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Samsunspor v AEK Athens : Europa Conference match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 17:45 BST, Stadyum Samsun, Samsun

The Europa Conference is the focus for both Samsunspor and AEK Athens on Thursday evening, as managers Thomas Reis and Marko Nikolić face one another at the Stadyum Samsun. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Samsunspor and AEK combined during 90 mins. Up to date form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of it being a winning tip. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Samsunspor are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Samsunspor 37%	2.70 13%	2.62 7%
Draw 26%	3.25 2%	3.40 5%
AEK 37%	2.63 6%	2.62 10%
Draw 1-1 12%	6.00	6.00 8%
AEK 1-0 10%	8.50	8.00
Samsunspor 1-0 9%	9.00 13%	8.00 7%
AEK 2-1 8%	10.00 9%	9.50 5%
Samsunspor 2-1 8%	10.00	10.00 11%
Draw 0-0 7%	9.50 6%	9.00 13%
AEK 2-0 6%	13.00	11.00 8%
Samsunspor 2-0 6%	13.00 8%	12.00 9%
Draw 2-2 5%	13.00 13%	13.00
AEK 3-1 4%	21.00 9%	19.00
Samsunspor 3-1 4%	21.00	17.00 11%
AEK 3-0 3%	26.00 10%	21.00 9%
Samsunspor 3-0 3%	26.00 13%	21.00 11%
AEK 3-2 2%	29.00 15%	23.00 12%
Samsunspor 3-2 2%	29.00	23.00 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	2.00 4%	2.00 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	1.80 4%	1.75 3%
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.00 5%	2.00 3%
Away 1st Goal 48%	1.95 7%	2.05 5%
No 1st Goal 5%	9.50 6%	8.50 13%
BTTS - Yes 54%	1.73 5%	1.80 3%
BTTS - No 46%	2.00 9%	1.95 5%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	5.50 10%	5.00 4%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33 4%	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 17%	5.50 8%	5.00 9%
Home/draw 63%	1.44 3%	1.48 6%
Away/draw 63%	1.44 6%	1.48 3%
Home/away 74%	1.33 2%	1.30 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1.30 2%	1.33 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	3.40 5%	3.10 7%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	3.50 7%	3.40 8%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1.29 3%	1.29 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	7.00 13%	6.50 7%
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1.10 2%	1.09 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	15.00 12%	13.00 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.03	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.06 1%	1.06 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	9.50 6%	8.50 6%
Home DNB 55%	1.83 6%	1.85 7%
Away DNB 56%	1.83 9%	1.85 8%
Samsunspor win to nil 19%	4.50 13%	-
AEK win to nil 20%	4.50	-
Samsunspor / Samsunspor 19%	4.33 8%	4.00 3%
Samsunspor / AEK 3%	29.00	21.00 9%
Samsunspor / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	12.00
Draw / Samsunspor 13%	6.00	5.75 5%
Draw / AEK 13%	6.00 8%	5.75 4%
Draw / Draw 17%	5.00	4.60 2%
AEK / Samsunspor 3%	29.00	23.00 10%
AEK / AEK 19%	4.33 9%	4.20 7%
AEK / Draw 6%	13.00 13%	12.00 8%

