina630339 
-
-
-
-
16
Rijeka623139 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
17
Jagiellonia623119 
-
-
-
-
18
Omnia Nicosia622218 
-
-
-
-
19
Noah6222-18 
-
-
-
-
20
Drita6222-48 
-
-
-
-
21
Kuopio PS614117 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
22
Skendija 796213-17 
-
-
-
-
23
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar6213-27 
-
-
-
-
24
SK Sigma6213-27 
-
w
 
1-2F
-
-
25
Universitatea Craiova6213-27 
-
-
-
-
26
Lincoln Red Imps6213-87 
-
l
 
2-1A
-
-
27
Dynamo Kyiv620406 
-
-
-
-
28
L. Warsaw620406 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
-
29
S. Bratislava6204-46 
-
-
-
-
30
Breiðablik6123-55 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
31
Shamrock6114-64 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2F
32
Häcken6033-33 
-
-
-
-
33
Hamrun Spartans6105-73 
-
-
-
w
 
0-2F
34
Shelbourne6024-72 
-
-
-
-
35
Aberdeen6024-112 
-
-
-
w
 
2-3A
36
Rapid Wien6015-111 
w
 
4-1F
-
-
-
37
Servette 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Lech Poznan have won 3 consecutive european games
3
Shakhtar have won 3 consecutive away european games
5
Lech Poznan have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
7
Shakhtar have not lost in 7 consecutive away european games
Lech Poznan 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Shakhtar 6TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

Lech Poznan's defensive record is to be admired, N. Frederiksen's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa Conference games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Shakhtar Donetsk makes sense in this context.

Lech Poznan 11th Shakhtar 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Lech Poznan will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Shakhtar will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Lech Poznan have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+19
Shakhtar have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season
Lech Poznan
PG (predicted goals)
Shakhtar
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
10%
better
LPO
SDK
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first12
9
Goals scored32
32
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for2.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
LPO
SDK
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded25
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+8%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Lech Poznan v Shakhtar will show here when available.

Lech Poznan Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9632
B MrozekM IshakL PalmaJ Pereira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Mrozek GLK9
1
-
J Pereira DEF92
2
-
W. Mońka DEF6
-
A Milic DEF5
2
-
M Gurgul DEF81
1
-
P Rodríguez MID811
-
A Kozubal MID92
1
-
A Gholizadeh  MID5
1
-
L Palma MID923
-
L Bengtsson MID71
-
M Ishak FWD961
-
Subs
P Andreev GLK
-
M. Pruchniewski GLK
-
J Moutinho  DEF4
-
R Gumny DEF4
1
-
M Skrzypczak DEF8
-
T Ouma MID6
2
-
P Wålemark MID3
-
G Thórdarson MID4
-
T Ismaheel MID932
-
Y Agnero FWD91
1
-
Shakhtar Europa Conference squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8333
V BondarK NogueiraM GomesV Bondar
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Riznyk GLK5
1
-
V Tobías DEF91
2
-
V Bondar DEF81
3
-
Marlon DEF2
-
Pedrinho DEF61
1
-
A Fonseca MID3
-
D Kryskiv MID3
-
N. Martins da Silva MID51
1
-
O Ocheretko MID6
1
-
Pedrinho MID62
1
-
K Nogueira FWD732
1
-
Subs
K Fesyun GLK4
-
I Azarovi DEF51
-
Y Konoplia DEF51
2
-
M Shved  MID2
-
I. Severino Silva MID721
1
-
A Bondarenko MID61
-
Y Nazaryna MID721
1
-
L. dos Santos Ferreira MID91
-
P. Obah MID1
-
M Gomes MID613
2
-
L Traoré FWD
-
L. Oliveira Meirelles FWD62
-