Win / draw / win Europa Conference table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Samsunspor AEK
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Samsunspor	4	3	1	0	7	10	-	-	-	Dec 11
2	Strasbourg	4	3	1	0	3	10	-	-	-	-
3	Celje	4	3	0	1	4	9	-	-	-	l 3-1F
4	Shakhtar	4	3	0	1	3	9	-	-	-	-
5	Mainz	4	3	0	1	2	9	-	Dec 18	-	-
6	Rakow	4	2	2	0	5	8	-	-	-	-
7	AEK Larnaca	4	2	2	0	5	8	-	-	-	-
8	Drita	4	2	2	0	2	8	-	-	-	-
9	Jagiellonia	4	2	2	0	2	8	-	-	-	-
10	AEK	4	2	1	1	5	7	Dec 11	-	-	-
11	Sparta	4	2	1	1	3	7	-	-	-	-
12	R.Vallecano	4	2	1	1	2	7	-	-	-	-
13	Lausanne	4	2	1	1	2	7	-	-	-	-
14	SK Sigma	4	2	1	1	0	7	-	-	-	-
15	Universitatea Craiova	4	2	1	1	0	7	-	-	Dec 18	-
16	Lech Poznan	4	2	0	2	3	6	-	-	-	-
17	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	3	6	-	-	-	w 0-1F
18	C Palace	4	2	0	2	2	6	-	-	-	-
19	Hsk Zrinjski Mostar	4	2	0	2	-1	6	-	-	-	-
20	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	-3	6	-	-	-	-
21	Omnia Nicosia	4	1	2	1	1	5	-	-	-	-
22	Kuopio PS	4	1	2	1	1	5	-	-	-	-
23	Noah	4	1	2	1	0	5	-	-	-	-
24	Rijeka	4	1	2	1	0	5	-	-	-	-
25	Skendija 79	4	1	1	2	-2	4	-	-	-	-
26	Lincoln Red Imps	4	1	1	2	-6	4	-	-	-	-
27	Dynamo Kyiv	4	1	0	3	-1	3	w 3-0F	-	-	-
28	L. Warsaw	4	1	0	3	-2	3	-	w 0-1F	-	-
29	S. Bratislava	4	1	0	3	-3	3	-	-	-	-
30	Hamrun Spartans	4	1	0	3	-3	3	w 3-0F	-	-	-
31	Häcken	4	0	2	2	-2	2	-	-	-	-
32	Breiðablik	4	0	2	2	-5	2	-	d 2-2A	-	-
33	Aberdeen	4	0	2	2	-7	2	-	-	w 6-0F	-
34	Shelbourne	4	0	1	3	-4	1	-	-	-	-
35	Shamrock	4	0	1	3	-6	1	-	-	d 1-1A	-
36	Rapid Wien	4	0	0	4	-10	0	-	-	-	-
37	Beer Sheva							-	-	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
38	Aris							-	-	w 3-1F	d 2-2F
39	Anderlecht							-	-	w 2-0F	d 1-1A

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Win / draw / win form

Samsunspor have not lost in 5 consecutive european games

Samsunspor have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Conceded

0 / 3

Clean sheets

3 / 3

Failed to score

1 / 3

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Samsunspor	3 - 0	Hamrun Spartans
Samsunspor	3 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
Samsunspor	0 - 0	Panathinaikos

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 6

Conceded

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

Failed to score

1 / 6

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Samsunspor	2 - 2	Breiðablik
H	Samsunspor	3 - 0	Hamrun Spartans
H	Samsunspor	3 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
A	Samsunspor	1 - 0	L. Warsaw
H	Samsunspor	0 - 0	Panathinaikos
A	Samsunspor	1 - 2	Panathinaikos

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fiorentina	0 - 1	AEK
Celje	3 - 1	AEK
Anderlecht	1 - 1	AEK
Aris	2 - 2	AEK
Beer Sheva	0 - 0	AEK
Noah	3 - 1	AEK
Inter Club d'Escaldes	0 - 4	AEK
Ajax	3 - 1	AEK
Marseille	3 - 1	AEK
Brighton	2 - 3	AEK
Antwerp	1 - 0	AEK
D. Zagreb	1 - 2	AEK
Velez	2 - 1	AEK
Leicester	2 - 0	AEK
Luhansk	1 - 4	AEK
Braga	3 - 0	AEK
St Gallen	0 - 1	AEK
Trabzonspor	0 - 2	AEK
Universitatea Craiova	0 - 2	AEK
U Craiova 1948 CS	0 - 2	AEK

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	AEK	1 - 0	Fiorentina
H	AEK	1 - 1	Shamrock
H	AEK	6 - 0	Aberdeen
A	AEK	1 - 3	Celje
H	AEK	2 - 0	Anderlecht
A	AEK	1 - 1	Anderlecht
H	AEK	1 - 1	Aris
A	AEK	2 - 2	Aris
A	AEK	0 - 0	Beer Sheva
H	AEK	1 - 0	Beer Sheva
H	AEK	1 - 0	Noah
A	AEK	1 - 3	Noah
A	AEK	4 - 0	Inter Club d'Escaldes
H	AEK	4 - 3	Inter Club d'Escaldes
A	AEK	1 - 3	Ajax
H	AEK	0 - 1	Brighton
H	AEK	0 - 2	Marseille
A	AEK	1 - 3	Marseille
H	AEK	1 - 1	Ajax
A	AEK	3 - 2	Brighton

Goal Statistics

	Samsunspor 1st	AEK 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Samsunspor will score no more than 1 goal	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that AEK will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
3 home / away league games	=0 Samsunspor’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+7 AEK’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	0.0 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa Conference - 2025/2025 season

SAM

AEK

better

view stats

Games scored	17		17
Failed to score	3		2
Scored first	11		14
Goals scored	30		28
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		9
Conversion rate for	15		12
Avg. XG for	1.5		2.3
KickOff rating		+3%

SAM

AEK

15%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		9
Clean sheets	8		10
Conceded first	6		5
Goals conceded	19		15
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		10
Conversion rate against	10%		10%
Avg. XG against	1		1.3
KickOff rating		+15%

The line-ups for the Europa Conference match between Samsunspor v AEK will show here when available.

Samsunspor Europa Conference squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards

NO DATA AVAILABLE

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

NO DATA AVAILABLE

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

NO DATA AVAILABLE

AEK Europa Conference squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	4	3	4
T Strakosha	D Kutesa	O Pineda	P Mantalos

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Strakosha GLK	10			1 -
F Relvas DEF	10	2		3 -
L Rota DEF	10		1	2 -
O Pineda MID	10		3	1 -
A Koita FWD	10	3		1 -
H Moukoudi DEF	9			-
S Pilios DEF	9		2	2 -
M Gacinovic MID	9	1	1	-
P Mantalos MID	9		2	3 1
R Marin MID	9	2		1 -
F Pierrot FWD	9		1	1 -
D Kutesa FWD	8	4	1	-
A Ademi MID	7		1	1 -
J Penrice DEF	6			-
R Pereyra MID	6	1		2 -
Zini FWD	6			-
N Eliasson MID	4	2	2	-
D Vida DEF	3			1 -
J Jönsson MID	1			-
A Martial FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	5	3	4
D Kutesa	A Koita	O Pineda	P Mantalos

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Kutesa FWD	4	5	1
A Koita FWD	3	5		1
F Relvas DEF	2	3
R Marin MID	2	1		1
N Eliasson MID	2	4	2
M Gacinovic MID	1	5	1	3
R Pereyra MID	1
L Rota DEF			1	1
O Pineda MID		2	3	1
H Moukoudi DEF		2
S Pilios DEF		1	2	2
P Mantalos MID			2	4
F Pierrot FWD		2	1	1
A Ademi MID			1	1
J Penrice DEF		2		1
Zini FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
375	17	35
F Relvas	L Rota	A Koita

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Relvas DEF	375	5	16
O Pineda MID	337	13	33
L Rota DEF	314	17	27
H Moukoudi DEF	284	3	13
R Marin MID	271	13	24
S Pilios DEF	201	10	16
P Mantalos MID	197	8	22
T Strakosha GLK	150	1	1
A Koita FWD	96	9	35
M Gacinovic MID	86	4	16
J Penrice DEF	80	2	5
N Eliasson MID	69	5	15
D Kutesa FWD	66	2	13
D Vida DEF	60	3	6
A Ademi MID	39	5	9
F Pierrot FWD	33	2	18
R Pereyra MID	20	1	2
Zini FWD	15	2	8